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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Palermo 1–1 Modena

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.05 fair 2.49
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.55
Away 3.60 fair 3.16
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.69
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Palermo Modena
10 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 5
17 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (77 league matches this season so far).
Result Palermo to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
PalermoDrawModena
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 12.3% 0–1 10.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Palermo before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
1.29scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:3
Modena before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
1.86scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:3
Palermo all matches all matches Modena

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.86
0.43 Goals conceded 0.43
1.71 Total goals 2.29
13.86 Shots 16.14
5.00 Shots on target 4.71
11.43 Shots faced 9.57
4.86 Corners 4.86
3.86 Corners against 2.71
15.14 Fouls 16.29
2.00 Yellow cards 2.57
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

57% Wins 71%
43% Draws 29%
0% Losses 0%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
29% Over 2.5 goals 43%
0% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
57% Clean sheets 57%
29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
57% Over 0.5 goals 43%
0% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo all matches
Modena all matches
Palermo before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:1
Modena before this match, away
2.33points / match
1.67scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:1
Palermo at home away Modena

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.67
0.25 Goals conceded 0.33
1.25 Total goals 2.00
16.25 Shots 14.00
6.50 Shots on target 3.00
9.75 Shots faced 12.33
6.25 Corners 5.33
3.25 Corners against 4.00
14.00 Fouls 17.33
1.75 Yellow cards 3.67
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 67%
50% Draws 33%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
25% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 33%
75% Clean sheets 67%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
75% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
25% Over 0.5 goals 33%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo at home
Modena away

Last 10 matches before this match

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Spezia – Palermo 1–2 (0–1) 2.823.002.55 2.50 1.50
30.09.25 Palermo – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Cesena – Palermo 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.002.65 2.25 1.62
19.09.25 Palermo – Bari 2–0 (0–0) 1.623.505.75 2.00 1.80
14.09.25 Sudtirol – Palermo 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.202.05 2.15 1.67
30.08.25 Palermo – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.255.00 2.00 1.80
23.08.25 Palermo – Reggiana 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.05 1.75
13.05.25 Palermo – Carrarese 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.105.50 1.67 2.15
09.05.25 Palermo – Frosinone 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.104.50 1.87 1.87
04.05.25 Cesena – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.67

Modena all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Modena – Virtus Entella 2–0 (0–0) 1.763.405.00 2.35 1.57
01.10.25 Carrarese – Modena 0–0 (0–0) 2.823.102.55 2.30 1.60
28.09.25 Modena – Pescara 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.105.25 2.00 1.80
20.09.25 Mantova – Modena 1–3 (1–2) 2.823.202.40 2.10 1.70
13.09.25 Modena – Bari 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.25 2.35 1.57
31.08.25 Modena – Avellino 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.40 2.10 1.70
25.08.25 Sampdoria – Modena 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
13.05.25 Modena – Cesena 0–1 (0–0) 2.902.702.50 2.30 1.60
09.05.25 Modena – Brescia 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.003.50 2.25 1.62
04.05.25 Carrarese – Modena 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.103.40 2.07 1.69

Palermo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25 Palermo – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
19.09.25 Palermo – Bari 2–0 (0–0) 1.623.505.75 2.00 1.80
30.08.25 Palermo – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.255.00 2.00 1.80
23.08.25 Palermo – Reggiana 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.05 1.75
13.05.25 Palermo – Carrarese 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.105.50 1.67 2.15
09.05.25 Palermo – Frosinone 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.104.50 1.87 1.87
01.05.25 Palermo – Sudtirol 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.103.30 2.15 1.67
06.04.25 Palermo – Sassuolo 5–3 (3–0) 2.633.302.63 2.03 1.83
14.03.25 Palermo – Cremonese 2–3 (0–0) 2.703.002.80 2.10 1.70
02.03.25 Palermo – Brescia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 1.95 1.90

Modena away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.25 Carrarese – Modena 0–0 (0–0) 2.823.102.55 2.30 1.60
20.09.25 Mantova – Modena 1–3 (1–2) 2.823.202.40 2.10 1.70
25.08.25 Sampdoria – Modena 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
04.05.25 Carrarese – Modena 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.103.40 2.07 1.69
25.04.25 Bari – Modena 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.103.20 2.15 1.67
05.04.25 Pisa – Modena 1–2 (0–1) 1.833.404.50 2.35 1.57
15.03.25 Juve Stabia – Modena 2–1 (1–0) 2.502.883.20 2.40 1.53
08.03.25 Salernitana – Modena 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.203.10 2.25 1.62
22.02.25 Cittadella – Modena 0–2 (0–1) 3.002.902.55 2.40 1.53
08.02.25 Sampdoria – Modena 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.003.00 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Palermo winsDrawsModena wins
6matches
3.83goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.25I2 Palermo – Modena 2–0 (1–0) 2.002.904.50 2.25 1.62
19.10.24I2 Modena – Palermo 2–2 (0–2) 2.383.103.10 2.30 1.60
20.01.24I2 Palermo – Modena 4–2 (2–1) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
07.10.23I2 Modena – Palermo 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.103.00 2.10 1.70
17.03.23I2 Palermo – Modena 5–2 (1–2) 2.403.253.10 2.10 1.70
29.10.22I2 Modena – Palermo 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.40 1.98 1.88

Italy Serie B table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Modena 7 5 2 0 13 3 +10 17
2 Palermo 7 4 3 0 9 3 +6 15
3 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 13 8 +5 14
4 Cesena 8 4 2 2 13 11 +2 14
5 Monza 8 4 2 2 8 6 +2 14
6 Juve Stabia 8 3 4 1 10 8 +2 13
7 Venezia 7 3 3 1 10 5 +5 12
8 Reggiana 8 3 3 2 13 11 +2 12
9 Avellino 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
10 Carrarese 8 2 5 1 13 9 +4 11
11 Sudtirol 8 2 4 2 12 11 +1 10
12 Virtus Entella 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
13 Empoli 7 2 3 2 10 13 -3 9
14 Padova 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2 8
15 Catanzaro 7 0 6 1 7 8 -1 6
16 Pescara 8 1 3 4 13 16 -3 6
17 Bari 8 1 3 4 8 15 -7 6
18 Sampdoria 8 1 2 5 8 13 -5 5
19 Mantova 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
20 Spezia 8 0 3 5 5 13 -8 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Modena 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
2 Venezia 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
3 Monza 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9
4 Reggiana 4 2 2 0 9 5 +4 8
5 Virtus Entella 4 2 2 0 7 4 +3 8
6 Juve Stabia 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
7 Palermo 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
8 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
9 Avellino 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
10 Pescara 5 1 3 1 10 8 +2 6
11 Empoli 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
12 Sudtirol 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
13 Carrarese 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
14 Bari 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
15 Sampdoria 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
16 Padova 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
17 Mantova 4 1 1 2 5 10 -5 4
18 Catanzaro 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
19 Cesena 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
20 Spezia 5 0 1 4 3 9 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cesena 5 4 0 1 10 7 +3 12
2 Modena 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Palermo 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
5 Carrarese 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
6 Monza 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
7 Juve Stabia 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
8 Avellino 5 1 2 2 7 10 -3 5
9 Sudtirol 4 0 4 0 5 5 0 4
10 Reggiana 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
11 Padova 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
12 Venezia 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
13 Catanzaro 4 0 3 1 3 4 -1 3
14 Empoli 3 1 0 2 3 8 -5 3
15 Spezia 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
16 Mantova 4 0 1 3 1 4 -3 1
17 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
18 Virtus Entella 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
19 Bari 5 0 1 4 4 12 -8 1
20 Pescara 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0

Palermo   Modena

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Pescara 8 1 7 1.6 2.0 1 3 4 13 16 6
2 4 Cesena 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 4 2 2 13 11 14
3 8 Reggiana 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 3 3 2 13 11 12
4 13 Empoli 7 2 5 1.4 1.9 2 3 2 10 13 9
5 17 Bari 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 1 3 4 8 15 6
6 3 Frosinone 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 2 2 13 8 14
7 6 Juve Stabia 8 4 4 1.2 1.0 3 4 1 10 8 13
8 7 Venezia 7 3 4 1.4 0.7 3 3 1 10 5 12
9 10 Carrarese 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 2 5 1 13 9 11
10 11 Sudtirol 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 2 4 2 12 11 10
11 14 Padova 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 2 3 7 9 8
12 18 Sampdoria 8 4 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 5 8 13 5
13 19 Mantova 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
14 1 Modena 7 4 3 1.9 0.4 5 2 0 13 3 17
15 9 Avellino 8 5 3 1.4 1.4 3 3 2 11 11 12
16 12 Virtus Entella 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
17 15 Catanzaro 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 0 6 1 7 8 6
18 20 Spezia 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 0 3 5 5 13 3
19 2 Palermo 7 5 2 1.3 0.4 4 3 0 9 3 15
20 5 Monza 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 4 2 2 8 6 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Pescara 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 1 3 1 10 8 6
2 7 Venezia 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
3 8 Reggiana 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 0 9 5 8
4 11 Sudtirol 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
5 19 Mantova 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 1 2 5 10 4
6 20 Spezia 5 2 3 0.6 1.8 0 1 4 3 9 1
7 1 Modena 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
8 3 Frosinone 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
9 10 Carrarese 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
10 12 Virtus Entella 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 2 0 7 4 8
11 13 Empoli 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
12 14 Padova 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
13 18 Sampdoria 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
14 2 Palermo 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
15 4 Cesena 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 5 Monza 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9
17 6 Juve Stabia 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
18 9 Avellino 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
19 15 Catanzaro 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
20 17 Bari 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Cesena 5 0 5 2.0 1.4 4 0 1 10 7 12
2 17 Bari 5 1 4 0.8 2.4 0 1 4 4 12 1
3 6 Juve Stabia 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
4 8 Reggiana 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
5 13 Empoli 3 0 3 1.0 2.7 1 0 2 3 8 3
6 16 Pescara 3 0 3 1.0 2.7 0 0 3 3 8 0
7 3 Frosinone 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
8 9 Avellino 5 3 2 1.4 2.0 1 2 2 7 10 5
9 10 Carrarese 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
10 14 Padova 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
11 15 Catanzaro 4 2 2 0.8 1.0 0 3 1 3 4 3
12 18 Sampdoria 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
13 1 Modena 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
14 2 Palermo 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
15 5 Monza 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
16 7 Venezia 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
17 11 Sudtirol 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 0 4 0 5 5 4
18 12 Virtus Entella 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
19 19 Mantova 4 3 1 0.2 1.0 0 1 3 1 4 1
20 20 Spezia 3 3 0 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38