Modena 1–2 Padova – Italy Serie B, 28 Feb 2026 | BetGPS

Match facts

Modena Padova

12 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 3

13 Fouls 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (262 league matches this season so far).

Result Modena to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.79

Expected goals 1.47 – 0.85

Home / Draw / Away

52% 27% 22%

ModenaDrawPadova

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

56% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.4% 1–1 12.3% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Modena before this match, all matches

1.65points / match

1.35scored / match

0.77conceded / match

12 7 7

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 35:20

Padova before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

1.00scored / match

1.23conceded / match

7 9 10

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 26:32

Modena all matches all matches Padova

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.00

0.77 Goals conceded 1.23

2.12 Total goals 2.23

16.23 Shots 10.88

4.96 Shots on target 3.92

10.35 Shots faced 16.04

5.77 Corners 4.04

4.08 Corners against 5.65

15.58 Fouls 14.73

2.23 Yellow cards 2.65

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

46% Wins 27%

27% Draws 35%

27% Losses 38%

85% Over 0.5 goals 96%

77% Over 1.5 goals 65%

42% Over 2.5 goals 38%

8% Over 3.5 goals 15%

0% Over 4.5 goals 4%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

42% Both teams scored 54%

46% Clean sheets 23%

27% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 15%

35% Draws 38%

27% Losses 46%

69% Over 0.5 goals 77%

19% Over 1.5 goals 23%

4% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Modena all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

L

2

W

D

1

2

L

2

W

2

W

2

1

W

Padova all matches

1

D

1

L

2

W

1

2

L

3

L

1

2

L

3

D

1

W

1

L

1

D

Modena before this match, at home

1.62points / match

1.46scored / match

0.85conceded / match

6 3 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:11

Padova before this match, away

1.15points / match

0.85scored / match

1.23conceded / match

4 3 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:16

Modena at home away Padova

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 0.85

0.85 Goals conceded 1.23

2.31 Total goals 2.08

15.08 Shots 10.00

5.08 Shots on target 3.92

8.85 Shots faced 15.31

4.77 Corners 3.92

3.31 Corners against 5.69

15.00 Fouls 15.85

1.77 Yellow cards 2.85

0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.23

0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

46% Wins 31%

23% Draws 23%

31% Losses 46%

85% Over 0.5 goals 92%

85% Over 1.5 goals 46%

62% Over 2.5 goals 38%

0% Over 3.5 goals 15%

0% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

54% Both teams scored 38%

46% Clean sheets 31%

15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 15%

46% Draws 38%

15% Losses 46%

62% Over 0.5 goals 62%

8% Over 1.5 goals 15%

0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Modena at home

2

W

2

1

W

3

W

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

D

1

2

L

2

W

Padova away

1

2

L

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

3

L

3

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Modena all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.26	Juve Stabia – Modena	1–2 (0–2)	3.20	3.00	2.35	2.40	1.53
14.02.26	Modena – Carrarese	2–0 (1–0)	1.66	3.50	5.25	1.95	1.85
10.02.26	Venezia – Modena	0–2 (0–2)	1.68	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
07.02.26	Modena – Sampdoria	1–2 (0–0)	1.79	3.00	5.50	2.25	1.62
31.01.26	Empoli – Modena	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.20	2.05	2.20	1.65
24.01.26	Modena – Palermo	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.10	3.20	2.10	1.70
18.01.26	Pescara – Modena	0–2 (0–2)	5.00	3.80	1.62	1.85	1.95
11.01.26	Padova – Modena	2–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.10	1.91	2.30	1.60
26.12.25	Modena – Monza	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.05	3.05	2.40	1.53
20.12.25	Modena – Venezia	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.67

Padova all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Padova – Bari	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.00	3.40	2.40	1.53
14.02.26	Sampdoria – Padova	1–0 (1–0)	1.81	3.10	4.33	2.30	1.60
10.02.26	Padova – Carrarese	1–0 (1–0)	2.75	2.85	2.75	2.10	1.70
07.02.26	Juve Stabia – Padova	3–3 (1–0)	1.66	3.40	5.50	2.30	1.60
01.02.26	Padova – Monza	1–2 (1–1)	4.33	3.50	1.79	2.15	1.67
25.01.26	Sudtirol – Padova	3–0 (2–0)	2.01	3.20	3.90	2.30	1.60
17.01.26	Padova – Mantova	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.00	3.30	2.08	1.73
11.01.26	Padova – Modena	2–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.10	1.91	2.30	1.60
27.12.25	Palermo – Padova	1–0 (1–0)	1.46	3.80	6.50	1.95	1.85
20.12.25	Padova – Sampdoria	1–1 (0–1)	2.70	2.95	2.70	2.40	1.53

Modena at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Modena – Carrarese	2–0 (1–0)	1.66	3.50	5.25	1.95	1.85
07.02.26	Modena – Sampdoria	1–2 (0–0)	1.79	3.00	5.50	2.25	1.62
24.01.26	Modena – Palermo	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.10	3.20	2.10	1.70
26.12.25	Modena – Monza	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.05	3.05	2.40	1.53
20.12.25	Modena – Venezia	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.67
08.12.25	Modena – Catanzaro	1–2 (1–0)	1.66	3.50	5.25	2.05	1.75
23.11.25	Modena – Sudtirol	0–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.50	5.50	2.15	1.67
02.11.25	Modena – Juve Stabia	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.30	4.00	2.40	1.53
24.10.25	Modena – Empoli	2–1 (1–1)	1.68	3.40	5.00	2.15	1.67
05.10.25	Modena – Virtus Entella	2–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.40	5.00	2.35	1.57

Padova away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Sampdoria – Padova	1–0 (1–0)	1.81	3.10	4.33	2.30	1.60
07.02.26	Juve Stabia – Padova	3–3 (1–0)	1.66	3.40	5.50	2.30	1.60
25.01.26	Sudtirol – Padova	3–0 (2–0)	2.01	3.20	3.90	2.30	1.60
27.12.25	Palermo – Padova	1–0 (1–0)	1.46	3.80	6.50	1.95	1.85
13.12.25	Reggiana – Padova	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.05	3.30	2.40	1.53
29.11.25	Pescara – Padova	0–1 (0–0)	2.82	2.95	2.57	2.08	1.73
08.11.25	Mantova – Padova	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.25	2.05	1.75
29.10.25	Spezia – Padova	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.25	1.62
19.10.25	Catanzaro – Padova	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.40	1.53
04.10.25	Bari – Padova	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.50	2.25	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Modena winsDrawsPadova wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.01.26I2	Padova – Modena	2–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.10	1.91	2.30	1.60

Italy Serie B table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monza	27	17	6	4	41	20	+21	57
2	Venezia	26	17	5	4	53	24	+29	56
3	Frosinone	26	15	8	3	48	24	+24	53
4	Palermo	26	14	9	3	45	19	+26	51
5	Catanzaro	26	12	8	6	37	27	+10	44
6	Modena	26	12	7	7	35	20	+15	43
7	Juve Stabia	26	9	11	6	31	31	0	38
8	Cesena	26	11	4	11	34	37	-3	37
9	Sudtirol	26	7	12	7	26	27	-1	33
10	Empoli	26	7	9	10	32	36	-4	30
11	Carrarese	26	7	9	10	31	36	-5	30
12	Padova	26	7	9	10	26	32	-6	30
13	Sampdoria	27	7	8	12	28	36	-8	29
14	Avellino	26	7	8	11	30	42	-12	29
15	Reggiana	26	6	8	12	28	36	-8	26
16	Mantova	26	7	5	14	26	41	-15	26
17	Spezia	26	6	7	13	23	34	-11	25
18	Virtus Entella	27	5	10	12	24	39	-15	25
19	Bari	27	5	10	12	23	39	-16	25
20	Pescara	26	3	9	14	30	51	-21	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monza	14	11	2	1	25	9	+16	35
2	Palermo	14	10	3	1	27	7	+20	33
3	Venezia	13	11	0	2	28	10	+18	33
4	Catanzaro	13	7	5	1	20	11	+9	26
5	Frosinone	12	7	3	2	24	11	+13	24
6	Juve Stabia	13	6	6	1	17	10	+7	24
7	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	18	16	+2	22
8	Modena	13	6	3	4	19	11	+8	21
9	Virtus Entella	13	5	6	2	17	13	+4	21
10	Carrarese	13	5	5	3	16	10	+6	20
11	Sudtirol	12	5	3	4	15	11	+4	18
12	Cesena	13	5	3	5	18	18	0	18
13	Avellino	13	5	3	5	18	22	-4	18
14	Empoli	14	3	8	3	19	15	+4	17
15	Reggiana	13	4	5	4	16	15	+1	17
16	Mantova	13	5	2	6	18	24	-6	17
17	Padova	13	3	6	4	15	16	-1	15
18	Bari	13	3	5	5	12	16	-4	14
19	Spezia	13	3	4	6	10	17	-7	13
20	Pescara	13	2	5	6	16	21	-5	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Frosinone	14	8	5	1	24	13	+11	29
2	Venezia	13	6	5	2	25	14	+11	23
3	Modena	13	6	4	3	16	9	+7	22
4	Monza	13	6	4	3	16	11	+5	22
5	Cesena	13	6	1	6	16	19	-3	19
6	Palermo	12	4	6	2	18	12	+6	18
7	Catanzaro	13	5	3	5	17	16	+1	18
8	Padova	13	4	3	6	11	16	-5	15
9	Sudtirol	14	2	9	3	11	16	-5	15
10	Juve Stabia	13	3	5	5	14	21	-7	14
11	Empoli	12	4	1	7	13	21	-8	13
12	Spezia	13	3	3	7	13	17	-4	12
13	Avellino	13	2	5	6	12	20	-8	11
14	Bari	14	2	5	7	11	23	-12	11
15	Carrarese	13	2	4	7	15	26	-11	10
16	Reggiana	13	2	3	8	12	21	-9	9
17	Mantova	13	2	3	8	8	17	-9	9
18	Sampdoria	13	1	4	8	10	20	-10	7
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	14	30	-16	7
20	Virtus Entella	14	0	4	10	7	26	-19	4

Modena Padova

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Venezia	26	9	17	2.0	0.9	17	5	4	53	24	56
2	20	Pescara	26	10	16	1.2	2.0	3	9	14	30	51	18
3	8	Cesena	26	11	15	1.3	1.4	11	4	11	34	37	37
4	3	Frosinone	26	12	14	1.8	0.9	15	8	3	48	24	53
5	7	Juve Stabia	26	13	13	1.2	1.2	9	11	6	31	31	38
6	10	Empoli	26	13	13	1.2	1.4	7	9	10	32	36	30
7	11	Carrarese	26	13	13	1.2	1.4	7	9	10	31	36	30
8	14	Avellino	26	13	13	1.2	1.6	7	8	11	30	42	29
9	15	Reggiana	26	13	13	1.1	1.4	6	8	12	28	36	26
10	16	Mantova	26	13	13	1.0	1.6	7	5	14	26	41	26
11	1	Monza	27	15	12	1.5	0.7	17	6	4	41	20	57
12	4	Palermo	26	14	12	1.7	0.7	14	9	3	45	19	51
13	5	Catanzaro	26	14	12	1.4	1.0	12	8	6	37	27	44
14	19	Bari	27	15	12	0.9	1.4	5	10	12	23	39	25
15	6	Modena	26	15	11	1.3	0.8	12	7	7	35	20	43
16	13	Sampdoria	27	16	11	1.0	1.3	7	8	12	28	36	29
17	9	Sudtirol	26	16	10	1.0	1.0	7	12	7	26	27	33
18	12	Padova	26	16	10	1.0	1.2	7	9	10	26	32	30
19	17	Spezia	26	17	9	0.9	1.3	6	7	13	23	34	25
20	18	Virtus Entella	27	18	9	0.9	1.4	5	10	12	24	39	25

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Venezia	13	4	9	2.2	0.8	11	0	2	28	10	33
2	14	Avellino	13	4	9	1.4	1.7	5	3	5	18	22	18
3	3	Frosinone	12	4	8	2.0	0.9	7	3	2	24	11	24
4	6	Modena	13	5	8	1.5	0.8	6	3	4	19	11	21
5	16	Mantova	13	5	8	1.4	1.8	5	2	6	18	24	17
6	1	Monza	14	7	7	1.8	0.6	11	2	1	25	9	35
7	4	Palermo	14	7	7	1.9	0.5	10	3	1	27	7	33
8	8	Cesena	13	6	7	1.4	1.4	5	3	5	18	18	18
9	20	Pescara	13	6	7	1.2	1.6	2	5	6	16	21	11
10	9	Sudtirol	12	6	6	1.2	0.9	5	3	4	15	11	18
11	15	Reggiana	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	4	5	4	16	15	17
12	7	Juve Stabia	13	8	5	1.3	0.8	6	6	1	17	10	24
13	10	Empoli	14	9	5	1.4	1.1	3	8	3	19	15	17
14	11	Carrarese	13	8	5	1.2	0.8	5	5	3	16	10	20
15	12	Padova	13	8	5	1.2	1.2	3	6	4	15	16	15
16	13	Sampdoria	14	9	5	1.3	1.1	6	4	4	18	16	22
17	19	Bari	13	8	5	0.9	1.2	3	5	5	12	16	14
18	5	Catanzaro	13	9	4	1.5	0.8	7	5	1	20	11	26
19	17	Spezia	13	9	4	0.8	1.3	3	4	6	10	17	13
20	18	Virtus Entella	13	9	4	1.3	1.0	5	6	2	17	13	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Pescara	13	4	9	1.1	2.3	1	4	8	14	30	7
2	2	Venezia	13	5	8	1.9	1.1	6	5	2	25	14	23
3	5	Catanzaro	13	5	8	1.3	1.2	5	3	5	17	16	18
4	7	Juve Stabia	13	5	8	1.1	1.6	3	5	5	14	21	14
5	8	Cesena	13	5	8	1.2	1.5	6	1	6	16	19	19
6	10	Empoli	12	4	8	1.1	1.8	4	1	7	13	21	13
7	11	Carrarese	13	5	8	1.2	2.0	2	4	7	15	26	10
8	15	Reggiana	13	6	7	0.9	1.6	2	3	8	12	21	9
9	19	Bari	14	7	7	0.8	1.6	2	5	7	11	23	11
10	3	Frosinone	14	8	6	1.7	0.9	8	5	1	24	13	29
11	13	Sampdoria	13	7	6	0.8	1.5	1	4	8	10	20	7
12	1	Monza	13	8	5	1.2	0.8	6	4	3	16	11	22
13	4	Palermo	12	7	5	1.5	1.0	4	6	2	18	12	18
14	12	Padova	13	8	5	0.8	1.2	4	3	6	11	16	15
15	16	Mantova	13	8	5	0.6	1.3	2	3	8	8	17	9
16	17	Spezia	13	8	5	1.0	1.3	3	3	7	13	17	12
17	18	Virtus Entella	14	9	5	0.5	1.9	0	4	10	7	26	4
18	9	Sudtirol	14	10	4	0.8	1.1	2	9	3	11	16	15
19	14	Avellino	13	9	4	0.9	1.5	2	5	6	12	20	11
20	6	Modena	13	10	3	1.2	0.7	6	4	3	16	9	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.