Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
AjaxWillem II
21Shots3
9Shots on target0
8Corners1
2Fouls8
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct✓ Goals correct✗ BTTS missedCalculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (126 league matches this season so far).
ResultAjax to win
GoalsOver 2.5
Both teams scoreYesfair 1.86
Expected goals2.49 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
73%16%11%
AjaxDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
34%66%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
3%0
12%1
20%2
22%3
19%4
25%5+
Most likely scores
2–0 10.6%2–1 9.4%3–0 8.8%
Statistics 2021/2022, before this match
Ajaxbefore this match, all matches
2.36points / match
3.07scored / match
0.14conceded / match
1031
WonDrawnLost14 played · 43:2
Willem IIbefore this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.14scored / match
1.64conceded / match
536
WonDrawnLost14 played · 16:23
Ajax all matchesall matches Willem II
Per match
3.07Goals scored1.14
0.14Goals conceded1.64
3.21Total goals2.79
20.29Shots11.50
7.57Shots on target3.50
7.79Shots faced14.21
7.57Corners4.86
2.50Corners against4.71
8.14Fouls9.21
0.93Yellow cards1.57
1.571st-half goals scored0.50
0.001st-half goals conceded0.64
How often Full Time
71%Wins36%
21%Draws21%
7%Losses43%
86%Over 0.5 goals93%
71%Over 1.5 goals79%
50%Over 2.5 goals64%
43%Over 3.5 goals21%
43%Over 4.5 goals14%
7%Over 5.5 goals7%
7%Both teams scored57%
86%Clean sheets21%
21%Failed to score29%
How often Half Time
71%Wins14%
29%Draws57%
0%Losses29%
71%Over 0.5 goals57%
36%Over 1.5 goals50%
29%Over 2.5 goals7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ajax all matches
9
W
5
W
3
W
1
L
2
W
5
W
D
D
5
W
1
W
Willem II all matches
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
5
L
3
L
1
2
L
1
L
Ajaxbefore this match, at home
2.29points / match
3.86scored / match
0.14conceded / match
511
WonDrawnLost7 played · 27:1
Willem IIbefore this match, away
1.14points / match
1.43scored / match
1.71conceded / match
223
WonDrawnLost7 played · 10:12
Ajax at homeaway Willem II
Per match
3.86Goals scored1.43
0.14Goals conceded1.71
4.00Total goals3.14
23.29Shots11.57
8.29Shots on target3.86
7.14Shots faced14.43
7.29Corners4.14
1.57Corners against5.14
8.57Fouls10.43
0.71Yellow cards2.00
2.001st-half goals scored0.57
0.001st-half goals conceded0.57
How often Full Time
71%Wins29%
14%Draws29%
14%Losses43%
86%Over 0.5 goals86%
71%Over 1.5 goals86%
71%Over 2.5 goals71%
57%Over 3.5 goals29%
57%Over 4.5 goals29%
14%Over 5.5 goals14%
0%Both teams scored71%
86%Clean sheets29%
29%Failed to score14%
How often Half Time
71%Wins14%
29%Draws57%
0%Losses29%
71%Over 0.5 goals57%
43%Over 1.5 goals43%
43%Over 2.5 goals14%
Goals in the last 7 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match
Netherlands Eredivisie table 2021/2022, before this match
All matches – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Ajax
14
10
3
1
43
2
+41
33
2
Feyenoord
14
10
2
2
33
14
+19
32
3
PSV Eindhoven
14
10
1
3
34
21
+13
31
4
Utrecht
14
8
2
4
29
16
+13
26
5
Cambuur
14
8
0
6
26
29
-3
24
6
Vitesse
14
7
2
5
14
21
-7
23
7
Twente
14
6
4
4
20
18
+2
22
8
AZ Alkmaar
14
6
2
6
25
20
+5
20
9
Go Ahead Eagles
14
6
2
6
18
23
-5
20
10
Nijmegen
14
5
4
5
19
22
-3
19
11
Heerenveen
14
5
3
6
17
21
-4
18
12
Willem II
14
5
3
6
16
23
-7
18
13
Groningen
14
4
5
5
16
20
-4
17
14
Heracles
14
4
2
8
15
20
-5
14
15
Waalwijk
14
2
6
6
14
22
-8
12
16
Sparta Rotterdam
14
2
4
8
11
21
-10
10
17
For Sittard
14
2
3
9
16
34
-18
9
18
Zwolle
14
1
2
11
7
26
-19
5
Home – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Utrecht
7
6
1
0
22
6
+16
19
2
Feyenoord
7
6
1
0
19
7
+12
19
3
PSV Eindhoven
7
6
0
1
21
11
+10
18
4
Ajax
7
5
1
1
27
1
+26
16
5
AZ Alkmaar
6
4
1
1
16
8
+8
13
6
Heracles
7
4
1
2
10
8
+2
13
7
Cambuur
7
4
0
3
15
12
+3
12
8
Go Ahead Eagles
7
4
0
3
12
9
+3
12
9
Twente
7
3
3
1
8
5
+3
12
10
Heerenveen
8
3
1
4
11
14
-3
10
11
Willem II
7
3
1
3
6
11
-5
10
12
Nijmegen
7
2
2
3
8
8
0
8
13
Vitesse
7
2
2
3
7
12
-5
8
14
Groningen
6
1
4
1
5
4
+1
7
15
Waalwijk
7
2
1
4
5
11
-6
7
16
For Sittard
7
2
1
4
8
19
-11
7
17
Sparta Rotterdam
8
1
3
4
6
11
-5
6
18
Zwolle
7
1
2
4
3
7
-4
5
Away – league table
#
Team
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Ajax
7
5
2
0
16
1
+15
17
2
Vitesse
7
5
0
2
7
9
-2
15
3
Feyenoord
7
4
1
2
14
7
+7
13
4
PSV Eindhoven
7
4
1
2
13
10
+3
13
5
Cambuur
7
4
0
3
11
17
-6
12
6
Nijmegen
7
3
2
2
11
14
-3
11
7
Twente
7
3
1
3
12
13
-1
10
8
Groningen
8
3
1
4
11
16
-5
10
9
Heerenveen
6
2
2
2
6
7
-1
8
10
Willem II
7
2
2
3
10
12
-2
8
11
Go Ahead Eagles
7
2
2
3
6
14
-8
8
12
AZ Alkmaar
8
2
1
5
9
12
-3
7
13
Utrecht
7
2
1
4
7
10
-3
7
14
Waalwijk
7
0
5
2
9
11
-2
5
15
Sparta Rotterdam
6
1
1
4
5
10
-5
4
16
For Sittard
7
0
2
5
8
15
-7
2
17
Heracles
7
0
1
6
5
12
-7
1
18
Zwolle
7
0
0
7
4
19
-15
0
Ajax Willem II
Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match
Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1
3
PSV Eindhoven
14
3
11
2.4
1.5
10
1
3
34
21
31
2
5
Cambuur
14
3
11
1.9
2.1
8
0
6
26
29
24
3
2
Feyenoord
14
4
10
2.4
1.0
10
2
2
33
14
32
4
4
Utrecht
14
4
10
2.1
1.1
8
2
4
29
16
26
5
17
For Sittard
14
4
10
1.1
2.4
2
3
9
16
34
9
6
8
AZ Alkmaar
14
5
9
1.8
1.4
6
2
6
25
20
20
7
12
Willem II
14
5
9
1.1
1.6
5
3
6
16
23
18
8
6
Vitesse
14
6
8
1.0
1.5
7
2
5
14
21
23
9
1
Ajax
14
7
7
3.1
0.1
10
3
1
43
2
33
10
10
Nijmegen
14
7
7
1.4
1.6
5
4
5
19
22
19
11
11
Heerenveen
14
7
7
1.2
1.5
5
3
6
17
21
18
12
15
Waalwijk
14
7
7
1.0
1.6
2
6
6
14
22
12
13
7
Twente
14
8
6
1.4
1.3
6
4
4
20
18
22
14
9
Go Ahead Eagles
14
8
6
1.3
1.6
6
2
6
18
23
20
15
13
Groningen
14
8
6
1.1
1.4
4
5
5
16
20
17
16
14
Heracles
14
8
6
1.1
1.4
4
2
8
15
20
14
17
16
Sparta Rotterdam
14
9
5
0.8
1.5
2
4
8
11
21
10
18
18
Zwolle
14
9
5
0.5
1.9
1
2
11
7
26
5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1
3
PSV Eindhoven
7
1
6
3.0
1.6
6
0
1
21
11
18
2
4
Utrecht
7
1
6
3.1
0.9
6
1
0
22
6
19
3
5
Cambuur
7
1
6
2.1
1.7
4
0
3
15
12
12
4
17
For Sittard
7
1
6
1.1
2.7
2
1
4
8
19
7
5
1
Ajax
7
2
5
3.9
0.1
5
1
1
27
1
16
6
2
Feyenoord
7
2
5
2.7
1.0
6
1
0
19
7
19
7
6
Vitesse
7
2
5
1.0
1.7
2
2
3
7
12
8
8
8
AZ Alkmaar
6
1
5
2.7
1.3
4
1
1
16
8
13
9
11
Heerenveen
8
3
5
1.4
1.8
3
1
4
11
14
10
10
12
Willem II
7
3
4
0.9
1.6
3
1
3
6
11
10
11
9
Go Ahead Eagles
7
4
3
1.7
1.3
4
0
3
12
9
12
12
10
Nijmegen
7
4
3
1.1
1.1
2
2
3
8
8
8
13
14
Heracles
7
4
3
1.4
1.1
4
1
2
10
8
13
14
15
Waalwijk
7
4
3
0.7
1.6
2
1
4
5
11
7
15
7
Twente
7
5
2
1.1
0.7
3
3
1
8
5
12
16
16
Sparta Rotterdam
8
6
2
0.8
1.4
1
3
4
6
11
6
17
18
Zwolle
7
6
1
0.4
1.0
1
2
4
3
7
5
18
13
Groningen
6
6
0
0.8
0.7
1
4
1
5
4
7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1
13
Groningen
8
2
6
1.4
2.0
3
1
4
11
16
10
2
2
Feyenoord
7
2
5
2.0
1.0
4
1
2
14
7
13
3
3
PSV Eindhoven
7
2
5
1.9
1.4
4
1
2
13
10
13
4
5
Cambuur
7
2
5
1.6
2.4
4
0
3
11
17
12
5
12
Willem II
7
2
5
1.4
1.7
2
2
3
10
12
8
6
4
Utrecht
7
3
4
1.0
1.4
2
1
4
7
10
7
7
7
Twente
7
3
4
1.7
1.9
3
1
3
12
13
10
8
8
AZ Alkmaar
8
4
4
1.1
1.5
2
1
5
9
12
7
9
10
Nijmegen
7
3
4
1.6
2.0
3
2
2
11
14
11
10
15
Waalwijk
7
3
4
1.3
1.6
0
5
2
9
11
5
11
17
For Sittard
7
3
4
1.1
2.1
0
2
5
8
15
2
12
18
Zwolle
7
3
4
0.6
2.7
0
0
7
4
19
0
13
6
Vitesse
7
4
3
1.0
1.3
5
0
2
7
9
15
14
9
Go Ahead Eagles
7
4
3
0.9
2.0
2
2
3
6
14
8
15
14
Heracles
7
4
3
0.7
1.7
0
1
6
5
12
1
16
16
Sparta Rotterdam
6
3
3
0.8
1.7
1
1
4
5
10
4
17
1
Ajax
7
5
2
2.3
0.1
5
2
0
16
1
17
18
11
Heerenveen
6
4
2
1.0
1.2
2
2
2
6
7
8
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51