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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 1–1 Ajax

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 6.50 fair 2.84
Draw ✓ 6.00 fair 4.43
Away 1.36 fair 2.37
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.70 fair 2.93
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Ajax
6 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 7
1 Corners 9
9 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.78
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 7.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.36scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:16
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
3.14scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 44:17
Nijmegen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 3.14
1.14 Goals conceded 1.21
2.50 Total goals 4.36
14.93 Shots 19.00
5.29 Shots on target 7.57
13.86 Shots faced 8.64
5.71 Corners 7.86
5.29 Corners against 2.93
10.14 Fouls 8.21
1.29 Yellow cards 1.36
0.43 1st-half goals scored 1.57
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

21% Wins 64%
57% Draws 21%
21% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 93%
29% Over 2.5 goals 79%
21% Over 3.5 goals 64%
21% Over 4.5 goals 50%
14% Over 5.5 goals 29%
57% Both teams scored 71%
21% Clean sheets 29%
36% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 64%
64% Draws 14%
21% Losses 21%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
36% Over 1.5 goals 71%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Ajax all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.86scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:9
Ajax before this match, away
2.29points / match
2.57scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 18:10
Nijmegen at home away Ajax

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 2.57
1.29 Goals conceded 1.43
3.14 Total goals 4.00
16.86 Shots 14.29
6.00 Shots on target 5.71
11.00 Shots faced 11.71
6.86 Corners 5.71
5.57 Corners against 3.43
9.86 Fouls 9.86
1.43 Yellow cards 1.71
0.43 1st-half goals scored 1.43
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

14% Wins 71%
71% Draws 14%
14% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
29% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 57%
29% Over 4.5 goals 57%
29% Over 5.5 goals 29%
86% Both teams scored 71%
0% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 57%
86% Draws 14%
14% Losses 29%
43% Over 0.5 goals 100%
43% Over 1.5 goals 71%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 6–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.50 1.72 2.07
04.11.22 Cambuur – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.402.62 1.98 1.88
30.10.22 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.36 3.10
23.10.22 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 (1–2) 1.953.604.00 2.02 1.83
16.10.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
08.10.22 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.53 2.40
02.10.22 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–1 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.57 2.35
16.09.22 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.70 2.10
10.09.22 Nijmegen – For Sittard 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.72 2.07
04.09.22 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.75 2.05

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 FC Emmen – Ajax 3–3 (1–3) 9.505.501.30 1.40 2.87
09.11.22 Ajax – Vitesse 2–2 (1–1) 1.1210.0015.00 1.28 3.60
06.11.22 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.44 2.70
22.10.22 Waalwijk – Ajax 1–4 (1–1) 8.507.001.25 1.33 3.40
16.10.22 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00
08.10.22 Volendam – Ajax 2–4 (0–2) 11.009.001.18 1.20 4.33
01.10.22 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.22 4.20
18.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
10.09.22 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.28 3.60
03.09.22 Ajax – Cambuur 4–0 (2–0) 1.1011.0023.00 1.16 5.00

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 6–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.50 1.72 2.07
23.10.22 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 (1–2) 1.953.604.00 2.02 1.83
08.10.22 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.53 2.40
02.10.22 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–1 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.57 2.35
10.09.22 Nijmegen – For Sittard 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.72 2.07
26.08.22 Nijmegen – Groningen 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.60 1.95 1.90
07.08.22 Nijmegen – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.85 2.00
15.05.22 Nijmegen – For Sittard 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.502.90 1.65 2.20
08.05.22 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.98 1.88
23.04.22 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 FC Emmen – Ajax 3–3 (1–3) 9.505.501.30 1.40 2.87
22.10.22 Waalwijk – Ajax 1–4 (1–1) 8.507.001.25 1.33 3.40
08.10.22 Volendam – Ajax 2–4 (0–2) 11.009.001.18 1.20 4.33
18.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
28.08.22 Utrecht – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.44 2.70
21.08.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 12.006.001.25 1.40 2.87
06.08.22 For Sittard – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 13.006.501.20 1.36 3.10
15.05.22 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 6.004.751.40 1.40 2.87
08.05.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.72 1.61 2.25
23.04.22 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsAjax wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 15 10 4 1 36 14 +22 34
2 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 1 4 42 20 +22 31
3 Ajax 14 9 3 2 44 17 +27 30
4 Twente 15 9 3 3 26 9 +17 30
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 9 3 3 26 17 +9 30
6 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 4 4 25 16 +9 25
7 Utrecht 15 7 4 4 24 22 +2 25
8 Heerenveen 15 6 6 3 16 13 +3 24
9 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 6 5 23 24 -1 18
10 Waalwijk 15 4 6 5 25 28 -3 18
11 Nijmegen 14 3 8 3 19 16 +3 17
12 For Sittard 15 4 3 8 18 27 -9 15
13 Vitesse 15 3 5 7 18 31 -13 14
14 Excelsior 14 4 1 9 16 37 -21 13
15 Groningen 14 3 3 8 17 29 -12 12
16 FC Emmen 15 2 5 8 13 29 -16 11
17 Cambuur 14 2 2 10 9 22 -13 8
18 Volendam 14 1 3 10 13 39 -26 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 8 7 1 0 21 2 +19 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 25 7 +18 19
3 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 16 2 +14 17
4 Sparta Rotterdam 8 5 1 2 17 8 +9 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 26 7 +19 14
6 Waalwijk 8 3 3 2 18 13 +5 12
7 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 10 8 +2 12
8 Utrecht 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
9 Heerenveen 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 3 3 13 14 -1 9
11 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 8 11 -3 9
12 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 13 9 +4 8
13 FC Emmen 7 1 5 1 8 10 -2 8
14 Groningen 7 2 1 4 12 15 -3 7
15 For Sittard 8 2 1 5 9 14 -5 7
16 Vitesse 7 1 2 4 8 19 -11 5
17 Cambuur 7 1 0 6 3 9 -6 3
18 Volendam 7 1 0 6 7 20 -13 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 0 2 16 9 +7 18
2 Feyenoord 8 5 2 1 20 12 +8 17
3 Ajax 7 5 1 1 18 10 +8 16
4 Heerenveen 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
5 Utrecht 7 4 1 2 16 15 +1 13
6 PSV Eindhoven 7 4 0 3 17 13 +4 12
7 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
9 Nijmegen 7 2 3 2 6 7 -1 9
10 Vitesse 8 2 3 3 10 12 -2 9
11 Twente 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8
12 For Sittard 7 2 2 3 9 13 -4 8
13 Waalwijk 7 1 3 3 7 15 -8 6
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 6 13 -7 5
15 Groningen 7 1 2 4 5 14 -9 5
16 Excelsior 8 1 1 6 8 26 -18 4
17 Volendam 7 0 3 4 6 19 -13 3
18 FC Emmen 8 1 0 7 5 19 -14 3

Nijmegen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 2.8 1.3 10 1 4 42 20 31
2 3 Ajax 14 3 11 3.1 1.2 9 3 2 44 17 30
3 13 Vitesse 15 4 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 7 18 31 14
4 10 Waalwijk 15 5 10 1.7 1.9 4 6 5 25 28 18
5 5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.7 1.1 9 3 3 26 17 30
6 6 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 9 1.7 1.1 7 4 4 25 16 25
7 7 Utrecht 15 6 9 1.6 1.5 7 4 4 24 22 25
8 14 Excelsior 14 5 9 1.1 2.6 4 1 9 16 37 13
9 15 Groningen 14 5 9 1.2 2.1 3 3 8 17 29 12
10 18 Volendam 14 5 9 0.9 2.8 1 3 10 13 39 6
11 12 For Sittard 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 4 3 8 18 27 15
12 16 FC Emmen 15 7 8 0.9 1.9 2 5 8 13 29 11
13 1 Feyenoord 15 8 7 2.4 0.9 10 4 1 36 14 34
14 4 Twente 15 8 7 1.7 0.6 9 3 3 26 9 30
15 8 Heerenveen 15 8 7 1.1 0.9 6 6 3 16 13 24
16 9 Go Ahead Eagles 15 9 6 1.5 1.6 4 6 5 23 24 18
17 17 Cambuur 14 8 6 0.6 1.6 2 2 10 9 22 8
18 11 Nijmegen 14 10 4 1.4 1.1 3 8 3 19 16 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ajax 7 1 6 3.7 1.0 4 2 1 26 7 14
2 4 Twente 8 2 6 2.6 0.2 7 1 0 21 2 22
3 10 Waalwijk 8 2 6 2.2 1.6 3 3 2 18 13 12
4 13 Vitesse 7 1 6 1.1 2.7 1 2 4 8 19 5
5 2 PSV Eindhoven 8 3 5 3.1 0.9 6 1 1 25 7 19
6 6 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 5 2.1 1.0 5 1 2 17 8 16
7 15 Groningen 7 2 5 1.7 2.1 2 1 4 12 15 7
8 18 Volendam 7 2 5 1.0 2.9 1 0 6 7 20 3
9 8 Heerenveen 7 3 4 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
10 9 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 4 1.6 1.8 2 3 3 13 14 9
11 14 Excelsior 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 3 0 3 8 11 9
12 1 Feyenoord 7 4 3 2.3 0.3 5 2 0 16 2 17
13 5 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 3 1.4 1.1 3 3 1 10 8 12
14 7 Utrecht 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
15 12 For Sittard 8 5 3 1.1 1.8 2 1 5 9 14 7
16 16 FC Emmen 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 1 5 1 8 10 8
17 11 Nijmegen 7 5 2 1.9 1.3 1 5 1 13 9 8
18 17 Cambuur 7 5 2 0.4 1.3 1 0 6 3 9 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 7 1 6 2.4 1.9 4 0 3 17 13 12
2 5 AZ Alkmaar 8 2 6 2.0 1.1 6 0 2 16 9 18
3 7 Utrecht 7 1 6 2.3 2.1 4 1 2 16 15 13
4 3 Ajax 7 2 5 2.6 1.4 5 1 1 18 10 16
5 12 For Sittard 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 2 2 3 9 13 8
6 13 Vitesse 8 3 5 1.2 1.5 2 3 3 10 12 9
7 14 Excelsior 8 3 5 1.0 3.2 1 1 6 8 26 4
8 16 FC Emmen 8 3 5 0.6 2.4 1 0 7 5 19 3
9 1 Feyenoord 8 4 4 2.5 1.5 5 2 1 20 12 17
10 6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
11 10 Waalwijk 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 3 3 7 15 6
12 15 Groningen 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 1 2 4 5 14 5
13 17 Cambuur 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 1 2 4 6 13 5
14 18 Volendam 7 3 4 0.9 2.7 0 3 4 6 19 3
15 8 Heerenveen 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
16 9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 5 2 1.4 1.4 2 3 2 10 10 9
17 11 Nijmegen 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 3 2 6 7 9
18 4 Twente 7 6 1 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51