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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior

Full time · half time 5–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.29 fair 1.54
Draw 6.50 fair 5.43
Away 8.00 fair 5.93
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 3.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior
21 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 1
10 Corners 0
9 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 2.38 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 2–0 8.3% 1–1 8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
2.05scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 41:25
Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 20:43
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded 2.15
3.30 Total goals 3.15
15.05 Shots 10.35
6.15 Shots on target 3.15
12.20 Shots faced 17.40
4.80 Corners 4.30
4.35 Corners against 6.40
9.60 Fouls 9.40
1.60 Yellow cards 1.45
1.05 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

60% Wins 30%
25% Draws 10%
15% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
90% Over 1.5 goals 65%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
35% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 25%
5% Over 5.5 goals 20%
75% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 25%
50% Draws 30%
5% Losses 45%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Excelsior all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.78points / match
2.00scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:14
Excelsior before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.80scored / match
2.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:28
AZ Alkmaar at home away Excelsior

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.80
1.56 Goals conceded 2.80
3.56 Total goals 3.60
15.22 Shots 8.30
6.44 Shots on target 2.90
12.56 Shots faced 18.70
5.11 Corners 3.10
4.44 Corners against 6.50
8.00 Fouls 9.80
1.44 Yellow cards 1.90
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

44% Wins 10%
44% Draws 10%
11% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 70%
56% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
11% Over 4.5 goals 30%
11% Over 5.5 goals 30%
89% Both teams scored 50%
11% Clean sheets 10%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 20%
67% Draws 30%
0% Losses 50%
56% Over 0.5 goals 70%
56% Over 1.5 goals 60%
33% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 5.254.501.57 1.48 2.60
28.01.23 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 5–5 (3–3) 1.673.805.25 1.67 2.15
25.01.23 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 1–4 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.75 2.05
22.01.23 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 3–1 (2–1) 1.305.759.00 1.50 2.50
14.01.23 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.85 2.00
07.01.23 AZ Alkmaar – Vitesse 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.505.50 1.60 2.30
12.11.22 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.47 2.60
06.11.22 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (1–1) 4.004.001.80 1.60 2.30
30.10.22 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 2–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.36 3.10
23.10.22 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Excelsior – Waalwijk 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.55 1.73 2.08
29.01.23 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
25.01.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.48 2.60
20.01.23 Excelsior – Volendam 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.802.70 1.53 2.40
14.01.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
08.01.23 Excelsior – Groningen 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 1.60 2.30
13.11.22 Feyenoord – Excelsior 5–1 (2–1) 1.129.5015.00 1.28 3.60
05.11.22 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
29.10.22 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.724.004.50 1.60 2.30
23.10.22 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 5–5 (3–3) 1.673.805.25 1.67 2.15
22.01.23 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 3–1 (2–1) 1.305.759.00 1.50 2.50
07.01.23 AZ Alkmaar – Vitesse 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.505.50 1.60 2.30
30.10.22 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 2–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.36 3.10
16.10.22 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.75 1.72 2.07
18.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
11.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.75 2.05
01.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.66 2.15
07.08.22 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20
15.05.22 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 1–3 (1–1) 1.255.5010.00 1.36 3.10

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.48 2.60
14.01.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
13.11.22 Feyenoord – Excelsior 5–1 (2–1) 1.129.5015.00 1.28 3.60
29.10.22 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.724.004.50 1.60 2.30
16.10.22 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00
08.10.22 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.53 2.40
17.09.22 For Sittard – Excelsior 1–0 (0–0) 1.804.004.20 1.53 2.40
04.09.22 Waalwijk – Excelsior 5–2 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.57 2.35
31.08.22 Twente – Excelsior 4–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.40 2.87
06.08.22 Cambuur – Excelsior 0–2 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsExcelsior wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.22N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 20 12 7 1 45 18 +27 43
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 12 5 3 41 25 +16 41
3 Ajax 20 11 7 2 56 21 +35 40
4 PSV Eindhoven 20 12 3 5 49 25 +24 39
5 Twente 20 10 7 3 32 13 +19 37
6 Sparta Rotterdam 20 9 7 4 30 17 +13 34
7 Utrecht 20 9 6 5 33 31 +2 33
8 Heerenveen 20 7 6 7 20 22 -2 27
9 Waalwijk 20 6 8 6 31 31 0 26
10 Nijmegen 20 4 11 5 24 22 +2 23
11 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 25 33 -8 23
12 Go Ahead Eagles 20 5 7 8 28 35 -7 22
13 Vitesse 20 4 8 8 25 37 -12 20
14 Excelsior 20 6 2 12 20 43 -23 20
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 23 46 -23 17
16 FC Emmen 20 3 7 10 17 36 -19 16
17 Groningen 20 3 4 13 21 41 -20 13
18 Cambuur 20 3 3 14 11 35 -24 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 10 8 2 0 24 3 +21 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 8 1 1 28 7 +21 25
3 Feyenoord 10 6 4 0 21 5 +16 22
4 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 2 2 18 8 +10 20
5 Waalwijk 10 5 3 2 23 14 +9 18
6 Utrecht 10 5 3 2 10 7 +3 18
7 Ajax 9 4 4 1 27 8 +19 16
8 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 4 1 18 14 +4 16
9 Excelsior 10 5 1 4 12 15 -3 16
10 Heerenveen 10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
11 Nijmegen 10 2 7 1 18 12 +6 13
12 FC Emmen 10 2 7 1 11 12 -1 13
13 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 4 4 17 20 -3 13
14 For Sittard 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
15 Volendam 10 3 1 6 13 24 -11 10
16 Groningen 10 2 2 6 13 20 -7 8
17 Vitesse 9 1 4 4 10 21 -11 7
18 Cambuur 11 1 0 10 4 22 -18 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 11 8 1 2 23 11 +12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 29 13 +16 24
3 Feyenoord 10 6 3 1 24 13 +11 21
4 Utrecht 10 4 3 3 23 24 -1 15
5 PSV Eindhoven 10 4 2 4 21 18 +3 14
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
7 Vitesse 11 3 4 4 15 16 -1 13
8 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 9 10 -1 13
9 Twente 10 2 5 3 8 10 -2 11
10 For Sittard 9 3 2 4 12 17 -5 11
11 Nijmegen 10 2 4 4 6 10 -4 10
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 3 4 11 15 -4 9
13 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
14 Waalwijk 10 1 5 4 8 17 -9 8
15 Volendam 10 1 4 5 10 22 -12 7
16 Groningen 10 1 2 7 8 21 -13 5
17 Excelsior 10 1 1 8 8 28 -20 4
18 FC Emmen 10 1 0 9 6 24 -18 3

AZ Alkmaar   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Vitesse 20 6 14 1.2 1.9 4 8 8 25 37 20
2 3 Ajax 20 7 13 2.8 1.1 11 7 2 56 21 40
3 4 PSV Eindhoven 20 7 13 2.5 1.2 12 3 5 49 25 39
4 2 AZ Alkmaar 20 8 12 2.0 1.2 12 5 3 41 25 41
5 9 Waalwijk 20 8 12 1.6 1.6 6 8 6 31 31 26
6 15 Volendam 20 8 12 1.1 2.3 4 5 11 23 46 17
7 17 Groningen 20 8 12 1.1 2.0 3 4 13 21 41 13
8 7 Utrecht 20 9 11 1.6 1.6 9 6 5 33 31 33
9 11 For Sittard 20 9 11 1.2 1.6 6 5 9 25 33 23
10 6 Sparta Rotterdam 20 10 10 1.5 0.8 9 7 4 30 17 34
11 14 Excelsior 20 10 10 1.0 2.1 6 2 12 20 43 20
12 16 FC Emmen 20 10 10 0.8 1.8 3 7 10 17 36 16
13 18 Cambuur 20 10 10 0.6 1.8 3 3 14 11 35 12
14 1 Feyenoord 20 11 9 2.2 0.9 12 7 1 45 18 43
15 8 Heerenveen 20 11 9 1.0 1.1 7 6 7 20 22 27
16 12 Go Ahead Eagles 20 11 9 1.4 1.8 5 7 8 28 35 22
17 5 Twente 20 12 8 1.6 0.7 10 7 3 32 13 37
18 10 Nijmegen 20 15 5 1.2 1.1 4 11 5 24 22 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Waalwijk 10 3 7 2.3 1.4 5 3 2 23 14 18
2 13 Vitesse 9 2 7 1.1 2.3 1 4 4 10 21 7
3 15 Volendam 10 3 7 1.3 2.4 3 1 6 13 24 10
4 3 Ajax 9 3 6 3.0 0.9 4 4 1 27 8 16
5 5 Twente 10 4 6 2.4 0.3 8 2 0 24 3 26
6 8 Heerenveen 10 4 6 1.1 1.2 4 2 4 11 12 14
7 12 Go Ahead Eagles 11 5 6 1.5 1.8 3 4 4 17 20 13
8 17 Groningen 10 4 6 1.3 2.0 2 2 6 13 20 8
9 18 Cambuur 11 5 6 0.4 2.0 1 0 10 4 22 3
10 2 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 2.0 1.6 4 4 1 18 14 16
11 4 PSV Eindhoven 10 5 5 2.8 0.7 8 1 1 28 7 25
12 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.8 0.8 6 2 2 18 8 20
13 14 Excelsior 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 5 1 4 12 15 16
14 1 Feyenoord 10 6 4 2.1 0.5 6 4 0 21 5 22
15 11 For Sittard 11 7 4 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
16 16 FC Emmen 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 2 7 1 11 12 13
17 7 Utrecht 10 7 3 1.0 0.7 5 3 2 10 7 18
18 10 Nijmegen 10 7 3 1.8 1.2 2 7 1 18 12 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 PSV Eindhoven 10 2 8 2.1 1.8 4 2 4 21 18 14
2 7 Utrecht 10 2 8 2.3 2.4 4 3 3 23 24 15
3 2 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 7 2.1 1.0 8 1 2 23 11 25
4 3 Ajax 11 4 7 2.6 1.2 7 3 1 29 13 24
5 11 For Sittard 9 2 7 1.3 1.9 3 2 4 12 17 11
6 13 Vitesse 11 4 7 1.4 1.5 3 4 4 15 16 13
7 16 FC Emmen 10 4 6 0.6 2.4 1 0 9 6 24 3
8 17 Groningen 10 4 6 0.8 2.1 1 2 7 8 21 5
9 1 Feyenoord 10 5 5 2.4 1.3 6 3 1 24 13 21
10 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
11 9 Waalwijk 10 5 5 0.8 1.7 1 5 4 8 17 8
12 14 Excelsior 10 5 5 0.8 2.8 1 1 8 8 28 4
13 15 Volendam 10 5 5 1.0 2.2 1 4 5 10 22 7
14 18 Cambuur 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9
15 8 Heerenveen 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 4 3 9 10 13
16 12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 6 3 1.2 1.7 2 3 4 11 15 9
17 5 Twente 10 8 2 0.8 1.0 2 5 3 8 10 11
18 10 Nijmegen 10 8 2 0.6 1.0 2 4 4 6 10 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38