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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 2–4 Zwolle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 1.94
Draw 4.00 fair 4.46
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 3.83
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Zwolle
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 4
8 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (76 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.89 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawZwolle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.75scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:11
Zwolle before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.88scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:14
Excelsior all matches all matches Zwolle

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded 1.75
3.13 Total goals 2.63
10.50 Shots 12.75
4.38 Shots on target 4.88
13.25 Shots faced 12.13
3.13 Corners 4.25
6.50 Corners against 5.00
8.75 Fouls 11.38
1.88 Yellow cards 2.63
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%
50% Draws 13%
13% Losses 63%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 88%
75% Over 2.5 goals 63%
50% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 63%
38% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
50% Draws 50%
13% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Zwolle all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:5
Zwolle before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:6
Excelsior at home away Zwolle

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.33
1.25 Goals conceded 2.00
2.75 Total goals 3.33
12.75 Shots 11.67
4.25 Shots on target 5.00
13.25 Shots faced 13.67
2.50 Corners 3.00
7.00 Corners against 5.67
7.00 Fouls 12.33
1.75 Yellow cards 4.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

25% Wins 33%
75% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
75% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Zwolle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Vitesse – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.334.00 1.65 2.20
01.10.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.67 2.15
23.09.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
17.09.23 Excelsior – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.35
02.09.23 Heracles – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 2.403.752.70 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
13.08.23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35
28.05.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–2 (3–0) 1.704.334.00 1.40 2.88
21.05.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.60 2.30

Zwolle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Zwolle – Feyenoord 0–2 (0–1) 10.005.751.29 1.36 3.10
01.10.23 Heracles – Zwolle 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.57 2.35
24.09.23 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.08
17.09.23 Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.88 1.65 2.20
02.09.23 Almere City – Zwolle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.15 1.65 2.20
27.08.23 Zwolle – Utrecht 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.752.38 1.62 2.25
20.08.23 Twente – Zwolle 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.008.50 1.53 2.40
12.08.23 Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.75 2.05
15.05.22 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 6.504.501.40 1.40 2.87
11.05.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 1.95 1.90

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.67 2.15
17.09.23 Excelsior – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 2.403.752.70 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
21.05.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.60 2.30
07.05.23 Excelsior – Feyenoord 0–2 (0–1) 9.508.001.22 1.33 3.40
14.04.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.80 2.05
01.04.23 Excelsior – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 5.504.331.53 1.60 2.30
19.03.23 Excelsior – Cambuur 4–1 (4–0) 2.633.602.55 1.85 2.00
05.03.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 (1–1) 3.403.502.10 1.95 1.90

Zwolle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.23 Heracles – Zwolle 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.57 2.35
02.09.23 Almere City – Zwolle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.15 1.65 2.20
20.08.23 Twente – Zwolle 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.008.50 1.53 2.40
11.05.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 1.95 1.90
30.04.22 Ajax – Zwolle 3–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0019.00 1.30 3.50
23.04.22 Waalwijk – Zwolle 0–2 (0–1) 2.873.202.62 2.05 1.75
19.03.22 Twente – Zwolle 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.755.50 1.98 1.88
06.03.22 For Sittard – Zwolle 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.502.55 1.85 2.00
26.02.22 Heracles – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.60 2.02 1.83
12.02.22 Cambuur – Zwolle 3–4 (2–2) 2.403.502.80 1.85 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 30 3 +27 27
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 8 1 0 25 4 +21 25
3 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 32 6 +26 23
4 Twente 8 7 0 1 17 4 +13 21
5 Excelsior 8 3 4 1 14 11 +3 13
6 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 1 3 17 15 +2 13
7 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 2 3 10 13 -3 11
8 Heracles 8 3 2 3 12 17 -5 11
9 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 14 16 -2 9
10 Waalwijk 8 3 0 5 7 15 -8 9
11 For Sittard 9 2 3 4 8 17 -9 9
12 Almere City 9 2 2 5 8 19 -11 8
13 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 7 14 -7 7
14 Vitesse 9 2 1 6 6 15 -9 7
15 Heerenveen 9 2 1 6 10 21 -11 7
16 Utrecht 9 2 0 7 8 20 -12 6
17 Ajax 7 1 2 4 11 16 -5 5
18 Volendam 8 1 1 6 8 18 -10 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 15 2 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 19 3 +16 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 15 2 +13 13
4 Go Ahead Eagles 4 4 0 0 14 3 +11 12
5 Twente 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
6 Heracles 4 3 0 1 8 6 +2 9
7 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 11 8 +3 7
8 For Sittard 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
9 Excelsior 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
10 Waalwijk 4 2 0 2 4 8 -4 6
11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
12 Volendam 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
13 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
14 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
15 Ajax 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
16 Utrecht 4 1 0 3 5 12 -7 3
17 Almere City 4 1 0 3 3 10 -7 3
18 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 1 7 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 15 1 +14 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 10 2 +8 12
3 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 13 3 +10 10
4 Twente 4 3 0 1 9 2 +7 9
5 Excelsior 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
6 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
7 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 5 8 -3 6
8 Almere City 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
9 Zwolle 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
10 Waalwijk 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
11 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
12 Heerenveen 5 1 0 4 5 13 -8 3
13 Ajax 4 0 2 2 6 9 -3 2
14 Nijmegen 4 0 2 2 3 8 -5 2
15 Heracles 4 0 2 2 4 11 -7 2
16 For Sittard 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 1 3 3 12 -9 1
18 Volendam 4 0 0 4 4 12 -8 0

Excelsior   Zwolle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 1 8 3.3 0.3 9 0 0 30 3 27
2 3 Feyenoord 9 2 7 3.6 0.7 7 2 0 32 6 23
3 6 Go Ahead Eagles 8 1 7 2.1 1.9 4 1 3 17 15 13
4 8 Heracles 8 1 7 1.5 2.1 3 2 3 12 17 11
5 11 For Sittard 9 2 7 0.9 1.9 2 3 4 8 17 9
6 2 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 6 2.8 0.4 8 1 0 25 4 25
7 5 Excelsior 8 2 6 1.8 1.4 3 4 1 14 11 13
8 9 Nijmegen 9 3 6 1.6 1.8 2 3 4 14 16 9
9 15 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.1 2.3 2 1 6 10 21 7
10 17 Ajax 7 1 6 1.6 2.3 1 2 4 11 16 5
11 18 Volendam 8 2 6 1.0 2.2 1 1 6 8 18 4
12 7 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 3 2 3 10 13 11
13 10 Waalwijk 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 3 0 5 7 15 9
14 12 Almere City 9 4 5 0.9 2.1 2 2 5 8 19 8
15 13 Zwolle 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 2 1 5 7 14 7
16 4 Twente 8 4 4 2.1 0.5 7 0 1 17 4 21
17 14 Vitesse 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 2 1 6 6 15 7
18 16 Utrecht 9 5 4 0.9 2.2 2 0 7 8 20 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.0 0.4 5 0 0 15 2 15
2 3 Feyenoord 5 1 4 3.8 0.6 4 1 0 19 3 13
3 6 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 4 3.5 0.8 4 0 0 14 3 12
4 8 Heracles 4 0 4 2.0 1.5 3 0 1 8 6 9
5 9 Nijmegen 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 1 2 11 8 7
6 2 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 3 3.0 0.4 4 1 0 15 2 13
7 5 Excelsior 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
8 10 Waalwijk 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 2 4 8 6
9 11 For Sittard 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
10 12 Almere City 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 1 0 3 3 10 3
11 15 Heerenveen 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
12 17 Ajax 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
13 4 Twente 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
14 7 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
15 13 Zwolle 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
16 16 Utrecht 4 2 2 1.2 3.0 1 0 3 5 12 3
17 18 Volendam 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
18 14 Vitesse 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 1 3 1 7 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 4 0 4 3.8 0.2 4 0 0 15 1 12
2 11 For Sittard 5 1 4 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
3 18 Volendam 4 0 4 1.0 3.0 0 0 4 4 12 0
4 2 AZ Alkmaar 4 1 3 2.5 0.5 4 0 0 10 2 12
5 3 Feyenoord 4 1 3 3.2 0.8 3 1 0 13 3 10
6 5 Excelsior 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
7 6 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 3 0.8 3.0 0 1 3 3 12 1
8 7 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
9 8 Heracles 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 2 2 4 11 2
10 13 Zwolle 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
11 14 Vitesse 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 2 0 3 5 8 6
12 15 Heerenveen 5 2 3 1.0 2.6 1 0 4 5 13 3
13 17 Ajax 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 0 2 2 6 9 2
14 4 Twente 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 3 0 1 9 2 9
15 9 Nijmegen 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 2 3 8 2
16 10 Waalwijk 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
17 12 Almere City 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
18 16 Utrecht 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51