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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 3–1 Heracles

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 1.75
Draw 4.00 fair 5.11
Away 4.75 fair 4.32
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 3.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Heracles
26 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 6
0 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (175 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.45
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawHeracles
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 1–1 7.8% 3–1 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.89scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 36:32
Heracles before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.32scored / match
2.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 25:45
Nijmegen all matches all matches Heracles

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.32
1.68 Goals conceded 2.37
3.58 Total goals 3.68
11.58 Shots 11.53
5.21 Shots on target 3.95
17.11 Shots faced 18.32
3.89 Corners 4.58
6.95 Corners against 7.05
9.00 Fouls 10.63
1.68 Yellow cards 1.95
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 1.21

How often Full Time

32% Wins 26%
42% Draws 21%
26% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 95%
74% Over 2.5 goals 79%
47% Over 3.5 goals 58%
21% Over 4.5 goals 26%
16% Over 5.5 goals 11%
79% Both teams scored 63%
16% Clean sheets 5%
5% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 11%
37% Draws 26%
21% Losses 63%
79% Over 0.5 goals 84%
47% Over 1.5 goals 47%
11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Heracles all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.50points / match
2.10scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:15
Heracles before this match, away
0.89points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:21
Nijmegen at home away Heracles

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.33
1.50 Goals conceded 2.33
3.60 Total goals 3.67
12.50 Shots 10.78
6.00 Shots on target 3.78
12.90 Shots faced 18.89
4.50 Corners 4.44
5.70 Corners against 8.67
7.90 Fouls 10.67
1.40 Yellow cards 2.33
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.22

How often Full Time

40% Wins 22%
30% Draws 22%
30% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 100%
70% Over 2.5 goals 78%
40% Over 3.5 goals 56%
30% Over 4.5 goals 33%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 56%
30% Clean sheets 11%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 22%
50% Draws 22%
10% Losses 56%
70% Over 0.5 goals 89%
50% Over 1.5 goals 44%
10% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Heracles away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
14.01.24 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–2 (2–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40
15.12.23 Nijmegen – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.95 1.90
09.12.23 Zwolle – Nijmegen 1–3 (0–1) 2.383.502.90 1.80 2.00
06.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 Twente – Nijmegen 3–3 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.57 2.35
05.11.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–3 (1–1) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Heracles – Ajax 2–4 (1–1) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.70
20.01.24 Heracles – Volendam 1–1 (0–1) 1.734.004.33 1.57 2.35
12.01.24 Waalwijk – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 1.85 2.00
17.12.23 Heracles – Feyenoord 0–4 (0–2) 11.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
10.12.23 Vitesse – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.602.45 1.62 2.25
26.11.23 Almere City – Heracles 0–5 (0–1) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
10.11.23 For Sittard – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.733.804.75 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 0–6 (0–2) 13.007.001.20 1.25 4.00
28.10.23 Heerenveen – Heracles 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.753.75 1.65 2.20

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
15.12.23 Nijmegen – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.95 1.90
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15
05.11.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–3 (1–1) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Nijmegen – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
01.10.23 Nijmegen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.25 1.70 2.10
23.09.23 Nijmegen – Utrecht 3–0 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.62 2.25
26.08.23 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.57 2.35
13.08.23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35

Heracles away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24 Waalwijk – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 1.85 2.00
10.12.23 Vitesse – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Almere City – Heracles 0–5 (0–1) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
10.11.23 For Sittard – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.733.804.75 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Heerenveen – Heracles 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.753.75 1.65 2.20
07.10.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.804.004.20 1.57 2.35
28.09.23 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.295.759.50 1.48 2.60
23.09.23 Volendam – Heracles 2–2 (0–0) 2.803.752.30 1.57 2.35
12.08.23 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
11.05.22 Waalwijk – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsHeracles wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.08.23N1 Heracles – Nijmegen 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.602.75 1.62 2.25
15.01.22N1 Nijmegen – Heracles 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.402.80 2.00 1.85
29.08.21N1 Heracles – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.723.754.50 1.75 2.05

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 2 0 63 9 +54 56
2 Feyenoord 19 13 4 2 52 17 +35 43
3 Twente 20 12 5 3 39 21 +18 41
4 AZ Alkmaar 19 10 5 4 40 20 +20 35
5 Ajax 20 10 5 5 47 36 +11 35
6 Go Ahead Eagles 19 7 6 6 32 28 +4 27
7 Nijmegen 19 6 8 5 36 32 +4 26
8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 7 5 7 25 25 0 26
9 For Sittard 20 6 6 8 21 33 -12 24
10 Zwolle 19 6 5 8 28 32 -4 23
11 Almere City 20 6 5 9 21 37 -16 23
12 Heerenveen 20 6 4 10 31 40 -9 22
13 Excelsior 20 4 9 7 33 38 -5 21
14 Utrecht 19 4 8 7 19 28 -9 20
15 Heracles 19 5 4 10 25 45 -20 19
16 Waalwijk 20 4 3 13 18 38 -20 15
17 Volendam 19 3 3 13 19 43 -24 12
18 Vitesse 19 3 3 13 13 40 -27 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 31 5 +26 30
2 Twente 10 8 1 1 22 12 +10 25
3 Feyenoord 10 6 3 1 26 8 +18 21
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 25 11 +14 20
5 Ajax 10 6 2 2 25 13 +12 20
6 For Sittard 10 5 3 2 16 12 +4 18
7 Go Ahead Eagles 10 5 2 3 24 14 +10 17
8 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 21 15 +6 15
9 Heerenveen 9 4 2 3 17 12 +5 14
10 Excelsior 10 2 6 2 16 16 0 12
11 Almere City 10 3 3 4 12 18 -6 12
12 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
13 Heracles 10 3 2 5 13 24 -11 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
15 Utrecht 9 1 5 3 11 18 -7 8
16 Waalwijk 10 2 2 6 11 19 -8 8
17 Volendam 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
18 Vitesse 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 8 2 0 32 4 +28 26
2 Feyenoord 9 7 1 1 26 9 +17 22
3 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
4 Twente 10 4 4 2 17 9 +8 16
5 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 3 2 15 9 +6 15
6 Ajax 10 4 3 3 22 23 -1 15
7 Zwolle 9 3 3 3 18 17 +1 12
8 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
9 Nijmegen 9 2 5 2 15 17 -2 11
10 Almere City 10 3 2 5 9 19 -10 11
11 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
12 Excelsior 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
13 Heracles 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
14 Heerenveen 11 2 2 7 14 28 -14 8
15 Waalwijk 10 2 1 7 7 19 -12 7
16 For Sittard 10 1 3 6 5 21 -16 6
17 Vitesse 10 2 0 8 7 27 -20 6
18 Volendam 10 1 2 7 11 25 -14 5

Nijmegen   Heracles

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 20 3 17 2.4 1.8 10 5 5 47 36 35
2 12 Heerenveen 20 4 16 1.6 2.0 6 4 10 31 40 22
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 20 5 15 3.1 0.5 18 2 0 63 9 56
4 2 Feyenoord 19 4 15 2.7 0.9 13 4 2 52 17 43
5 13 Excelsior 20 5 15 1.6 1.9 4 9 7 33 38 21
6 15 Heracles 19 4 15 1.3 2.4 5 4 10 25 45 19
7 7 Nijmegen 19 5 14 1.9 1.7 6 8 5 36 32 26
8 3 Twente 20 7 13 1.9 1.1 12 5 3 39 21 41
9 4 AZ Alkmaar 19 6 13 2.1 1.1 10 5 4 40 20 35
10 10 Zwolle 19 6 13 1.5 1.7 6 5 8 28 32 23
11 17 Volendam 19 6 13 1.0 2.3 3 3 13 19 43 12
12 9 For Sittard 20 8 12 1.1 1.6 6 6 8 21 33 24
13 11 Almere City 20 8 12 1.1 1.9 6 5 9 21 37 23
14 16 Waalwijk 20 8 12 0.9 1.9 4 3 13 18 38 15
15 6 Go Ahead Eagles 19 8 11 1.7 1.5 7 6 6 32 28 27
16 8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 5 7 25 25 26
17 18 Vitesse 19 9 10 0.7 2.1 3 3 13 13 40 12
18 14 Utrecht 19 13 6 1.0 1.5 4 8 7 19 28 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Twente 10 2 8 2.2 1.2 8 1 1 22 12 25
2 4 AZ Alkmaar 10 2 8 2.5 1.1 6 2 2 25 11 20
3 5 Ajax 10 2 8 2.5 1.3 6 2 2 25 13 20
4 6 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 5 2 3 24 14 17
5 12 Heerenveen 9 1 8 1.9 1.3 4 2 3 17 12 14
6 15 Heracles 10 2 8 1.3 2.4 3 2 5 13 24 11
7 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 3.1 0.5 10 0 0 31 5 30
8 2 Feyenoord 10 3 7 2.6 0.8 6 3 1 26 8 21
9 7 Nijmegen 10 3 7 2.1 1.5 4 3 3 21 15 15
10 11 Almere City 10 3 7 1.2 1.8 3 3 4 12 18 12
11 16 Waalwijk 10 3 7 1.1 1.9 2 2 6 11 19 8
12 9 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 5 3 2 16 12 18
13 13 Excelsior 10 4 6 1.6 1.6 2 6 2 16 16 12
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
15 10 Zwolle 10 5 5 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
16 17 Volendam 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7
17 14 Utrecht 9 6 3 1.2 2.0 1 5 3 11 18 8
18 18 Vitesse 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 10 1 9 2.2 2.3 4 3 3 22 23 15
2 13 Excelsior 10 1 9 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 2 0 32 4 26
4 2 Feyenoord 9 1 8 2.9 1.0 7 1 1 26 9 22
5 10 Zwolle 9 1 8 2.0 1.9 3 3 3 18 17 12
6 12 Heerenveen 11 3 8 1.3 2.5 2 2 7 14 28 8
7 17 Volendam 10 2 8 1.1 2.5 1 2 7 11 25 5
8 7 Nijmegen 9 2 7 1.7 1.9 2 5 2 15 17 11
9 15 Heracles 9 2 7 1.3 2.3 2 2 5 12 21 8
10 18 Vitesse 10 3 7 0.7 2.7 2 0 8 7 27 6
11 9 For Sittard 10 4 6 0.5 2.1 1 3 6 5 21 6
12 3 Twente 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 4 4 2 17 9 16
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 4 3 2 15 9 15
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 5 2 3 15 10 17
15 11 Almere City 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 3 2 5 9 19 11
16 16 Waalwijk 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 2 1 7 7 19 7
17 6 Go Ahead Eagles 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
18 14 Utrecht 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51