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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 4–2 Sparta Rotterdam

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.13 fair 1.40
Draw 8.50 fair 6.10
Away 19.00 fair 8.18
Under 2.5 3.50 fair 3.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.30 fair 1.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam
18 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 4
8 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (281 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 2.53 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 9.8% 2–1 9.4% 3–0 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.71points / match
3.32scored / match
0.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 103:17
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.48scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 46:43
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches Sparta Rotterdam

Per match

3.32 Goals scored 1.48
0.55 Goals conceded 1.39
3.87 Total goals 2.87
23.39 Shots 13.35
9.16 Shots on target 5.39
8.23 Shots faced 16.29
7.16 Corners 5.42
2.97 Corners against 5.55
7.97 Fouls 9.16
1.03 Yellow cards 1.23
1.32 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

87% Wins 39%
10% Draws 23%
3% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
94% Over 1.5 goals 87%
71% Over 2.5 goals 55%
61% Over 3.5 goals 32%
23% Over 4.5 goals 13%
23% Over 5.5 goals 3%
42% Both teams scored 58%
58% Clean sheets 23%
0% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

68% Wins 35%
26% Draws 35%
6% Losses 29%
87% Over 0.5 goals 71%
48% Over 1.5 goals 26%
16% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
Sparta Rotterdam all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.87points / match
3.13scored / match
0.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 47:8
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, away
1.53points / match
1.53scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:19
PSV Eindhoven at home away Sparta Rotterdam

Per match

3.13 Goals scored 1.53
0.53 Goals conceded 1.27
3.67 Total goals 2.80
24.73 Shots 11.20
9.73 Shots on target 4.87
7.20 Shots faced 18.27
7.93 Corners 4.73
2.53 Corners against 5.73
8.13 Fouls 8.27
1.00 Yellow cards 1.33
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

93% Wins 47%
7% Draws 13%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 53%
60% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 60%
60% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 40%
13% Draws 33%
7% Losses 27%
93% Over 0.5 goals 67%
47% Over 1.5 goals 40%
13% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
Sparta Rotterdam away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.24 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–8 (0–5) 8.004.751.36 1.40 2.88
13.04.24 PSV Eindhoven – Vitesse 6–0 (3–0) 1.0615.0029.00 1.22 4.20
06.04.24 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.60 2.30
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–1) 6.005.001.44 1.48 2.60
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
08.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
03.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (1–2) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
16.02.24 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.20 4.33

Sparta Rotterdam all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Volendam 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
13.04.24 Almere City – Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 (1–2) 2.753.402.55 1.93 1.93
06.04.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.62 2.25
02.04.24 Vitesse – Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 (1–3) 2.703.602.45 1.75 2.05
30.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – For Sittard 4–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 2.05 1.80
17.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Twente – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.93 1.93
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 PSV Eindhoven – Vitesse 6–0 (3–0) 1.0615.0029.00 1.22 4.20
06.04.24 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.60 2.30
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.75 2.05
16.02.24 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.20 4.33
27.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 1.0910.0023.00 1.25 4.00
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
07.12.23 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.30 3.50
12.11.23 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 4–0 (2–0) 1.1011.0021.00 1.22 4.20
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40

Sparta Rotterdam away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Almere City – Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 (1–2) 2.753.402.55 1.93 1.93
02.04.24 Vitesse – Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 (1–3) 2.703.602.45 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Twente – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (0–0) 1.148.5017.00 1.44 2.70
27.01.24 Waalwijk – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.752.70 1.73 2.08
13.01.24 For Sittard – Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.203.10 1.98 1.88
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
02.12.23 Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.602.45 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Volendam – Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 (1–2) 3.253.602.15 1.60 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsSparta Rotterdam wins
5matches
2.20goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.48 2.60
06.05.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.57 2.35
07.01.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.50 2.50
27.02.22N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
03.10.21N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 27 3 1 103 17 +86 84
2 Feyenoord 31 23 6 2 80 24 +56 75
3 Twente 31 19 6 6 59 31 +28 63
4 AZ Alkmaar 31 17 7 7 62 35 +27 58
5 Ajax 31 13 10 8 65 58 +7 49
6 Nijmegen 31 12 11 8 59 47 +12 47
7 Utrecht 31 12 10 9 45 43 +2 46
8 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 7 12 46 43 +3 43
9 Go Ahead Eagles 32 11 10 11 45 42 +3 43
10 Heerenveen 32 10 7 15 51 65 -14 37
11 For Sittard 32 9 9 14 36 55 -19 36
12 Zwolle 31 9 8 14 43 59 -16 35
13 Almere City 32 7 13 12 32 52 -20 34
14 Heracles 31 9 5 17 41 65 -24 32
15 Excelsior 31 5 11 15 46 66 -20 26
16 Waalwijk 31 6 7 18 31 52 -21 25
17 Vitesse 31 5 5 21 25 70 -45 20
18 Volendam 31 4 7 20 30 75 -45 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 1 0 47 8 +39 43
2 Twente 16 13 1 2 33 15 +18 40
3 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 42 10 +32 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 10 2 3 36 14 +22 32
5 Ajax 16 8 6 2 36 21 +15 30
6 Nijmegen 16 8 4 4 33 22 +11 28
7 For Sittard 16 7 5 4 26 19 +7 26
8 Utrecht 15 7 5 3 28 22 +6 26
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 4 5 31 20 +11 25
10 Heerenveen 16 6 3 7 29 33 -4 21
11 Heracles 15 6 3 6 25 30 -5 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 16 5 5 6 23 24 -1 20
13 Zwolle 16 5 3 8 18 29 -11 18
14 Waalwijk 16 4 5 7 19 24 -5 17
15 Excelsior 15 3 7 5 22 24 -2 16
16 Almere City 16 3 7 6 17 26 -9 16
17 Vitesse 16 2 5 9 13 28 -15 11
18 Volendam 15 3 2 10 14 38 -24 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 13 2 1 56 9 +47 41
2 Feyenoord 16 12 3 1 38 14 +24 39
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 5 4 26 21 +5 26
4 Twente 15 6 5 4 26 16 +10 23
5 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 2 6 23 19 +4 23
6 Utrecht 16 5 5 6 17 21 -4 20
7 Nijmegen 15 4 7 4 26 25 +1 19
8 Ajax 15 5 4 6 29 37 -8 19
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 6 6 14 22 -8 18
10 Almere City 16 4 6 6 15 26 -11 18
11 Zwolle 15 4 5 6 25 30 -5 17
12 Heerenveen 16 4 4 8 22 32 -10 16
13 Heracles 16 3 2 11 16 35 -19 11
14 Excelsior 16 2 4 10 24 42 -18 10
15 For Sittard 16 2 4 10 10 36 -26 10
16 Vitesse 15 3 0 12 12 42 -30 9
17 Waalwijk 15 2 2 11 12 28 -16 8
18 Volendam 16 1 5 10 16 37 -21 8

PSV Eindhoven   Sparta Rotterdam

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 31 6 25 2.1 1.9 13 10 8 65 58 49
2 15 Excelsior 31 7 24 1.5 2.1 5 11 15 46 66 26
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 31 9 22 3.3 0.5 27 3 1 103 17 84
4 10 Heerenveen 32 10 22 1.6 2.0 10 7 15 51 65 37
5 14 Heracles 31 9 22 1.3 2.1 9 5 17 41 65 32
6 2 Feyenoord 31 10 21 2.6 0.8 23 6 2 80 24 75
7 6 Nijmegen 31 10 21 1.9 1.5 12 11 8 59 47 47
8 3 Twente 31 11 20 1.9 1.0 19 6 6 59 31 63
9 4 AZ Alkmaar 31 11 20 2.0 1.1 17 7 7 62 35 58
10 12 Zwolle 31 11 20 1.4 1.9 9 8 14 43 59 35
11 18 Volendam 31 11 20 1.0 2.4 4 7 20 30 75 19
12 11 For Sittard 32 13 19 1.1 1.7 9 9 14 36 55 36
13 17 Vitesse 31 13 18 0.8 2.3 5 5 21 25 70 20
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 31 14 17 1.5 1.4 12 7 12 46 43 43
15 16 Waalwijk 31 15 16 1.0 1.7 6 7 18 31 52 25
16 9 Go Ahead Eagles 32 17 15 1.4 1.3 11 10 11 45 42 43
17 13 Almere City 32 17 15 1.0 1.6 7 13 12 32 52 34
18 7 Utrecht 31 18 13 1.5 1.4 12 10 9 45 43 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Heerenveen 16 3 13 1.8 2.1 6 3 7 29 33 21
2 5 Ajax 16 4 12 2.2 1.3 8 6 2 36 21 30
3 3 Twente 16 5 11 2.1 0.9 13 1 2 33 15 40
4 6 Nijmegen 16 5 11 2.1 1.4 8 4 4 33 22 28
5 14 Heracles 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 6 3 6 25 30 21
6 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 5 10 3.1 0.5 14 1 0 47 8 43
7 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.8 0.7 11 3 1 42 10 36
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 5 10 2.4 0.9 10 2 3 36 14 32
9 9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 7 4 5 31 20 25
10 18 Volendam 15 5 10 0.9 2.5 3 2 10 14 38 11
11 8 Sparta Rotterdam 16 7 9 1.4 1.5 5 5 6 23 24 20
12 11 For Sittard 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 4 26 19 26
13 12 Zwolle 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 5 3 8 18 29 18
14 15 Excelsior 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 3 7 5 22 24 16
15 16 Waalwijk 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 4 5 7 19 24 17
16 13 Almere City 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 3 7 6 17 26 16
17 7 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.9 1.5 7 5 3 28 22 26
18 17 Vitesse 16 9 7 0.8 1.8 2 5 9 13 28 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 16 1 15 1.5 2.6 2 4 10 24 42 10
2 5 Ajax 15 2 13 1.9 2.5 5 4 6 29 37 19
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 4 12 3.5 0.6 13 2 1 56 9 41
4 2 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 12 3 1 38 14 39
5 12 Zwolle 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 4 5 6 25 30 17
6 14 Heracles 16 5 11 1.0 2.2 3 2 11 16 35 11
7 17 Vitesse 15 4 11 0.8 2.8 3 0 12 12 42 9
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 16 6 10 1.6 1.3 7 5 4 26 21 26
9 6 Nijmegen 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 4 7 4 26 25 19
10 11 For Sittard 16 6 10 0.6 2.2 2 4 10 10 36 10
11 18 Volendam 16 6 10 1.0 2.3 1 5 10 16 37 8
12 3 Twente 15 6 9 1.7 1.1 6 5 4 26 16 23
13 10 Heerenveen 16 7 9 1.4 2.0 4 4 8 22 32 16
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 7 2 6 23 19 23
15 13 Almere City 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 6 15 26 18
16 16 Waalwijk 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 11 12 28 8
17 7 Utrecht 16 10 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 6 17 21 20
18 9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 4 6 6 14 22 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51