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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.71
Draw 4.33 fair 5.13
Away 4.75 fair 4.54
Under 2.5 2.60 fair 3.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.48 fair 1.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Sparta Rotterdam
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 6
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.48
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawSparta Rotterdam
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 1–1 7.9% 3–1 7.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
2.54scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 33:22
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.15scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:25
Nijmegen all matches all matches Sparta Rotterdam

Per match

2.54 Goals scored 1.15
1.69 Goals conceded 1.92
4.23 Total goals 3.08
15.62 Shots 12.31
6.85 Shots on target 3.92
11.15 Shots faced 17.15
5.23 Corners 4.15
4.00 Corners against 6.77
12.62 Fouls 8.31
1.54 Yellow cards 1.69
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

46% Wins 38%
23% Draws 15%
31% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 69%
77% Over 2.5 goals 54%
62% Over 3.5 goals 31%
54% Over 4.5 goals 23%
23% Over 5.5 goals 23%
69% Both teams scored 38%
23% Clean sheets 31%
8% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 38%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 31%
92% Over 0.5 goals 85%
46% Over 1.5 goals 23%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Sparta Rotterdam all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
2.17points / match
3.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 18:9
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:10
Nijmegen at home away Sparta Rotterdam

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.17
1.50 Goals conceded 1.67
4.50 Total goals 2.83
14.67 Shots 13.33
6.67 Shots on target 4.00
10.00 Shots faced 15.50
5.83 Corners 3.67
2.83 Corners against 7.00
12.17 Fouls 9.00
1.50 Yellow cards 2.33
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 0%
17% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
83% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 17%
50% Over 4.5 goals 17%
33% Over 5.5 goals 17%
50% Both teams scored 17%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
33% Draws 17%
17% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Sparta Rotterdam away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–4 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
02.11.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.25 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40
18.10.25 Nijmegen – Twente 3–3 (1–1) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 2.554.002.50 1.44 2.70
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
31.08.25 For Sittard – Nijmegen 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.15

Sparta Rotterdam all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – For Sittard 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
08.11.25 Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.63 1.65 2.20
02.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
25.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Telstar 1–0 (1–0) 1.904.003.80 1.50 2.50
19.10.25 Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.75 2.05
04.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.60 2.30
19.09.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Twente 1–5 (1–1) 2.803.402.45 1.65 2.20
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
31.08.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord 0–4 (0–1) 3.804.001.83 1.50 2.50

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
18.10.25 Nijmegen – Twente 3–3 (1–1) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
14.05.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.70 2.10
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
11.04.25 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.57 2.35
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95

Sparta Rotterdam away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Zwolle – Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.63 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.75 2.05
27.09.25 Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.60 2.30
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
23.08.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 (0–1) 2.053.803.30 1.57 2.35
09.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 6–1 (3–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 2.88
14.05.25 Utrecht – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.62 2.25
10.05.25 Almere City – Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 (0–0) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
29.03.25 For Sittard – Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.402.15 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsSparta Rotterdam wins
8matches
1.75goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
15.12.24N1 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 1.90 1.95
24.02.24N1 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
01.09.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
28.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
16.10.22N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
19.03.22N1 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.66
17.09.21N1 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.75 2.00 1.85

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 1 1 41 17 +24 34
2 Feyenoord 13 9 1 3 33 16 +17 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 7 3 3 26 21 +5 24
4 Nijmegen 13 6 3 4 33 22 +11 21
5 Utrecht 13 6 2 5 23 17 +6 20
6 Ajax 13 5 5 3 23 19 +4 20
7 Groningen 13 6 2 5 19 19 0 20
8 For Sittard 14 5 3 6 20 22 -2 18
9 Twente 13 4 5 4 21 19 +2 17
10 Heerenveen 14 4 5 5 23 24 -1 17
11 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 15 25 -10 17
12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 4 5 21 22 -1 16
13 Excelsior 14 5 1 8 14 24 -10 16
14 Zwolle 14 4 4 6 18 30 -12 16
15 Volendam 13 3 5 5 17 21 -4 14
16 Heracles 14 4 1 9 22 36 -14 13
17 NAC Breda 14 3 3 8 15 23 -8 12
18 Telstar 13 2 4 7 15 22 -7 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 7 5 1 1 16 6 +10 16
2 Feyenoord 7 5 0 2 15 10 +5 15
3 For Sittard 7 4 2 1 11 7 +4 14
4 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 19 10 +9 13
5 Nijmegen 6 4 1 1 18 9 +9 13
6 Ajax 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
7 Volendam 7 3 3 1 12 8 +4 12
8 Heerenveen 7 3 3 1 15 12 +3 12
9 Groningen 7 3 2 2 11 7 +4 11
10 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 16 13 +3 11
11 Go Ahead Eagles 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
12 NAC Breda 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
13 Zwolle 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10
14 Heracles 6 3 0 3 17 17 0 9
15 Excelsior 7 3 0 4 6 7 -1 9
16 Twente 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
17 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 2 3 8 15 -7 8
18 Telstar 7 1 3 3 12 15 -3 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 22 7 +15 21
2 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 18 6 +12 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
4 Twente 7 2 3 2 12 9 +3 9
5 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 7 10 -3 9
6 Groningen 6 3 0 3 8 12 -4 9
7 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 15 13 +2 8
8 Ajax 6 1 4 1 12 12 0 7
9 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 8 17 -9 7
10 Zwolle 7 1 3 3 12 19 -7 6
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 11 15 -4 5
12 Heerenveen 7 1 2 4 8 12 -4 5
13 Utrecht 6 1 1 4 7 11 -4 4
14 Telstar 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
15 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 9 15 -6 4
16 Heracles 8 1 1 6 5 19 -14 4
17 NAC Breda 7 0 2 5 7 15 -8 2
18 Volendam 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Nijmegen   Sparta Rotterdam

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Heracles 14 2 12 1.6 2.6 4 1 9 22 36 13
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 3.2 1.3 11 1 1 41 17 34
3 3 AZ Alkmaar 13 3 10 2.0 1.6 7 3 3 26 21 24
4 4 Nijmegen 13 3 10 2.5 1.7 6 3 4 33 22 21
5 10 Heerenveen 14 4 10 1.6 1.7 4 5 5 23 24 17
6 2 Feyenoord 13 4 9 2.5 1.2 9 1 3 33 16 28
7 12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 9 1.6 1.7 4 4 5 21 22 16
8 13 Excelsior 14 5 9 1.0 1.7 5 1 8 14 24 16
9 14 Zwolle 14 5 9 1.3 2.1 4 4 6 18 30 16
10 15 Volendam 13 4 9 1.3 1.6 3 5 5 17 21 14
11 17 NAC Breda 14 5 9 1.1 1.6 3 3 8 15 23 12
12 5 Utrecht 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 6 2 5 23 17 20
13 6 Ajax 13 5 8 1.8 1.5 5 5 3 23 19 20
14 7 Groningen 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 6 2 5 19 19 20
15 8 For Sittard 14 7 7 1.4 1.6 5 3 6 20 22 18
16 9 Twente 13 6 7 1.6 1.5 4 5 4 21 19 17
17 11 Sparta Rotterdam 13 6 7 1.2 1.9 5 2 6 15 25 17
18 18 Telstar 13 7 6 1.2 1.7 2 4 7 15 22 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 0 6 2.7 2.2 3 2 1 16 13 11
2 10 Heerenveen 7 1 6 2.1 1.7 3 3 1 15 12 12
3 16 Heracles 6 0 6 2.8 2.8 3 0 3 17 17 9
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.2 1.7 4 1 1 19 10 13
5 4 Nijmegen 6 1 5 3.0 1.5 4 1 1 18 9 13
6 5 Utrecht 7 2 5 2.3 0.9 5 1 1 16 6 16
7 15 Volendam 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 3 3 1 12 8 12
8 18 Telstar 7 2 5 1.7 2.1 1 3 3 12 15 6
9 2 Feyenoord 7 3 4 2.1 1.4 5 0 2 15 10 15
10 9 Twente 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
11 11 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 2.1 2 2 3 8 15 8
12 12 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
13 17 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
14 6 Ajax 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
15 7 Groningen 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 3 2 2 11 7 11
16 8 For Sittard 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 4 2 1 11 7 14
17 13 Excelsior 7 4 3 0.9 1.0 3 0 4 6 7 9
18 14 Zwolle 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.1 2.4 2 1 4 8 17 7
2 14 Zwolle 7 1 6 1.7 2.7 1 3 3 12 19 6
3 16 Heracles 8 2 6 0.6 2.4 1 1 6 5 19 4
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 2 5 3.1 1.0 7 0 0 22 7 21
5 2 Feyenoord 6 1 5 3.0 1.0 4 1 1 18 6 13
6 4 Nijmegen 7 2 5 2.1 1.9 2 2 3 15 13 8
7 6 Ajax 6 1 5 2.0 2.0 1 4 1 12 12 7
8 12 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 1 2 4 11 15 5
9 17 NAC Breda 7 2 5 1.0 2.1 0 2 5 7 15 2
10 3 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
11 7 Groningen 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 3 0 3 8 12 9
12 8 For Sittard 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 1 1 5 9 15 4
13 10 Heerenveen 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 1 2 4 8 12 5
14 15 Volendam 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 0 2 4 5 13 2
15 5 Utrecht 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 4 7 11 4
16 9 Twente 7 4 3 1.7 1.3 2 3 2 12 9 9
17 11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 3 0 3 7 10 9
18 18 Telstar 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44