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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Heracles

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.13 fair 1.41
Draw 11.00 fair 6.53
Away 15.00 fair 7.14
Under 2.5 4.50 fair 4.57
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.18 fair 1.28

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven Heracles
21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 4
12 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (137 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.48
Expected goals 2.88 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.3% 3–1 8% 2–0 6.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.67points / match
3.07scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 46:17
Heracles before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
1.53scored / match
2.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:37
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches Heracles

Per match

3.07 Goals scored 1.53
1.13 Goals conceded 2.47
4.20 Total goals 4.00
17.60 Shots 11.87
7.27 Shots on target 4.40
12.13 Shots faced 17.33
6.00 Corners 4.53
4.47 Corners against 6.33
10.60 Fouls 13.00
1.13 Yellow cards 1.93
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.13

How often Full Time

87% Wins 27%
7% Draws 13%
7% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 100%
73% Over 2.5 goals 80%
53% Over 3.5 goals 40%
40% Over 4.5 goals 27%
33% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
33% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

73% Wins 27%
20% Draws 20%
7% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 40%
27% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
Heracles all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.29points / match
3.14scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 22:10
Heracles before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.63scored / match
2.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 5:19
PSV Eindhoven at home away Heracles

Per match

3.14 Goals scored 0.63
1.43 Goals conceded 2.38
4.57 Total goals 3.00
21.14 Shots 8.75
7.71 Shots on target 2.50
10.43 Shots faced 18.63
7.29 Corners 4.50
3.43 Corners against 7.00
10.43 Fouls 14.38
0.71 Yellow cards 2.38
1.57 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

71% Wins 13%
14% Draws 13%
14% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
86% Over 2.5 goals 75%
57% Over 3.5 goals 25%
43% Over 4.5 goals 0%
43% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 50%
14% Clean sheets 0%
14% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 25%
29% Draws 0%
14% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 13%
29% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
Heracles away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–2) 4.505.001.57 1.30 3.50
30.11.25 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–0 (2–0) 1.109.5021.00 1.17 5.00
22.11.25 NAC Breda – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.751.33 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
26.10.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (0–1) 2.453.802.60 1.44 2.70
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20
04.10.25 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Heracles – Telstar 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.752.90 1.65 2.20
29.11.25 For Sittard – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Heracles – Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 (1–2) 2.703.602.50 1.57 2.35
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
02.11.25 Heracles – Zwolle 8–2 (4–1) 2.403.502.80 1.75 2.05
25.10.25 Volendam – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.903.10 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Heracles – Feyenoord 0–7 (0–4) 7.005.501.36 1.44 2.70
05.10.25 Twente – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.70
27.09.25 Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.60 2.30
20.09.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.60 1.75 2.05

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–0 (2–0) 1.109.5021.00 1.17 5.00
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
30.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Telstar 0–2 (0–1) 1.0812.0019.00 1.18 4.50
23.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Groningen 4–2 (1–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.30 3.50
09.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 6–1 (3–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 2.88
14.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.0712.0029.00 1.22 4.20
03.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.19 4.20
12.04.25 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 5–0 (4–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00

Heracles away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 For Sittard – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Volendam – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.903.10 1.65 2.20
05.10.25 Twente – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.70
20.09.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.60 1.75 2.05
29.08.25 Groningen – Heracles 4–0 (3–0) 1.623.905.25 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Ajax – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.10
10.08.25 Utrecht – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.67 2.15
14.05.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.0712.0029.00 1.22 4.20
09.05.25 Willem II – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsHeracles wins
6matches
3.83goals / match
67%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–1 (4–0) 1.0712.0029.00 1.22 4.20
18.08.24N1 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–0) 13.008.501.17 1.22 4.20
16.02.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.20 4.33
04.11.23N1 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 0–6 (0–2) 13.007.001.20 1.25 4.00
06.03.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
14.08.21N1 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.751.44 1.50 2.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 1 1 46 17 +29 40
2 Feyenoord 15 11 1 3 41 18 +23 34
3 Nijmegen 16 8 4 4 41 27 +14 28
4 Ajax 15 7 5 3 28 20 +8 26
5 Groningen 16 8 2 6 24 21 +3 26
6 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 4 4 28 24 +4 25
7 Utrecht 15 6 4 5 26 20 +6 22
8 Twente 15 5 6 4 23 20 +3 21
9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 2 7 17 28 -11 20
10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 6 5 25 26 -1 18
11 For Sittard 15 5 3 7 21 25 -4 18
12 Heerenveen 15 4 5 6 23 26 -3 17
13 Excelsior 15 5 1 9 14 26 -12 16
14 Zwolle 15 4 4 7 19 36 -17 16
15 Volendam 16 3 5 8 19 30 -11 14
16 Heracles 15 4 2 9 23 37 -14 14
17 Telstar 16 2 6 8 19 27 -8 12
18 NAC Breda 15 3 3 9 15 24 -9 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 8 6 0 2 21 11 +10 18
2 Utrecht 8 5 2 1 17 7 +10 17
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 22 10 +12 16
4 Nijmegen 7 5 1 1 21 10 +11 16
5 Ajax 8 5 1 2 13 7 +6 16
6 Groningen 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14
7 For Sittard 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
8 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 18 15 +3 12
9 Volendam 8 3 3 2 14 11 +3 12
10 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 3 1 12 9 +3 12
11 Heerenveen 8 3 3 2 15 14 +1 12
12 Twente 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11
13 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 2 3 9 15 -6 11
14 Heracles 7 3 1 3 18 18 0 10
15 NAC Breda 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
16 Zwolle 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10
17 Excelsior 8 3 0 5 6 9 -3 9
18 Telstar 9 1 4 4 15 19 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 24 7 +17 24
2 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 20 7 +13 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 1 3 10 9 +1 13
4 Nijmegen 9 3 3 3 20 17 +3 12
5 Groningen 8 4 0 4 10 14 -4 12
6 Twente 8 2 4 2 13 10 +3 10
7 Ajax 7 2 4 1 15 13 +2 10
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 0 4 8 13 -5 9
9 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 8 17 -9 7
10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 1 3 4 13 17 -4 6
11 Zwolle 8 1 3 4 13 25 -12 6
12 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 9 13 -4 5
13 Heerenveen 7 1 2 4 8 12 -4 5
14 Telstar 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
15 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 9 15 -6 4
16 Heracles 8 1 1 6 5 19 -14 4
17 NAC Breda 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
18 Volendam 8 0 2 6 5 19 -14 2

PSV Eindhoven   Heracles

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Nijmegen 16 3 13 2.6 1.7 8 4 4 41 27 28
2 15 Volendam 16 4 12 1.2 1.9 3 5 8 19 30 14
3 16 Heracles 15 3 12 1.5 2.5 4 2 9 23 37 14
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 3.1 1.1 13 1 1 46 17 40
5 2 Feyenoord 15 4 11 2.7 1.2 11 1 3 41 18 34
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 4 11 1.9 1.6 7 4 4 28 24 25
7 10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 4 6 5 25 26 18
8 12 Heerenveen 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 4 5 6 23 26 17
9 14 Zwolle 15 5 10 1.3 2.4 4 4 7 19 36 16
10 4 Ajax 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 7 5 3 28 20 26
11 7 Utrecht 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 6 4 5 26 20 22
12 13 Excelsior 15 6 9 0.9 1.7 5 1 9 14 26 16
13 18 NAC Breda 15 6 9 1.0 1.6 3 3 9 15 24 12
14 5 Groningen 16 8 8 1.5 1.3 8 2 6 24 21 26
15 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 8 1.1 1.9 6 2 7 17 28 20
16 11 For Sittard 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 5 3 7 21 25 18
17 17 Telstar 16 8 8 1.2 1.7 2 6 8 19 27 12
18 8 Twente 15 8 7 1.5 1.3 5 6 4 23 20 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 0 7 2.6 2.1 3 3 1 18 15 12
2 17 Telstar 9 2 7 1.7 2.1 1 4 4 15 19 7
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 1 6 3.1 1.4 5 1 1 22 10 16
4 3 Nijmegen 7 1 6 3.0 1.4 5 1 1 21 10 16
5 12 Heerenveen 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 3 3 2 15 14 12
6 15 Volendam 8 2 6 1.8 1.4 3 3 2 14 11 12
7 16 Heracles 7 1 6 2.6 2.6 3 1 3 18 18 10
8 2 Feyenoord 8 3 5 2.6 1.4 6 0 2 21 11 18
9 7 Utrecht 8 3 5 2.1 0.9 5 2 1 17 7 17
10 10 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 3 1 12 9 12
11 5 Groningen 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14
12 8 Twente 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 3 2 3 9 15 11
14 11 For Sittard 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
15 18 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
16 4 Ajax 8 5 3 1.6 0.9 5 1 2 13 7 16
17 13 Excelsior 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 3 0 5 6 9 9
18 14 Zwolle 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Nijmegen 9 2 7 2.2 1.9 3 3 3 20 17 12
2 14 Zwolle 8 1 7 1.6 3.1 1 3 4 13 25 6
3 2 Feyenoord 7 1 6 2.9 1.0 5 1 1 20 7 16
4 4 Ajax 7 1 6 2.1 1.9 2 4 1 15 13 10
5 10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 6 1.6 2.1 1 3 4 13 17 6
6 13 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.1 2.4 2 1 4 8 17 7
7 15 Volendam 8 2 6 0.6 2.4 0 2 6 5 19 2
8 16 Heracles 8 2 6 0.6 2.4 1 1 6 5 19 4
9 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 3 5 3.0 0.9 8 0 0 24 7 24
10 18 NAC Breda 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
11 5 Groningen 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 4 0 4 10 14 12
12 6 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 4 1 3 10 9 13
13 7 Utrecht 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 1 2 4 9 13 5
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 3 0 4 8 13 9
15 11 For Sittard 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 1 1 5 9 15 4
16 12 Heerenveen 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 1 2 4 8 12 5
17 8 Twente 8 5 3 1.6 1.2 2 4 2 13 10 10
18 17 Telstar 7 6 1 0.6 1.1 1 2 4 4 8 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51