Nacional vs Sp Braga
Home
6.00
fair 2.99
Draw
3.90
fair 4.08
Away
1.51
fair 2.38
Under 2.5
1.90
fair 2.28
Over 2.5
1.90
fair 1.78
Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Our prediction
Result
Sp Braga to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
33%
25%
42%
NacionalDrawSp Braga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Total goals in the match
5%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4%
1–2 8.9%
0–1 8.4%
Statistics 2026/2027
Nacional
this season, all matches
0.50points / match
1.13scored / match
2.25conceded / match
1
1
6
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 9:18
Sp Braga
this season, all matches
1.38points / match
1.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
3
2
3
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 9:10
Nacional all matches
all matches Sp Braga
Per match
1.13
Goals scored
1.13
2.25
Goals conceded
1.25
3.38
Total goals
2.38
1.16
xG created
1.29
1.85
xG allowed
0.79
10.88
Shots
13.50
3.13
Shots on target
4.50
14.63
Shots faced
8.88
4.38
Corners
4.13
4.75
Corners against
2.88
11.13
Fouls
13.25
1.13
Yellow cards
2.00
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.50
1.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.38
How often
13%
Wins
38%
88%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
63%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
63%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
50%
Both teams scored
63%
13%
Clean sheets
38%
38%
Failed to score
13%
0%
Leading at half-time
25%
50%
Trailing at half-time
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Nacional all matches
2
L
2
W
2
2
D
2
W
1
L
2
3
L
2
L
1
3
L
4
L
2
3
L
Sp Braga all matches
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
2
D
1
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
W
D
1
3
L
1
2
L
Nacional
this season, at home
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
2.50conceded / match
1
3
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 5:10
Sp Braga
this season, away
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
1
2
1
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 5:5
Nacional at home
away Sp Braga
Per match
1.25
Goals scored
1.25
2.50
Goals conceded
1.25
3.75
Total goals
2.50
1.59
xG created
1.22
1.38
xG allowed
0.72
13.75
Shots
11.50
3.50
Shots on target
3.75
11.25
Shots faced
8.00
5.00
Corners
4.50
2.50
Corners against
4.00
10.75
Fouls
15.50
1.25
Yellow cards
2.50
0.25
1st-half goals scored
0.50
1.75
1st-half goals conceded
0.75
How often
25%
Wins
25%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
75%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
50%
Both teams scored
75%
25%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Failed to score
25%
0%
Leading at half-time
0%
50%
Trailing at half-time
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Nacional at home
1
2
L
1
L
2
W
1
W
1
2
L
2
W
2
W
2
3
L
1
3
L
4
L
Sp Braga away
1
2
L
2
1
W
1
W
1
W
1
2
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
2
1
W
1
2
L
D
Last 10 matches
Nacional all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | Rio Ave – Nacional | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 19.09.26 | Nacional – Famalicao | 0–4 (0–3) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 12.09.26 | Nacional – Alverca | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 05.09.26 | Sp Lisbon – Nacional | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.17 | 6.50 | 13.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| 30.08.26 | Nacional – Estrela | 2–3 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 23.08.26 | Guimaraes – Nacional | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 16.08.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 10.08.26 | Santa Clara – Nacional | 2–2 (2–2) | 1.86 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 16.05.26 | Nacional – Guimaraes | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 11.05.26 | Santa Clara – Nacional | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
Sp Braga all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.26 | Sp Braga – Gil Vicente | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.56 | 3.70 | 5.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 09.10.26 | Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon | 1–3 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 20.09.26 | Santa Clara – Sp Braga | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 14.09.26 | Sp Braga – Estoril | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.46 | 4.10 | 6.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 10.09.26 | Estrela – Sp Braga | 2–1 (1–1) | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 05.09.26 | Alverca – Sp Braga | 1–2 (1–0) | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.71 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 31.08.26 | Sp Braga – Guimaraes | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.68 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.08.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 2–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.66 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 16.05.26 | Sp Braga – Estrela | 2–2 (1–1) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 11.05.26 | Benfica – Sp Braga | 2–2 (0–0) | 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
Nacional at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.26 | Nacional – Famalicao | 0–4 (0–3) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 12.09.26 | Nacional – Alverca | 1–3 (0–3) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 30.08.26 | Nacional – Estrela | 2–3 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 16.08.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 16.05.26 | Nacional – Guimaraes | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 02.05.26 | Nacional – AVS | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.42 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 18.04.26 | Nacional – Alverca | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 04.04.26 | Nacional – Estrela | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 15.03.26 | Nacional – Estoril | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 28.02.26 | Nacional – Sp Braga | 1–2 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Sp Braga away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.09.26 | Santa Clara – Sp Braga | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 10.09.26 | Estrela – Sp Braga | 2–1 (1–1) | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 05.09.26 | Alverca – Sp Braga | 1–2 (1–0) | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.71 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 09.08.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 2–2 (1–1) | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.66 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.05.26 | Benfica – Sp Braga | 2–2 (0–0) | 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 26.04.26 | Santa Clara – Sp Braga | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 23.04.26 | Casa Pia – Sp Braga | 0–1 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 04.04.26 | Moreirense – Sp Braga | 0–1 (0–1) | 6.25 | 3.90 | 1.51 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 28.02.26 | Nacional – Sp Braga | 1–2 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 14.02.26 | Gil Vicente – Sp Braga | 2–1 (0–1) | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022
1 3
Nacional winsDrawsSp Braga wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26P1 | Nacional – Sp Braga | 1–2 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.09.25P1 | Sp Braga – Nacional | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 21.02.25P1 | Sp Braga – Nacional | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.57 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.09.24P1 | Nacional – Sp Braga | 0–3 (0–0) | 5.25 | 3.80 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 8 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Sp Braga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Alverca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Maritimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 9 |
| 4 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alverca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 9 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Sp Braga | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Arouca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Maritimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Nacional | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
Nacional Sp Braga
Results and odds: football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 11:33
