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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Championship · ·Referee: J Beaton

Hamilton 2–3 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2021/2022

Home 3.00 fair 4.47
Draw 3.50 fair 3.78
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 1.95
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hamilton Kilmarnock
10 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 6
17 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (89 league matches this season so far).
Result Kilmarnock to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.82
Expected goals 0.88 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
HamiltonDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 14.1% 1–1 12.3% 0–2 10.4%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Hamilton before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
0.94scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:31
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.18scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:11
Hamilton all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.18
1.72 Goals conceded 0.65
2.67 Total goals 1.82
10.00 Shots 10.18
3.39 Shots on target 3.59
9.72 Shots faced 8.76
5.94 Corners 5.35
5.17 Corners against 4.47
11.11 Fouls 10.29
2.11 Yellow cards 1.59
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.24

How often Full Time

28% Wins 53%
28% Draws 12%
44% Losses 35%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
72% Over 1.5 goals 47%
44% Over 2.5 goals 24%
17% Over 3.5 goals 18%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 18%
17% Clean sheets 53%
39% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 12%
50% Draws 71%
28% Losses 18%
56% Over 0.5 goals 35%
22% Over 1.5 goals 12%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Hamilton before this match, at home
1.11points / match
0.67scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:16
Kilmarnock before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.11scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:4
Hamilton at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.11
1.78 Goals conceded 0.44
2.44 Total goals 1.56
11.00 Shots 9.67
3.78 Shots on target 3.11
10.56 Shots faced 9.00
5.67 Corners 3.89
5.11 Corners against 4.11
10.89 Fouls 10.56
2.44 Yellow cards 1.44
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 56%
11% Draws 22%
56% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 44%
33% Over 2.5 goals 11%
11% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 11%
22% Clean sheets 67%
44% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 11%
44% Draws 89%
33% Losses 0%
56% Over 0.5 goals 11%
22% Over 1.5 goals 11%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamilton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 Inverness C – Hamilton 1–2 (0–0) 1.664.004.75 2.20 1.65
10.12.21 Ayr – Hamilton 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.202.45 2.20 1.65
04.12.21 Hamilton – Dunfermline 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.45 1.95 1.90
20.11.21 Partick – Hamilton 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.25 1.90 1.95
13.11.21 Hamilton – Raith Rvs 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.70
06.11.21 Hamilton – Arbroath 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.302.10 1.95 1.85
30.10.21 Morton – Hamilton 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.402.30 2.07 1.72
26.10.21 Hamilton – Queen of Sth 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.502.90 2.00 1.80
23.10.21 Kilmarnock – Hamilton 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.804.50 1.95 1.85
15.10.21 Hamilton – Partick 1–6 (0–1) 2.803.402.15 1.90 1.90

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.202.40 2.15 1.66
03.12.21 Inverness C – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.102.90 2.40 1.53
20.11.21 Kilmarnock – Arbroath 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.50 2.02 1.83
13.11.21 Morton – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–2) 4.203.251.95 2.25 1.61
06.11.21 Kilmarnock – Partick 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.253.60 2.07 1.72
30.10.21 Kilmarnock – Queen of Sth 4–0 (1–0) 1.504.204.75 1.85 1.95
26.10.21 Ayr – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.00 2.15 1.66
23.10.21 Kilmarnock – Hamilton 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.804.50 1.95 1.85
16.10.21 Dunfermline – Kilmarnock 2–2 (0–0) 3.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
02.10.21 Kilmarnock – Raith Rvs 1–3 (0–1) 1.703.304.50 2.07 1.72

Hamilton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.21 Hamilton – Dunfermline 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.45 1.95 1.90
13.11.21 Hamilton – Raith Rvs 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.70
06.11.21 Hamilton – Arbroath 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.302.10 1.95 1.85
26.10.21 Hamilton – Queen of Sth 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.502.90 2.00 1.80
15.10.21 Hamilton – Partick 1–6 (0–1) 2.803.402.15 1.90 1.90
02.10.21 Hamilton – Inverness C 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.301.95 2.05 1.75
18.09.21 Hamilton – Ayr 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.253.20 1.95 1.85
21.08.21 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–0) 3.803.301.85 1.83 2.02
07.08.21 Hamilton – Morton 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.95 1.85

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.202.40 2.15 1.66
03.12.21 Inverness C – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.102.90 2.40 1.53
13.11.21 Morton – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–2) 4.203.251.95 2.25 1.61
26.10.21 Ayr – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.00 2.15 1.66
16.10.21 Dunfermline – Kilmarnock 2–2 (0–0) 3.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
24.09.21 Arbroath – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.10 2.00 1.85
18.09.21 Partick – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.05 1.85 1.95
21.08.21 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–0) 3.803.301.85 1.83 2.02
07.08.21 Queen of Sth – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.83 1.90 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hamilton winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.21SC1 Kilmarnock – Hamilton 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.804.50 1.95 1.85
21.08.21SC1 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–0) 3.803.301.85 1.83 2.02

Scotland Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arbroath 18 9 7 2 30 14 +16 34
2 Inverness C 18 10 4 4 26 14 +12 34
3 Raith Rvs 18 9 6 3 27 17 +10 33
4 Partick 18 9 4 5 30 16 +14 31
5 Kilmarnock 17 9 2 6 20 11 +9 29
6 Hamilton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20
7 Queen of Sth 18 4 5 9 19 26 -7 17
8 Ayr 18 3 6 9 16 32 -16 15
9 Dunfermline 17 2 8 7 18 28 -10 14
10 Morton 18 2 7 9 16 30 -14 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inverness C 9 6 0 3 12 7 +5 18
2 Raith Rvs 9 5 3 1 16 12 +4 18
3 Partick 9 5 2 2 12 6 +6 17
4 Arbroath 9 4 4 1 15 7 +8 16
5 Kilmarnock 8 4 0 4 10 7 +3 12
6 Ayr 9 2 4 3 10 14 -4 10
7 Hamilton 9 3 1 5 6 16 -10 10
8 Queen of Sth 9 2 3 4 7 8 -1 9
9 Dunfermline 9 1 5 3 10 15 -5 8
10 Morton 9 0 5 4 10 19 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arbroath 9 5 3 1 15 7 +8 18
2 Kilmarnock 9 5 2 2 10 4 +6 17
3 Inverness C 9 4 4 1 14 7 +7 16
4 Raith Rvs 9 4 3 2 11 5 +6 15
5 Partick 9 4 2 3 18 10 +8 14
6 Hamilton 9 2 4 3 11 15 -4 10
7 Morton 9 2 2 5 6 11 -5 8
8 Queen of Sth 9 2 2 5 12 18 -6 8
9 Dunfermline 8 1 3 4 8 13 -5 6
10 Ayr 9 1 2 6 6 18 -12 5

Hamilton   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Ayr 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 3 6 9 16 32 15
2 9 Dunfermline 17 7 10 1.1 1.6 2 8 7 18 28 14
3 4 Partick 18 9 9 1.7 0.9 9 4 5 30 16 31
4 7 Queen of Sth 18 9 9 1.1 1.4 4 5 9 19 26 17
5 10 Morton 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 2 7 9 16 30 13
6 1 Arbroath 18 10 8 1.7 0.8 9 7 2 30 14 34
7 2 Inverness C 18 10 8 1.4 0.8 10 4 4 26 14 34
8 6 Hamilton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20
9 3 Raith Rvs 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 9 6 3 27 17 33
10 5 Kilmarnock 17 13 4 1.2 0.6 9 2 6 20 11 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Dunfermline 9 3 6 1.1 1.7 1 5 3 10 15 8
2 3 Raith Rvs 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 5 3 1 16 12 18
3 8 Ayr 9 4 5 1.1 1.6 2 4 3 10 14 10
4 10 Morton 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 0 5 4 10 19 5
5 1 Arbroath 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 4 4 1 15 7 16
6 2 Inverness C 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 6 0 3 12 7 18
7 4 Partick 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 5 2 2 12 6 17
8 5 Kilmarnock 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 0 4 10 7 12
9 6 Hamilton 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 3 1 5 6 16 10
10 7 Queen of Sth 9 6 3 0.8 0.9 2 3 4 7 8 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Partick 9 3 6 2.0 1.1 4 2 3 18 10 14
2 7 Queen of Sth 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 2 2 5 12 18 8
3 6 Hamilton 9 4 5 1.2 1.7 2 4 3 11 15 10
4 8 Ayr 9 4 5 0.7 2.0 1 2 6 6 18 5
5 1 Arbroath 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 3 1 15 7 18
6 2 Inverness C 9 5 4 1.6 0.8 4 4 1 14 7 16
7 9 Dunfermline 8 4 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 4 8 13 6
8 10 Morton 9 5 4 0.7 1.2 2 2 5 6 11 8
9 3 Raith Rvs 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 2 11 5 15
10 5 Kilmarnock 9 8 1 1.1 0.4 5 2 2 10 4 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51