Hamilton 2–3 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2021/2022
Home
3.00
fair 4.47
Draw
3.50
fair 3.78
Away ✓
2.20
fair 1.95
Under 2.5
1.66
fair 1.72
Over 2.5 ✓
2.15
fair 2.40
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hamilton
Kilmarnock
10
Shots
14
7
Shots on target
6
3
Corners
6
17
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (89 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kilmarnock to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.82
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
22%
26%
51%
HamiltonDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
58%
42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
55%
45%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
10%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
12%
4
9%
5+
Most likely scores
0–1 14.1%
1–1 12.3%
0–2 10.4%
Statistics 2021/2022, before this match
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
0.94scored / match
1.72conceded / match
5
5
8
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 17:31
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.18scored / match
0.65conceded / match
9
2
6
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 20:11
Hamilton all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
0.94
Goals scored
1.18
1.72
Goals conceded
0.65
2.67
Total goals
1.82
10.00
Shots
10.18
3.39
Shots on target
3.59
9.72
Shots faced
8.76
5.94
Corners
5.35
5.17
Corners against
4.47
11.11
Fouls
10.29
2.11
Yellow cards
1.59
0.33
1st-half goals scored
0.24
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.24
How often Full Time
28%
Wins
53%
28%
Draws
12%
44%
Losses
35%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
72%
Over 1.5 goals
47%
44%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
17%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
11%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
11%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
18%
17%
Clean sheets
53%
39%
Failed to score
35%
How often Half Time
22%
Wins
12%
50%
Draws
71%
28%
Losses
18%
56%
Over 0.5 goals
35%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
12%
6%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton all matches
1
6
L
1
2
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
3
L
1
L
1
W
1
1
D
2
1
W
Kilmarnock all matches
1
3
L
2
2
D
2
1
W
1
W
4
W
1
L
2
W
1
L
1
L
1
L
Hamilton
before this match, at home
1.11points / match
0.67scored / match
1.78conceded / match
3
1
5
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 6:16
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.11scored / match
0.44conceded / match
5
2
2
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 10:4
Hamilton at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
0.67
Goals scored
1.11
1.78
Goals conceded
0.44
2.44
Total goals
1.56
11.00
Shots
9.67
3.78
Shots on target
3.11
10.56
Shots faced
9.00
5.67
Corners
3.89
5.11
Corners against
4.11
10.89
Fouls
10.56
2.44
Yellow cards
1.44
0.33
1st-half goals scored
0.22
0.56
1st-half goals conceded
0.00
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
56%
11%
Draws
22%
56%
Losses
22%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
89%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
44%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
11%
Over 3.5 goals
11%
11%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
11%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
33%
Both teams scored
11%
22%
Clean sheets
67%
44%
Failed to score
33%
How often Half Time
22%
Wins
11%
44%
Draws
89%
33%
Losses
0%
56%
Over 0.5 goals
11%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
11%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton at home
1
L
2
L
2
L
2
1
W
1
6
L
1
W
1
1
D
3
L
1
W
Kilmarnock away
1
W
2
W
2
W
D
2
2
D
1
W
2
W
1
L
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.12.21 | Inverness C – Hamilton | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 10.12.21 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.12.21 | Hamilton – Dunfermline | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 20.11.21 | Partick – Hamilton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.11.21 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–3 (0–3) | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.11.21 | Hamilton – Arbroath | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 30.10.21 | Morton – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 26.10.21 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 23.10.21 | Kilmarnock – Hamilton | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 15.10.21 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–6 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.12.21 | Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 03.12.21 | Inverness C – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 20.11.21 | Kilmarnock – Arbroath | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 13.11.21 | Morton – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 06.11.21 | Kilmarnock – Partick | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 30.10.21 | Kilmarnock – Queen of Sth | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 26.10.21 | Ayr – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 23.10.21 | Kilmarnock – Hamilton | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 16.10.21 | Dunfermline – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 02.10.21 | Kilmarnock – Raith Rvs | 1–3 (0–1) | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
Hamilton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.12.21 | Hamilton – Dunfermline | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 13.11.21 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–3 (0–3) | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.11.21 | Hamilton – Arbroath | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 26.10.21 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 15.10.21 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–6 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 02.10.21 | Hamilton – Inverness C | 2–1 (2–0) | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 18.09.21 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 21.08.21 | Hamilton – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| 07.08.21 | Hamilton – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.12.21 | Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 03.12.21 | Inverness C – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 13.11.21 | Morton – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 26.10.21 | Ayr – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 16.10.21 | Dunfermline – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 24.09.21 | Arbroath – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 18.09.21 | Partick – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 21.08.21 | Hamilton – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| 07.08.21 | Queen of Sth – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2
Hamilton winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.21SC1 | Kilmarnock – Hamilton | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 21.08.21SC1 | Hamilton – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
Scotland Championship table 2021/2022, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 14 | +16 | 34 |
| 2 | Inverness C | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 34 |
| 3 | Raith Rvs | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 33 |
| 4 | Partick | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 20 |
| 7 | Queen of Sth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Ayr | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Morton | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 2 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Hamilton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 10 |
| 8 | Queen of Sth | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Morton | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Inverness C | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Partick | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Morton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Queen of Sth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Ayr | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 5 |
Hamilton Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Ayr | 18 | 8 | 10 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 15 |
| 2 | 9 | Dunfermline | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 14 |
| 3 | 4 | Partick | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 31 |
| 4 | 7 | Queen of Sth | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 17 |
| 5 | 10 | Morton | 18 | 9 | 9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30 | 13 |
| 6 | 1 | Arbroath | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 34 |
| 7 | 2 | Inverness C | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 34 |
| 8 | 6 | Hamilton | 18 | 10 | 8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 20 |
| 9 | 3 | Raith Rvs | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 17 | 33 |
| 10 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 29 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | 8 | Ayr | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | Morton | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | Arbroath | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | 2 | Inverness C | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | 4 | Partick | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | Hamilton | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | Queen of Sth | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Partick | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | 7 | Queen of Sth | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | Hamilton | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | Ayr | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | Arbroath | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | 2 | Inverness C | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | 9 | Dunfermline | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | Morton | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 | 5 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51