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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland League Two · ·Referee: G Calder

Stranraer 5–0 Dumbarton

Full time · half time 4–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.88 fair 3.03
Draw 3.50 fair 3.98
Away 2.15 fair 2.39
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stranraer Dumbarton
15 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 6
6 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (133 league matches this season so far).
Result Dumbarton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
StranraerDrawDumbarton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 9.1% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stranraer before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
1.08scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 28:43
Dumbarton before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.54scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 40:30
Stranraer all matches all matches Dumbarton

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.54
1.65 Goals conceded 1.15
2.73 Total goals 2.69
7.54 Shots 10.27
3.31 Shots on target 4.27
9.04 Shots faced 9.54
5.69 Corners 6.38
4.92 Corners against 5.19
10.08 Fouls 10.62
1.62 Yellow cards 1.96
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

27% Wins 46%
23% Draws 23%
50% Losses 31%
92% Over 0.5 goals 96%
77% Over 1.5 goals 65%
54% Over 2.5 goals 42%
31% Over 3.5 goals 35%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
4% Over 5.5 goals 12%
50% Both teams scored 46%
23% Clean sheets 31%
35% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 42%
19% Draws 38%
54% Losses 19%
81% Over 0.5 goals 65%
42% Over 1.5 goals 31%
19% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stranraer all matches
Dumbarton all matches
Stranraer before this match, at home
1.54points / match
1.38scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:16
Dumbarton before this match, away
1.42points / match
1.42scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:16
Stranraer at home away Dumbarton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.42
1.23 Goals conceded 1.33
2.62 Total goals 2.75
8.62 Shots 10.17
4.15 Shots on target 4.50
8.85 Shots faced 10.25
6.69 Corners 6.58
4.62 Corners against 5.67
9.77 Fouls 11.08
1.69 Yellow cards 2.08
0.62 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

46% Wins 42%
15% Draws 17%
38% Losses 42%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 75%
46% Over 2.5 goals 33%
23% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 17%
46% Both teams scored 42%
31% Clean sheets 25%
31% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 58%
31% Draws 17%
31% Losses 25%
69% Over 0.5 goals 83%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stranraer at home
Dumbarton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stranraer all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Stranraer – Forfar 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.202.80 2.10 1.70
24.02.24 Dumbarton – Stranraer 2–1 (2–1) 1.673.754.33 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Stranraer – Spartans 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.252.40 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Stranraer – Clyde 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.402.70 1.88 1.98
03.02.24 Bonnyrigg Rose – Stranraer 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.752.88 1.88 1.98
27.01.24 Stranraer – East Fife 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.50 1.60 2.30
20.01.24 Stenhousemuir – Stranraer 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.506.00 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Stranraer – Peterhead 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.05 1.93 1.93
06.01.24 Elgin – Stranraer 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.802.15 1.93 1.93
23.12.23 Spartans – Stranraer 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.604.33 1.73 2.08

Dumbarton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Dumbarton – Peterhead 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.25 2.05 1.75
24.02.24 Dumbarton – Stranraer 2–1 (2–1) 1.673.754.33 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Clyde – Dumbarton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.00 1.85 2.00
13.02.24 Dumbarton – Spartans 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.602.90 1.95 1.90
10.02.24 Dumbarton – Forfar 2–2 (2–1) 1.623.604.50 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.503.60 1.75 2.05
27.01.24 Elgin – Dumbarton 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.301.85 1.88 1.98
13.01.24 Bonnyrigg Rose – Dumbarton 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.30 1.90 1.95
09.01.24 Peterhead – Dumbarton 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.60 1.60 2.30
06.01.24 Dumbarton – East Fife 1–2 (0–1) 1.833.603.75 1.93 1.93

Stranraer at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Stranraer – Forfar 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.202.80 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Stranraer – Spartans 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.252.40 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Stranraer – Clyde 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.402.70 1.88 1.98
27.01.24 Stranraer – East Fife 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.50 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Stranraer – Peterhead 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.05 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Stranraer – Bonnyrigg Rose 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.752.80 1.93 1.93
18.11.23 Stranraer – Stenhousemuir 0–3 (0–2) 3.253.802.00 1.67 2.15
04.11.23 Stranraer – Elgin 3–1 (2–0) 1.703.504.50 1.85 2.00
07.10.23 Stranraer – Spartans 3–4 (1–2) 2.603.502.30 1.98 1.88
23.09.23 Stranraer – Forfar 0–2 (0–2) 2.303.303.10 2.03 1.83

Dumbarton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Clyde – Dumbarton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.00 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.503.60 1.75 2.05
27.01.24 Elgin – Dumbarton 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.301.85 1.88 1.98
13.01.24 Bonnyrigg Rose – Dumbarton 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.30 1.90 1.95
09.01.24 Peterhead – Dumbarton 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.60 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Forfar – Dumbarton 2–4 (2–3) 3.003.402.15 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 East Fife – Dumbarton 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.202.15 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Spartans – Dumbarton 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.402.88 1.85 2.00
07.10.23 Clyde – Dumbarton 0–4 (0–2) 4.003.301.95 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Elgin – Dumbarton 2–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.00 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stranraer winsDrawsDumbarton wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24SC3 Dumbarton – Stranraer 2–1 (2–1) 1.673.754.33 1.88 1.98
30.09.23SC3 Dumbarton – Stranraer 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.404.20 1.85 1.95
06.05.23SC3 Dumbarton – Stranraer 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.502.88 1.67 2.15
04.03.23SC3 Stranraer – Dumbarton 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.00 1.70 2.10
05.11.22SC3 Dumbarton – Stranraer 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.403.20 1.70 2.10
20.09.22SC3 Stranraer – Dumbarton 3–2 (0–0) 3.603.401.95 1.75 2.05

Scotland League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 27 18 6 3 45 24 +21 60
2 Peterhead 27 12 7 8 42 30 +12 43
3 Spartans 26 12 7 7 41 30 +11 43
4 Dumbarton 26 12 6 8 40 30 +10 42
5 East Fife 27 8 9 10 35 34 +1 33
6 Forfar 27 6 13 8 29 32 -3 31
7 Bonnyrigg Rose 26 7 8 11 32 35 -3 29
8 Elgin 27 8 5 14 25 46 -21 29
9 Stranraer 26 7 6 13 28 43 -15 27
10 Clyde 27 5 9 13 35 48 -13 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 13 9 2 2 24 16 +8 29
2 Dumbarton 14 7 4 3 23 14 +9 25
3 Peterhead 13 7 3 3 22 11 +11 24
4 Elgin 13 7 3 3 16 13 +3 24
5 Stranraer 13 6 2 5 18 16 +2 20
6 Spartans 14 5 4 5 19 18 +1 19
7 Bonnyrigg Rose 13 4 5 4 18 15 +3 17
8 Clyde 14 4 3 7 15 25 -10 15
9 East Fife 13 3 5 5 16 18 -2 14
10 Forfar 13 2 7 4 15 20 -5 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 14 9 4 1 21 8 +13 31
2 Spartans 12 7 3 2 22 12 +10 24
3 East Fife 14 5 4 5 19 16 +3 19
4 Peterhead 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19
5 Forfar 14 4 6 4 14 12 +2 18
6 Dumbarton 12 5 2 5 17 16 +1 17
7 Bonnyrigg Rose 13 3 3 7 14 20 -6 12
8 Clyde 13 1 6 6 20 23 -3 9
9 Stranraer 13 1 4 8 10 27 -17 7
10 Elgin 14 1 2 11 9 33 -24 5

Stranraer   Dumbarton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Peterhead 27 12 15 1.6 1.1 12 7 8 42 30 43
2 3 Spartans 26 11 15 1.6 1.2 12 7 7 41 30 43
3 10 Clyde 27 12 15 1.3 1.8 5 9 13 35 48 24
4 8 Elgin 27 13 14 0.9 1.7 8 5 14 25 46 29
5 9 Stranraer 26 12 14 1.1 1.7 7 6 13 28 43 27
6 1 Stenhousemuir 27 15 12 1.7 0.9 18 6 3 45 24 60
7 5 East Fife 27 15 12 1.3 1.3 8 9 10 35 34 33
8 4 Dumbarton 26 15 11 1.5 1.2 12 6 8 40 30 42
9 6 Forfar 27 16 11 1.1 1.2 6 13 8 29 32 31
10 7 Bonnyrigg Rose 26 15 11 1.2 1.3 7 8 11 32 35 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Clyde 14 5 9 1.1 1.8 4 3 7 15 25 15
2 3 Spartans 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 5 4 5 19 18 19
3 1 Stenhousemuir 13 6 7 1.8 1.2 9 2 2 24 16 29
4 2 Peterhead 13 6 7 1.7 0.8 7 3 3 22 11 24
5 4 Dumbarton 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 7 4 3 23 14 25
6 6 Forfar 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 2 7 4 15 20 13
7 5 East Fife 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 5 16 18 14
8 9 Stranraer 13 7 6 1.4 1.2 6 2 5 18 16 20
9 8 Elgin 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 3 3 16 13 24
10 7 Bonnyrigg Rose 13 10 3 1.4 1.2 4 5 4 18 15 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Elgin 14 5 9 0.6 2.4 1 2 11 9 33 5
2 2 Peterhead 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19
3 7 Bonnyrigg Rose 13 5 8 1.1 1.5 3 3 7 14 20 12
4 9 Stranraer 13 5 8 0.8 2.1 1 4 8 10 27 7
5 3 Spartans 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 2 22 12 24
6 5 East Fife 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 16 19
7 10 Clyde 13 7 6 1.5 1.8 1 6 6 20 23 9
8 1 Stenhousemuir 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 9 4 1 21 8 31
9 4 Dumbarton 12 8 4 1.4 1.3 5 2 5 17 16 17
10 6 Forfar 14 10 4 1.0 0.9 4 6 4 14 12 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51