Kilmarnock 2–1 Aberdeen
Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
3.00
fair 2.40
Draw
3.50
fair 4.16
Away
2.30
fair 2.91
Under 2.5
1.73
fair 2.42
Over 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 1.71
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
17
Shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
2
Corners
6
12
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (105 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kilmarnock to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.64
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
42%
24%
34%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
41%
59%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
39%
61%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
22%
2
22%
3
17%
4
19%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11%
2–1 8.8%
1–2 7.9%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.83scored / match
1.78conceded / match
4
4
10
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 15:32
Aberdeen
before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.78scored / match
1.67conceded / match
8
1
9
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 32:30
Kilmarnock all matches
all matches Aberdeen
Per match
0.83
Goals scored
1.78
1.78
Goals conceded
1.67
2.61
Total goals
3.44
10.83
Shots
11.78
2.83
Shots on target
4.17
12.83
Shots faced
15.11
4.33
Corners
4.33
5.44
Corners against
6.00
13.06
Fouls
9.78
2.17
Yellow cards
1.83
0.28
1st-half goals scored
0.83
1.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.67
How often Full Time
22%
Wins
44%
22%
Draws
6%
56%
Losses
50%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
61%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
39%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
17%
Over 4.5 goals
39%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
44%
Both teams scored
61%
17%
Clean sheets
22%
44%
Failed to score
17%
How often Half Time
17%
Wins
33%
28%
Draws
44%
56%
Losses
22%
72%
Over 0.5 goals
78%
28%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
22%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock all matches
2
1
W
2
2
D
D
1
W
1
L
2
3
L
4
L
1
W
1
3
L
2
2
D
Aberdeen all matches
4
L
2
W
2
1
W
1
4
L
4
1
W
1
2
L
1
W
1
L
2
3
L
1
3
L
Kilmarnock
before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.38scored / match
1.63conceded / match
4
2
2
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 11:13
Aberdeen
before this match, away
0.78points / match
0.89scored / match
2.22conceded / match
2
1
6
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 8:20
Kilmarnock at home
away Aberdeen
Per match
1.38
Goals scored
0.89
1.63
Goals conceded
2.22
3.00
Total goals
3.11
13.25
Shots
10.78
3.88
Shots on target
3.67
12.25
Shots faced
16.67
4.38
Corners
4.56
5.00
Corners against
7.11
13.88
Fouls
10.33
2.13
Yellow cards
2.00
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.75
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
50%
Wins
22%
25%
Draws
11%
25%
Losses
67%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
63%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
38%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
25%
Over 4.5 goals
11%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
63%
Both teams scored
67%
25%
Clean sheets
11%
13%
Failed to score
22%
How often Half Time
38%
Wins
11%
25%
Draws
44%
38%
Losses
44%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
78%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kilmarnock at home
2
W
2
1
W
1
1
D
5
L
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
W
2
3
L
1
W
Aberdeen away
1
L
2
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
3
L
4
L
2
1
W
1
4
L
1
2
L
1
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.12.22 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 17.12.22 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 12.11.22 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 09.11.22 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (3–0) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 04.11.22 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 2–3 (2–1) | 2.70 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 29.10.22 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 22.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 09.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 05.10.22 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
Aberdeen all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.12.22 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 20.12.22 | Aberdeen – Rangers | 2–3 (1–1) | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 17.12.22 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 0–1 (0–0) | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 12.11.22 | Aberdeen – Dundee United | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.22 | Livingston – Aberdeen | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 04.11.22 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 4–1 (1–0) | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 29.10.22 | Rangers – Aberdeen | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| 22.10.22 | Motherwell – Aberdeen | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 16.10.22 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 08.10.22 | Dundee United – Aberdeen | 4–0 (2–0) | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Kilmarnock at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 04.11.22 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 2–3 (2–1) | 2.70 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 22.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 09.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 05.10.22 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 27.08.22 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 14.08.22 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 0–5 (0–3) | 17.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 30.07.22 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 22.04.22SC1 | Kilmarnock – Arbroath | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 09.04.22SC1 | Kilmarnock – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
Aberdeen away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.12.22 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 08.11.22 | Livingston – Aberdeen | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | Rangers – Aberdeen | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| 22.10.22 | Motherwell – Aberdeen | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 08.10.22 | Dundee United – Aberdeen | 4–0 (2–0) | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 17.09.22 | Hibernian – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 03.09.22 | Ross County – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 20.08.22 | St Johnstone – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 31.07.22 | Celtic – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| 11.05.22 | St Johnstone – Aberdeen | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1
Kilmarnock winsDrawsAberdeen wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.10.22SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 15 | +42 | 51 |
| 2 | Rangers | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 18 | +23 | 42 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 25 |
| 4 | Hearts | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 25 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Livingston | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 16 |
| 11 | Ross County | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Dundee United | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 7 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Livingston | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | +21 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 5 | Hearts | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Livingston | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 7 | Ross County | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 3 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 2 |
Kilmarnock Aberdeen
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 18 | 4 | 14 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 15 | 51 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | 3 | Aberdeen | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 25 |
| 4 | 5 | St Johnstone | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 26 | 24 |
| 5 | 4 | Hearts | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 25 |
| 6 | 9 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | 18 |
| 7 | 6 | St Mirren | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 24 |
| 8 | 12 | Dundee United | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | Hibernian | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | 8 | Livingston | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 23 |
| 11 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 9 | 9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 16 |
| 12 | 11 | Ross County | 18 | 10 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 27 |
| 2 | 4 | Hearts | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | 3 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | Dundee United | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | Hibernian | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | Ross County | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | St Mirren | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 11 | 8 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | 5 | St Johnstone | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | St Johnstone | 10 | 1 | 9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | 3 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | St Mirren | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | Livingston | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | Hearts | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | Hibernian | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | Dundee United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | Ross County | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51