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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Valencia 1–0 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.20 fair 3.15
Draw 3.50 fair 3.89
Away 2.20 fair 2.35
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Valencia Real Madrid
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 9
13 Fouls 4
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (348 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.9% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Valencia before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.12scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 38:41
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
2.06scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 70:32
Valencia all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 2.06
1.21 Goals conceded 0.94
2.32 Total goals 3.00
12.68 Shots 17.85
3.85 Shots on target 6.21
10.74 Shots faced 10.88
6.06 Corners 6.06
4.62 Corners against 3.94
13.41 Fouls 9.74
2.50 Yellow cards 1.85
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.97
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

29% Wins 65%
21% Draws 15%
50% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
68% Over 1.5 goals 85%
47% Over 2.5 goals 56%
12% Over 3.5 goals 35%
3% Over 4.5 goals 21%
3% Over 5.5 goals 9%
50% Both teams scored 56%
18% Clean sheets 38%
32% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 41%
50% Draws 50%
24% Losses 9%
59% Over 0.5 goals 68%
18% Over 1.5 goals 41%
6% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valencia all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Valencia before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.41scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:17
Real Madrid before this match, away
1.82points / match
1.71scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:18
Valencia at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.71
1.00 Goals conceded 1.06
2.41 Total goals 2.76
13.88 Shots 16.29
4.47 Shots on target 5.47
8.71 Shots faced 12.29
7.00 Corners 5.65
3.47 Corners against 4.94
13.18 Fouls 9.41
2.76 Yellow cards 2.06
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

41% Wins 59%
24% Draws 6%
35% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
65% Over 1.5 goals 82%
47% Over 2.5 goals 53%
18% Over 3.5 goals 24%
6% Over 4.5 goals 18%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 47%
29% Clean sheets 41%
24% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
53% Draws 53%
18% Losses 18%
53% Over 0.5 goals 65%
18% Over 1.5 goals 35%
12% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valencia at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Valencia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.23 Celta – Valencia 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.67
03.05.23 Valencia – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 1.89 2.01
30.04.23 Cadiz – Valencia 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
27.04.23 Valencia – Valladolid 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.75 1.94 1.96
23.04.23 Elche – Valencia 0–2 (0–2) 4.333.501.85 2.20 1.67
16.04.23 Valencia – Sevilla 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.30 1.62
09.04.23 Almeria – Valencia 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
03.04.23 Valencia – Vallecano 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.203.80 2.38 1.57
18.03.23 Ath Madrid – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 2.10 1.73
11.03.23 Valencia – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.50 1.53

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Real Madrid – Getafe 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.96 1.94
02.05.23 Sociedad – Real Madrid 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.80 2.08 1.82
29.04.23 Real Madrid – Almeria 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.30 3.50
25.04.23 Girona – Real Madrid 4–2 (2–1) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
22.04.23 Real Madrid – Celta 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.57 2.38
15.04.23 Cadiz – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 5.754.201.55 1.80 2.00
08.04.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
02.04.23 Real Madrid – Valladolid 6–0 (4–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 3.00
19.03.23 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.25 1.88 2.02
11.03.23 Real Madrid – Espanol 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.509.50 1.62 2.30

Valencia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.23 Valencia – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 1.89 2.01
27.04.23 Valencia – Valladolid 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.75 1.94 1.96
16.04.23 Valencia – Sevilla 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.30 1.62
03.04.23 Valencia – Vallecano 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.203.80 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Valencia – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.50 1.53
25.02.23 Valencia – Sociedad 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.102.50 2.38 1.57
11.02.23 Valencia – Ath Bilbao 1–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.67
23.01.23 Valencia – Almeria 2–2 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.88 2.02
06.01.23 Valencia – Cadiz 0–1 (0–1) 1.574.005.75 1.93 1.97
10.11.22 Valencia – Betis 3–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.72

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.23 Sociedad – Real Madrid 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.80 2.08 1.82
25.04.23 Girona – Real Madrid 4–2 (2–1) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
15.04.23 Cadiz – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 5.754.201.55 1.80 2.00
19.03.23 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.25 1.88 2.02
05.03.23 Betis – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.88 2.02
18.02.23 Osasuna – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.601.80 2.07 1.83
05.02.23 Mallorca – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 5.003.501.73 2.20 1.67
22.01.23 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.88 2.02
07.01.23 Villarreal – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.62 2.30
30.12.22 Valladolid – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.751.45 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Valencia winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.23SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
08.01.22SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–1 (1–0) 1.375.008.00 1.57 2.37
19.09.21SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.801.90 1.72 2.10

Spain La Liga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 35 27 4 4 65 15 +50 85
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 6 7 63 27 +36 72
3 Real Madrid 34 22 5 7 70 32 +38 71
4 Sociedad 35 19 8 8 47 32 +15 65
5 Villarreal 35 18 6 11 54 36 +18 60
6 Betis 34 16 7 11 43 38 +5 55
7 Ath Bilbao 35 14 8 13 46 39 +7 50
8 Girona 35 13 9 13 55 50 +5 48
9 Sevilla 34 13 8 13 44 49 -5 47
10 Osasuna 35 13 8 14 32 39 -7 47
11 Vallecano 35 12 10 13 42 47 -5 46
12 Mallorca 35 12 8 15 33 40 -7 44
13 Celta 35 10 9 16 40 50 -10 39
14 Almeria 35 11 6 18 46 61 -15 39
15 Cadiz 35 9 11 15 28 50 -22 38
16 Valencia 34 10 7 17 38 41 -3 37
17 Getafe 35 8 11 16 31 44 -13 35
18 Valladolid 35 10 5 20 30 62 -32 35
19 Espanol 35 8 10 17 44 61 -17 34
20 Elche 35 4 8 23 27 65 -38 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 14 3 1 34 4 +30 45
2 Real Madrid 17 12 4 1 41 14 +27 40
3 Ath Madrid 18 12 3 3 39 14 +25 39
4 Villarreal 17 11 2 4 32 16 +16 35
5 Girona 18 10 3 5 34 24 +10 33
6 Sociedad 17 9 5 3 23 15 +8 32
7 Almeria 18 10 2 6 29 22 +7 32
8 Betis 17 9 4 4 25 16 +9 31
9 Mallorca 17 8 5 4 18 12 +6 29
10 Vallecano 18 8 5 5 26 21 +5 29
11 Osasuna 17 9 1 7 20 20 0 28
12 Ath Bilbao 18 8 3 7 22 14 +8 27
13 Valencia 17 7 4 6 24 17 +7 25
14 Sevilla 17 7 4 6 23 23 0 25
15 Getafe 18 6 6 6 19 19 0 24
16 Cadiz 18 6 6 6 18 23 -5 24
17 Valladolid 17 7 3 7 18 24 -6 24
18 Celta 17 6 5 6 23 19 +4 23
19 Espanol 17 4 5 8 21 29 -8 17
20 Elche 17 3 4 10 16 27 -11 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 13 1 3 31 11 +20 40
2 Ath Madrid 17 10 3 4 24 13 +11 33
3 Sociedad 18 10 3 5 24 17 +7 33
4 Real Madrid 17 10 1 6 29 18 +11 31
5 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 22 20 +2 25
6 Betis 17 7 3 7 18 22 -4 24
7 Ath Bilbao 17 6 5 6 24 25 -1 23
8 Sevilla 17 6 4 7 21 26 -5 22
9 Osasuna 18 4 7 7 12 19 -7 19
10 Espanol 18 4 5 9 23 32 -9 17
11 Vallecano 17 4 5 8 16 26 -10 17
12 Celta 18 4 4 10 17 31 -14 16
13 Girona 17 3 6 8 21 26 -5 15
14 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 15 28 -13 15
15 Cadiz 17 3 5 9 10 27 -17 14
16 Valencia 17 3 3 11 14 24 -10 12
17 Getafe 17 2 5 10 12 25 -13 11
18 Valladolid 18 3 2 13 12 38 -26 11
19 Almeria 17 1 4 12 17 39 -22 7
20 Elche 18 1 4 13 11 38 -27 7

Valencia   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Almeria 35 13 22 1.3 1.7 11 6 18 46 61 39
2 19 Espanol 35 13 22 1.3 1.7 8 10 17 44 61 34
3 8 Girona 35 15 20 1.6 1.4 13 9 13 55 50 48
4 3 Real Madrid 34 15 19 2.1 0.9 22 5 7 70 32 71
5 11 Vallecano 35 16 19 1.2 1.3 12 10 13 42 47 46
6 18 Valladolid 35 16 19 0.9 1.8 10 5 20 30 62 35
7 13 Celta 35 17 18 1.1 1.4 10 9 16 40 50 39
8 20 Elche 35 17 18 0.8 1.9 4 8 23 27 65 20
9 1 Barcelona 35 18 17 1.9 0.4 27 4 4 65 15 85
10 5 Villarreal 35 18 17 1.5 1.0 18 6 11 54 36 60
11 6 Betis 34 17 17 1.3 1.1 16 7 11 43 38 55
12 7 Ath Bilbao 35 18 17 1.3 1.1 14 8 13 46 39 50
13 9 Sevilla 34 17 17 1.3 1.4 13 8 13 44 49 47
14 16 Valencia 34 18 16 1.1 1.2 10 7 17 38 41 37
15 2 Ath Madrid 35 20 15 1.8 0.8 22 6 7 63 27 72
16 17 Getafe 35 22 13 0.9 1.3 8 11 16 31 44 35
17 10 Osasuna 35 23 12 0.9 1.1 13 8 14 32 39 47
18 4 Sociedad 35 24 11 1.3 0.9 19 8 8 47 32 65
19 15 Cadiz 35 24 11 0.8 1.4 9 11 15 28 50 38
20 12 Mallorca 35 25 10 0.9 1.1 12 8 15 33 40 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Girona 18 7 11 1.9 1.3 10 3 5 34 24 33
2 11 Vallecano 18 7 11 1.4 1.2 8 5 5 26 21 29
3 14 Almeria 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 10 2 6 29 22 32
4 2 Ath Madrid 18 8 10 2.2 0.8 12 3 3 39 14 39
5 3 Real Madrid 17 7 10 2.4 0.8 12 4 1 41 14 40
6 19 Espanol 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 4 5 8 21 29 17
7 5 Villarreal 17 8 9 1.9 0.9 11 2 4 32 16 35
8 6 Betis 17 8 9 1.5 0.9 9 4 4 25 16 31
9 9 Sevilla 17 8 9 1.4 1.4 7 4 6 23 23 25
10 13 Celta 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 6 5 6 23 19 23
11 1 Barcelona 18 10 8 1.9 0.2 14 3 1 34 4 45
12 10 Osasuna 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 9 1 7 20 20 28
13 16 Valencia 17 9 8 1.4 1.0 7 4 6 24 17 25
14 18 Valladolid 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 7 3 7 18 24 24
15 17 Getafe 18 11 7 1.1 1.1 6 6 6 19 19 24
16 20 Elche 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 3 4 10 16 27 13
17 7 Ath Bilbao 18 12 6 1.2 0.8 8 3 7 22 14 27
18 15 Cadiz 18 12 6 1.0 1.3 6 6 6 18 23 24
19 4 Sociedad 17 12 5 1.4 0.9 9 5 3 23 15 32
20 12 Mallorca 17 14 3 1.1 0.7 8 5 4 18 12 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Espanol 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 4 5 9 23 32 17
2 7 Ath Bilbao 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 6 5 6 24 25 23
3 14 Almeria 17 6 11 1.0 2.3 1 4 12 17 39 7
4 18 Valladolid 18 7 11 0.7 2.1 3 2 13 12 38 11
5 20 Elche 18 7 11 0.6 2.1 1 4 13 11 38 7
6 1 Barcelona 17 8 9 1.8 0.6 13 1 3 31 11 40
7 3 Real Madrid 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 10 1 6 29 18 31
8 8 Girona 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 3 6 8 21 26 15
9 13 Celta 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 10 17 31 16
10 5 Villarreal 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 4 7 22 20 25
11 6 Betis 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 7 3 7 18 22 24
12 9 Sevilla 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 6 4 7 21 26 22
13 11 Vallecano 17 9 8 0.9 1.5 4 5 8 16 26 17
14 16 Valencia 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 3 3 11 14 24 12
15 12 Mallorca 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 4 3 11 15 28 15
16 4 Sociedad 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 10 3 5 24 17 33
17 17 Getafe 17 11 6 0.7 1.5 2 5 10 12 25 11
18 2 Ath Madrid 17 12 5 1.4 0.8 10 3 4 24 13 33
19 15 Cadiz 17 12 5 0.6 1.6 3 5 9 10 27 14
20 10 Osasuna 18 14 4 0.7 1.1 4 7 7 12 19 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51