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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Madrid 3–1 Villarreal

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.78
Draw 5.50 fair 4.66
Away 7.50 fair 4.48
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Madrid Villarreal
25 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 3
8 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (127 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 2.01 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
Ath MadridDrawVillarreal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
2.27points / match
2.36scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 26:11
Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.42scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:21
Ath Madrid all matches all matches Villarreal

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 1.42
1.00 Goals conceded 1.75
3.36 Total goals 3.17
11.73 Shots 11.42
5.45 Shots on target 4.00
12.00 Shots faced 15.42
4.36 Corners 5.75
5.18 Corners against 4.58
10.64 Fouls 13.58
2.55 Yellow cards 3.33
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 1.08

How often Full Time

73% Wins 25%
9% Draws 25%
18% Losses 50%
91% Over 0.5 goals 92%
91% Over 1.5 goals 83%
82% Over 2.5 goals 67%
36% Over 3.5 goals 33%
18% Over 4.5 goals 25%
9% Over 5.5 goals 8%
55% Both teams scored 83%
36% Clean sheets 17%
18% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 8%
18% Draws 58%
18% Losses 33%
82% Over 0.5 goals 67%
45% Over 1.5 goals 50%
27% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid all matches
Villarreal all matches
Ath Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 13:6
Villarreal before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:6
Ath Madrid at home away Villarreal

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 1.20
1.20 Goals conceded 1.20
3.80 Total goals 2.40
13.40 Shots 8.80
6.20 Shots on target 3.40
11.20 Shots faced 15.40
3.80 Corners 4.20
5.00 Corners against 5.00
10.40 Fouls 14.00
2.20 Yellow cards 3.80
1.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 40%
0% Draws 40%
0% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
100% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 20%
0% Draws 60%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid at home
Villarreal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.23 Las Palmas – Ath Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 2.10 1.70
29.10.23 Ath Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.758.50 1.89 2.01
21.10.23 Celta – Ath Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.87
08.10.23 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 2.10 1.70
01.10.23 Ath Madrid – Cadiz 3–2 (1–2) 1.335.0010.00 1.73 2.08
28.09.23 Osasuna – Ath Madrid 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
24.09.23 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 3–1 (2–1) 2.703.402.55 2.06 1.84
16.09.23 Valencia – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 3.803.302.05 2.20 1.67
28.08.23 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 0–7 (0–3) 4.203.301.95 2.10 1.73
20.08.23 Betis – Ath Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.10 1.73

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 2–3 (0–3) 2.803.602.40 1.84 2.06
30.10.23 Granada – Villarreal 2–3 (2–3) 3.103.502.25 1.70 2.10
22.10.23 Villarreal – Alaves 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.97 1.93
08.10.23 Villarreal – Las Palmas 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Getafe – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.102.60 2.08 1.73
27.09.23 Villarreal – Girona 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.57 2.38
24.09.23 Vallecano – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.502.63 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Villarreal – Almeria 2–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.38
01.09.23 Cadiz – Villarreal 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.402.15 1.89 2.01
27.08.23 Villarreal – Barcelona 3–4 (2–2) 3.603.502.00 1.67 2.20

Ath Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Ath Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.758.50 1.89 2.01
08.10.23 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 2.10 1.70
01.10.23 Ath Madrid – Cadiz 3–2 (1–2) 1.335.0010.00 1.73 2.08
24.09.23 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 3–1 (2–1) 2.703.402.55 2.06 1.84
14.08.23 Ath Madrid – Granada 3–1 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.60 1.92 1.98
21.05.23 Ath Madrid – Osasuna 3–0 (1–0) 1.364.758.00 1.80 2.00
03.05.23 Ath Madrid – Cadiz 5–1 (2–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.73 2.10
26.04.23 Ath Madrid – Mallorca 3–1 (1–1) 1.404.338.50 2.30 1.62
16.04.23 Ath Madrid – Almeria 2–1 (2–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.57 2.38

Villarreal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.23 Granada – Villarreal 2–3 (2–3) 3.103.502.25 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Getafe – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.102.60 2.08 1.73
24.09.23 Vallecano – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.502.63 1.73 2.10
01.09.23 Cadiz – Villarreal 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.402.15 1.89 2.01
18.08.23 Mallorca – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 2.30 1.62
28.05.23 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.67 2.20
20.05.23 Girona – Villarreal 1–2 (1–1) 2.803.752.30 1.62 2.30
03.05.23 Valencia – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 1.89 2.01
23.04.23 Sevilla – Villarreal 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.402.55 2.00 1.90
08.04.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Madrid winsDrawsVillarreal wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.06.23SP1 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.57 2.38
21.08.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 0–2 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.05 1.85
09.01.22SP1 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 2–2 (1–1) 2.803.202.62 2.10 1.72
29.08.21SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.405.25 2.20 1.66

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Girona 13 11 1 1 31 16 +15 34
2 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 28 9 +19 32
3 Barcelona 13 9 3 1 26 13 +13 30
4 Ath Madrid 11 8 1 2 26 11 +15 25
5 Ath Bilbao 13 7 3 3 25 17 +8 24
6 Sociedad 13 6 4 3 23 16 +7 22
7 Betis 13 5 6 2 17 16 +1 21
8 Las Palmas 13 5 3 5 11 12 -1 18
9 Valencia 13 5 3 5 16 18 -2 18
10 Vallecano 13 4 6 3 15 17 -2 18
11 Getafe 13 3 7 3 15 17 -2 16
12 Osasuna 13 4 2 7 15 21 -6 14
13 Sevilla 12 2 6 4 18 17 +1 12
14 Villarreal 12 3 3 6 17 21 -4 12
15 Alaves 13 3 3 7 11 18 -7 12
16 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 10 17 -7 10
17 Mallorca 12 1 6 5 12 18 -6 9
18 Celta 13 1 4 8 14 24 -10 7
19 Granada 13 1 4 8 18 30 -12 7
20 Almeria 13 0 3 10 15 35 -20 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 6 0 1 15 5 +10 18
2 Real Madrid 6 5 1 0 15 3 +12 16
3 Girona 6 5 0 1 15 8 +7 15
4 Ath Madrid 5 5 0 0 13 6 +7 15
5 Ath Bilbao 7 4 2 1 18 11 +7 14
6 Betis 6 4 2 0 9 2 +7 14
7 Sociedad 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
8 Valencia 6 4 0 2 8 3 +5 12
9 Getafe 6 3 3 0 6 3 +3 12
10 Las Palmas 6 3 2 1 6 4 +2 11
11 Alaves 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
12 Sevilla 7 2 3 2 12 9 +3 9
13 Cadiz 6 2 3 1 7 5 +2 9
14 Granada 7 1 3 3 11 15 -4 6
15 Vallecano 6 1 3 2 8 14 -6 6
16 Osasuna 7 1 2 4 6 11 -5 5
17 Mallorca 5 0 4 1 3 4 -1 4
18 Villarreal 7 1 1 5 11 15 -4 4
19 Celta 7 0 3 4 4 11 -7 3
20 Almeria 7 0 2 5 10 18 -8 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Girona 7 6 1 0 16 8 +8 19
2 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
3 Vallecano 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
4 Barcelona 6 3 3 0 11 8 +3 12
5 Ath Madrid 6 3 1 2 13 5 +8 10
6 Ath Bilbao 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
7 Osasuna 6 3 0 3 9 10 -1 9
8 Sociedad 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
9 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 6 6 0 8
10 Las Palmas 7 2 1 4 5 8 -3 7
11 Betis 7 1 4 2 8 14 -6 7
12 Valencia 7 1 3 3 8 15 -7 6
13 Mallorca 7 1 2 4 9 14 -5 5
14 Celta 6 1 1 4 10 13 -3 4
15 Getafe 7 0 4 3 9 14 -5 4
16 Sevilla 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3
17 Alaves 7 0 2 5 4 10 -6 2
18 Granada 6 0 1 5 7 15 -8 1
19 Cadiz 6 0 1 5 3 12 -9 1
20 Almeria 6 0 1 5 5 17 -12 1

Ath Madrid   Villarreal

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Almeria 13 3 10 1.2 2.7 0 3 10 15 35 3
2 1 Girona 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 11 1 1 31 16 34
3 4 Ath Madrid 11 2 9 2.4 1.0 8 1 2 26 11 25
4 2 Real Madrid 13 5 8 2.2 0.7 10 2 1 28 9 32
5 3 Barcelona 13 5 8 2.0 1.0 9 3 1 26 13 30
6 5 Ath Bilbao 13 5 8 1.9 1.3 7 3 3 25 17 24
7 14 Villarreal 12 4 8 1.4 1.8 3 3 6 17 21 12
8 6 Sociedad 13 6 7 1.8 1.2 6 4 3 23 16 22
9 9 Valencia 13 6 7 1.2 1.4 5 3 5 16 18 18
10 19 Granada 13 6 7 1.4 2.3 1 4 8 18 30 7
11 11 Getafe 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 3 7 3 15 17 16
12 12 Osasuna 13 7 6 1.2 1.6 4 2 7 15 21 14
13 13 Sevilla 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 2 6 4 18 17 12
14 18 Celta 13 7 6 1.1 1.8 1 4 8 14 24 7
15 7 Betis 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 5 6 2 17 16 21
16 10 Vallecano 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 6 3 15 17 18
17 8 Las Palmas 13 9 4 0.8 0.9 5 3 5 11 12 18
18 16 Cadiz 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 2 4 6 10 17 10
19 17 Mallorca 12 8 4 1.0 1.5 1 6 5 12 18 9
20 15 Alaves 13 10 3 0.8 1.4 3 3 7 11 18 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ath Bilbao 7 1 6 2.6 1.6 4 2 1 18 11 14
2 14 Villarreal 7 1 6 1.6 2.1 1 1 5 11 15 4
3 20 Almeria 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 0 2 5 10 18 2
4 4 Ath Madrid 5 0 5 2.6 1.2 5 0 0 13 6 15
5 1 Girona 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 5 0 1 15 8 15
6 2 Real Madrid 6 2 4 2.5 0.5 5 1 0 15 3 16
7 3 Barcelona 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 6 0 1 15 5 18
8 10 Vallecano 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 3 2 8 14 6
9 13 Sevilla 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 2 3 2 12 9 9
10 19 Granada 7 3 4 1.6 2.1 1 3 3 11 15 6
11 6 Sociedad 7 4 3 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
12 7 Betis 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 4 2 0 9 2 14
13 8 Las Palmas 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 1 6 4 11
14 9 Valencia 6 4 2 1.3 0.5 4 0 2 8 3 12
15 12 Osasuna 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 1 2 4 6 11 5
16 16 Cadiz 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 2 3 1 7 5 9
17 18 Celta 7 5 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 4 4 11 3
18 11 Getafe 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 3 3 0 6 3 12
19 15 Alaves 6 5 1 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
20 17 Mallorca 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 0 4 1 3 4 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Girona 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 6 1 0 16 8 19
2 9 Valencia 7 2 5 1.1 2.1 1 3 3 8 15 6
3 11 Getafe 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 0 4 3 9 14 4
4 2 Real Madrid 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
5 3 Barcelona 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 3 0 11 8 12
6 4 Ath Madrid 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 3 1 2 13 5 10
7 6 Sociedad 6 2 4 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
8 12 Osasuna 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 3 0 3 9 10 9
9 18 Celta 6 2 4 1.7 2.2 1 1 4 10 13 4
10 20 Almeria 6 2 4 0.8 2.8 0 1 5 5 17 1
11 7 Betis 7 4 3 1.1 2.0 1 4 2 8 14 7
12 17 Mallorca 7 4 3 1.3 2.0 1 2 4 9 14 5
13 19 Granada 6 3 3 1.2 2.5 0 1 5 7 15 1
14 5 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
15 8 Las Palmas 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 1 4 5 8 7
16 13 Sevilla 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3
17 14 Villarreal 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 1 6 6 8
18 15 Alaves 7 5 2 0.6 1.4 0 2 5 4 10 2
19 16 Cadiz 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 1 5 3 12 1
20 10 Vallecano 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06