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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Bilbao 3–1 Vallecano

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 1.94
Draw 3.40 fair 3.76
Away 5.50 fair 4.57
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.69
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Bilbao Vallecano
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 1
12 Fouls 7
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (307 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Bilbao to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.46 – 0.85
Home / Draw / Away
Ath BilbaoDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.4% 1–1 12.3% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ath Bilbao before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.53scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 46:24
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.10scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 33:35
Ath Bilbao all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.10
0.80 Goals conceded 1.17
2.33 Total goals 2.27
13.27 Shots 13.30
4.47 Shots on target 4.20
8.50 Shots faced 12.30
5.37 Corners 5.17
3.83 Corners against 4.90
12.27 Fouls 14.23
1.73 Yellow cards 2.53
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

47% Wins 33%
40% Draws 33%
13% Losses 33%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
70% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 43%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
10% Over 4.5 goals 3%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
60% Both teams scored 60%
33% Clean sheets 23%
20% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 23%
57% Draws 50%
7% Losses 27%
53% Over 0.5 goals 63%
30% Over 1.5 goals 20%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Bilbao all matches
Vallecano all matches
Ath Bilbao before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 27:9
Vallecano before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.87scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:12
Ath Bilbao at home away Vallecano

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.87
0.60 Goals conceded 0.80
2.40 Total goals 1.67
14.07 Shots 11.40
5.20 Shots on target 3.07
7.33 Shots faced 12.13
5.27 Corners 5.27
3.60 Corners against 5.80
12.47 Fouls 15.13
1.73 Yellow cards 2.93
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.07 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

53% Wins 33%
40% Draws 33%
7% Losses 33%
87% Over 0.5 goals 87%
67% Over 1.5 goals 53%
33% Over 2.5 goals 27%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 47%
40% Clean sheets 33%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 20%
40% Draws 53%
0% Losses 27%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
27% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Bilbao at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Bilbao all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.91 1.99
30.03.25 Ath Bilbao – Osasuna 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.107.00 2.01 1.89
16.03.25 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.30 1.62
09.03.25 Ath Bilbao – Mallorca 1–1 (0–0) 1.623.706.00 2.20 1.67
01.03.25 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
23.02.25 Ath Bilbao – Valladolid 7–1 (4–0) 1.177.0019.00 1.62 2.30
16.02.25 Espanol – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (0–0) 5.503.401.73 2.30 1.62
08.02.25 Ath Bilbao – Girona 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.00 2.10 1.73
02.02.25 Betis – Ath Bilbao 2–2 (2–1) 2.903.302.45 2.20 1.67
26.01.25 Ath Bilbao – Leganes 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 2.00 1.80

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.25 Vallecano – Espanol 0–4 (0–2) 1.653.506.00 2.38 1.57
29.03.25 Alaves – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 2.152.904.10 2.75 1.44
16.03.25 Vallecano – Sociedad 2–2 (0–1) 2.503.003.10 2.63 1.50
09.03.25 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–1) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.32
01.03.25 Vallecano – Sevilla 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.67
22.02.25 Vallecano – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 1.80 2.00
17.02.25 Barcelona – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
07.02.25 Vallecano – Valladolid 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.107.00 2.00 1.80
31.01.25 Leganes – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.002.38 2.50 1.53
26.01.25 Vallecano – Girona 2–1 (0–0) 2.752.902.88 2.20 1.67

Ath Bilbao at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Ath Bilbao – Osasuna 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.107.00 2.01 1.89
09.03.25 Ath Bilbao – Mallorca 1–1 (0–0) 1.623.706.00 2.20 1.67
23.02.25 Ath Bilbao – Valladolid 7–1 (4–0) 1.177.0019.00 1.62 2.30
08.02.25 Ath Bilbao – Girona 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.00 2.10 1.73
26.01.25 Ath Bilbao – Leganes 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 2.00 1.80
08.12.24 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.84 2.06
04.12.24 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.25 1.86 2.04
24.11.24 Ath Bilbao – Sociedad 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.003.60 2.63 1.50
03.11.24 Ath Bilbao – Betis 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Ath Bilbao – Espanol 4–1 (3–0) 1.454.207.50 1.95 1.95

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Alaves – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 2.152.904.10 2.75 1.44
09.03.25 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–1) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.32
17.02.25 Barcelona – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
31.01.25 Leganes – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.002.38 2.50 1.53
19.01.25 Osasuna – Vallecano 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.003.80 2.50 1.53
22.12.24 Betis – Vallecano 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
18.12.24 Villarreal – Vallecano 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.604.50 1.90 2.00
07.12.24 Valencia – Vallecano 0–1 (0–1) 2.252.903.75 2.75 1.44
24.11.24 Sevilla – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.38 1.57
20.10.24 Mallorca – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.104.00 2.75 1.44

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Bilbao winsDrawsVallecano wins
7matches
2.43goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 1–2 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.38 1.57
25.05.24SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 1.73 2.10
02.12.23SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.205.75 1.82 2.08
05.03.23SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.102.60 2.30 1.62
17.09.22SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 3–2 (3–1) 1.534.006.50 2.04 1.86
23.01.22SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.53
21.09.21SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.504.33 2.50 1.53

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 +55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 +33 66
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 +25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 +22 54
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 +13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 +3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 +3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 15 12 1 2 37 16 +21 37
2 Barcelona 15 11 1 3 41 11 +30 34
3 Ath Madrid 15 10 4 1 27 12 +15 34
4 Ath Bilbao 15 8 6 1 27 9 +18 30
5 Celta 16 9 3 4 25 17 +8 30
6 Betis 16 8 5 3 25 18 +7 29
7 Osasuna 16 7 6 3 28 23 +5 27
8 Valencia 16 8 3 5 22 18 +4 27
9 Espanol 15 6 6 3 19 16 +3 24
10 Sociedad 16 7 2 7 17 17 0 23
11 Mallorca 16 6 5 5 17 18 -1 23
12 Villarreal 14 5 6 3 29 21 +8 21
13 Girona 15 6 3 6 25 22 +3 21
14 Vallecano 15 5 5 5 20 23 -3 20
15 Getafe 16 4 7 5 14 14 0 19
16 Sevilla 15 5 4 6 13 18 -5 19
17 Leganes 16 5 3 8 16 24 -8 18
18 Alaves 15 4 4 7 11 16 -5 16
19 Las Palmas 15 3 5 7 18 24 -6 14
20 Valladolid 15 3 4 8 8 25 -17 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 11 3 2 43 18 +25 36
2 Villarreal 16 9 3 4 24 19 +5 30
3 Real Madrid 16 8 5 3 27 15 +12 29
4 Ath Madrid 15 7 5 3 22 12 +10 26
5 Ath Bilbao 15 6 6 3 19 15 +4 24
6 Getafe 15 6 2 7 17 14 +3 20
7 Vallecano 15 5 5 5 13 12 +1 20
8 Mallorca 15 6 2 7 14 19 -5 20
9 Betis 15 5 4 6 17 21 -4 19
10 Sociedad 15 5 3 7 13 17 -4 18
11 Sevilla 16 4 5 7 21 24 -3 17
12 Las Palmas 16 4 3 9 19 28 -9 15
13 Alaves 16 3 5 8 22 29 -7 14
14 Celta 15 3 4 8 19 28 -9 13
15 Girona 16 3 4 9 13 26 -13 13
16 Espanol 15 3 2 10 14 24 -10 11
17 Osasuna 15 1 8 6 8 21 -13 11
18 Leganes 15 1 7 7 13 24 -11 10
19 Valencia 15 1 7 7 13 29 -16 10
20 Valladolid 15 1 0 14 11 44 -33 3

Ath Bilbao   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 31 9 22 2.7 0.9 22 4 5 84 29 70
2 2 Real Madrid 31 12 19 2.1 1.0 20 6 5 64 31 66
3 5 Villarreal 30 11 19 1.8 1.3 14 9 7 53 40 51
4 20 Valladolid 30 11 19 0.6 2.3 4 4 22 19 69 16
5 7 Celta 31 13 18 1.4 1.5 12 7 12 44 45 43
6 16 Girona 31 13 18 1.2 1.5 9 7 15 38 48 34
7 18 Las Palmas 31 13 18 1.2 1.7 7 8 16 37 52 29
8 6 Betis 31 15 16 1.4 1.3 13 9 9 42 39 48
9 12 Osasuna 31 16 15 1.2 1.4 8 14 9 36 44 38
10 13 Valencia 31 16 15 1.1 1.5 9 10 12 35 47 37
11 17 Alaves 31 17 14 1.1 1.5 7 9 15 33 45 30
12 9 Sociedad 31 18 13 1.0 1.1 12 5 14 30 34 41
13 10 Vallecano 30 17 13 1.1 1.2 10 10 10 33 35 40
14 15 Espanol 30 17 13 1.1 1.3 9 8 13 33 40 35
15 3 Ath Madrid 30 18 12 1.6 0.8 17 9 4 49 24 60
16 4 Ath Bilbao 30 18 12 1.5 0.8 14 12 4 46 24 54
17 8 Mallorca 31 19 12 1.0 1.2 12 7 12 31 37 43
18 14 Sevilla 31 19 12 1.1 1.4 9 9 13 34 42 36
19 19 Leganes 31 19 12 0.9 1.5 6 10 15 29 48 28
20 11 Getafe 31 21 10 1.0 0.9 10 9 12 31 28 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Osasuna 16 5 11 1.8 1.4 7 6 3 28 23 27
2 16 Girona 15 4 11 1.7 1.5 6 3 6 25 22 21
3 1 Barcelona 15 5 10 2.7 0.7 11 1 3 41 11 34
4 2 Real Madrid 15 5 10 2.5 1.1 12 1 2 37 16 37
5 5 Villarreal 14 4 10 2.1 1.5 5 6 3 29 21 21
6 6 Betis 16 6 10 1.6 1.1 8 5 3 25 18 29
7 10 Vallecano 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 5 5 5 20 23 20
8 7 Celta 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 9 3 4 25 17 30
9 13 Valencia 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 8 3 5 22 18 27
10 18 Las Palmas 15 7 8 1.2 1.6 3 5 7 18 24 14
11 8 Mallorca 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 6 5 5 17 18 23
12 9 Sociedad 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 7 2 7 17 17 23
13 19 Leganes 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 3 8 16 24 18
14 20 Valladolid 15 8 7 0.5 1.7 3 4 8 8 25 13
15 3 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 1.8 0.8 10 4 1 27 12 34
16 15 Espanol 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 6 6 3 19 16 24
17 4 Ath Bilbao 15 10 5 1.8 0.6 8 6 1 27 9 30
18 11 Getafe 16 12 4 0.9 0.9 4 7 5 14 14 19
19 14 Sevilla 15 11 4 0.9 1.2 5 4 6 13 18 19
20 17 Alaves 15 12 3 0.7 1.1 4 4 7 11 16 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 16 4 12 2.7 1.1 11 3 2 43 18 36
2 20 Valladolid 15 3 12 0.7 2.9 1 0 14 11 44 3
3 17 Alaves 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 3 5 8 22 29 14
4 7 Celta 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 3 4 8 19 28 13
5 18 Las Palmas 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 4 3 9 19 28 15
6 2 Real Madrid 16 7 9 1.7 0.9 8 5 3 27 15 29
7 5 Villarreal 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 9 3 4 24 19 30
8 14 Sevilla 16 8 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 7 21 24 17
9 4 Ath Bilbao 15 8 7 1.3 1.0 6 6 3 19 15 24
10 13 Valencia 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 1 7 7 13 29 10
11 15 Espanol 15 8 7 0.9 1.6 3 2 10 14 24 11
12 16 Girona 16 9 7 0.8 1.6 3 4 9 13 26 13
13 3 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 1.5 0.8 7 5 3 22 12 26
14 6 Betis 15 9 6 1.1 1.4 5 4 6 17 21 19
15 9 Sociedad 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 7 13 17 18
16 11 Getafe 15 9 6 1.1 0.9 6 2 7 17 14 20
17 8 Mallorca 15 10 5 0.9 1.3 6 2 7 14 19 20
18 19 Leganes 15 10 5 0.9 1.6 1 7 7 13 24 10
19 10 Vallecano 15 11 4 0.9 0.8 5 5 5 13 12 20
20 12 Osasuna 15 11 4 0.5 1.4 1 8 6 8 21 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51