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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain Segunda Division ·

Valladolid 4–1 Lugo

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.88
Draw 4.75 fair 4.09
Away 9.50 fair 4.49
Under 2.5 2.02 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 2.04

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Valladolid Lugo
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 0
17 Fouls 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (364 league matches this season so far).
Result Valladolid to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.66 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
ValladolidDrawLugo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.9% 1–1 11.6% 2–0 9.8%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Valladolid before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.58scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 52:35
Lugo before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.21scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 40:38
Valladolid all matches all matches Lugo

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.21
1.06 Goals conceded 1.15
2.64 Total goals 2.36
15.09 Shots 10.39
4.97 Shots on target 3.36
11.24 Shots faced 15.12
5.73 Corners 3.94
4.06 Corners against 5.45
12.21 Fouls 15.36
2.18 Yellow cards 2.42
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

55% Wins 24%
21% Draws 55%
24% Losses 21%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
79% Over 1.5 goals 76%
45% Over 2.5 goals 33%
27% Over 3.5 goals 21%
15% Over 4.5 goals 9%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
45% Both teams scored 70%
39% Clean sheets 18%
21% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 30%
36% Draws 48%
18% Losses 21%
64% Over 0.5 goals 67%
30% Over 1.5 goals 36%
15% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valladolid all matches
Lugo all matches
Valladolid before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.75scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:10
Lugo before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.24scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:24
Valladolid at home away Lugo

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.24
0.63 Goals conceded 1.41
2.38 Total goals 2.65
17.38 Shots 9.47
6.00 Shots on target 3.18
9.63 Shots faced 15.82
7.13 Corners 3.00
2.88 Corners against 5.76
11.88 Fouls 16.12
2.19 Yellow cards 2.59
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

69% Wins 6%
19% Draws 65%
13% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 82%
31% Over 2.5 goals 35%
19% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
38% Both teams scored 82%
50% Clean sheets 0%
13% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
31% Draws 47%
19% Losses 24%
69% Over 0.5 goals 76%
31% Over 1.5 goals 41%
6% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valladolid at home
Lugo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Valladolid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.03.22 Alcorcon – Valladolid 1–2 (1–2) 4.753.501.83 2.00 1.85
19.03.22 Valladolid – Las Palmas 0–1 (0–0) 1.603.806.50 1.83 2.02
13.03.22 Oviedo – Valladolid 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.70
05.03.22 Tenerife – Valladolid 1–4 (0–1) 2.873.102.62 2.20 1.65
27.02.22 Valladolid – Amorebieta 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.208.00 1.95 1.90
18.02.22 Cartagena – Valladolid 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.602.00 1.90 1.95
12.02.22 Valladolid – Girona 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.505.00 2.10 1.70
06.02.22 Fuenlabrada – Valladolid 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.10 2.25 1.61
28.01.22 Valladolid – Sp Gijon 1–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
22.01.22 Zaragoza – Valladolid 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.25 1.61

Lugo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.03.22 Eibar – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.603.606.50 2.35 1.57
19.03.22 Lugo – Oviedo 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.002.75 2.60 1.47
12.03.22 Almeria – Lugo 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.507.00 2.00 1.80
06.03.22 Lugo – Alcorcon 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.35 1.57
26.02.22 Las Palmas – Lugo 2–2 (2–1) 1.653.755.75 2.25 1.61
20.02.22 Huesca – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.15 1.66
13.02.22 Lugo – Amorebieta 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.25 1.61
05.02.22 Sociedad B – Lugo 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.002.80 2.25 1.61
29.01.22 Lugo – Burgos 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.204.00 2.40 1.53
23.01.22 Girona – Lugo 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.405.50 2.15 1.66

Valladolid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22 Valladolid – Las Palmas 0–1 (0–0) 1.603.806.50 1.83 2.02
27.02.22 Valladolid – Amorebieta 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.208.00 1.95 1.90
12.02.22 Valladolid – Girona 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.505.00 2.10 1.70
28.01.22 Valladolid – Sp Gijon 1–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
08.01.22 Valladolid – Burgos 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.95 1.90
02.01.22 Valladolid – Leganes 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.33 2.30 1.60
12.12.21 Valladolid – Oviedo 2–1 (2–1) 1.853.404.50 2.20 1.65
27.11.21 Valladolid – Cartagena 2–0 (2–0) 1.663.506.00 2.05 1.75
13.11.21 Valladolid – Fuenlabrada 3–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.07 1.72
06.11.21 Valladolid – Mirandes 3–1 (2–0) 1.603.606.50 2.00 1.80

Lugo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.03.22 Eibar – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.603.606.50 2.35 1.57
12.03.22 Almeria – Lugo 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.507.00 2.00 1.80
26.02.22 Las Palmas – Lugo 2–2 (2–1) 1.653.755.75 2.25 1.61
20.02.22 Huesca – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.15 1.66
05.02.22 Sociedad B – Lugo 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.002.80 2.25 1.61
23.01.22 Girona – Lugo 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.405.50 2.15 1.66
02.01.22 Sp Gijon – Lugo 1–1 (0–1) ––– – –
11.12.21 Tenerife – Lugo 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.405.25 2.40 1.53
26.11.21 Alcorcon – Lugo 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.50 2.60 1.47
14.11.21 Amorebieta – Lugo 1–3 (1–2) 2.003.254.00 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Valladolid winsDrawsLugo wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.21SP2 Lugo – Valladolid 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.102.15 2.60 1.47

Spain Segunda Division table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Eibar 33 19 9 5 48 34 +14 66
2 Almeria 33 19 5 9 51 29 +22 62
3 Valladolid 33 18 7 8 52 35 +17 61
4 Girona 34 17 7 10 51 35 +16 58
5 Tenerife 33 16 7 10 43 28 +15 55
6 Ponferradina 33 13 12 8 43 38 +5 51
7 Oviedo 33 11 15 7 41 32 +9 48
8 Las Palmas 33 12 11 10 43 41 +2 47
9 Cartagena 33 14 4 15 46 47 -1 46
10 Burgos 33 13 6 14 35 31 +4 45
11 Huesca 33 11 11 11 39 31 +8 44
12 Ibiza 33 10 14 9 43 43 0 44
13 Zaragoza 33 9 16 8 30 35 -5 43
14 Lugo 33 8 18 7 40 38 +2 42
15 Leganes 33 10 12 11 38 39 -1 42
16 Mirandes 33 12 6 15 45 51 -6 42
17 Sp Gijon 33 10 9 14 39 41 -2 39
18 Malaga 34 9 10 15 27 48 -21 37
19 Sociedad B 33 7 10 16 31 43 -12 31
20 Fuenlabrada 33 5 14 14 26 43 -17 29
21 Amorebieta 33 4 16 13 35 50 -15 28
22 Alcorcon 33 3 9 21 25 59 -34 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Eibar 16 12 3 1 28 14 +14 39
2 Valladolid 16 11 3 2 28 10 +18 36
3 Girona 18 11 3 4 32 15 +17 36
4 Almeria 17 11 3 3 30 14 +16 36
5 Burgos 16 9 4 3 24 8 +16 31
6 Oviedo 17 8 7 2 28 14 +14 31
7 Cartagena 16 10 1 5 30 17 +13 31
8 Las Palmas 17 8 5 4 28 21 +7 29
9 Mirandes 17 9 2 6 31 26 +5 29
10 Ponferradina 16 7 7 2 26 16 +10 28
11 Lugo 16 7 7 2 19 14 +5 28
12 Tenerife 16 8 3 5 22 12 +10 27
13 Malaga 17 7 5 5 15 18 -3 26
14 Huesca 17 6 6 5 17 12 +5 24
15 Sp Gijon 17 7 3 7 22 20 +2 24
16 Zaragoza 17 5 9 3 14 12 +2 24
17 Ibiza 17 5 8 4 25 21 +4 23
18 Leganes 16 5 8 3 18 14 +4 23
19 Fuenlabrada 17 4 9 4 18 18 0 21
20 Amorebieta 16 3 8 5 21 23 -2 17
21 Sociedad B 16 3 4 9 13 21 -8 13
22 Alcorcon 16 2 6 8 14 28 -14 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tenerife 17 8 4 5 21 16 +5 28
2 Eibar 17 7 6 4 20 20 0 27
3 Almeria 16 8 2 6 21 15 +6 26
4 Valladolid 17 7 4 6 24 25 -1 25
5 Ponferradina 17 6 5 6 17 22 -5 23
6 Girona 16 6 4 6 19 20 -1 22
7 Ibiza 16 5 6 5 18 22 -4 21
8 Huesca 16 5 5 6 22 19 +3 20
9 Leganes 17 5 4 8 20 25 -5 19
10 Zaragoza 16 4 7 5 16 23 -7 19
11 Sociedad B 17 4 6 7 18 22 -4 18
12 Las Palmas 16 4 6 6 15 20 -5 18
13 Oviedo 16 3 8 5 13 18 -5 17
14 Sp Gijon 16 3 6 7 17 21 -4 15
15 Cartagena 17 4 3 10 16 30 -14 15
16 Lugo 17 1 11 5 21 24 -3 14
17 Burgos 17 4 2 11 11 23 -12 14
18 Mirandes 16 3 4 9 14 25 -11 13
19 Amorebieta 17 1 8 8 14 27 -13 11
20 Malaga 17 2 5 10 12 30 -18 11
21 Fuenlabrada 16 1 5 10 8 25 -17 8
22 Alcorcon 17 1 3 13 11 31 -20 6

Valladolid   Lugo

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Mirandes 33 12 21 1.4 1.5 12 6 15 45 51 42
2 4 Girona 34 16 18 1.5 1.0 17 7 10 51 35 58
3 9 Cartagena 33 15 18 1.4 1.4 14 4 15 46 47 46
4 6 Ponferradina 33 17 16 1.3 1.2 13 12 8 43 38 51
5 20 Fuenlabrada 33 17 16 0.8 1.3 5 14 14 26 43 29
6 3 Valladolid 33 18 15 1.6 1.1 18 7 8 52 35 61
7 8 Las Palmas 33 18 15 1.3 1.2 12 11 10 43 41 47
8 17 Sp Gijon 33 18 15 1.2 1.2 10 9 14 39 41 39
9 22 Alcorcon 33 18 15 0.8 1.8 3 9 21 25 59 18
10 2 Almeria 33 19 14 1.5 0.9 19 5 9 51 29 62
11 5 Tenerife 33 19 14 1.3 0.8 16 7 10 43 28 55
12 18 Malaga 34 20 14 0.8 1.4 9 10 15 27 48 37
13 21 Amorebieta 33 19 14 1.1 1.5 4 16 13 35 50 28
14 1 Eibar 33 20 13 1.5 1.0 19 9 5 48 34 66
15 7 Oviedo 33 20 13 1.2 1.0 11 15 7 41 32 48
16 11 Huesca 33 20 13 1.2 0.9 11 11 11 39 31 44
17 12 Ibiza 33 20 13 1.3 1.3 10 14 9 43 43 44
18 15 Leganes 33 21 12 1.2 1.2 10 12 11 38 39 42
19 19 Sociedad B 33 21 12 0.9 1.3 7 10 16 31 43 31
20 10 Burgos 33 22 11 1.1 0.9 13 6 14 35 31 45
21 14 Lugo 33 22 11 1.2 1.2 8 18 7 40 38 42
22 13 Zaragoza 33 24 9 0.9 1.1 9 16 8 30 35 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Mirandes 17 5 12 1.8 1.5 9 2 6 31 26 29
2 4 Girona 18 8 10 1.8 0.8 11 3 4 32 15 36
3 8 Las Palmas 17 7 10 1.6 1.2 8 5 4 28 21 29
4 9 Cartagena 16 6 10 1.9 1.1 10 1 5 30 17 31
5 6 Ponferradina 16 7 9 1.6 1.0 7 7 2 26 16 28
6 17 Sp Gijon 17 8 9 1.3 1.2 7 3 7 22 20 24
7 1 Eibar 16 8 8 1.8 0.9 12 3 1 28 14 39
8 2 Almeria 17 9 8 1.8 0.8 11 3 3 30 14 36
9 20 Fuenlabrada 17 9 8 1.1 1.1 4 9 4 18 18 21
10 21 Amorebieta 16 8 8 1.3 1.4 3 8 5 21 23 17
11 7 Oviedo 17 10 7 1.6 0.8 8 7 2 28 14 31
12 12 Ibiza 17 10 7 1.5 1.2 5 8 4 25 21 23
13 22 Alcorcon 16 9 7 0.9 1.8 2 6 8 14 28 12
14 5 Tenerife 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 8 3 5 22 12 27
15 10 Burgos 16 10 6 1.5 0.5 9 4 3 24 8 31
16 3 Valladolid 16 11 5 1.8 0.6 11 3 2 28 10 36
17 11 Huesca 17 12 5 1.0 0.7 6 6 5 17 12 24
18 14 Lugo 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 7 7 2 19 14 28
19 18 Malaga 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 7 5 5 15 18 26
20 19 Sociedad B 16 11 5 0.8 1.3 3 4 9 13 21 13
21 15 Leganes 16 12 4 1.1 0.9 5 8 3 18 14 23
22 13 Zaragoza 17 15 2 0.8 0.7 5 9 3 14 12 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Valladolid 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 4 6 24 25 25
2 16 Mirandes 16 7 9 0.9 1.6 3 4 9 14 25 13
3 18 Malaga 17 8 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 10 12 30 11
4 4 Girona 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 6 4 6 19 20 22
5 5 Tenerife 17 9 8 1.2 0.9 8 4 5 21 16 28
6 9 Cartagena 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 4 3 10 16 30 15
7 11 Huesca 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 5 5 6 22 19 20
8 15 Leganes 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 5 4 8 20 25 19
9 20 Fuenlabrada 16 8 8 0.5 1.6 1 5 10 8 25 8
10 22 Alcorcon 17 9 8 0.6 1.8 1 3 13 11 31 6
11 6 Ponferradina 17 10 7 1.0 1.3 6 5 6 17 22 23
12 13 Zaragoza 16 9 7 1.0 1.4 4 7 5 16 23 19
13 19 Sociedad B 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 4 6 7 18 22 18
14 2 Almeria 16 10 6 1.3 0.9 8 2 6 21 15 26
15 7 Oviedo 16 10 6 0.8 1.1 3 8 5 13 18 17
16 12 Ibiza 16 10 6 1.1 1.4 5 6 5 18 22 21
17 14 Lugo 17 11 6 1.2 1.4 1 11 5 21 24 14
18 17 Sp Gijon 16 10 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 7 17 21 15
19 21 Amorebieta 17 11 6 0.8 1.6 1 8 8 14 27 11
20 1 Eibar 17 12 5 1.2 1.2 7 6 4 20 20 27
21 8 Las Palmas 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 6 15 20 18
22 10 Burgos 17 12 5 0.6 1.4 4 2 11 11 23 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51