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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain Segunda Division ·

Burgos 0–1 Lugo

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.65 fair 1.82
Draw 3.40 fair 3.65
Away ✓ 6.50 fair 5.71
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.52
Over 2.5 2.35 fair 2.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burgos Lugo
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
9 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (452 league matches this season so far).
Result Burgos to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.41 – 0.66
Home / Draw / Away
BurgosDrawLugo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 17.8% 0–0 12.6% 2–0 12.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burgos before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
0.80scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 33:34
Lugo before this match, all matches
0.68points / match
0.63scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 26:57
Burgos all matches all matches Lugo

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 0.63
0.83 Goals conceded 1.39
1.63 Total goals 2.02
9.76 Shots 9.83
2.88 Shots on target 2.85
13.32 Shots faced 14.44
3.46 Corners 3.83
5.98 Corners against 7.10
12.56 Fouls 13.46
2.27 Yellow cards 2.39
0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

32% Wins 12%
37% Draws 32%
32% Losses 56%
76% Over 0.5 goals 83%
49% Over 1.5 goals 63%
32% Over 2.5 goals 34%
7% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
34% Both teams scored 41%
46% Clean sheets 27%
44% Failed to score 49%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 12%
56% Draws 56%
24% Losses 32%
46% Over 0.5 goals 56%
7% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burgos all matches
Lugo all matches
Burgos before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.10scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 22:18
Lugo before this match, away
0.45points / match
0.65scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 13:38
Burgos at home away Lugo

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 0.65
0.90 Goals conceded 1.90
2.00 Total goals 2.55
10.10 Shots 9.05
3.30 Shots on target 2.65
12.75 Shots faced 15.35
4.35 Corners 3.80
6.00 Corners against 7.00
12.35 Fouls 12.00
2.35 Yellow cards 2.00
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

40% Wins 10%
40% Draws 15%
20% Losses 75%
80% Over 0.5 goals 95%
60% Over 1.5 goals 75%
45% Over 2.5 goals 45%
15% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 45%
45% Clean sheets 10%
30% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 0%
45% Draws 45%
20% Losses 55%
55% Over 0.5 goals 60%
5% Over 1.5 goals 30%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burgos at home
Lugo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burgos all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.05.23 Tenerife – Burgos 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.105.50 2.70 1.44
12.05.23 Burgos – Leganes 0–3 (0–2) 2.602.803.20 2.88 1.40
07.05.23 Cartagena – Burgos 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.255.25 2.35 1.57
01.05.23 Burgos – Villarreal B 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.103.60 2.50 1.50
23.04.23 Mirandes – Burgos 2–1 (0–0) 2.452.883.50 2.70 1.44
15.04.23 Burgos – Ponferradina 2–2 (0–1) 2.302.903.60 2.88 1.40
09.04.23 Huesca – Burgos 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.003.40 3.10 1.36
01.04.23 Burgos – Santander 2–1 (1–0) 2.402.883.40 3.10 1.36
25.03.23 Ibiza – Burgos 2–0 (0–0) 2.302.883.30 3.10 1.36
19.03.23 Burgos – Sp Gijon 0–0 (0–0) 2.502.903.25 3.10 1.36

Lugo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.05.23 Lugo – Huesca 1–2 (0–0) 4.203.102.00 2.50 1.50
13.05.23 Granada – Lugo 2–0 (2–0) 1.255.2515.00 1.85 2.00
07.05.23 Lugo – Andorra 2–2 (1–1) 5.253.501.75 2.50 1.50
01.05.23 Sp Gijon – Lugo 3–1 (2–0) 1.553.807.00 2.35 1.57
23.04.23 Lugo – Malaga 0–2 (0–2) 3.403.102.30 2.60 1.48
15.04.23 Oviedo – Lugo 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.406.50 2.88 1.40
07.04.23 Lugo – Tenerife 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.101.91 2.70 1.44
02.04.23 Lugo – Ponferradina 0–0 (0–0) 2.702.752.63 2.60 1.48
24.03.23 Cartagena – Lugo 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.15 1.67
19.03.23 Lugo – Santander 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.002.63 2.70 1.44

Burgos at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.23 Burgos – Leganes 0–3 (0–2) 2.602.803.20 2.88 1.40
01.05.23 Burgos – Villarreal B 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.103.60 2.50 1.50
15.04.23 Burgos – Ponferradina 2–2 (0–1) 2.302.903.60 2.88 1.40
01.04.23 Burgos – Santander 2–1 (1–0) 2.402.883.40 3.10 1.36
19.03.23 Burgos – Sp Gijon 0–0 (0–0) 2.502.903.25 3.10 1.36
04.03.23 Burgos – Granada 1–3 (1–0) 3.502.902.30 3.10 1.36
19.02.23 Burgos – Albacete 1–1 (0–0) 2.902.882.70 2.88 1.40
06.02.23 Burgos – Las Palmas 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.102.15 2.70 1.44
15.01.23 Burgos – Andorra 2–1 (0–1) 3.002.902.70 3.10 1.36
18.12.22 Burgos – Huesca 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.003.50 2.88 1.40

Lugo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Granada – Lugo 2–0 (2–0) 1.255.2515.00 1.85 2.00
01.05.23 Sp Gijon – Lugo 3–1 (2–0) 1.553.807.00 2.35 1.57
15.04.23 Oviedo – Lugo 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.406.50 2.88 1.40
24.03.23 Cartagena – Lugo 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.15 1.67
11.03.23 Alaves – Lugo 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.208.50 2.25 1.62
26.02.23 Levante – Lugo 3–1 (2–1) 1.334.5011.00 2.10 1.70
11.02.23 Las Palmas – Lugo 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.508.00 2.20 1.65
29.01.23 Albacete – Lugo 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.305.50 2.25 1.62
15.01.23 Mirandes – Lugo 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.004.33 2.50 1.50
06.01.23 Leganes – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.505.75 2.70 1.44

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burgos winsDrawsLugo wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
0%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.22SP2 Lugo – Burgos 2–0 (1–0) 2.623.102.87 2.60 1.47
29.01.22SP2 Lugo – Burgos 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.204.00 2.40 1.53
17.10.21SP2 Burgos – Lugo 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.104.00 2.50 1.50

Spain Segunda Division table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Granada 41 21 9 11 53 30 +23 72
2 Las Palmas 41 18 17 6 49 29 +20 71
3 Alaves 41 19 13 9 47 33 +14 70
4 Levante 41 17 18 6 44 29 +15 69
5 Eibar 41 18 14 9 44 36 +8 68
6 Albacete 41 16 16 9 56 46 +10 64
7 Oviedo 41 16 11 14 33 33 0 59
8 Cartagena 41 16 10 15 46 46 0 58
9 Tenerife 42 14 15 13 42 37 +5 57
10 Andorra 41 15 11 15 43 34 +9 56
11 Burgos 41 13 15 13 33 34 -1 54
12 Zaragoza 42 12 17 13 40 39 +1 53
13 Leganes 41 14 11 16 37 40 -3 53
14 Huesca 41 11 19 11 36 35 +1 52
15 Mirandes 41 13 13 15 47 52 -5 52
16 Santander 41 13 12 16 36 39 -3 51
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 17 13 42 44 -2 50
18 Villarreal B 41 13 11 17 46 51 -5 50
19 Malaga 41 10 13 18 36 43 -7 43
20 Ponferradina 41 8 17 16 36 52 -16 41
21 Ibiza 41 7 12 22 32 65 -33 33
22 Lugo 41 5 13 23 26 57 -31 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Granada 20 16 4 0 37 6 +31 52
2 Alaves 21 13 7 1 28 11 +17 46
3 Tenerife 21 12 6 3 28 12 +16 42
4 Eibar 21 11 8 2 24 13 +11 41
5 Levante 20 10 7 3 23 10 +13 37
6 Huesca 20 9 9 2 23 12 +11 36
7 Leganes 21 10 6 5 23 19 +4 36
8 Las Palmas 20 9 8 3 24 13 +11 35
9 Oviedo 21 10 5 6 18 15 +3 35
10 Albacete 20 9 7 4 28 18 +10 34
11 Zaragoza 21 8 10 3 25 16 +9 34
12 Mirandes 21 9 7 5 32 28 +4 34
13 Andorra 20 10 3 7 23 12 +11 33
14 Sp Gijon 20 8 9 3 27 18 +9 33
15 Villarreal B 21 9 6 6 32 24 +8 33
16 Burgos 20 8 8 4 22 18 +4 32
17 Cartagena 21 9 4 8 22 25 -3 31
18 Santander 20 8 6 6 19 15 +4 30
19 Malaga 20 7 8 5 19 16 +3 29
20 Ponferradina 21 6 7 8 18 24 -6 25
21 Ibiza 21 5 7 9 21 31 -10 22
22 Lugo 21 3 10 8 13 19 -6 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Las Palmas 21 9 9 3 25 16 +9 36
2 Levante 21 7 11 3 21 19 +2 32
3 Albacete 21 7 9 5 28 28 0 30
4 Cartagena 20 7 6 7 24 21 +3 27
5 Eibar 20 7 6 7 20 23 -3 27
6 Alaves 20 6 6 8 19 22 -3 24
7 Oviedo 20 6 6 8 15 18 -3 24
8 Andorra 21 5 8 8 20 22 -2 23
9 Burgos 21 5 7 9 11 16 -5 22
10 Santander 21 5 6 10 17 24 -7 21
11 Granada 21 5 5 11 16 24 -8 20
12 Zaragoza 21 4 7 10 15 23 -8 19
13 Mirandes 20 4 6 10 15 24 -9 18
14 Leganes 20 4 5 11 14 21 -7 17
15 Sp Gijon 21 3 8 10 15 26 -11 17
16 Villarreal B 20 4 5 11 14 27 -13 17
17 Ponferradina 20 2 10 8 18 28 -10 16
18 Huesca 21 2 10 9 13 23 -10 16
19 Tenerife 21 2 9 10 14 25 -11 15
20 Malaga 21 3 5 13 17 27 -10 14
21 Ibiza 20 2 5 13 11 34 -23 11
22 Lugo 20 2 3 15 13 38 -25 9

Burgos   Lugo

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Albacete 41 21 20 1.4 1.1 16 16 9 56 46 64
2 8 Cartagena 41 22 19 1.1 1.1 16 10 15 46 46 58
3 15 Mirandes 41 22 19 1.1 1.3 13 13 15 47 52 52
4 18 Villarreal B 41 22 19 1.1 1.2 13 11 17 46 51 50
5 21 Ibiza 41 23 18 0.8 1.6 7 12 22 32 65 33
6 13 Leganes 41 24 17 0.9 1.0 14 11 16 37 40 53
7 20 Ponferradina 41 24 17 0.9 1.3 8 17 16 36 52 41
8 3 Alaves 41 27 14 1.1 0.8 19 13 9 47 33 70
9 5 Eibar 41 27 14 1.1 0.9 18 14 9 44 36 68
10 22 Lugo 41 27 14 0.6 1.4 5 13 23 26 57 28
11 11 Burgos 41 28 13 0.8 0.8 13 15 13 33 34 54
12 12 Zaragoza 42 29 13 1.0 0.9 12 17 13 40 39 53
13 17 Sp Gijon 41 28 13 1.0 1.1 11 17 13 42 44 50
14 1 Granada 41 29 12 1.3 0.7 21 9 11 53 30 72
15 2 Las Palmas 41 29 12 1.2 0.7 18 17 6 49 29 71
16 4 Levante 41 29 12 1.1 0.7 17 18 6 44 29 69
17 19 Malaga 41 29 12 0.9 1.0 10 13 18 36 43 43
18 10 Andorra 41 30 11 1.0 0.8 15 11 15 43 34 56
19 14 Huesca 41 30 11 0.9 0.9 11 19 11 36 35 52
20 16 Santander 41 30 11 0.9 1.0 13 12 16 36 39 51
21 9 Tenerife 42 32 10 1.0 0.9 14 15 13 42 37 57
22 7 Oviedo 41 32 9 0.8 0.8 16 11 14 33 33 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Villarreal B 21 9 12 1.5 1.1 9 6 6 32 24 33
2 8 Cartagena 21 10 11 1.0 1.2 9 4 8 22 25 31
3 15 Mirandes 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 9 7 5 32 28 34
4 13 Leganes 21 11 10 1.1 0.9 10 6 5 23 19 36
5 6 Albacete 20 11 9 1.4 0.9 9 7 4 28 18 34
6 11 Burgos 20 11 9 1.1 0.9 8 8 4 22 18 32
7 21 Ibiza 21 12 9 1.0 1.5 5 7 9 21 31 22
8 20 Ponferradina 21 13 8 0.9 1.1 6 7 8 18 24 25
9 1 Granada 20 13 7 1.9 0.3 16 4 0 37 6 52
10 3 Alaves 21 14 7 1.3 0.5 13 7 1 28 11 46
11 5 Eibar 21 14 7 1.1 0.6 11 8 2 24 13 41
12 12 Zaragoza 21 14 7 1.2 0.8 8 10 3 25 16 34
13 17 Sp Gijon 20 13 7 1.4 0.9 8 9 3 27 18 33
14 2 Las Palmas 20 15 5 1.2 0.7 9 8 3 24 13 35
15 4 Levante 20 15 5 1.1 0.5 10 7 3 23 10 37
16 9 Tenerife 21 16 5 1.3 0.6 12 6 3 28 12 42
17 10 Andorra 20 15 5 1.1 0.6 10 3 7 23 12 33
18 22 Lugo 21 16 5 0.6 0.9 3 10 8 13 19 19
19 7 Oviedo 21 17 4 0.9 0.7 10 5 6 18 15 35
20 14 Huesca 20 16 4 1.1 0.6 9 9 2 23 12 36
21 16 Santander 20 16 4 0.9 0.8 8 6 6 19 15 30
22 19 Malaga 20 16 4 0.9 0.8 7 8 5 19 16 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Albacete 21 10 11 1.3 1.3 7 9 5 28 28 30
2 20 Ponferradina 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 2 10 8 18 28 16
3 21 Ibiza 20 11 9 0.6 1.7 2 5 13 11 34 11
4 22 Lugo 20 11 9 0.7 1.9 2 3 15 13 38 9
5 8 Cartagena 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 7 6 7 24 21 27
6 15 Mirandes 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 4 6 10 15 24 18
7 19 Malaga 21 13 8 0.8 1.3 3 5 13 17 27 14
8 2 Las Palmas 21 14 7 1.2 0.8 9 9 3 25 16 36
9 3 Alaves 20 13 7 0.9 1.1 6 6 8 19 22 24
10 4 Levante 21 14 7 1.0 0.9 7 11 3 21 19 32
11 5 Eibar 20 13 7 1.0 1.1 7 6 7 20 23 27
12 13 Leganes 20 13 7 0.7 1.1 4 5 11 14 21 17
13 14 Huesca 21 14 7 0.6 1.1 2 10 9 13 23 16
14 16 Santander 21 14 7 0.8 1.1 5 6 10 17 24 21
15 18 Villarreal B 20 13 7 0.7 1.4 4 5 11 14 27 17
16 10 Andorra 21 15 6 1.0 1.0 5 8 8 20 22 23
17 12 Zaragoza 21 15 6 0.7 1.1 4 7 10 15 23 19
18 17 Sp Gijon 21 15 6 0.7 1.2 3 8 10 15 26 17
19 1 Granada 21 16 5 0.8 1.1 5 5 11 16 24 20
20 7 Oviedo 20 15 5 0.8 0.9 6 6 8 15 18 24
21 9 Tenerife 21 16 5 0.7 1.2 2 9 10 14 25 15
22 11 Burgos 21 17 4 0.5 0.8 5 7 9 11 16 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51