Almeria 4–2 Ceuta – Spain Segunda Division, 1 Feb 2026

Match facts

Almeria Ceuta

16 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 2

21 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (258 league matches this season so far).

Result Almeria to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.67

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

50% 23% 27%

AlmeriaDrawCeuta

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Almeria before this match, all matches

1.57points / match

1.78scored / match

1.43conceded / match

10 6 7

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 41:33

Ceuta before this match, all matches

1.52points / match

1.22scored / match

1.30conceded / match

10 5 8

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 28:30

Almeria all matches all matches Ceuta

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.22

1.43 Goals conceded 1.30

3.22 Total goals 2.52

15.52 Shots 11.22

5.70 Shots on target 3.87

12.61 Shots faced 11.87

5.09 Corners 4.61

4.04 Corners against 4.78

14.04 Fouls 13.83

2.96 Yellow cards 2.52

0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.65

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

43% Wins 43%

26% Draws 22%

30% Losses 35%

96% Over 0.5 goals 91%

78% Over 1.5 goals 70%

70% Over 2.5 goals 52%

39% Over 3.5 goals 22%

22% Over 4.5 goals 13%

9% Over 5.5 goals 4%

70% Both teams scored 52%

26% Clean sheets 30%

9% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 30%

57% Draws 30%

13% Losses 39%

74% Over 0.5 goals 83%

39% Over 1.5 goals 43%

4% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almeria all matches

3

W

2

3

L

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

1

L

Ceuta all matches

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

W

1

D

1

D

3

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

L

3

1

W

Almeria before this match, at home

1.82points / match

2.18scored / match

1.55conceded / match

6 2 3

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 24:17

Ceuta before this match, away

0.91points / match

1.00scored / match

1.64conceded / match

2 4 5

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:18

Almeria at home away Ceuta

Per match

2.18 Goals scored 1.00

1.55 Goals conceded 1.64

3.73 Total goals 2.64

17.45 Shots 9.18

7.00 Shots on target 2.64

11.82 Shots faced 14.00

7.27 Corners 3.64

3.64 Corners against 5.27

14.36 Fouls 12.55

2.73 Yellow cards 2.45

0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.55

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 1.18

How often Full Time

55% Wins 18%

18% Draws 36%

27% Losses 45%

91% Over 0.5 goals 82%

82% Over 1.5 goals 73%

82% Over 2.5 goals 55%

45% Over 3.5 goals 27%

36% Over 4.5 goals 18%

18% Over 5.5 goals 9%

73% Both teams scored 55%

27% Clean sheets 27%

9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 9%

55% Draws 36%

9% Losses 55%

73% Over 0.5 goals 82%

45% Over 1.5 goals 64%

9% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almeria at home

2

3

L

2

1

W

4

2

W

1

W

3

1

W

3

W

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

2

L

Ceuta away

1

4

L

3

D

1

W

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Almeria all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.01.26	Eibar – Almeria	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.67
17.01.26	Almeria – La Coruna	1–2 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.75	1.80	2.00
10.01.26	Mirandes – Almeria	2–2 (1–1)	3.50	3.40	2.01	1.95	1.85
03.01.26	Almeria – Granada	3–2 (1–1)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.90	1.90
21.12.25	Malaga – Almeria	2–1 (1–0)	3.05	3.20	2.30	2.00	1.80
14.12.25	Almeria – Burgos	1–2 (1–1)	1.68	3.60	4.50	2.25	1.62
06.12.25	Andorra – Almeria	1–2 (0–0)	2.95	3.50	2.20	1.83	1.98
29.11.25	Almeria – Huesca	0–0 (0–0)	1.56	3.70	5.75	2.10	1.70
26.11.25	Ceuta – Almeria	3–2 (1–1)	3.05	3.40	2.25	1.90	1.90
22.11.25	Leganes – Almeria	0–3 (0–1)	2.85	3.20	2.45	2.05	1.75

Ceuta all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.01.26	Ceuta – Cultural Leonesa	3–1 (2–1)	1.96	3.40	3.75	2.08	1.73
17.01.26	Ceuta – Valladolid	0–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.10	2.82	2.20	1.65
11.01.26	Malaga – Ceuta	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
04.01.26	Ceuta – Andorra	2–1 (1–0)	1.86	3.50	4.00	1.95	1.85
21.12.25	Sociedad B – Ceuta	1–3 (1–1)	2.70	3.05	2.57	2.25	1.62
14.12.25	Ceuta – Las Palmas	1–1 (0–0)	2.82	2.95	2.55	2.60	1.48
07.12.25	Granada – Ceuta	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.65
29.11.25	Ceuta – Burgos	1–0 (1–0)	2.32	2.95	3.25	2.60	1.48
26.11.25	Ceuta – Almeria	3–2 (1–1)	3.05	3.40	2.25	1.90	1.90
23.11.25	La Coruna – Ceuta	2–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	4.75	1.98	1.83

Almeria at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.01.26	Almeria – La Coruna	1–2 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.75	1.80	2.00
03.01.26	Almeria – Granada	3–2 (1–1)	1.76	3.60	4.33	1.90	1.90
14.12.25	Almeria – Burgos	1–2 (1–1)	1.68	3.60	4.50	2.25	1.62
29.11.25	Almeria – Huesca	0–0 (0–0)	1.56	3.70	5.75	2.10	1.70
16.11.25	Almeria – Cadiz	3–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	5.25	1.83	1.98
01.11.25	Almeria – Eibar	3–1 (3–0)	1.68	3.60	4.75	1.98	1.83
26.10.25	Almeria – Castellon	1–0 (0–0)	1.86	3.60	3.70	1.60	2.30
11.10.25	Almeria – Zaragoza	4–2 (0–0)	1.61	4.00	5.00	1.85	1.95
20.09.25	Almeria – Sp Gijon	2–1 (0–1)	1.71	3.80	4.33	1.88	1.93
07.09.25	Almeria – Santander	2–3 (2–0)	1.76	3.80	4.20	1.57	2.35

Ceuta away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.01.26	Malaga – Ceuta	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
21.12.25	Sociedad B – Ceuta	1–3 (1–1)	2.70	3.05	2.57	2.25	1.62
07.12.25	Granada – Ceuta	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.65
23.11.25	La Coruna – Ceuta	2–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	4.75	1.98	1.83
02.11.25	Cordoba – Ceuta	2–0 (2–0)	1.86	3.30	4.20	1.98	1.83
25.10.25	Cultural Leonesa – Ceuta	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.05	3.20	2.35	1.57
12.10.25	Albacete – Ceuta	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.70	3.90	1.83	1.98
28.09.25	Cadiz – Ceuta	0–0 (0–0)	1.68	3.30	5.25	2.25	1.62
14.09.25	Castellon – Ceuta	3–3 (2–1)	1.61	3.90	5.00	1.67	2.15
30.08.25	Santander – Ceuta	4–1 (2–1)	1.51	4.00	5.75	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Almeria winsDrawsCeuta wins

1matches

5.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.11.25SP2	Ceuta – Almeria	3–2 (1–1)	3.05	3.40	2.25	1.90	1.90

Spain Segunda Division table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Santander	23	13	5	5	50	32	+18	44
2	La Coruna	24	11	7	6	38	26	+12	40
3	Castellon	23	11	6	6	36	25	+11	39
4	Las Palmas	24	10	9	5	29	20	+9	39
5	Malaga	23	11	5	7	35	26	+9	38
6	Cordoba	24	10	8	6	32	27	+5	38
7	Burgos	24	11	5	8	28	24	+4	38
8	Almeria	23	10	6	7	41	33	+8	36
9	Sp Gijon	23	11	3	9	33	31	+2	36
10	Ceuta	23	10	5	8	28	30	-2	35
11	Cadiz	23	9	7	7	26	26	0	34
12	Albacete	24	9	6	9	30	34	-4	33
13	Leganes	24	7	8	9	26	25	+1	29
14	Andorra	23	7	8	8	26	31	-5	29
15	Valladolid	24	7	7	10	25	27	-2	28
16	Eibar	23	7	7	9	24	26	-2	28
17	Granada	23	5	11	7	25	28	-3	26
18	Sociedad B	24	6	7	11	30	34	-4	25
19	Cultural Leonesa	24	7	4	13	25	38	-13	25
20	Huesca	23	6	6	11	21	32	-11	24
21	Zaragoza	24	5	7	12	21	37	-16	22
22	Mirandes	23	4	5	14	23	40	-17	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Malaga	12	7	4	1	24	12	+12	25
2	Ceuta	12	8	1	3	17	12	+5	25
3	Eibar	12	7	3	2	19	9	+10	24
4	Santander	12	7	2	3	29	16	+13	23
5	Castellon	11	7	2	2	24	14	+10	23
6	Burgos	13	6	4	3	14	9	+5	22
7	Las Palmas	12	6	3	3	18	10	+8	21
8	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	18	14	+4	21
9	Almeria	11	6	2	3	24	17	+7	20
10	Sociedad B	12	5	5	2	17	12	+5	20
11	Cadiz	12	6	2	4	15	13	+2	20
12	Cordoba	12	5	3	4	16	14	+2	18
13	La Coruna	11	4	4	3	15	12	+3	16
14	Huesca	11	4	4	3	14	14	0	16
15	Albacete	12	5	1	6	14	19	-5	16
16	Andorra	11	3	5	3	12	12	0	14
17	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	13	12	+1	13
18	Granada	12	2	7	3	13	13	0	13
19	Leganes	11	3	3	5	11	11	0	12
20	Zaragoza	12	2	4	6	9	19	-10	10
21	Cultural Leonesa	12	2	3	7	8	16	-8	9
22	Mirandes	11	2	2	7	9	19	-10	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	La Coruna	13	7	3	3	23	14	+9	24
2	Santander	11	6	3	2	21	16	+5	21
3	Cordoba	12	5	5	2	16	13	+3	20
4	Las Palmas	12	4	6	2	11	10	+1	18
5	Albacete	12	4	5	3	16	15	+1	17
6	Leganes	13	4	5	4	15	14	+1	17
7	Almeria	12	4	4	4	17	16	+1	16
8	Castellon	12	4	4	4	12	11	+1	16
9	Burgos	11	5	1	5	14	15	-1	16
10	Cultural Leonesa	12	5	1	6	17	22	-5	16
11	Sp Gijon	11	5	0	6	15	17	-2	15
12	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	12	15	-3	15
13	Andorra	12	4	3	5	14	19	-5	15
14	Cadiz	11	3	5	3	11	13	-2	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	12	15	-3	13
16	Malaga	11	4	1	6	11	14	-3	13
17	Zaragoza	12	3	3	6	12	18	-6	12
18	Ceuta	11	2	4	5	11	18	-7	10
19	Mirandes	12	2	3	7	14	21	-7	9
20	Huesca	12	2	2	8	7	18	-11	8
21	Sociedad B	12	1	2	9	13	22	-9	5
22	Eibar	11	0	4	7	5	17	-12	4

Almeria Ceuta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Santander	23	6	17	2.2	1.4	13	5	5	50	32	44
2	8	Almeria	23	7	16	1.8	1.4	10	6	7	41	33	36
3	2	La Coruna	24	11	13	1.6	1.1	11	7	6	38	26	40
4	5	Malaga	23	10	13	1.5	1.1	11	5	7	35	26	38
5	6	Cordoba	24	11	13	1.3	1.1	10	8	6	32	27	38
6	22	Mirandes	23	10	13	1.0	1.7	4	5	14	23	40	17
7	9	Sp Gijon	23	11	12	1.4	1.3	11	3	9	33	31	36
8	10	Ceuta	23	11	12	1.2	1.3	10	5	8	28	30	35
9	14	Andorra	23	11	12	1.1	1.3	7	8	8	26	31	29
10	3	Castellon	23	12	11	1.6	1.1	11	6	6	36	25	39
11	11	Cadiz	23	12	11	1.1	1.1	9	7	7	26	26	34
12	12	Albacete	24	13	11	1.2	1.4	9	6	9	30	34	33
13	16	Eibar	23	12	11	1.0	1.1	7	7	9	24	26	28
14	19	Cultural Leonesa	24	13	11	1.0	1.6	7	4	13	25	38	25
15	7	Burgos	24	14	10	1.2	1.0	11	5	8	28	24	38
16	13	Leganes	24	14	10	1.1	1.0	7	8	9	26	25	29
17	17	Granada	23	13	10	1.1	1.2	5	11	7	25	28	26
18	18	Sociedad B	24	14	10	1.2	1.4	6	7	11	30	34	25
19	4	Las Palmas	24	15	9	1.2	0.8	10	9	5	29	20	39
20	15	Valladolid	24	15	9	1.0	1.1	7	7	10	25	27	28
21	20	Huesca	23	14	9	0.9	1.4	6	6	11	21	32	24
22	21	Zaragoza	24	15	9	0.9	1.5	5	7	12	21	37	22

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Santander	12	2	10	2.4	1.3	7	2	3	29	16	23
2	8	Almeria	11	2	9	2.2	1.5	6	2	3	24	17	20
3	5	Malaga	12	4	8	2.0	1.0	7	4	1	24	12	25
4	16	Eibar	12	5	7	1.6	0.8	7	3	2	19	9	24
5	2	La Coruna	11	5	6	1.4	1.1	4	4	3	15	12	16
6	3	Castellon	11	5	6	2.2	1.3	7	2	2	24	14	23
7	4	Las Palmas	12	6	6	1.5	0.8	6	3	3	18	10	21
8	6	Cordoba	12	6	6	1.3	1.2	5	3	4	16	14	18
9	9	Sp Gijon	12	6	6	1.5	1.2	6	3	3	18	14	21
10	10	Ceuta	12	6	6	1.4	1.0	8	1	3	17	12	25
11	11	Cadiz	12	6	6	1.2	1.1	6	2	4	15	13	20
12	12	Albacete	12	6	6	1.2	1.6	5	1	6	14	19	16
13	22	Mirandes	11	5	6	0.8	1.7	2	2	7	9	19	8
14	14	Andorra	11	6	5	1.1	1.1	3	5	3	12	12	14
15	18	Sociedad B	12	7	5	1.4	1.0	5	5	2	17	12	20
16	20	Huesca	11	6	5	1.3	1.3	4	4	3	14	14	16
17	21	Zaragoza	12	7	5	0.8	1.6	2	4	6	9	19	10
18	13	Leganes	11	7	4	1.0	1.0	3	3	5	11	11	12
19	15	Valladolid	12	8	4	1.1	1.0	3	4	5	13	12	13
20	17	Granada	12	8	4	1.1	1.1	2	7	3	13	13	13
21	7	Burgos	13	10	3	1.1	0.7	6	4	3	14	9	22
22	19	Cultural Leonesa	12	9	3	0.7	1.3	2	3	7	8	16	9

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Cultural Leonesa	12	4	8	1.4	1.8	5	1	6	17	22	16
2	1	Santander	11	4	7	1.9	1.5	6	3	2	21	16	21
3	2	La Coruna	13	6	7	1.8	1.1	7	3	3	23	14	24
4	6	Cordoba	12	5	7	1.3	1.1	5	5	2	16	13	20
5	7	Burgos	11	4	7	1.3	1.4	5	1	5	14	15	16
6	8	Almeria	12	5	7	1.4	1.3	4	4	4	17	16	16
7	14	Andorra	12	5	7	1.2	1.6	4	3	5	14	19	15
8	22	Mirandes	12	5	7	1.2	1.8	2	3	7	14	21	9
9	9	Sp Gijon	11	5	6	1.4	1.5	5	0	6	15	17	15
10	10	Ceuta	11	5	6	1.0	1.6	2	4	5	11	18	10
11	13	Leganes	13	7	6	1.2	1.1	4	5	4	15	14	17
12	17	Granada	11	5	6	1.1	1.4	3	4	4	12	15	13
13	3	Castellon	12	7	5	1.0	0.9	4	4	4	12	11	16
14	5	Malaga	11	6	5	1.0	1.3	4	1	6	11	14	13
15	11	Cadiz	11	6	5	1.0	1.2	3	5	3	11	13	14
16	12	Albacete	12	7	5	1.3	1.2	4	5	3	16	15	17
17	15	Valladolid	12	7	5	1.0	1.2	4	3	5	12	15	15
18	18	Sociedad B	12	7	5	1.1	1.8	1	2	9	13	22	5
19	16	Eibar	11	7	4	0.5	1.5	0	4	7	5	17	4
20	20	Huesca	12	8	4	0.6	1.5	2	2	8	7	18	8
21	21	Zaragoza	12	8	4	1.0	1.5	3	3	6	12	18	12
22	4	Las Palmas	12	9	3	0.9	0.8	4	6	2	11	10	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.