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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Luton 3–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.24
Draw 3.30 fair 3.80
Away 3.25 fair 3.44
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.87
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.15

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Middlesbrough
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 0
14 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.53scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:20
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.13scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:15
Luton all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.13
1.33 Goals conceded 1.00
2.87 Total goals 2.13
11.73 Shots 12.87
4.00 Shots on target 4.67
11.13 Shots faced 10.27
5.13 Corners 5.87
5.73 Corners against 3.87
13.00 Fouls 10.60
1.80 Yellow cards 2.33
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

33% Wins 40%
40% Draws 20%
27% Losses 40%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 87%
53% Over 2.5 goals 20%
40% Over 3.5 goals 7%
27% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 33%
47% Clean sheets 40%
27% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 47%
20% Draws 47%
40% Losses 7%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
47% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.71points / match
1.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:8
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.14points / match
0.71scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:6
Luton at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 0.71
1.14 Goals conceded 0.86
2.86 Total goals 1.57
13.57 Shots 12.43
4.43 Shots on target 3.86
10.29 Shots faced 11.86
5.14 Corners 5.43
5.43 Corners against 4.43
13.00 Fouls 11.57
1.00 Yellow cards 3.14
1.29 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
14% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 0%
43% Over 3.5 goals 0%
43% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
14% Both teams scored 14%
71% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
29% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 43%
43% Over 1.5 goals 0%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 7 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Preston – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
23.10.21 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Luton – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.75 2.00 1.80
29.09.21 Luton – Coventry 5–0 (4–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00
18.09.21 Luton – Swansea 3–3 (3–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.72
15.09.21 Bristol City – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
11.09.21 Blackburn – Luton 2–2 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 1.90 1.90

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
20.10.21 Middlesbrough – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.50 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Middlesbrough – Peterboro 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 1.90 1.90
02.10.21 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.30 1.61
28.09.21 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–0 (2–0) 3.003.102.55 2.50 1.53
25.09.21 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Middlesbrough – Blackpool 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.20 1.66
15.09.21 Nott'm Forest – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.102.55 2.50 1.53
11.09.21 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.61

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.21 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Luton – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.75 2.00 1.80
29.09.21 Luton – Coventry 5–0 (4–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Luton – Swansea 3–3 (3–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.72
28.08.21 Luton – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
21.08.21 Luton – Birmingham 0–5 (0–2) 2.003.253.80 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Luton – Peterboro 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.85

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.21 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
02.10.21 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.30 1.61
25.09.21 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.72
15.09.21 Nott'm Forest – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.102.55 2.50 1.53
11.09.21 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.61
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
08.08.21 Fulham – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 15 11 4 0 26 8 +18 37
2 Fulham 15 10 2 3 36 14 +22 32
3 West Brom 15 8 4 3 25 14 +11 28
4 Coventry 15 8 3 4 21 17 +4 27
5 Huddersfield 15 7 3 5 19 17 +2 24
6 Blackpool 15 7 3 5 18 18 0 24
7 Blackburn 15 6 5 4 25 18 +7 23
8 QPR 15 6 4 5 26 23 +3 22
9 Stoke 15 6 4 5 20 19 +1 22
10 Luton 15 5 6 4 23 20 +3 21
11 Middlesbrough 15 6 3 6 17 15 +2 21
12 Millwall 15 5 6 4 15 16 -1 21
13 Swansea 15 5 5 5 18 17 +1 20
14 Birmingham 15 5 4 6 14 17 -3 19
15 Bristol City 15 5 4 6 17 21 -4 19
16 Reading 15 6 1 8 20 26 -6 19
17 Sheffield United 15 5 3 7 20 22 -2 18
18 Nott'm Forest 15 5 3 7 19 21 -2 18
19 Preston 15 4 6 5 16 18 -2 18
20 Derby 15 3 8 4 11 13 -2 17
21 Peterboro 15 4 2 9 16 30 -14 14
22 Cardiff 15 3 3 9 15 29 -14 12
23 Hull 15 2 3 10 9 21 -12 9
24 Barnsley 15 1 5 9 10 22 -12 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 8 6 1 1 19 5 +14 19
2 Coventry 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19
3 West Brom 7 5 2 0 14 4 +10 17
4 Bournemouth 7 5 2 0 16 7 +9 17
5 Stoke 8 5 2 1 13 8 +5 17
6 Huddersfield 8 5 1 2 12 9 +3 16
7 Swansea 8 4 3 1 10 4 +6 15
8 QPR 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
9 Preston 8 4 3 1 11 8 +3 15
10 Blackburn 7 4 2 1 16 8 +8 14
11 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 12 9 +3 13
12 Reading 8 4 1 3 14 13 +1 13
13 Luton 7 3 3 1 12 8 +4 12
14 Blackpool 7 4 0 3 6 7 -1 12
15 Peterboro 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11
16 Derby 8 2 5 1 8 7 +1 11
17 Millwall 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11
18 Sheffield United 8 3 1 4 13 11 +2 10
19 Birmingham 7 2 2 3 5 10 -5 8
20 Bristol City 8 1 4 3 6 9 -3 7
21 Barnsley 7 1 2 4 5 9 -4 5
22 Hull 8 1 2 5 5 11 -6 5
23 Cardiff 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
24 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 8 6 2 0 10 1 +9 20
2 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
3 Fulham 7 4 1 2 17 9 +8 13
4 Blackpool 8 3 3 2 12 11 +1 12
5 Bristol City 7 4 0 3 11 12 -1 12
6 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 9 7 +2 11
7 West Brom 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
8 Millwall 8 2 4 2 7 8 -1 10
9 Luton 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
10 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
11 Huddersfield 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
12 Middlesbrough 7 2 2 3 5 6 -1 8
13 Sheffield United 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
14 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 10 17 -7 8
15 Coventry 8 2 2 4 6 13 -7 8
16 QPR 7 2 1 4 13 15 -2 7
17 Derby 7 1 3 3 3 6 -3 6
18 Reading 7 2 0 5 6 13 -7 6
19 Stoke 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5
20 Swansea 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 5
21 Hull 7 1 1 5 4 10 -6 4
22 Preston 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3
23 Barnsley 8 0 3 5 5 13 -8 3
24 Peterboro 8 1 0 7 5 22 -17 3

Luton   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Peterboro 15 4 11 1.1 2.0 4 2 9 16 30 14
2 2 Fulham 15 5 10 2.4 0.9 10 2 3 36 14 32
3 8 QPR 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 6 4 5 26 23 22
4 3 West Brom 15 6 9 1.7 0.9 8 4 3 25 14 28
5 7 Blackburn 15 6 9 1.7 1.2 6 5 4 25 18 23
6 13 Swansea 15 6 9 1.2 1.1 5 5 5 18 17 20
7 16 Reading 15 6 9 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 20 26 19
8 17 Sheffield United 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 5 3 7 20 22 18
9 18 Nott'm Forest 15 6 9 1.3 1.4 5 3 7 19 21 18
10 1 Bournemouth 15 7 8 1.7 0.5 11 4 0 26 8 37
11 9 Stoke 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 5 20 19 22
12 10 Luton 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 5 6 4 23 20 21
13 15 Bristol City 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 6 17 21 19
14 22 Cardiff 15 7 8 1.0 1.9 3 3 9 15 29 12
15 4 Coventry 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 8 3 4 21 17 27
16 5 Huddersfield 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 19 17 24
17 6 Blackpool 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 7 3 5 18 18 24
18 19 Preston 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 6 5 16 18 18
19 12 Millwall 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 5 6 4 15 16 21
20 14 Birmingham 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 4 6 14 17 19
21 24 Barnsley 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 1 5 9 10 22 8
22 20 Derby 15 11 4 0.7 0.9 3 8 4 11 13 17
23 23 Hull 15 11 4 0.6 1.4 2 3 10 9 21 9
24 11 Middlesbrough 15 12 3 1.1 1.0 6 3 6 17 15 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bournemouth 7 0 7 2.3 1.0 5 2 0 16 7 17
2 2 Fulham 8 3 5 2.4 0.6 6 1 1 19 5 19
3 7 Blackburn 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 4 2 1 16 8 14
4 16 Reading 8 3 5 1.8 1.6 4 1 3 14 13 13
5 17 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 3 1 4 13 11 10
6 18 Nott'm Forest 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
7 21 Peterboro 7 2 5 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11
8 3 West Brom 7 3 4 2.0 0.6 5 2 0 14 4 17
9 4 Coventry 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19
10 10 Luton 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 1 12 8 12
11 13 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 0.5 4 3 1 10 4 15
12 5 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 5 1 2 12 9 16
13 8 QPR 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
14 9 Stoke 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 5 2 1 13 8 17
15 11 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 1 3 12 9 13
16 12 Millwall 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11
17 14 Birmingham 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 3 5 10 8
18 19 Preston 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 4 3 1 11 8 15
19 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 2 5 1 8 7 11
20 22 Cardiff 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
21 23 Hull 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 2 5 5 11 5
22 6 Blackpool 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 4 0 3 6 7 12
23 15 Bristol City 8 6 2 0.8 1.1 1 4 3 6 9 7
24 24 Barnsley 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 4 5 9 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 QPR 7 0 7 1.9 2.1 2 1 4 13 15 7
2 15 Bristol City 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 4 0 3 11 12 12
3 21 Peterboro 8 2 6 0.6 2.8 1 0 7 5 22 3
4 2 Fulham 7 2 5 2.4 1.3 4 1 2 17 9 13
5 3 West Brom 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
6 6 Blackpool 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 2 12 11 12
7 9 Stoke 7 2 5 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5
8 13 Swansea 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 1 2 4 8 13 5
9 22 Cardiff 8 3 5 1.2 2.1 2 2 4 10 17 8
10 5 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
11 7 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
12 10 Luton 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
13 16 Reading 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 5 6 13 6
14 17 Sheffield United 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 3 7 11 8
15 18 Nott'm Forest 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
16 4 Coventry 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 2 2 4 6 13 8
17 19 Preston 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
18 24 Barnsley 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 0 3 5 5 13 3
19 12 Millwall 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 4 2 7 8 10
20 14 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 2 3 9 7 11
21 1 Bournemouth 8 7 1 1.2 0.1 6 2 0 10 1 20
22 20 Derby 7 6 1 0.4 0.9 1 3 3 3 6 6
23 23 Hull 7 6 1 0.6 1.4 1 1 5 4 10 4
24 11 Middlesbrough 7 7 0 0.7 0.9 2 2 3 5 6 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51