Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Bond

Birmingham 3–0 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 2.92
Draw 3.30 fair 3.85
Away 2.45 fair 2.51
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Luton
9 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
0 Corners 7
8 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (355 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.7% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.10scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 34:49
Luton before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.41scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 41:33
Birmingham all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.41
1.58 Goals conceded 1.14
2.68 Total goals 2.55
11.68 Shots 11.07
3.48 Shots on target 3.52
11.42 Shots faced 10.86
4.19 Corners 4.97
5.35 Corners against 5.31
13.06 Fouls 11.97
1.94 Yellow cards 1.72
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

26% Wins 41%
29% Draws 31%
45% Losses 28%
87% Over 0.5 goals 86%
77% Over 1.5 goals 72%
55% Over 2.5 goals 48%
29% Over 3.5 goals 28%
10% Over 4.5 goals 17%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
45% Both teams scored 41%
32% Clean sheets 41%
35% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 34%
35% Draws 28%
39% Losses 38%
68% Over 0.5 goals 76%
29% Over 1.5 goals 31%
3% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Luton all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.27points / match
1.20scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:21
Luton before this match, away
1.36points / match
1.21scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:16
Birmingham at home away Luton

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.21
1.40 Goals conceded 1.14
2.60 Total goals 2.36
11.87 Shots 10.79
3.73 Shots on target 3.43
9.80 Shots faced 12.21
4.60 Corners 4.50
4.27 Corners against 5.79
13.20 Fouls 12.14
1.60 Yellow cards 2.14
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

33% Wins 36%
27% Draws 29%
40% Losses 36%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
80% Over 1.5 goals 79%
67% Over 2.5 goals 36%
20% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 36%
33% Clean sheets 43%
27% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 29%
40% Draws 29%
27% Losses 43%
60% Over 0.5 goals 71%
20% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.22 Bournemouth – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.534.007.00 1.95 1.90
04.02.22 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.72
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
25.01.22 Birmingham – Peterboro 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
22.01.22 Birmingham – Barnsley 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.66
18.01.22 Fulham – Birmingham 6–2 (4–1) 1.285.5011.00 1.61 2.30
15.01.22 Preston – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
02.01.22 Birmingham – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.66
18.12.21 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Birmingham – Cardiff 2–2 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
01.02.22 Swansea – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.37 1.57
29.01.22 Luton – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
25.01.22 Luton – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.404.75 1.95 1.90
22.01.22 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.01.22 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
15.01.22 Luton – Bournemouth 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.402.45 2.02 1.83
11.12.21 Luton – Fulham 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.72 2.10
04.12.21 Blackpool – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.66
27.11.21 Luton – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 2.05 1.80

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.22 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.72
25.01.22 Birmingham – Peterboro 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
22.01.22 Birmingham – Barnsley 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.66
02.01.22 Birmingham – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Birmingham – Cardiff 2–2 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72
27.11.21 Birmingham – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.20 1.66
06.11.21 Birmingham – Reading 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.404.75 2.10 1.72
02.11.21 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.20 2.00 1.80
23.10.21 Birmingham – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
02.10.21 Birmingham – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–2) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.22 Swansea – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.37 1.57
22.01.22 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.01.22 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
04.12.21 Blackpool – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.66
23.11.21 Nott'm Forest – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.87 2.30 1.61
19.11.21 QPR – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.90
30.10.21 Preston – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21E1 Luton – Birmingham 0–5 (0–2) 2.003.253.80 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 29 18 7 4 77 26 +51 61
2 Bournemouth 29 16 7 6 47 25 +22 55
3 Blackburn 31 15 8 8 45 33 +12 53
4 QPR 29 15 7 7 46 33 +13 52
5 Huddersfield 32 13 11 8 40 34 +6 50
6 Nott'm Forest 30 13 7 10 41 31 +10 46
7 Sheffield United 29 13 7 9 39 33 +6 46
8 Middlesbrough 29 13 7 9 34 28 +6 46
9 Luton 29 12 9 8 41 33 +8 45
10 West Brom 30 12 9 9 34 26 +8 45
11 Stoke 29 12 6 11 36 30 +6 42
12 Preston 31 10 12 9 34 35 -1 42
13 Coventry 28 11 8 9 36 32 +4 41
14 Blackpool 30 11 8 11 33 35 -2 41
15 Derby 30 9 12 9 31 31 0 39
16 Millwall 29 9 10 10 29 32 -3 37
17 Bristol City 31 10 7 14 41 55 -14 37
18 Swansea 29 9 8 12 29 38 -9 35
19 Birmingham 31 8 9 14 34 49 -15 33
20 Hull 30 9 5 16 26 35 -9 32
21 Cardiff 29 9 5 15 35 48 -13 32
22 Reading 29 8 4 17 34 57 -23 28
23 Peterboro 28 5 5 18 23 59 -36 20
24 Barnsley 29 2 8 19 18 45 -27 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 16 10 4 2 40 13 +27 34
2 Blackburn 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
3 West Brom 14 8 5 1 21 8 +13 29
4 QPR 16 8 5 3 23 13 +10 29
5 Middlesbrough 15 9 2 4 21 13 +8 29
6 Huddersfield 16 8 5 3 22 16 +6 29
7 Bournemouth 14 8 3 3 29 15 +14 27
8 Coventry 15 8 3 4 23 14 +9 27
9 Derby 15 7 6 2 21 14 +7 27
10 Luton 15 7 5 3 24 17 +7 26
11 Blackpool 16 8 2 6 16 16 0 26
12 Stoke 15 7 3 5 22 16 +6 24
13 Millwall 14 6 5 3 16 12 +4 23
14 Preston 15 5 8 2 20 17 +3 23
15 Bristol City 16 6 5 5 20 20 0 23
16 Swansea 14 6 4 4 16 13 +3 22
17 Nott'm Forest 15 6 3 6 19 18 +1 21
18 Sheffield United 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
19 Birmingham 15 5 4 6 18 21 -3 19
20 Hull 15 5 3 7 15 17 -2 18
21 Peterboro 13 4 4 5 15 17 -2 16
22 Reading 15 4 4 7 21 31 -10 16
23 Cardiff 14 4 1 9 15 20 -5 13
24 Barnsley 14 2 4 8 8 17 -9 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 15 8 4 3 18 10 +8 28
2 Fulham 13 8 3 2 37 13 +24 27
3 Sheffield United 17 7 5 5 20 22 -2 26
4 Nott'm Forest 15 7 4 4 22 13 +9 25
5 QPR 13 7 2 4 23 20 +3 23
6 Huddersfield 16 5 6 5 18 18 0 21
7 Blackburn 15 5 5 5 14 14 0 20
8 Luton 14 5 4 5 17 16 +1 19
9 Preston 16 5 4 7 14 18 -4 19
10 Cardiff 15 5 4 6 20 28 -8 19
11 Stoke 14 5 3 6 14 14 0 18
12 Middlesbrough 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
13 West Brom 16 4 4 8 13 18 -5 16
14 Blackpool 14 3 6 5 17 19 -2 15
15 Coventry 13 3 5 5 13 18 -5 14
16 Millwall 15 3 5 7 13 20 -7 14
17 Hull 15 4 2 9 11 18 -7 14
18 Birmingham 16 3 5 8 16 28 -12 14
19 Bristol City 15 4 2 9 21 35 -14 14
20 Swansea 15 3 4 8 13 25 -12 13
21 Derby 15 2 6 7 10 17 -7 12
22 Reading 14 4 0 10 13 26 -13 12
23 Barnsley 15 0 4 11 10 28 -18 4
24 Peterboro 15 1 1 13 8 42 -34 4

Birmingham   Luton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 31 11 20 1.3 1.8 10 7 14 41 55 37
2 23 Peterboro 28 10 18 0.8 2.1 5 5 18 23 59 20
3 1 Fulham 29 12 17 2.7 0.9 18 7 4 77 26 61
4 19 Birmingham 31 14 17 1.1 1.6 8 9 14 34 49 33
5 21 Cardiff 29 12 17 1.2 1.7 9 5 15 35 48 32
6 22 Reading 29 12 17 1.2 2.0 8 4 17 34 57 28
7 4 QPR 29 13 16 1.6 1.1 15 7 7 46 33 52
8 2 Bournemouth 29 14 15 1.6 0.9 16 7 6 47 25 55
9 6 Nott'm Forest 30 15 15 1.4 1.0 13 7 10 41 31 46
10 3 Blackburn 31 17 14 1.5 1.1 15 8 8 45 33 53
11 9 Luton 29 15 14 1.4 1.1 12 9 8 41 33 45
12 12 Preston 31 17 14 1.1 1.1 10 12 9 34 35 42
13 18 Swansea 29 15 14 1.0 1.3 9 8 12 29 38 35
14 7 Sheffield United 29 16 13 1.3 1.1 13 7 9 39 33 46
15 13 Coventry 28 15 13 1.3 1.1 11 8 9 36 32 41
16 5 Huddersfield 32 20 12 1.2 1.1 13 11 8 40 34 50
17 11 Stoke 29 17 12 1.2 1.0 12 6 11 36 30 42
18 14 Blackpool 30 18 12 1.1 1.2 11 8 11 33 35 41
19 15 Derby 30 18 12 1.0 1.0 9 12 9 31 31 39
20 24 Barnsley 29 17 12 0.6 1.6 2 8 19 18 45 14
21 10 West Brom 30 19 11 1.1 0.9 12 9 9 34 26 45
22 16 Millwall 29 19 10 1.0 1.1 9 10 10 29 32 37
23 8 Middlesbrough 29 20 9 1.2 1.0 13 7 9 34 28 46
24 20 Hull 30 22 8 0.9 1.2 9 5 16 26 35 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 14 2 12 2.1 1.1 8 3 3 29 15 27
2 3 Blackburn 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33
3 19 Birmingham 15 5 10 1.2 1.4 5 4 6 18 21 19
4 1 Fulham 16 7 9 2.5 0.8 10 4 2 40 13 34
5 6 Nott'm Forest 15 6 9 1.3 1.2 6 3 6 19 18 21
6 9 Luton 15 6 9 1.6 1.1 7 5 3 24 17 26
7 13 Coventry 15 7 8 1.5 0.9 8 3 4 23 14 27
8 22 Reading 15 7 8 1.4 2.1 4 4 7 21 31 16
9 11 Stoke 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 22 16 24
10 12 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 5 8 2 20 17 23
11 15 Derby 15 8 7 1.4 0.9 7 6 2 21 14 27
12 17 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 6 5 5 20 20 23
13 21 Cardiff 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 4 1 9 15 20 13
14 23 Peterboro 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 15 17 16
15 14 Blackpool 16 10 6 1.0 1.0 8 2 6 16 16 26
16 18 Swansea 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 6 4 4 16 13 22
17 4 QPR 16 11 5 1.4 0.8 8 5 3 23 13 29
18 5 Huddersfield 16 11 5 1.4 1.0 8 5 3 22 16 29
19 7 Sheffield United 12 7 5 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
20 8 Middlesbrough 15 10 5 1.4 0.9 9 2 4 21 13 29
21 10 West Brom 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 5 1 21 8 29
22 20 Hull 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 5 3 7 15 17 18
23 16 Millwall 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 6 5 3 16 12 23
24 24 Barnsley 14 11 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 8 8 17 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 15 2 13 1.4 2.3 4 2 9 21 35 14
2 4 QPR 13 2 11 1.8 1.5 7 2 4 23 20 23
3 23 Peterboro 15 4 11 0.5 2.8 1 1 13 8 42 4
4 21 Cardiff 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 4 6 20 28 19
5 22 Reading 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 4 0 10 13 26 12
6 24 Barnsley 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 0 4 11 10 28 4
7 1 Fulham 13 5 8 2.8 1.0 8 3 2 37 13 27
8 7 Sheffield United 17 9 8 1.2 1.3 7 5 5 20 22 26
9 18 Swansea 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 4 8 13 25 13
10 5 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 6 5 18 18 21
11 12 Preston 16 9 7 0.9 1.1 5 4 7 14 18 19
12 19 Birmingham 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 8 16 28 14
13 6 Nott'm Forest 15 9 6 1.5 0.9 7 4 4 22 13 25
14 10 West Brom 16 10 6 0.8 1.1 4 4 8 13 18 16
15 14 Blackpool 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 3 6 5 17 19 15
16 16 Millwall 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 3 5 7 13 20 14
17 9 Luton 14 9 5 1.2 1.1 5 4 5 17 16 19
18 11 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 1.0 5 3 6 14 14 18
19 13 Coventry 13 8 5 1.0 1.4 3 5 5 13 18 14
20 15 Derby 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 2 6 7 10 17 12
21 3 Blackburn 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 5 5 5 14 14 20
22 8 Middlesbrough 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 4 5 5 13 15 17
23 2 Bournemouth 15 12 3 1.2 0.7 8 4 3 18 10 28
24 20 Hull 15 12 3 0.7 1.2 4 2 9 11 18 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51