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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Harrington

Blackburn 3–1 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.83 fair 1.97
Draw 3.30 fair 3.72
Away 4.75 fair 4.48
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Blackburn Derby
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 1
6 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (434 league matches this season so far).
Result Blackburn to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.44 – 0.85
Home / Draw / Away
BlackburnDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.6% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 10.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Blackburn before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.24scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 46:37
Derby before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
0.97scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 36:41
Blackburn all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 0.97
1.00 Goals conceded 1.11
2.24 Total goals 2.08
10.76 Shots 9.68
4.22 Shots on target 2.97
10.62 Shots faced 12.11
4.92 Corners 4.41
4.54 Corners against 4.65
10.92 Fouls 10.03
2.32 Yellow cards 2.03
0.51 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

43% Wins 30%
27% Draws 32%
30% Losses 38%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
62% Over 1.5 goals 62%
38% Over 2.5 goals 38%
22% Over 3.5 goals 16%
8% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 49%
41% Clean sheets 32%
35% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 22%
51% Draws 51%
24% Losses 27%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
32% Over 1.5 goals 24%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackburn all matches
Derby all matches
Blackburn before this match, at home
1.95points / match
1.68scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 32:20
Derby before this match, away
0.63points / match
0.58scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 11:25
Blackburn at home away Derby

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 0.58
1.05 Goals conceded 1.32
2.74 Total goals 1.89
12.53 Shots 8.68
5.37 Shots on target 2.53
9.95 Shots faced 12.74
5.21 Corners 4.47
4.16 Corners against 4.95
10.42 Fouls 9.79
2.21 Yellow cards 2.05
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

58% Wins 11%
21% Draws 32%
21% Losses 58%
89% Over 0.5 goals 84%
68% Over 1.5 goals 58%
53% Over 2.5 goals 32%
37% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 5%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
37% Both teams scored 42%
47% Clean sheets 21%
26% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 5%
53% Draws 63%
16% Losses 32%
58% Over 0.5 goals 47%
42% Over 1.5 goals 16%
11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackburn at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Blackburn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.22 Blackburn – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.72
08.03.22 Blackburn – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.104.00 2.75 1.44
05.03.22 Fulham – Blackburn 2–0 (2–0) 1.444.338.50 1.83 2.02
26.02.22 Blackburn – QPR 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.10 1.72
23.02.22 Sheffield United – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 2.10 1.72
14.02.22 West Brom – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 2.20 1.66
09.02.22 Blackburn – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.66
05.02.22 Swansea – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.90 2.50 1.53
29.01.22 Luton – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
24.01.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.22 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50
19.02.22 Derby – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.72
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
08.02.22 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53

Blackburn at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.22 Blackburn – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.72
08.03.22 Blackburn – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.104.00 2.75 1.44
26.02.22 Blackburn – QPR 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.10 1.72
09.02.22 Blackburn – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.66
24.01.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66
02.01.22 Blackburn – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 2.02 1.83
29.12.21 Blackburn – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.50 1.93 1.93
18.12.21 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
04.12.21 Blackburn – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
24.11.21 Blackburn – Peterboro 4–0 (3–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.02

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.22 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
24.11.21 Fulham – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.285.5010.00 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Blackburn winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21E1 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 36 23 8 5 90 31 +59 77
2 Bournemouth 34 19 8 7 55 30 +25 65
3 Huddersfield 37 17 12 8 51 38 +13 63
4 QPR 36 17 8 11 52 42 +10 59
5 Blackburn 37 16 10 11 46 37 +9 58
6 Sheffield United 36 16 9 11 50 40 +10 57
7 Luton 36 16 9 11 49 41 +8 57
8 Middlesbrough 36 16 8 12 46 40 +6 56
9 Nott'm Forest 35 15 10 10 50 34 +16 55
10 Coventry 36 15 9 12 48 43 +5 54
11 Millwall 36 14 12 10 37 34 +3 54
12 Blackpool 36 14 9 13 42 41 +1 51
13 Preston 37 12 15 10 40 40 0 51
14 West Brom 36 13 11 12 39 34 +5 50
15 Stoke 36 12 10 14 45 42 +3 46
16 Derby 37 11 12 14 36 41 -5 45
17 Swansea 35 12 8 15 38 50 -12 44
18 Cardiff 37 12 7 18 43 55 -12 43
19 Bristol City 37 12 7 18 47 65 -18 43
20 Birmingham 37 10 11 16 42 56 -14 41
21 Hull 37 10 8 19 30 41 -11 38
22 Reading 36 10 5 21 42 72 -30 35
23 Barnsley 36 5 10 21 26 52 -26 25
24 Peterboro 36 5 8 23 27 72 -45 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 19 12 4 3 45 16 +29 40
2 Middlesbrough 18 12 2 4 29 16 +13 38
3 Blackburn 19 11 4 4 32 20 +12 37
4 Huddersfield 18 10 5 3 27 17 +10 35
5 Bournemouth 17 10 4 3 34 17 +17 34
6 Coventry 19 10 4 5 29 17 +12 34
7 QPR 19 9 6 4 27 17 +10 33
8 Derby 18 9 6 3 25 16 +9 33
9 Millwall 18 9 6 3 21 13 +8 33
10 Luton 18 9 5 4 28 19 +9 32
11 Blackpool 19 10 2 7 22 19 +3 32
12 Sheffield United 17 9 4 4 29 13 +16 31
13 West Brom 17 8 7 2 23 12 +11 31
14 Nott'm Forest 18 8 4 6 27 20 +7 28
15 Swansea 17 8 4 5 23 20 +3 28
16 Preston 18 6 9 3 24 21 +3 27
17 Bristol City 19 7 5 7 24 25 -1 26
18 Stoke 18 7 4 7 25 21 +4 25
19 Birmingham 18 6 5 7 21 23 -2 23
20 Cardiff 19 6 3 10 19 22 -3 21
21 Reading 18 5 4 9 25 36 -11 19
22 Peterboro 17 4 6 7 17 23 -6 18
23 Hull 18 5 3 10 15 22 -7 18
24 Barnsley 18 4 6 8 14 21 -7 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 17 11 4 2 45 15 +30 37
2 Bournemouth 17 9 4 4 21 13 +8 31
3 Huddersfield 19 7 7 5 24 21 +3 28
4 Nott'm Forest 17 7 6 4 23 14 +9 27
5 QPR 17 8 2 7 25 25 0 26
6 Sheffield United 19 7 5 7 21 27 -6 26
7 Luton 18 7 4 7 21 22 -1 25
8 Preston 19 6 6 7 16 19 -3 24
9 Cardiff 18 6 4 8 24 33 -9 22
10 Stoke 18 5 6 7 20 21 -1 21
11 Blackburn 18 5 6 7 14 17 -3 21
12 Millwall 18 5 6 7 16 21 -5 21
13 Hull 19 5 5 9 15 19 -4 20
14 Coventry 17 5 5 7 19 26 -7 20
15 Blackpool 17 4 7 6 20 22 -2 19
16 West Brom 19 5 4 10 16 22 -6 19
17 Middlesbrough 18 4 6 8 17 24 -7 18
18 Birmingham 19 4 6 9 21 33 -12 18
19 Bristol City 18 5 2 11 23 40 -17 17
20 Swansea 18 4 4 10 15 30 -15 16
21 Reading 18 5 1 12 17 36 -19 16
22 Derby 19 2 6 11 11 25 -14 12
23 Barnsley 18 1 4 13 12 31 -19 7
24 Peterboro 19 1 2 16 10 49 -39 5

Blackburn   Derby

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 37 13 24 1.3 1.8 12 7 18 47 65 43
2 22 Reading 36 14 22 1.2 2.0 10 5 21 42 72 35
3 24 Peterboro 36 14 22 0.8 2.0 5 8 23 27 72 23
4 20 Birmingham 37 16 21 1.1 1.5 10 11 16 42 56 41
5 1 Fulham 36 16 20 2.5 0.9 23 8 5 90 31 77
6 18 Cardiff 37 17 20 1.2 1.5 12 7 18 43 55 43
7 4 QPR 36 17 19 1.4 1.2 17 8 11 52 42 59
8 2 Bournemouth 34 16 18 1.6 0.9 19 8 7 55 30 65
9 7 Luton 36 18 18 1.4 1.1 16 9 11 49 41 57
10 17 Swansea 35 17 18 1.1 1.4 12 8 15 38 50 44
11 9 Nott'm Forest 35 18 17 1.4 1.0 15 10 10 50 34 55
12 10 Coventry 36 19 17 1.3 1.2 15 9 12 48 43 54
13 15 Stoke 36 19 17 1.2 1.2 12 10 14 45 42 46
14 3 Huddersfield 37 21 16 1.4 1.0 17 12 8 51 38 63
15 6 Sheffield United 36 20 16 1.4 1.1 16 9 11 50 40 57
16 13 Preston 37 21 16 1.1 1.1 12 15 10 40 40 51
17 8 Middlesbrough 36 21 15 1.3 1.1 16 8 12 46 40 56
18 12 Blackpool 36 21 15 1.2 1.1 14 9 13 42 41 51
19 5 Blackburn 37 23 14 1.2 1.0 16 10 11 46 37 58
20 16 Derby 37 23 14 1.0 1.1 11 12 14 36 41 45
21 14 West Brom 36 23 13 1.1 0.9 13 11 12 39 34 50
22 23 Barnsley 36 23 13 0.7 1.4 5 10 21 26 52 25
23 11 Millwall 36 24 12 1.0 0.9 14 12 10 37 34 54
24 21 Hull 37 28 9 0.8 1.1 10 8 19 30 41 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 17 4 13 2.0 1.0 10 4 3 34 17 34
2 1 Fulham 19 8 11 2.4 0.8 12 4 3 45 16 40
3 9 Nott'm Forest 18 7 11 1.5 1.1 8 4 6 27 20 28
4 20 Birmingham 18 7 11 1.2 1.3 6 5 7 21 23 23
5 5 Blackburn 19 9 10 1.7 1.1 11 4 4 32 20 37
6 7 Luton 18 8 10 1.6 1.1 9 5 4 28 19 32
7 19 Bristol City 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 5 7 24 25 26
8 22 Reading 18 8 10 1.4 2.0 5 4 9 25 36 19
9 10 Coventry 19 10 9 1.5 0.9 10 4 5 29 17 34
10 13 Preston 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 6 9 3 24 21 27
11 15 Stoke 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 7 4 7 25 21 25
12 17 Swansea 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 8 4 5 23 20 28
13 24 Peterboro 17 8 9 1.0 1.4 4 6 7 17 23 18
14 8 Middlesbrough 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 12 2 4 29 16 38
15 12 Blackpool 19 11 8 1.2 1.0 10 2 7 22 19 32
16 16 Derby 18 10 8 1.4 0.9 9 6 3 25 16 33
17 3 Huddersfield 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 10 5 3 27 17 35
18 4 QPR 19 12 7 1.4 0.9 9 6 4 27 17 33
19 6 Sheffield United 17 10 7 1.7 0.8 9 4 4 29 13 31
20 18 Cardiff 19 12 7 1.0 1.2 6 3 10 19 22 21
21 14 West Brom 17 11 6 1.4 0.7 8 7 2 23 12 31
22 11 Millwall 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 9 6 3 21 13 33
23 21 Hull 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 5 3 10 15 22 18
24 23 Barnsley 18 14 4 0.8 1.2 4 6 8 14 21 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 18 4 14 1.3 2.2 5 2 11 23 40 17
2 18 Cardiff 18 5 13 1.3 1.8 6 4 8 24 33 22
3 24 Peterboro 19 6 13 0.5 2.6 1 2 16 10 49 5
4 4 QPR 17 5 12 1.5 1.5 8 2 7 25 25 26
5 22 Reading 18 6 12 0.9 2.0 5 1 12 17 36 16
6 20 Birmingham 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 4 6 9 21 33 18
7 1 Fulham 17 8 9 2.6 0.9 11 4 2 45 15 37
8 3 Huddersfield 19 10 9 1.3 1.1 7 7 5 24 21 28
9 6 Sheffield United 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 7 5 7 21 27 26
10 17 Swansea 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 4 4 10 15 30 16
11 23 Barnsley 18 9 9 0.7 1.7 1 4 13 12 31 7
12 7 Luton 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 7 4 7 21 22 25
13 10 Coventry 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 5 5 7 19 26 20
14 15 Stoke 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 20 21 21
15 8 Middlesbrough 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 4 6 8 17 24 18
16 11 Millwall 18 11 7 0.9 1.2 5 6 7 16 21 21
17 12 Blackpool 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 4 7 6 20 22 19
18 13 Preston 19 12 7 0.8 1.0 6 6 7 16 19 24
19 14 West Brom 19 12 7 0.8 1.2 5 4 10 16 22 19
20 9 Nott'm Forest 17 11 6 1.4 0.8 7 6 4 23 14 27
21 16 Derby 19 13 6 0.6 1.3 2 6 11 11 25 12
22 2 Bournemouth 17 12 5 1.2 0.8 9 4 4 21 13 31
23 5 Blackburn 18 14 4 0.8 0.9 5 6 7 14 17 21
24 21 Hull 19 15 4 0.8 1.0 5 5 9 15 19 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51