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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Stoke 1–2 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 1.66 fair 2.21
Draw 3.75 fair 3.37
Away ✓ 5.50 fair 3.99
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.50
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Derby
7 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 5
15 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.22 – 0.83
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 15.8% 1–1 13% 0–0 13%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.18scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:21
Derby before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
0.83scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 19:21
Stoke all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.83
0.95 Goals conceded 0.91
2.14 Total goals 1.74
11.41 Shots 9.48
3.91 Shots on target 3.09
10.86 Shots faced 13.09
5.50 Corners 3.96
5.64 Corners against 4.83
10.68 Fouls 10.04
2.27 Yellow cards 1.96
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

45% Wins 26%
23% Draws 43%
32% Losses 30%
91% Over 0.5 goals 78%
59% Over 1.5 goals 52%
36% Over 2.5 goals 30%
14% Over 3.5 goals 9%
9% Over 4.5 goals 4%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 48%
41% Clean sheets 39%
27% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 22%
50% Draws 57%
14% Losses 22%
59% Over 0.5 goals 57%
23% Over 1.5 goals 26%
5% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Derby all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.91points / match
1.36scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:9
Derby before this match, away
0.73points / match
0.45scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 5:10
Stoke at home away Derby

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.45
0.82 Goals conceded 0.91
2.18 Total goals 1.36
10.36 Shots 9.55
4.09 Shots on target 2.91
9.73 Shots faced 13.36
5.27 Corners 4.00
5.27 Corners against 5.00
10.64 Fouls 8.64
2.09 Yellow cards 1.64
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

55% Wins 9%
27% Draws 45%
18% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 73%
55% Over 1.5 goals 45%
27% Over 2.5 goals 18%
18% Over 3.5 goals 0%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 36%
45% Clean sheets 36%
27% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 0%
64% Draws 73%
0% Losses 27%
45% Over 0.5 goals 45%
27% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66
05.12.21 QPR – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.10 2.05 1.80
27.11.21 Stoke – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
24.11.21 Bristol City – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 2.00 1.85
20.11.21 Stoke – Peterboro 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.50 1.83 2.02
06.11.21 Luton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
03.11.21 Blackpool – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
30.10.21 Stoke – Cardiff 3–3 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.80
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
19.10.21 Stoke – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.80 2.00 1.80

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
29.11.21 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80
24.11.21 Fulham – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.285.5010.00 1.72 2.10
21.11.21 Derby – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 4.503.501.80 2.30 1.61
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Coventry – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.72

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66
27.11.21 Stoke – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
20.11.21 Stoke – Peterboro 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.50 1.83 2.02
30.10.21 Stoke – Cardiff 3–3 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.80
19.10.21 Stoke – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.80 2.00 1.80
01.10.21 Stoke – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Stoke – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.20 1.66
15.09.21 Stoke – Barnsley 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.505.00 2.20 1.66
11.09.21 Stoke – Huddersfield 2–1 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.10 1.72
21.08.21 Stoke – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.30 1.61

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
24.11.21 Fulham – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.285.5010.00 1.72 2.10
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Coventry – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61
25.09.21 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72
14.09.21 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90
10.09.21 Birmingham – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.75 2.37 1.57
18.08.21 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.21E1 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 24 13 7 4 38 20 +18 46
2 Fulham 23 13 6 4 51 19 +32 45
3 Blackburn 24 13 6 5 43 28 +15 45
4 West Brom 24 11 8 5 30 18 +12 41
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 6 8 29 24 +5 39
6 Huddersfield 24 10 6 8 31 29 +2 36
7 QPR 22 10 5 7 33 28 +5 35
8 Stoke 22 10 5 7 26 21 +5 35
9 Nott'm Forest 24 9 7 8 32 27 +5 34
10 Coventry 23 9 7 7 29 27 +2 34
11 Millwall 23 8 9 6 25 24 +1 33
12 Sheffield United 22 9 5 8 29 28 +1 32
13 Blackpool 25 8 6 11 26 32 -6 30
14 Luton 22 7 8 7 31 27 +4 29
15 Derby 23 6 10 7 19 21 -2 28
16 Preston 22 7 7 8 24 28 -4 28
17 Swansea 22 7 6 9 26 31 -5 27
18 Reading 22 8 3 11 27 34 -7 27
19 Birmingham 23 7 6 10 22 30 -8 27
20 Bristol City 23 7 6 10 26 35 -9 27
21 Hull 23 6 5 12 20 28 -8 23
22 Cardiff 22 6 4 12 25 39 -14 22
23 Peterboro 23 5 4 14 20 44 -24 19
24 Barnsley 24 2 8 14 16 36 -20 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 13 9 2 2 30 17 +13 29
2 West Brom 11 7 4 0 17 5 +12 25
3 Fulham 12 7 3 2 24 8 +16 24
4 Coventry 12 7 2 3 20 11 +9 23
5 Middlesbrough 13 7 2 4 18 12 +6 23
6 Huddersfield 12 7 2 3 18 14 +4 23
7 Bournemouth 11 6 3 2 23 13 +10 21
8 Stoke 11 6 3 2 15 9 +6 21
9 QPR 12 6 3 3 16 11 +5 21
10 Derby 12 5 5 2 14 11 +3 20
11 Preston 11 5 4 2 15 12 +3 19
12 Millwall 11 5 4 2 14 11 +3 19
13 Blackpool 13 5 2 6 11 15 -4 17
14 Luton 11 4 4 3 17 13 +4 16
15 Peterboro 11 4 4 3 14 11 +3 16
16 Swansea 11 4 4 3 14 12 +2 16
17 Reading 11 4 3 4 16 16 0 15
18 Nott'm Forest 12 4 3 5 14 16 -2 15
19 Birmingham 11 4 3 4 12 14 -2 15
20 Sheffield United 10 4 2 4 15 11 +4 14
21 Bristol City 12 3 5 4 11 13 -2 14
22 Hull 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
23 Barnsley 12 2 4 6 8 15 -7 10
24 Cardiff 11 2 1 8 9 18 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 13 7 4 2 15 7 +8 25
2 Fulham 11 6 3 2 27 11 +16 21
3 Nott'm Forest 12 5 4 3 18 11 +7 19
4 Sheffield United 12 5 3 4 14 17 -3 18
5 Blackburn 11 4 4 3 13 11 +2 16
6 West Brom 13 4 4 5 13 13 0 16
7 Middlesbrough 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
8 Cardiff 11 4 3 4 16 21 -5 15
9 QPR 10 4 2 4 17 17 0 14
10 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 12 -1 14
11 Millwall 12 3 5 4 11 13 -2 14
12 Luton 11 3 4 4 14 14 0 13
13 Blackpool 12 3 4 5 15 17 -2 13
14 Huddersfield 12 3 4 5 13 15 -2 13
15 Bristol City 11 4 1 6 15 22 -7 13
16 Birmingham 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
17 Reading 11 4 0 7 11 18 -7 12
18 Hull 12 3 2 7 9 14 -5 11
19 Swansea 11 3 2 6 12 19 -7 11
20 Coventry 11 2 5 4 9 16 -7 11
21 Preston 11 2 3 6 9 16 -7 9
22 Derby 11 1 5 5 5 10 -5 8
23 Barnsley 12 0 4 8 8 21 -13 4
24 Peterboro 12 1 0 11 6 33 -27 3

Stoke   Derby

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Blackburn 24 10 14 1.8 1.2 13 6 5 43 28 45
2 23 Peterboro 23 9 14 0.9 1.9 5 4 14 20 44 19
3 17 Swansea 22 9 13 1.2 1.4 7 6 9 26 31 27
4 22 Cardiff 22 9 13 1.1 1.8 6 4 12 25 39 22
5 1 Bournemouth 24 12 12 1.6 0.8 13 7 4 38 20 46
6 2 Fulham 23 11 12 2.2 0.8 13 6 4 51 19 45
7 9 Nott'm Forest 24 12 12 1.3 1.1 9 7 8 32 27 34
8 20 Bristol City 23 11 12 1.1 1.5 7 6 10 26 35 27
9 6 Huddersfield 24 13 11 1.3 1.2 10 6 8 31 29 36
10 7 QPR 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 10 5 7 33 28 35
11 10 Coventry 23 12 11 1.3 1.2 9 7 7 29 27 34
12 12 Sheffield United 22 11 11 1.3 1.3 9 5 8 29 28 32
13 13 Blackpool 25 14 11 1.0 1.3 8 6 11 26 32 30
14 14 Luton 22 11 11 1.4 1.2 7 8 7 31 27 29
15 16 Preston 22 11 11 1.1 1.3 7 7 8 24 28 28
16 18 Reading 22 11 11 1.2 1.5 8 3 11 27 34 27
17 4 West Brom 24 14 10 1.2 0.8 11 8 5 30 18 41
18 19 Birmingham 23 13 10 1.0 1.3 7 6 10 22 30 27
19 24 Barnsley 24 15 9 0.7 1.5 2 8 14 16 36 14
20 8 Stoke 22 14 8 1.2 1.0 10 5 7 26 21 35
21 11 Millwall 23 15 8 1.1 1.0 8 9 6 25 24 33
22 5 Middlesbrough 25 18 7 1.2 1.0 11 6 8 29 24 39
23 15 Derby 23 16 7 0.8 0.9 6 10 7 19 21 28
24 21 Hull 23 16 7 0.9 1.2 6 5 12 20 28 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bournemouth 11 1 10 2.1 1.2 6 3 2 23 13 21
2 3 Blackburn 13 3 10 2.3 1.3 9 2 2 30 17 29
3 9 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 4 3 5 14 16 15
4 10 Coventry 12 5 7 1.7 0.9 7 2 3 20 11 23
5 2 Fulham 12 6 6 2.0 0.7 7 3 2 24 8 24
6 14 Luton 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 17 13 16
7 17 Swansea 11 5 6 1.3 1.1 4 4 3 14 12 16
8 19 Birmingham 11 5 6 1.1 1.3 4 3 4 12 14 15
9 23 Peterboro 11 5 6 1.3 1.0 4 4 3 14 11 16
10 6 Huddersfield 12 7 5 1.5 1.2 7 2 3 18 14 23
11 12 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 2 4 15 11 14
12 13 Blackpool 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 5 2 6 11 15 17
13 15 Derby 12 7 5 1.2 0.9 5 5 2 14 11 20
14 16 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 5 4 2 15 12 19
15 18 Reading 11 6 5 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 16 16 15
16 21 Hull 11 6 5 1.0 1.3 3 3 5 11 14 12
17 22 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 2 1 8 9 18 7
18 4 West Brom 11 7 4 1.5 0.5 7 4 0 17 5 25
19 5 Middlesbrough 13 9 4 1.4 0.9 7 2 4 18 12 23
20 11 Millwall 11 7 4 1.3 1.0 5 4 2 14 11 19
21 7 QPR 12 9 3 1.3 0.9 6 3 3 16 11 21
22 8 Stoke 11 8 3 1.4 0.8 6 3 2 15 9 21
23 20 Bristol City 12 9 3 0.9 1.1 3 5 4 11 13 14
24 24 Barnsley 12 9 3 0.7 1.2 2 4 6 8 15 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Bristol City 11 2 9 1.4 2.0 4 1 6 15 22 13
2 7 QPR 10 2 8 1.7 1.7 4 2 4 17 17 14
3 22 Cardiff 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 4 3 4 16 21 15
4 23 Peterboro 12 4 8 0.5 2.8 1 0 11 6 33 3
5 17 Swansea 11 4 7 1.1 1.7 3 2 6 12 19 11
6 2 Fulham 11 5 6 2.5 1.0 6 3 2 27 11 21
7 4 West Brom 13 7 6 1.0 1.0 4 4 5 13 13 16
8 6 Huddersfield 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 4 5 13 15 13
9 12 Sheffield United 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 3 4 14 17 18
10 13 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 15 17 13
11 16 Preston 11 5 6 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 16 9
12 18 Reading 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 4 0 7 11 18 12
13 24 Barnsley 12 6 6 0.7 1.8 0 4 8 8 21 4
14 8 Stoke 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 4 2 5 11 12 14
15 9 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 1.5 0.9 5 4 3 18 11 19
16 14 Luton 11 6 5 1.3 1.3 3 4 4 14 14 13
17 3 Blackburn 11 7 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 3 13 11 16
18 10 Coventry 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 2 5 4 9 16 11
19 11 Millwall 12 8 4 0.9 1.1 3 5 4 11 13 14
20 19 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
21 5 Middlesbrough 12 9 3 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
22 1 Bournemouth 13 11 2 1.2 0.5 7 4 2 15 7 25
23 15 Derby 11 9 2 0.5 0.9 1 5 5 5 10 8
24 21 Hull 12 10 2 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 9 14 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51