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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Bramall

Derby 1–3 Bristol City

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.10 fair 1.96
Draw 3.50 fair 4.12
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 4.06
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Bristol City
11 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 5
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (513 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.67 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBristol City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
0.98scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 42:49
Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.26scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 54:74
Derby all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

0.98 Goals scored 1.26
1.14 Goals conceded 1.72
2.12 Total goals 2.98
10.07 Shots 10.12
3.26 Shots on target 3.44
12.33 Shots faced 14.37
4.47 Corners 4.14
4.95 Corners against 6.19
9.67 Fouls 10.16
1.95 Yellow cards 1.86
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
30% Draws 23%
40% Losses 47%
88% Over 0.5 goals 98%
63% Over 1.5 goals 84%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
16% Over 3.5 goals 30%
5% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 2%
51% Both teams scored 70%
30% Clean sheets 12%
30% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 37%
49% Draws 28%
30% Losses 35%
58% Over 0.5 goals 84%
23% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Bristol City all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.38scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:18
Bristol City before this match, away
0.95points / match
1.24scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:45
Derby at home away Bristol City

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.24
0.86 Goals conceded 2.14
2.24 Total goals 3.38
11.24 Shots 9.24
4.05 Shots on target 3.24
12.00 Shots faced 15.00
4.62 Corners 4.24
4.81 Corners against 6.33
9.86 Fouls 10.10
2.05 Yellow cards 2.19
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

52% Wins 29%
33% Draws 10%
14% Losses 62%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
19% Over 3.5 goals 43%
5% Over 4.5 goals 24%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
57% Both teams scored 62%
43% Clean sheets 10%
10% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 29%
38% Draws 24%
29% Losses 48%
67% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 33%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Bristol City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.22 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
15.04.22 Derby – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 5.754.001.61 1.95 1.90
09.04.22 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
02.04.22 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
19.03.22 Derby – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.50 2.30 1.61
15.03.22 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
12.03.22 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.22 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 1.88 1.98
15.04.22 Stoke – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.75 1.95 1.90
09.04.22 Bristol City – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Bournemouth – Bristol City 3–2 (1–1) 1.444.757.00 1.66 2.20
19.03.22 Bristol City – West Brom 2–2 (1–0) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
15.03.22 Barnsley – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
12.03.22 Blackburn – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 2.373.303.10 1.93 1.93
26.02.22 Nott'm Forest – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 1.98
22.02.22 Bristol City – Coventry 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 1.95 1.90

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.22 Derby – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 5.754.001.61 1.95 1.90
02.04.22 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
19.03.22 Derby – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.50 2.30 1.61
05.03.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
23.02.22 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50
19.02.22 Derby – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.72
08.02.22 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66

Bristol City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.22 Stoke – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.75 1.95 1.90
02.04.22 Bournemouth – Bristol City 3–2 (1–1) 1.444.757.00 1.66 2.20
15.03.22 Barnsley – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
12.03.22 Blackburn – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.72
26.02.22 Nott'm Forest – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 1.98
13.02.22 Swansea – Bristol City 3–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
05.02.22 Blackpool – Bristol City 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.10 1.72
29.01.22 Preston – Bristol City 2–2 (0–1) 1.853.404.50 2.10 1.72
25.01.22 Luton – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.404.75 1.95 1.90
15.01.22 Fulham – Bristol City 6–2 (5–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsBristol City wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.21E1 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 42 26 8 8 98 37 +61 86
2 Bournemouth 41 22 11 8 65 35 +30 77
3 Huddersfield 44 21 13 10 60 46 +14 76
4 Luton 44 20 12 12 62 48 +14 72
5 Nott'm Forest 41 20 10 11 65 37 +28 70
6 Sheffield United 43 18 12 13 55 44 +11 66
7 Millwall 43 17 14 12 48 42 +6 65
8 Blackburn 43 17 12 14 53 45 +8 63
9 Middlesbrough 42 18 9 15 52 44 +8 63
10 QPR 43 18 9 16 58 55 +3 63
11 Coventry 43 17 11 15 58 56 +2 62
12 West Brom 43 16 12 15 47 45 +2 60
13 Swansea 42 16 11 15 53 58 -5 59
14 Stoke 43 16 10 17 54 48 +6 58
15 Preston 43 14 16 13 44 50 -6 58
16 Blackpool 43 15 12 16 52 51 +1 57
17 Derby 43 13 13 17 42 49 -7 52
18 Cardiff 42 14 7 21 48 64 -16 49
19 Bristol City 43 13 10 20 54 74 -20 49
20 Hull 43 13 8 22 37 48 -11 47
21 Reading 43 13 8 22 54 82 -28 47
22 Birmingham 43 11 12 20 46 70 -24 45
23 Peterboro 43 8 10 25 38 83 -45 34
24 Barnsley 43 6 12 25 32 64 -32 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 21 13 4 4 49 19 +30 43
2 Millwall 22 12 6 4 29 16 +13 42
3 Huddersfield 22 12 6 4 33 23 +10 42
4 Blackburn 22 12 5 5 36 23 +13 41
5 Nott'm Forest 22 12 4 6 38 21 +17 40
6 Luton 22 11 7 4 36 22 +14 40
7 West Brom 21 11 7 3 29 16 +13 40
8 Derby 21 11 7 3 29 18 +11 40
9 Bournemouth 20 11 6 3 38 20 +18 39
10 Sheffield United 21 11 5 5 33 15 +18 38
11 Middlesbrough 21 12 2 7 29 20 +9 38
12 QPR 22 10 6 6 29 22 +7 36
13 Blackpool 22 11 3 8 29 24 +5 36
14 Coventry 22 10 5 7 31 24 +7 35
15 Preston 21 8 10 3 28 23 +5 34
16 Swansea 20 9 6 5 26 22 +4 33
17 Stoke 21 9 4 8 28 22 +6 31
18 Bristol City 22 7 8 7 28 29 -1 29
19 Birmingham 21 7 5 9 24 29 -5 26
20 Reading 22 7 5 10 33 43 -10 26
21 Cardiff 22 7 3 12 21 28 -7 24
22 Barnsley 21 5 7 9 17 24 -7 22
23 Peterboro 21 5 7 9 22 32 -10 22
24 Hull 21 6 3 12 18 27 -9 21
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 21 13 4 4 49 18 +31 43
2 Bournemouth 21 11 5 5 27 15 +12 38
3 Huddersfield 22 9 7 6 27 23 +4 34
4 Luton 22 9 5 8 26 26 0 32
5 Nott'm Forest 19 8 6 5 27 16 +11 30
6 Sheffield United 22 7 7 8 22 29 -7 28
7 Stoke 22 7 6 9 26 26 0 27
8 QPR 21 8 3 10 29 33 -4 27
9 Coventry 21 7 6 8 27 32 -5 27
10 Hull 22 7 5 10 19 21 -2 26
11 Swansea 22 7 5 10 27 36 -9 26
12 Middlesbrough 21 6 7 8 23 24 -1 25
13 Cardiff 20 7 4 9 27 36 -9 25
14 Preston 22 6 6 10 16 27 -11 24
15 Millwall 21 5 8 8 19 26 -7 23
16 Blackburn 21 5 7 9 17 22 -5 22
17 Blackpool 21 4 9 8 23 27 -4 21
18 Reading 21 6 3 12 21 39 -18 21
19 West Brom 22 5 5 12 18 29 -11 20
20 Bristol City 21 6 2 13 26 45 -19 20
21 Birmingham 22 4 7 11 22 41 -19 19
22 Derby 22 2 6 14 13 31 -18 12
23 Peterboro 22 3 3 16 16 51 -35 12
24 Barnsley 22 1 5 16 15 40 -25 8

Derby   Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 43 17 26 1.3 1.7 13 10 20 54 74 49
2 21 Reading 43 17 26 1.3 1.9 13 8 22 54 82 47
3 23 Peterboro 43 17 26 0.9 1.9 8 10 25 38 83 34
4 18 Cardiff 42 18 24 1.1 1.5 14 7 21 48 64 49
5 1 Fulham 42 19 23 2.3 0.9 26 8 8 98 37 86
6 10 QPR 43 20 23 1.3 1.3 18 9 16 58 55 63
7 22 Birmingham 43 20 23 1.1 1.6 11 12 20 46 70 45
8 13 Swansea 42 20 22 1.3 1.4 16 11 15 53 58 59
9 2 Bournemouth 41 20 21 1.6 0.9 22 11 8 65 35 77
10 4 Luton 44 23 21 1.4 1.1 20 12 12 62 48 72
11 11 Coventry 43 22 21 1.3 1.3 17 11 15 58 56 62
12 5 Nott'm Forest 41 21 20 1.6 0.9 20 10 11 65 37 70
13 14 Stoke 43 23 20 1.3 1.1 16 10 17 54 48 58
14 3 Huddersfield 44 25 19 1.4 1.0 21 13 10 60 46 76
15 15 Preston 43 24 19 1.0 1.2 14 16 13 44 50 58
16 16 Blackpool 43 25 18 1.2 1.2 15 12 16 52 51 57
17 6 Sheffield United 43 26 17 1.3 1.0 18 12 13 55 44 66
18 8 Blackburn 43 26 17 1.2 1.0 17 12 14 53 45 63
19 12 West Brom 43 26 17 1.1 1.0 16 12 15 47 45 60
20 17 Derby 43 26 17 1.0 1.1 13 13 17 42 49 52
21 9 Middlesbrough 42 26 16 1.2 1.0 18 9 15 52 44 63
22 7 Millwall 43 28 15 1.1 1.0 17 14 12 48 42 65
23 24 Barnsley 43 28 15 0.7 1.5 6 12 25 32 64 30
24 20 Hull 43 31 12 0.9 1.1 13 8 22 37 48 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 20 6 14 1.9 1.0 11 6 3 38 20 39
2 1 Fulham 21 8 13 2.3 0.9 13 4 4 49 19 43
3 5 Nott'm Forest 22 9 13 1.7 1.0 12 4 6 38 21 40
4 21 Reading 22 9 13 1.5 2.0 7 5 10 33 43 26
5 4 Luton 22 10 12 1.6 1.0 11 7 4 36 22 40
6 22 Birmingham 21 9 12 1.1 1.4 7 5 9 24 29 26
7 23 Peterboro 21 9 12 1.0 1.5 5 7 9 22 32 22
8 8 Blackburn 22 11 11 1.6 1.0 12 5 5 36 23 41
9 11 Coventry 22 11 11 1.4 1.1 10 5 7 31 24 35
10 19 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.3 1.3 7 8 7 28 29 29
11 3 Huddersfield 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 12 6 4 33 23 42
12 13 Swansea 20 10 10 1.3 1.1 9 6 5 26 22 33
13 15 Preston 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 8 10 3 28 23 34
14 16 Blackpool 22 12 10 1.3 1.1 11 3 8 29 24 36
15 14 Stoke 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 9 4 8 28 22 31
16 17 Derby 21 12 9 1.4 0.9 11 7 3 29 18 40
17 18 Cardiff 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 7 3 12 21 28 24
18 6 Sheffield United 21 13 8 1.6 0.7 11 5 5 33 15 38
19 9 Middlesbrough 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 12 2 7 29 20 38
20 10 QPR 22 14 8 1.3 1.0 10 6 6 29 22 36
21 12 West Brom 21 13 8 1.4 0.8 11 7 3 29 16 40
22 7 Millwall 22 15 7 1.3 0.7 12 6 4 29 16 42
23 20 Hull 21 14 7 0.9 1.3 6 3 12 18 27 21
24 24 Barnsley 21 17 4 0.8 1.1 5 7 9 17 24 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 QPR 21 6 15 1.4 1.6 8 3 10 29 33 27
2 18 Cardiff 20 5 15 1.4 1.8 7 4 9 27 36 25
3 19 Bristol City 21 6 15 1.2 2.1 6 2 13 26 45 20
4 23 Peterboro 22 8 14 0.7 2.3 3 3 16 16 51 12
5 21 Reading 21 8 13 1.0 1.9 6 3 12 21 39 21
6 13 Swansea 22 10 12 1.2 1.6 7 5 10 27 36 26
7 14 Stoke 22 11 11 1.2 1.2 7 6 9 26 26 27
8 22 Birmingham 22 11 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 11 22 41 19
9 24 Barnsley 22 11 11 0.7 1.8 1 5 16 15 40 8
10 1 Fulham 21 11 10 2.3 0.9 13 4 4 49 18 43
11 11 Coventry 21 11 10 1.3 1.5 7 6 8 27 32 27
12 3 Huddersfield 22 13 9 1.2 1.0 9 7 6 27 23 34
13 4 Luton 22 13 9 1.2 1.2 9 5 8 26 26 32
14 6 Sheffield United 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 7 7 8 22 29 28
15 12 West Brom 22 13 9 0.8 1.3 5 5 12 18 29 20
16 15 Preston 22 13 9 0.7 1.2 6 6 10 16 27 24
17 7 Millwall 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 5 8 8 19 26 23
18 9 Middlesbrough 21 13 8 1.1 1.1 6 7 8 23 24 25
19 16 Blackpool 21 13 8 1.1 1.3 4 9 8 23 27 21
20 17 Derby 22 14 8 0.6 1.4 2 6 14 13 31 12
21 2 Bournemouth 21 14 7 1.3 0.7 11 5 5 27 15 38
22 5 Nott'm Forest 19 12 7 1.4 0.8 8 6 5 27 16 30
23 8 Blackburn 21 15 6 0.8 1.0 5 7 9 17 22 22
24 20 Hull 22 17 5 0.9 1.0 7 5 10 19 21 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51