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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Middlesbrough 2–3 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.70 fair 2.03
Draw 3.60 fair 3.78
Away ✓ 5.25 fair 4.13
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Cardiff
10 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 3
6 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (93 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.46 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.3% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.38scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:12
Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:8
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.88 Total goals 1.50
12.75 Shots 11.63
3.38 Shots on target 2.50
9.25 Shots faced 10.25
6.00 Corners 4.25
4.13 Corners against 4.25
10.25 Fouls 11.50
2.75 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
38% Draws 25%
38% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
63% Over 2.5 goals 25%
38% Over 3.5 goals 0%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 25%
13% Clean sheets 50%
13% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
38% Draws 75%
25% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 38%
63% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Cardiff all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:4
Cardiff before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:6
Middlesbrough at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.25
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.50 Total goals 1.75
11.25 Shots 8.75
3.50 Shots on target 1.75
8.25 Shots faced 13.00
5.25 Corners 4.50
4.25 Corners against 5.25
9.00 Fouls 13.25
3.50 Yellow cards 2.75
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 25%
25% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 0%
25% Draws 75%
0% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.22 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
30.07.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
27.08.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.87 2.50 1.53
21.08.22 Bristol City – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
17.08.22 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Cardiff – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02
30.04.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.22 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
27.04.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
18.04.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.95 1.90
06.04.22 Middlesbrough – Fulham 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.252.25 2.00 1.85
05.03.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.605.00 2.10 1.72

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
21.08.22 Bristol City – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
17.08.22 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
06.08.22 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
07.05.22 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02
27.04.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
23.04.22 Sheffield United – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 2.02 1.83
15.04.22 Hull – Cardiff 2–1 (2–0) 2.503.202.90 2.37 1.57
09.04.22 Reading – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.373.203.20 2.30 1.61
05.03.22 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsCardiff wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
23.10.21E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 8 5 2 1 16 5 +11 17
2 Norwich 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
3 Reading 8 5 0 3 9 11 -2 15
4 Bristol City 8 4 2 2 16 11 +5 14
5 Burnley 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
6 Watford 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
7 Blackburn 8 4 0 4 9 11 -2 12
8 Sunderland 8 3 2 3 11 9 +2 11
9 QPR 8 3 2 3 12 11 +1 11
10 Preston 8 2 5 1 2 1 +1 11
11 Blackpool 8 3 2 3 9 10 -1 11
12 Hull 8 3 2 3 11 15 -4 11
13 Rotherham 7 2 4 1 9 6 +3 10
14 Millwall 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2 10
15 Wigan 7 2 4 1 7 9 -2 10
16 West Brom 8 1 6 1 12 10 +2 9
17 Middlesbrough 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
18 Luton 8 2 3 3 7 8 -1 9
19 Swansea 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
20 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 11 -3 8
21 Birmingham 8 2 2 4 5 8 -3 8
22 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 4 8 -4 8
23 Huddersfield 7 1 1 5 7 11 -4 4
24 Coventry 5 0 1 4 5 11 -6 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12
2 Reading 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
3 Norwich 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
4 Bristol City 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
5 Millwall 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
6 Watford 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
7 Hull 4 3 0 1 7 6 +1 9
8 Rotherham 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
9 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 6 4 +2 8
10 QPR 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
11 Cardiff 4 2 1 1 3 2 +1 7
12 West Brom 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
13 Burnley 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
14 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
15 Sunderland 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
16 Stoke 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
17 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
18 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
19 Blackpool 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
20 Swansea 4 1 1 2 3 7 -4 4
21 Preston 4 0 3 1 0 1 -1 3
22 Wigan 4 0 3 1 3 7 -4 3
23 Luton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
24 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
2 Burnley 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
3 Wigan 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
4 Luton 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
5 Blackpool 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
6 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
7 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
8 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
9 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
10 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5
11 Swansea 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
12 Watford 4 0 4 0 3 3 0 4
13 QPR 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
14 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 1 3 -2 4
15 West Brom 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
16 Stoke 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
17 Reading 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
18 Rotherham 3 0 2 1 1 4 -3 2
19 Hull 4 0 2 2 4 9 -5 2
20 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 5 8 -3 1
21 Coventry 4 0 1 3 5 10 -5 1
22 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1
23 Millwall 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
24 Huddersfield 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0

Middlesbrough   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Reading 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 5 0 3 9 11 15
2 7 Blackburn 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 4 0 4 9 11 12
3 12 Hull 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 2 3 11 15 11
4 17 Middlesbrough 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
5 1 Sheffield United 8 4 4 2.0 0.6 5 2 1 16 5 17
6 2 Norwich 8 4 4 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
7 4 Bristol City 8 4 4 2.0 1.4 4 2 2 16 11 14
8 8 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 3 2 3 11 9 11
9 9 QPR 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 3 2 3 12 11 11
10 23 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 1 5 7 11 4
11 16 West Brom 8 5 3 1.5 1.2 1 6 1 12 10 9
12 19 Swansea 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9
13 20 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 2 2 4 8 11 8
14 24 Coventry 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 0 1 4 5 11 1
15 5 Burnley 8 6 2 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
16 6 Watford 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
17 11 Blackpool 8 6 2 1.1 1.2 3 2 3 9 10 11
18 13 Rotherham 7 5 2 1.3 0.9 2 4 1 9 6 10
19 14 Millwall 8 6 2 1.1 1.4 3 1 4 9 11 10
20 15 Wigan 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 4 1 7 9 10
21 18 Luton 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 3 3 7 8 9
22 21 Birmingham 8 6 2 0.6 1.0 2 2 4 5 8 8
23 22 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.0 2 2 4 4 8 8
24 10 Preston 8 8 0 0.2 0.1 2 5 1 2 1 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield United 4 1 3 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12
2 3 Reading 4 1 3 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
3 12 Hull 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 3 0 1 7 6 9
4 2 Norwich 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
5 6 Watford 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
6 7 Blackburn 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
7 8 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
8 9 QPR 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
9 17 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 2 0 6 4 8
10 19 Swansea 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 2 3 7 4
11 21 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
12 23 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
13 4 Bristol City 4 3 1 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
14 5 Burnley 4 3 1 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
15 11 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
16 13 Rotherham 4 3 1 2.0 0.5 2 2 0 8 2 8
17 14 Millwall 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
18 15 Wigan 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 3 1 3 7 3
19 16 West Brom 4 3 1 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
20 18 Luton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
21 20 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 22 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 2 1 1 3 2 7
23 10 Preston 4 4 0 0.0 0.2 0 3 1 0 1 3
24 24 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bristol City 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5
2 7 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
3 17 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 1 3 5 8 1
4 24 Coventry 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 0 1 3 5 10 1
5 2 Norwich 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
6 3 Reading 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 1 0 3 1 9 3
7 8 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
8 9 QPR 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
9 12 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 2.2 0 2 2 4 9 2
10 16 West Brom 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
11 20 Stoke 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
12 23 Huddersfield 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
13 1 Sheffield United 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
14 5 Burnley 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
15 11 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
16 13 Rotherham 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 1 1 4 2
17 14 Millwall 4 3 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
18 15 Wigan 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
19 18 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
20 19 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
21 22 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1
22 6 Watford 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 0 4 0 3 3 4
23 10 Preston 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
24 21 Birmingham 4 4 0 0.2 0.8 1 1 2 1 3 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51