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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Stoke 1–2 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.05 fair 2.71
Draw 3.50 fair 3.49
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Birmingham
11 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (219 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 12% 0–1 11.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.06scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:23
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:15
Stoke all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.00
1.28 Goals conceded 0.83
2.33 Total goals 1.83
14.17 Shots 10.22
4.39 Shots on target 3.17
12.06 Shots faced 12.06
5.78 Corners 5.00
5.72 Corners against 5.44
11.17 Fouls 11.94
1.67 Yellow cards 2.00
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
22% Draws 33%
44% Losses 33%
94% Over 0.5 goals 83%
72% Over 1.5 goals 61%
39% Over 2.5 goals 28%
28% Over 3.5 goals 6%
0% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
39% Both teams scored 39%
33% Clean sheets 39%
33% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 33%
39% Draws 44%
39% Losses 22%
72% Over 0.5 goals 61%
22% Over 1.5 goals 28%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Birmingham all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:12
Birmingham before this match, away
1.22points / match
0.89scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:9
Stoke at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.89
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 1.89
16.38 Shots 9.78
4.88 Shots on target 3.00
10.38 Shots faced 13.44
7.13 Corners 4.78
4.50 Corners against 5.33
10.63 Fouls 11.11
1.75 Yellow cards 2.33
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 33%
25% Draws 22%
50% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
75% Over 1.5 goals 56%
38% Over 2.5 goals 22%
38% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 33%
13% Clean sheets 33%
50% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 22%
25% Draws 33%
50% Losses 44%
88% Over 0.5 goals 78%
25% Over 1.5 goals 22%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Norwich – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Preston – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.61
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
13.09.22 Hull – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.252.62 2.10 1.72

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
28.10.22 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Blackburn – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.253.75 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Hull – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.22 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
01.10.22 Sheffield United – Birmingham 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.83 2.02
17.09.22 Birmingham – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.00 1.80
14.09.22 West Brom – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 1.444.338.00 1.85 2.00

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Stoke – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Stoke – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Blackburn – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.253.75 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Hull – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
01.10.22 Sheffield United – Birmingham 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.83 2.02
14.09.22 West Brom – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 1.444.338.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.75 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Rotherham – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Luton – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.33 2.00 1.80
30.04.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsBirmingham wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22E1 Stoke – Birmingham 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.77
14.08.21E1 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 20 10 8 2 37 23 +14 38
2 Sheffield United 19 10 5 4 34 18 +16 35
3 Blackburn 19 11 0 8 23 19 +4 33
4 QPR 18 9 4 5 25 19 +6 31
5 Preston 20 8 7 5 16 16 0 31
6 Norwich 19 8 5 6 26 20 +6 29
7 Watford 18 8 5 5 26 21 +5 29
8 Swansea 18 8 4 6 23 24 -1 28
9 Millwall 18 8 3 7 22 20 +2 27
10 Luton 18 6 8 4 21 19 +2 26
11 Reading 19 8 2 9 21 27 -6 26
12 Sunderland 18 6 6 6 24 21 +3 24
13 Birmingham 18 6 6 6 18 15 +3 24
14 Rotherham 18 5 7 6 22 23 -1 22
15 Bristol City 19 6 4 9 26 28 -2 22
16 Blackpool 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
17 Stoke 18 6 4 8 19 23 -4 22
18 Cardiff 18 6 3 9 14 21 -7 21
19 Middlesbrough 18 5 5 8 23 24 -1 20
20 Coventry 16 5 5 6 16 18 -2 20
21 Hull 18 6 2 10 21 35 -14 20
22 Wigan 18 5 4 9 17 26 -9 19
23 West Brom 18 3 8 7 21 24 -3 17
24 Huddersfield 17 4 3 10 17 24 -7 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 10 6 4 0 20 10 +10 22
2 Blackburn 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
3 Millwall 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
4 Reading 10 6 1 3 15 11 +4 19
5 Sheffield United 9 5 3 1 22 10 +12 18
6 Norwich 10 5 3 2 17 10 +7 18
7 QPR 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
8 Watford 8 5 1 2 15 9 +6 16
9 Swansea 9 5 1 3 13 11 +2 16
10 Rotherham 9 4 3 2 16 10 +6 15
11 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 10 +3 14
12 Cardiff 9 4 2 3 7 6 +1 14
13 Birmingham 9 3 4 2 10 6 +4 13
14 Middlesbrough 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
15 Huddersfield 10 4 1 5 10 10 0 13
16 Preston 10 3 4 3 5 7 -2 13
17 Luton 10 2 6 2 13 11 +2 12
18 Hull 10 4 0 6 10 18 -8 12
19 Sunderland 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10
20 Blackpool 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
21 Coventry 7 3 1 3 6 6 0 10
22 West Brom 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
23 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
24 Wigan 10 1 3 6 6 17 -11 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 10 5 3 2 11 9 +2 18
2 Sheffield United 10 5 2 3 12 8 +4 17
3 Burnley 10 4 4 2 17 13 +4 16
4 Sunderland 10 4 2 4 14 12 +2 14
5 Stoke 10 4 2 4 11 11 0 14
6 Luton 8 4 2 2 8 8 0 14
7 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
8 Wigan 8 4 1 3 11 9 +2 13
9 Watford 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 13
10 Swansea 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
11 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
12 Blackburn 10 4 0 6 7 12 -5 12
13 Norwich 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
14 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 8 9 -1 11
15 Coventry 9 2 4 3 10 12 -2 10
16 Bristol City 9 2 2 5 13 18 -5 8
17 Hull 8 2 2 4 11 17 -6 8
18 West Brom 8 1 4 3 9 10 -1 7
19 Middlesbrough 9 2 1 6 13 15 -2 7
20 Rotherham 9 1 4 4 6 13 -7 7
21 Cardiff 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
22 Reading 9 2 1 6 6 16 -10 7
23 Millwall 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
24 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 7 14 -7 2

Stoke   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Reading 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 8 2 9 21 27 26
2 21 Hull 18 7 11 1.2 1.9 6 2 10 21 35 20
3 7 Watford 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 8 5 5 26 21 29
4 15 Bristol City 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 6 4 9 26 28 22
5 19 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 5 5 8 23 24 20
6 3 Blackburn 19 10 9 1.2 1.0 11 0 8 23 19 33
7 4 QPR 18 9 9 1.4 1.1 9 4 5 25 19 31
8 6 Norwich 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 8 5 6 26 20 29
9 8 Swansea 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 8 4 6 23 24 28
10 12 Sunderland 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 6 6 6 24 21 24
11 16 Blackpool 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
12 1 Burnley 20 12 8 1.9 1.1 10 8 2 37 23 38
13 2 Sheffield United 19 11 8 1.8 0.9 10 5 4 34 18 35
14 14 Rotherham 18 10 8 1.2 1.3 5 7 6 22 23 22
15 22 Wigan 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 9 17 26 19
16 24 Huddersfield 17 9 8 1.0 1.4 4 3 10 17 24 15
17 9 Millwall 18 11 7 1.2 1.1 8 3 7 22 20 27
18 17 Stoke 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 6 4 8 19 23 22
19 10 Luton 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 6 8 4 21 19 26
20 18 Cardiff 18 12 6 0.8 1.2 6 3 9 14 21 21
21 20 Coventry 16 10 6 1.0 1.1 5 5 6 16 18 20
22 23 West Brom 18 12 6 1.2 1.3 3 8 7 21 24 17
23 5 Preston 20 15 5 0.8 0.8 8 7 5 16 16 31
24 13 Birmingham 18 13 5 1.0 0.8 6 6 6 18 15 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sheffield United 9 3 6 2.4 1.1 5 3 1 22 10 18
2 7 Watford 8 2 6 1.9 1.1 5 1 2 15 9 16
3 11 Reading 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 6 1 3 15 11 19
4 21 Hull 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 4 0 6 10 18 12
5 1 Burnley 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 4 0 20 10 22
6 3 Blackburn 9 4 5 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
7 4 QPR 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
8 6 Norwich 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 2 17 10 18
9 8 Swansea 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 5 1 3 13 11 16
10 9 Millwall 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
11 10 Luton 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 2 6 2 13 11 12
12 12 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10
13 14 Rotherham 9 5 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 2 16 10 15
14 15 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 2 4 13 10 14
15 16 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
16 19 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
17 13 Birmingham 9 6 3 1.1 0.7 3 4 2 10 6 13
18 17 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
19 22 Wigan 10 7 3 0.6 1.7 1 3 6 6 17 6
20 23 West Brom 10 7 3 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
21 24 Huddersfield 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 1 5 10 10 13
22 18 Cardiff 9 7 2 0.8 0.7 4 2 3 7 6 14
23 20 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 3 1 3 6 6 10
24 5 Preston 10 9 1 0.5 0.7 3 4 3 5 7 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bristol City 9 3 6 1.4 2.0 2 2 5 13 18 8
2 19 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 1 6 13 15 7
3 11 Reading 9 4 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 6 6 16 7
4 12 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 4 14 12 14
5 16 Blackpool 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
6 21 Hull 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 2 2 4 11 17 8
7 22 Wigan 8 3 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 3 11 9 13
8 24 Huddersfield 7 2 5 1.0 2.0 0 2 5 7 14 2
9 3 Blackburn 10 6 4 0.7 1.2 4 0 6 7 12 12
10 4 QPR 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 4 2 4 11 12 14
11 5 Preston 10 6 4 1.1 0.9 5 3 2 11 9 18
12 6 Norwich 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
13 7 Watford 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 3 4 3 11 12 13
14 8 Swansea 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
15 14 Rotherham 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 4 4 6 13 7
16 17 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 4 2 4 11 11 14
17 18 Cardiff 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
18 20 Coventry 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 2 4 3 10 12 10
19 1 Burnley 10 7 3 1.7 1.3 4 4 2 17 13 16
20 9 Millwall 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
21 23 West Brom 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 1 4 3 9 10 7
22 2 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.2 0.8 5 2 3 12 8 17
23 10 Luton 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 4 2 2 8 8 14
24 13 Birmingham 9 7 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 4 8 9 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51