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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Stoke 0–4 Watford

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.50 fair 2.30
Draw 3.25 fair 3.62
Away ✓ 2.90 fair 3.45
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Watford
15 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 9
6 Corners 6
10 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (128 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 12.6% 0–1 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.10scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:11
Watford before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.10scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:11
Stoke all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.10
1.10 Goals conceded 1.10
2.20 Total goals 2.20
13.30 Shots 10.30
3.90 Shots on target 2.90
13.40 Shots faced 11.10
5.40 Corners 4.00
6.20 Corners against 5.80
12.00 Fouls 10.60
1.90 Yellow cards 1.70
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
30% Draws 50%
40% Losses 20%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 30%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 30%
30% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 10%
30% Draws 60%
40% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
30% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Watford all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:4
Watford before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:5
Stoke at home away Watford

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.60
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.25 Total goals 1.60
16.00 Shots 9.80
4.50 Shots on target 2.20
11.75 Shots faced 11.80
7.00 Corners 4.20
5.00 Corners against 6.80
12.00 Fouls 10.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.20
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 80%
25% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
75% Over 1.5 goals 80%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 60%
25% Clean sheets 20%
25% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 60%
50% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
25% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
13.09.22 Hull – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.252.62 2.10 1.72
04.09.22 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Blackburn – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
13.08.22 Huddersfield – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Stoke – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Watford – Sunderland 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
01.08.22 Watford – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Stoke – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Stoke – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80
15.04.22 Stoke – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.75 1.95 1.90
02.04.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.50 2.10 1.72
19.03.22 Stoke – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 2.37 1.57
05.03.22 Stoke – Blackpool 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75
07.05.22E0 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
23.04.22E0 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
02.04.22E0 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22E0 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 11 7 3 1 20 6 +14 24
2 Norwich 11 7 2 2 17 9 +8 23
3 Reading 11 7 0 4 13 15 -2 21
4 Burnley 11 4 6 1 18 11 +7 18
5 QPR 11 5 3 3 16 12 +4 18
6 Blackburn 11 6 0 5 13 14 -1 18
7 Sunderland 11 4 4 3 16 11 +5 16
8 Luton 11 4 4 3 13 10 +3 16
9 Wigan 10 4 4 2 11 11 0 16
10 Swansea 11 4 3 4 13 14 -1 15
11 Rotherham 10 3 5 2 12 8 +4 14
12 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 20 18 +2 14
13 Watford 10 3 5 2 11 11 0 14
14 Preston 11 2 7 2 3 4 -1 13
15 Birmingham 11 3 4 4 9 11 -2 13
16 Millwall 11 4 1 6 12 16 -4 13
17 Stoke 10 3 3 4 11 11 0 12
18 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 8 12 -4 12
19 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 10 16 -6 11
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 11 23 -12 11
21 West Brom 11 1 7 3 17 17 0 10
22 Middlesbrough 11 2 4 5 13 16 -3 10
23 Huddersfield 10 2 1 7 10 16 -6 7
24 Coventry 8 1 3 4 8 13 -5 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 6 5 0 1 11 6 +5 15
2 Norwich 6 4 2 0 12 5 +7 14
3 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 12 2 +10 13
4 Blackburn 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
5 Millwall 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
6 Rotherham 6 3 2 1 11 4 +7 11
7 Watford 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 Bristol City 5 3 0 2 9 5 +4 9
9 Burnley 5 2 3 0 9 6 +3 9
10 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 8 7 +1 9
11 Hull 6 3 0 3 7 11 -4 9
12 QPR 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
13 Cardiff 5 2 2 1 4 3 +1 8
14 Huddersfield 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
15 Swansea 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
16 Sunderland 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6
17 West Brom 6 1 3 2 11 10 +1 6
18 Luton 6 1 3 2 6 6 0 6
19 Stoke 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
20 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
21 Blackpool 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
22 Preston 6 0 4 2 1 4 -3 4
23 Coventry 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
24 Wigan 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 5 4 1 0 8 3 +5 13
2 Sheffield United 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
3 Sunderland 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
4 Luton 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
5 QPR 6 3 1 2 9 7 +2 10
6 Burnley 6 2 3 1 9 5 +4 9
7 Preston 5 2 3 0 2 0 +2 9
8 Norwich 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
9 Swansea 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
10 Birmingham 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
11 Stoke 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
12 Blackpool 6 2 1 3 6 10 -4 7
13 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6
14 Reading 5 2 0 3 2 9 -7 6
15 Bristol City 6 1 2 3 11 13 -2 5
16 West Brom 5 0 4 1 6 7 -1 4
17 Watford 5 0 4 1 3 5 -2 4
18 Cardiff 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
19 Rotherham 4 0 3 1 1 4 -3 3
20 Coventry 6 0 3 3 7 12 -5 3
21 Hull 5 0 2 3 4 12 -8 2
22 Middlesbrough 5 0 1 4 5 9 -4 1
23 Millwall 5 0 1 4 3 10 -7 1
24 Huddersfield 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0

Stoke   Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Reading 11 4 7 1.2 1.4 7 0 4 13 15 21
2 12 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.8 1.6 4 2 5 20 18 14
3 20 Hull 11 4 7 1.0 2.1 3 2 6 11 23 11
4 6 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 6 0 5 13 14 18
5 7 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 16 11 16
6 22 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 2 4 5 13 16 10
7 23 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.0 1.6 2 1 7 10 16 7
8 2 Norwich 11 6 5 1.5 0.8 7 2 2 17 9 23
9 5 QPR 11 6 5 1.5 1.1 5 3 3 16 12 18
10 10 Swansea 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 4 13 14 15
11 21 West Brom 11 6 5 1.5 1.5 1 7 3 17 17 10
12 1 Sheffield United 11 7 4 1.8 0.5 7 3 1 20 6 24
13 16 Millwall 11 7 4 1.1 1.5 4 1 6 12 16 13
14 17 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 4 11 11 12
15 19 Blackpool 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 16 11
16 24 Coventry 8 4 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 4 8 13 6
17 4 Burnley 11 8 3 1.6 1.0 4 6 1 18 11 18
18 8 Luton 11 8 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 3 13 10 16
19 9 Wigan 10 7 3 1.1 1.1 4 4 2 11 11 16
20 11 Rotherham 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 3 5 2 12 8 14
21 13 Watford 10 7 3 1.1 1.1 3 5 2 11 11 14
22 15 Birmingham 11 8 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 4 9 11 13
23 18 Cardiff 11 8 3 0.7 1.1 3 3 5 8 12 12
24 14 Preston 11 11 0 0.3 0.4 2 7 2 3 4 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Reading 6 1 5 1.8 1.0 5 0 1 11 6 15
2 20 Hull 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 3 0 3 7 11 9
3 1 Sheffield United 5 2 3 2.4 0.4 4 1 0 12 2 13
4 2 Norwich 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 2 0 12 5 14
5 6 Blackburn 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
6 10 Swansea 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
7 13 Watford 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
8 21 West Brom 6 3 3 1.8 1.7 1 3 2 11 10 6
9 22 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 2 3 1 8 7 9
10 23 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
11 4 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 1.2 2 3 0 9 6 9
12 5 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
13 7 Sunderland 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6
14 8 Luton 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 1 3 2 6 6 6
15 11 Rotherham 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 3 2 1 11 4 11
16 12 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 3 0 2 9 5 9
17 15 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
18 16 Millwall 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
19 9 Wigan 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
20 17 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
21 18 Cardiff 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 2 1 4 3 8
22 19 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
23 14 Preston 6 6 0 0.2 0.7 0 4 2 1 4 4
24 24 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Bristol City 6 1 5 1.8 2.2 1 2 3 11 13 5
2 7 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
3 24 Coventry 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 3 3 7 12 3
4 5 QPR 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 3 1 2 9 7 10
5 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 2 0 3 4 8 6
6 17 Stoke 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
7 19 Blackpool 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 3 6 10 7
8 20 Hull 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 2 3 4 12 2
9 22 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 4 5 9 1
10 23 Huddersfield 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
11 2 Norwich 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
12 3 Reading 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 2 0 3 2 9 6
13 9 Wigan 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 1 0 8 3 13
14 10 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
15 16 Millwall 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 0 1 4 3 10 1
16 18 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
17 21 West Brom 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 0 4 1 6 7 4
18 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
19 4 Burnley 6 5 1 1.5 0.8 2 3 1 9 5 9
20 8 Luton 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
21 11 Rotherham 4 3 1 0.2 1.0 0 3 1 1 4 3
22 15 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
23 13 Watford 5 5 0 0.6 1.0 0 4 1 3 5 4
24 14 Preston 5 5 0 0.4 0.0 2 3 0 2 0 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51