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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

Reading 2–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.40
Draw 3.30 fair 3.90
Away 2.55 fair 3.05
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Swansea
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 4
24 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (284 league matches this season so far).
Result Reading to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.13scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 26:33
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.30scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 30:32
Reading all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.30
1.43 Goals conceded 1.39
2.57 Total goals 2.70
10.26 Shots 12.57
3.30 Shots on target 4.61
11.09 Shots faced 9.61
4.78 Corners 6.09
4.65 Corners against 4.74
10.04 Fouls 8.52
2.04 Yellow cards 2.22
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

43% Wins 35%
9% Draws 35%
48% Losses 30%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
74% Over 1.5 goals 74%
57% Over 2.5 goals 52%
22% Over 3.5 goals 30%
9% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
43% Both teams scored 52%
30% Clean sheets 22%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 30%
48% Draws 22%
30% Losses 48%
70% Over 0.5 goals 83%
39% Over 1.5 goals 35%
13% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Swansea all matches
Reading before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.45scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:11
Swansea before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:18
Reading at home away Swansea

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.45 Total goals 2.75
10.73 Shots 11.83
3.45 Shots on target 4.33
10.00 Shots faced 11.42
4.45 Corners 5.83
4.64 Corners against 5.83
10.18 Fouls 9.75
2.36 Yellow cards 2.50
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

64% Wins 25%
9% Draws 50%
27% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
82% Over 1.5 goals 75%
55% Over 2.5 goals 50%
9% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
45% Both teams scored 67%
36% Clean sheets 17%
18% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 25%
55% Draws 25%
18% Losses 50%
64% Over 0.5 goals 83%
36% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.22 Birmingham – Reading 3–2 (3–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
10.12.22 Reading – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Hull – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
04.11.22 Reading – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.50 1.53
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Reading – Bristol City 2–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Reading – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.10 1.72

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Coventry – Swansea 3–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.05 1.80
10.12.22 Swansea – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.88 1.90 1.95
12.11.22 Huddersfield – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.37 2.10 1.72
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Swansea – Wigan 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.33 2.10 1.72
01.11.22 Preston – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Bristol City – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Reading – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.20 1.67
04.11.22 Reading – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.50 1.53
22.10.22 Reading – Bristol City 2–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.02 1.83
15.10.22 Reading – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.10 1.72
04.10.22 Reading – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.85 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Reading – Huddersfield 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.60 2.20 1.66
14.09.22 Reading – Sunderland 0–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.75 2.10 1.72
04.09.22 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Reading – Blackburn 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.72

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Coventry – Swansea 3–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.05 1.80
12.11.22 Huddersfield – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.37 2.10 1.72
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
01.11.22 Preston – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Bristol City – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.22 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83
01.10.22 West Brom – Swansea 2–3 (0–1) 1.723.754.75 1.90 1.95
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsSwansea wins
3matches
6.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.22E1 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
18.04.22E1 Reading – Swansea 4–4 (1–3) 2.453.253.00 2.00 1.85
27.11.21E1 Swansea – Reading 2–3 (1–2) 1.753.604.75 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 23 13 8 2 46 24 +22 47
2 Sheffield United 24 14 5 5 41 21 +20 47
3 Blackburn 24 13 0 11 28 28 0 39
4 Watford 24 10 7 7 30 24 +6 37
5 Norwich 24 10 5 9 31 27 +4 35
6 Millwall 23 10 5 8 29 26 +3 35
7 QPR 24 10 5 9 27 27 0 35
8 Sunderland 24 9 7 8 33 27 +6 34
9 Preston 24 9 7 8 23 24 -1 34
10 Middlesbrough 24 9 6 9 36 31 +5 33
11 Coventry 23 9 6 8 26 25 +1 33
12 Luton 23 8 9 6 26 25 +1 33
13 West Brom 24 8 8 8 31 26 +5 32
14 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 26 22 +4 32
15 Swansea 23 8 8 7 30 32 -2 32
16 Reading 23 10 2 11 26 33 -7 32
17 Stoke 24 8 6 10 28 32 -4 30
18 Bristol City 24 7 6 11 31 34 -3 27
19 Rotherham 24 6 9 9 28 34 -6 27
20 Cardiff 24 7 6 11 20 28 -8 27
21 Hull 24 7 6 11 27 41 -14 27
22 Blackpool 24 6 7 11 26 35 -9 25
23 Wigan 24 6 6 12 24 38 -14 24
24 Huddersfield 23 6 4 13 21 30 -9 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 12 8 4 0 26 11 +15 28
2 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 26 12 +14 24
3 Blackburn 11 8 0 3 18 11 +7 24
4 Millwall 11 7 2 2 17 8 +9 23
5 Reading 11 7 1 3 16 11 +5 22
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 5 2 17 12 +5 20
7 Watford 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
8 Coventry 11 6 2 3 14 9 +5 20
9 Norwich 12 5 3 4 18 14 +4 18
10 Birmingham 12 4 5 3 16 12 +4 17
11 QPR 11 5 2 4 15 13 +2 17
12 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17
13 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16
14 West Brom 12 4 4 4 17 14 +3 16
15 Luton 12 3 7 2 16 13 +3 16
16 Sunderland 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16
17 Cardiff 13 4 4 5 10 11 -1 16
18 Bristol City 13 4 3 6 14 14 0 15
19 Huddersfield 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
21 Preston 13 3 4 6 8 14 -6 13
22 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
23 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
24 Wigan 12 2 3 7 9 20 -11 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 12 7 2 3 15 9 +6 23
2 Preston 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
3 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19
4 Sunderland 12 5 3 4 17 14 +3 18
5 Stoke 13 5 3 5 15 16 -1 18
6 QPR 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
7 Watford 12 4 5 3 13 12 +1 17
8 Norwich 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17
9 Luton 11 5 2 4 10 12 -2 17
10 West Brom 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
11 Birmingham 11 4 3 4 10 10 0 15
12 Swansea 12 3 6 3 15 18 -3 15
13 Wigan 12 4 3 5 15 18 -3 15
14 Blackburn 13 5 0 8 10 17 -7 15
15 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 14 19 -5 14
16 Middlesbrough 12 4 1 7 19 19 0 13
17 Coventry 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
18 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13
19 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
21 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 10 17 -7 11
22 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 8 17 -9 11
23 Reading 12 3 1 8 10 22 -12 10
24 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 11 18 -7 8

Reading   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Middlesbrough 24 9 15 1.5 1.3 9 6 9 36 31 33
2 8 Sunderland 24 11 13 1.4 1.1 9 7 8 33 27 34
3 16 Reading 23 10 13 1.1 1.4 10 2 11 26 33 32
4 21 Hull 24 11 13 1.1 1.7 7 6 11 27 41 27
5 3 Blackburn 24 12 12 1.2 1.2 13 0 11 28 28 39
6 5 Norwich 24 12 12 1.3 1.1 10 5 9 31 27 35
7 15 Swansea 23 11 12 1.3 1.4 8 8 7 30 32 32
8 18 Bristol City 24 12 12 1.3 1.4 7 6 11 31 34 27
9 19 Rotherham 24 12 12 1.2 1.4 6 9 9 28 34 27
10 23 Wigan 24 12 12 1.0 1.6 6 6 12 24 38 24
11 1 Burnley 23 12 11 2.0 1.0 13 8 2 46 24 47
12 7 QPR 24 13 11 1.1 1.1 10 5 9 27 27 35
13 17 Stoke 24 13 11 1.2 1.3 8 6 10 28 32 30
14 22 Blackpool 24 13 11 1.1 1.5 6 7 11 26 35 25
15 2 Sheffield United 24 14 10 1.7 0.9 14 5 5 41 21 47
16 4 Watford 24 14 10 1.2 1.0 10 7 7 30 24 37
17 24 Huddersfield 23 13 10 0.9 1.3 6 4 13 21 30 22
18 6 Millwall 23 14 9 1.3 1.1 10 5 8 29 26 35
19 14 Birmingham 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 8 8 7 26 22 32
20 9 Preston 24 16 8 1.0 1.0 9 7 8 23 24 34
21 11 Coventry 23 15 8 1.1 1.1 9 6 8 26 25 33
22 12 Luton 23 15 8 1.1 1.1 8 9 6 26 25 33
23 13 West Brom 24 16 8 1.3 1.1 8 8 8 31 26 32
24 20 Cardiff 24 16 8 0.8 1.2 7 6 11 20 28 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 12 5 7 2.2 0.9 8 4 0 26 11 28
2 2 Sheffield United 12 5 7 2.2 1.0 7 3 2 26 12 24
3 7 QPR 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 2 4 15 13 17
4 8 Sunderland 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16
5 19 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16
6 21 Hull 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
7 3 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 8 0 3 18 11 24
8 4 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
9 5 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 14 18
10 10 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 5 5 2 17 12 20
11 14 Birmingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 4 5 3 16 12 17
12 15 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17
13 16 Reading 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 7 1 3 16 11 22
14 12 Luton 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 3 7 2 16 13 16
15 17 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
16 18 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 6 14 14 15
17 22 Blackpool 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
18 23 Wigan 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 3 7 9 20 9
19 6 Millwall 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 17 8 23
20 13 West Brom 12 8 4 1.4 1.2 4 4 4 17 14 16
21 9 Preston 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 6 8 14 13
22 11 Coventry 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 6 2 3 14 9 20
23 20 Cardiff 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 4 5 10 11 16
24 24 Huddersfield 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 1.6 1.6 4 1 7 19 19 13
2 16 Reading 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 22 10
3 18 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
4 23 Wigan 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 15 18 15
5 24 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.0 1.6 2 2 7 11 18 8
6 3 Blackburn 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 5 0 8 10 17 15
7 5 Norwich 12 6 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17
8 8 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 5 3 4 17 14 18
9 15 Swansea 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 6 3 15 18 15
10 17 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 16 18
11 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13
12 22 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 19 14
13 6 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 6 12 18 12
14 9 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
15 11 Coventry 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
16 19 Rotherham 12 7 5 0.7 1.4 2 5 5 8 17 11
17 20 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 17 11
18 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19
19 4 Watford 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 3 13 12 17
20 7 QPR 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
21 13 West Brom 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
22 2 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 7 2 3 15 9 23
23 12 Luton 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 5 2 4 10 12 17
24 14 Birmingham 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 3 4 10 10 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51