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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Leeds 1–0 Norwich

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.76
Draw 4.20 fair 4.74
Away 7.00 fair 4.55
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.35 fair 2.73
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Norwich
12 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 2
13 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (336 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 2.06 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.5% 2–0 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.79scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 50:26
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.64scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 46:43
Leeds all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 1.64
0.93 Goals conceded 1.54
2.71 Total goals 3.18
15.89 Shots 13.61
5.43 Shots on target 4.32
9.32 Shots faced 15.39
5.89 Corners 5.14
4.68 Corners against 5.68
9.79 Fouls 10.21
1.54 Yellow cards 2.07
0.96 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

57% Wins 43%
21% Draws 18%
21% Losses 39%
93% Over 0.5 goals 96%
71% Over 1.5 goals 82%
57% Over 2.5 goals 61%
29% Over 3.5 goals 39%
14% Over 4.5 goals 18%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 25%
21% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 32%
46% Draws 39%
14% Losses 29%
64% Over 0.5 goals 79%
50% Over 1.5 goals 46%
21% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Norwich all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.43points / match
2.21scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 31:11
Norwich before this match, away
1.07points / match
1.79scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:29
Leeds at home away Norwich

Per match

2.21 Goals scored 1.79
0.79 Goals conceded 2.07
3.00 Total goals 3.86
18.07 Shots 11.64
6.43 Shots on target 4.29
7.07 Shots faced 18.07
6.64 Corners 4.21
2.50 Corners against 6.64
9.93 Fouls 10.43
1.43 Yellow cards 2.07
1.36 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.29

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%
29% Draws 21%
0% Losses 50%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 79%
36% Over 3.5 goals 50%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
64% Both teams scored 79%
36% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
7% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 93%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
29% Over 2.5 goals 36%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.201.62 1.93 1.93
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 Preston – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.83 2.03
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
12.12.23 Sunderland – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.40 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Blackburn – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.331.75 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Norwich – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.55 1.98 1.88
12.01.24 Hull – Norwich 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 West Brom – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.80 2.00
23.12.23 Norwich – Huddersfield 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Ipswich – Norwich 2–2 (1–1) 1.604.006.00 1.53 2.40
13.12.23 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.98 1.88
09.12.23 Norwich – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
03.12.23 Bristol City – Norwich 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.83 2.03

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24 Hull – Norwich 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 West Brom – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.80 2.00
16.12.23 Ipswich – Norwich 2–2 (1–1) 1.604.006.00 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Bristol City – Norwich 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.83 2.03
28.11.23 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Sunderland – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Coventry – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 1.88 1.98
04.10.23 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsNorwich wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23E1 Norwich – Leeds 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.502.25 1.70 2.10
13.03.22E0 Leeds – Norwich 2–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.66 2.20
31.10.21E0 Norwich – Leeds 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.72 2.10

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 28 21 3 4 56 22 +34 66
2 Ipswich 28 17 8 3 51 35 +16 59
3 Southampton 28 17 7 4 53 32 +21 58
4 Leeds 28 16 6 6 50 26 +24 54
5 West Brom 28 13 6 9 40 27 +13 45
6 Coventry 28 11 10 7 43 30 +13 43
7 Hull 28 12 6 10 42 38 +4 42
8 Norwich 28 12 5 11 46 43 +3 41
9 Watford 28 10 10 8 45 38 +7 40
10 Sunderland 28 12 4 12 37 31 +6 40
11 Middlesbrough 28 12 4 12 42 41 +1 40
12 Preston 28 11 5 12 34 46 -12 38
13 Bristol City 28 10 7 11 31 31 0 37
14 Cardiff 28 11 4 13 35 39 -4 37
15 Plymouth 28 8 9 11 47 47 0 33
16 Swansea 28 8 9 11 38 44 -6 33
17 Blackburn 28 10 3 15 41 53 -12 33
18 Millwall 28 8 8 12 29 36 -7 32
19 Stoke 28 8 8 12 27 34 -7 32
20 Birmingham 28 8 8 12 34 44 -10 32
21 Huddersfield 28 5 12 11 28 46 -18 27
22 QPR 28 6 6 16 24 39 -15 24
23 Sheffield Weds 28 6 4 18 22 46 -24 22
24 Rotherham 28 3 10 15 25 52 -27 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 14 10 4 0 31 11 +20 34
2 Leicester 14 11 1 2 28 8 +20 34
3 Ipswich 14 10 3 1 35 21 +14 33
4 Southampton 14 10 2 2 34 15 +19 32
5 West Brom 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30
6 Plymouth 14 8 3 3 36 23 +13 27
7 Norwich 14 8 2 4 21 14 +7 26
8 Coventry 14 6 7 1 20 11 +9 25
9 Sunderland 14 8 0 6 22 17 +5 24
10 Preston 14 7 2 5 20 24 -4 23
11 Hull 14 6 4 4 22 15 +7 22
12 Birmingham 14 5 6 3 20 17 +3 21
13 Bristol City 14 6 3 5 18 16 +2 21
14 Watford 14 5 5 4 25 18 +7 20
15 Cardiff 14 6 2 6 18 18 0 20
16 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 15 15 0 20
17 Swansea 14 4 5 5 17 18 -1 17
18 Blackburn 14 5 2 7 19 24 -5 17
19 Stoke 14 4 4 6 11 15 -4 16
20 Rotherham 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15
21 Sheffield Weds 14 4 3 7 15 20 -5 15
22 Huddersfield 14 3 6 5 15 21 -6 15
23 Millwall 14 4 3 7 13 20 -7 15
24 QPR 14 3 3 8 14 21 -7 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 14 10 2 2 28 14 +14 32
2 Southampton 14 7 5 2 19 17 +2 26
3 Ipswich 14 7 5 2 16 14 +2 26
4 Leeds 14 6 2 6 19 15 +4 20
5 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 27 26 +1 20
6 Watford 14 5 5 4 20 20 0 20
7 Hull 14 6 2 6 20 23 -3 20
8 Coventry 14 5 3 6 23 19 +4 18
9 Millwall 14 4 5 5 16 16 0 17
10 Cardiff 14 5 2 7 17 21 -4 17
11 Sunderland 14 4 4 6 15 14 +1 16
12 Bristol City 14 4 4 6 13 15 -2 16
13 Stoke 14 4 4 6 16 19 -3 16
14 Swansea 14 4 4 6 21 26 -5 16
15 Blackburn 14 5 1 8 22 29 -7 16
16 West Brom 14 4 3 7 16 16 0 15
17 Norwich 14 4 3 7 25 29 -4 15
18 Preston 14 4 3 7 14 22 -8 15
19 QPR 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
20 Huddersfield 14 2 6 6 13 25 -12 12
21 Birmingham 14 3 2 9 14 27 -13 11
22 Sheffield Weds 14 2 1 11 7 26 -19 7
23 Plymouth 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6
24 Rotherham 14 0 4 10 9 34 -25 4

Leeds   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Blackburn 28 6 22 1.5 1.9 10 3 15 41 53 33
2 15 Plymouth 28 8 20 1.7 1.7 8 9 11 47 47 33
3 16 Swansea 28 10 18 1.4 1.6 8 9 11 38 44 33
4 3 Southampton 28 11 17 1.9 1.1 17 7 4 53 32 58
5 7 Hull 28 11 17 1.5 1.4 12 6 10 42 38 42
6 8 Norwich 28 11 17 1.6 1.5 12 5 11 46 43 41
7 12 Preston 28 11 17 1.2 1.6 11 5 12 34 46 38
8 2 Ipswich 28 12 16 1.8 1.2 17 8 3 51 35 59
9 4 Leeds 28 12 16 1.8 0.9 16 6 6 50 26 54
10 11 Middlesbrough 28 12 16 1.5 1.5 12 4 12 42 41 40
11 1 Leicester 28 13 15 2.0 0.8 21 3 4 56 22 66
12 9 Watford 28 13 15 1.6 1.4 10 10 8 45 38 40
13 10 Sunderland 28 13 15 1.3 1.1 12 4 12 37 31 40
14 14 Cardiff 28 13 15 1.2 1.4 11 4 13 35 39 37
15 20 Birmingham 28 13 15 1.2 1.6 8 8 12 34 44 32
16 23 Sheffield Weds 28 13 15 0.8 1.6 6 4 18 22 46 22
17 24 Rotherham 28 14 14 0.9 1.9 3 10 15 25 52 19
18 6 Coventry 28 15 13 1.5 1.1 11 10 7 43 30 43
19 21 Huddersfield 28 15 13 1.0 1.6 5 12 11 28 46 27
20 5 West Brom 28 16 12 1.4 1.0 13 6 9 40 27 45
21 18 Millwall 28 16 12 1.0 1.3 8 8 12 29 36 32
22 22 QPR 28 16 12 0.9 1.4 6 6 16 24 39 24
23 13 Bristol City 28 18 10 1.1 1.1 10 7 11 31 31 37
24 19 Stoke 28 18 10 1.0 1.2 8 8 12 27 34 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Plymouth 14 2 12 2.6 1.6 8 3 3 36 23 27
2 2 Ipswich 14 3 11 2.5 1.5 10 3 1 35 21 33
3 3 Southampton 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 10 2 2 34 15 32
4 4 Leeds 14 4 10 2.2 0.8 10 4 0 31 11 34
5 12 Preston 14 4 10 1.4 1.7 7 2 5 20 24 23
6 17 Blackburn 14 4 10 1.4 1.7 5 2 7 19 24 17
7 10 Sunderland 14 5 9 1.6 1.2 8 0 6 22 17 24
8 9 Watford 14 6 8 1.8 1.3 5 5 4 25 18 20
9 16 Swansea 14 6 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 5 17 18 17
10 20 Birmingham 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 5 6 3 20 17 21
11 23 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 4 3 7 15 20 15
12 1 Leicester 14 7 7 2.0 0.6 11 1 2 28 8 34
13 7 Hull 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 15 22
14 18 Millwall 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 4 3 7 13 20 15
15 21 Huddersfield 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 3 6 5 15 21 15
16 22 QPR 14 7 7 1.0 1.5 3 3 8 14 21 12
17 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30
18 8 Norwich 14 8 6 1.5 1.0 8 2 4 21 14 26
19 14 Cardiff 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 6 18 18 20
20 24 Rotherham 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15
21 13 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 5 18 16 21
22 19 Stoke 14 9 5 0.8 1.1 4 4 6 11 15 16
23 6 Coventry 14 10 4 1.4 0.8 6 7 1 20 11 25
24 11 Middlesbrough 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 6 2 6 15 15 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Middlesbrough 14 2 12 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 26 20
2 17 Blackburn 14 2 12 1.6 2.1 5 1 8 22 29 16
3 8 Norwich 14 3 11 1.8 2.1 4 3 7 25 29 15
4 7 Hull 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 6 2 6 20 23 20
5 16 Swansea 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 4 4 6 21 26 16
6 6 Coventry 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 3 6 23 19 18
7 14 Cardiff 14 5 9 1.2 1.5 5 2 7 17 21 17
8 1 Leicester 14 6 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 2 28 14 32
9 15 Plymouth 14 6 8 0.8 1.7 0 6 8 11 24 6
10 24 Rotherham 14 6 8 0.6 2.4 0 4 10 9 34 4
11 3 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 7 5 2 19 17 26
12 9 Watford 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 20 20 20
13 12 Preston 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 4 3 7 14 22 15
14 20 Birmingham 14 7 7 1.0 1.9 3 2 9 14 27 11
15 23 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 0.5 1.9 2 1 11 7 26 7
16 4 Leeds 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 2 6 19 15 20
17 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 4 3 7 16 16 15
18 10 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 4 4 6 15 14 16
19 21 Huddersfield 14 8 6 0.9 1.8 2 6 6 13 25 12
20 2 Ipswich 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 7 5 2 16 14 26
21 13 Bristol City 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 13 15 16
22 18 Millwall 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 5 5 16 16 17
23 19 Stoke 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 4 4 6 16 19 16
24 22 QPR 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40