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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Cardiff 0–3 Leeds

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.25 fair 2.75
Draw 4.20 fair 3.84
Away ✓ 1.62 fair 2.66
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Leeds
9 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
5 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (314 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 9.4% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.31scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 34:33
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.73scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 45:25
Cardiff all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.73
1.27 Goals conceded 0.96
2.58 Total goals 2.69
10.77 Shots 15.77
3.85 Shots on target 5.35
12.00 Shots faced 9.38
4.69 Corners 5.85
5.38 Corners against 4.73
10.04 Fouls 9.81
1.65 Yellow cards 1.46
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

42% Wins 54%
15% Draws 23%
42% Losses 23%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 69%
50% Over 2.5 goals 54%
23% Over 3.5 goals 31%
12% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
46% Both teams scored 50%
27% Clean sheets 35%
31% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 38%
50% Draws 46%
23% Losses 15%
62% Over 0.5 goals 62%
27% Over 1.5 goals 46%
8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Leeds all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.54points / match
1.38scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:15
Leeds before this match, away
1.31points / match
1.23scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:15
Cardiff at home away Leeds

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.23
1.15 Goals conceded 1.15
2.54 Total goals 2.38
11.23 Shots 13.62
4.00 Shots on target 4.23
9.85 Shots faced 11.77
4.85 Corners 5.23
4.23 Corners against 7.00
8.54 Fouls 9.85
1.08 Yellow cards 1.69
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

46% Wins 38%
15% Draws 15%
38% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 54%
38% Over 2.5 goals 38%
23% Over 3.5 goals 23%
15% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
46% Both teams scored 38%
31% Clean sheets 31%
23% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 23%
54% Draws 54%
23% Losses 23%
62% Over 0.5 goals 54%
23% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.40 1.53
29.12.23 Cardiff – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.62 1.98 1.88
26.12.23 Cardiff – Plymouth 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.753.60 1.83 2.03
23.12.23 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.25 1.62
16.12.23 Hull – Cardiff 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.70
13.12.23 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
25.11.23 Preston – Cardiff 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.35 1.57

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 Preston – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.83 2.03
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
12.12.23 Sunderland – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.40 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Blackburn – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.331.75 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Cardiff – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.62 1.98 1.88
26.12.23 Cardiff – Plymouth 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.753.60 1.83 2.03
13.12.23 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Cardiff – Coventry 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.83

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 Preston – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.83 2.03
12.12.23 Sunderland – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.40 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Blackburn – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.331.75 1.48 2.60
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15
03.11.23 Leicester – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.25 1.67 2.15
25.10.23 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Norwich – Leeds 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.502.25 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
20.09.23 Hull – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsLeeds wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.08.23E1 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 27 21 2 4 55 21 +34 65
2 Ipswich 26 16 7 3 48 33 +15 55
3 Southampton 26 15 7 4 46 31 +15 52
4 Leeds 26 14 6 6 45 25 +20 48
5 West Brom 26 12 6 8 36 24 +12 42
6 Coventry 27 10 10 7 41 29 +12 40
7 Sunderland 26 12 4 10 36 28 +8 40
8 Hull 27 11 6 10 41 38 +3 39
9 Norwich 27 11 5 11 44 43 +1 38
10 Cardiff 26 11 4 11 34 33 +1 37
11 Watford 26 9 9 8 42 36 +6 36
12 Bristol City 26 10 6 10 30 28 +2 36
13 Middlesbrough 26 11 3 12 38 39 -1 36
14 Preston 26 10 5 11 31 44 -13 35
15 Millwall 26 8 8 10 28 31 -3 32
16 Swansea 26 8 8 10 35 39 -4 32
17 Blackburn 26 10 2 14 39 48 -9 32
18 Plymouth 26 7 8 11 43 45 -2 29
19 Stoke 26 7 8 11 25 32 -7 29
20 Birmingham 26 7 7 12 30 41 -11 28
21 Huddersfield 26 5 10 11 26 44 -18 25
22 Sheffield Weds 26 6 4 16 21 40 -19 22
23 QPR 26 5 6 15 21 37 -16 21
24 Rotherham 26 3 9 14 24 50 -26 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 13 11 0 2 27 7 +20 33
2 Leeds 13 9 4 0 29 10 +19 31
3 Ipswich 13 9 3 1 33 20 +13 30
4 Southampton 13 9 2 2 30 15 +15 29
5 West Brom 13 8 3 2 20 10 +10 27
6 Coventry 14 6 7 1 20 11 +9 25
7 Plymouth 13 7 3 3 33 22 +11 24
8 Sunderland 13 8 0 5 22 16 +6 24
9 Norwich 13 7 2 4 19 14 +5 23
10 Hull 14 6 4 4 22 15 +7 22
11 Watford 14 5 5 4 25 18 +7 20
12 Birmingham 13 5 5 3 18 15 +3 20
13 Cardiff 13 6 2 5 18 15 +3 20
14 Bristol City 13 6 2 5 17 15 +2 20
15 Preston 13 6 2 5 18 24 -6 20
16 Middlesbrough 13 6 1 6 14 14 0 19
17 Swansea 13 4 5 4 16 15 +1 17
18 Stoke 13 4 4 5 10 13 -3 16
19 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 18 23 -5 16
20 Rotherham 13 3 6 4 16 17 -1 15
21 Sheffield Weds 13 4 3 6 14 18 -4 15
22 Millwall 13 4 3 6 12 17 -5 15
23 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
24 QPR 12 2 3 7 11 19 -8 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 14 10 2 2 28 14 +14 32
2 Ipswich 13 7 4 2 15 13 +2 25
3 Southampton 13 6 5 2 16 16 0 23
4 Millwall 13 4 5 4 16 14 +2 17
5 Leeds 13 5 2 6 16 15 +1 17
6 Middlesbrough 13 5 2 6 24 25 -1 17
7 Cardiff 13 5 2 6 16 18 -2 17
8 Hull 13 5 2 6 19 23 -4 17
9 Sunderland 13 4 4 5 14 12 +2 16
10 Bristol City 13 4 4 5 13 13 0 16
11 Watford 12 4 4 4 17 18 -1 16
12 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 21 25 -4 16
13 Coventry 13 4 3 6 21 18 +3 15
14 West Brom 13 4 3 6 16 14 +2 15
15 Norwich 14 4 3 7 25 29 -4 15
16 Swansea 13 4 3 6 19 24 -5 15
17 Preston 13 4 3 6 13 20 -7 15
18 Stoke 13 3 4 6 15 19 -4 13
19 QPR 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
20 Huddersfield 13 2 5 6 12 24 -12 11
21 Birmingham 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8
22 Sheffield Weds 13 2 1 10 7 22 -15 7
23 Plymouth 13 0 5 8 10 23 -13 5
24 Rotherham 13 0 3 10 8 33 -25 3

Cardiff   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Blackburn 26 5 21 1.5 1.8 10 2 14 39 48 32
2 18 Plymouth 26 7 19 1.7 1.7 7 8 11 43 45 29
3 8 Hull 27 10 17 1.5 1.4 11 6 10 41 38 39
4 9 Norwich 27 10 17 1.6 1.6 11 5 11 44 43 38
5 14 Preston 26 10 16 1.2 1.7 10 5 11 31 44 35
6 16 Swansea 26 10 16 1.3 1.5 8 8 10 35 39 32
7 1 Leicester 27 12 15 2.0 0.8 21 2 4 55 21 65
8 2 Ipswich 26 11 15 1.8 1.3 16 7 3 48 33 55
9 3 Southampton 26 11 15 1.8 1.2 15 7 4 46 31 52
10 13 Middlesbrough 26 11 15 1.5 1.5 11 3 12 38 39 36
11 4 Leeds 26 12 14 1.7 1.0 14 6 6 45 25 48
12 7 Sunderland 26 12 14 1.4 1.1 12 4 10 36 28 40
13 11 Watford 26 12 14 1.6 1.4 9 9 8 42 36 36
14 24 Rotherham 26 12 14 0.9 1.9 3 9 14 24 50 18
15 10 Cardiff 26 13 13 1.3 1.3 11 4 11 34 33 37
16 20 Birmingham 26 13 13 1.2 1.6 7 7 12 30 41 28
17 21 Huddersfield 26 13 13 1.0 1.7 5 10 11 26 44 25
18 22 Sheffield Weds 26 13 13 0.8 1.5 6 4 16 21 40 22
19 6 Coventry 27 15 12 1.5 1.1 10 10 7 41 29 40
20 5 West Brom 26 15 11 1.4 0.9 12 6 8 36 24 42
21 15 Millwall 26 15 11 1.1 1.2 8 8 10 28 31 32
22 23 QPR 26 15 11 0.8 1.4 5 6 15 21 37 21
23 12 Bristol City 26 16 10 1.2 1.1 10 6 10 30 28 36
24 19 Stoke 26 17 9 1.0 1.2 7 8 11 25 32 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Plymouth 13 2 11 2.5 1.7 7 3 3 33 22 24
2 2 Ipswich 13 3 10 2.5 1.5 9 3 1 33 20 30
3 14 Preston 13 3 10 1.4 1.8 6 2 5 18 24 20
4 17 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.4 1.8 5 1 7 18 23 16
5 3 Southampton 13 4 9 2.3 1.2 9 2 2 30 15 29
6 4 Leeds 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 10 31
7 7 Sunderland 13 4 9 1.7 1.2 8 0 5 22 16 24
8 11 Watford 14 6 8 1.8 1.3 5 5 4 25 18 20
9 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.5 11 0 2 27 7 33
10 8 Hull 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 15 22
11 16 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 16 15 17
12 20 Birmingham 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 3 18 15 20
13 21 Huddersfield 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
14 22 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 1.1 1.4 4 3 6 14 18 15
15 9 Norwich 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 7 2 4 19 14 23
16 15 Millwall 13 7 6 0.9 1.3 4 3 6 12 17 15
17 23 QPR 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 3 7 11 19 9
18 24 Rotherham 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 3 6 4 16 17 15
19 5 West Brom 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 8 3 2 20 10 27
20 10 Cardiff 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 5 18 15 20
21 12 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 6 2 5 17 15 20
22 6 Coventry 14 10 4 1.4 0.8 6 7 1 20 11 25
23 13 Middlesbrough 13 9 4 1.1 1.1 6 1 6 14 14 19
24 19 Stoke 13 9 4 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 10 13 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Norwich 14 3 11 1.8 2.1 4 3 7 25 29 15
2 13 Middlesbrough 13 2 11 1.8 1.9 5 2 6 24 25 17
3 17 Blackburn 13 2 11 1.6 1.9 5 1 7 21 25 16
4 8 Hull 13 3 10 1.5 1.8 5 2 6 19 23 17
5 16 Swansea 13 4 9 1.5 1.8 4 3 6 19 24 15
6 1 Leicester 14 6 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 2 28 14 32
7 6 Coventry 13 5 8 1.6 1.4 4 3 6 21 18 15
8 10 Cardiff 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 5 2 6 16 18 17
9 18 Plymouth 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 0 5 8 10 23 5
10 24 Rotherham 13 5 8 0.6 2.5 0 3 10 8 33 3
11 3 Southampton 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 6 5 2 16 16 23
12 5 West Brom 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 4 3 6 16 14 15
13 11 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.5 4 4 4 17 18 16
14 14 Preston 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 20 15
15 20 Birmingham 13 7 6 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8
16 21 Huddersfield 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 2 5 6 12 24 11
17 22 Sheffield Weds 13 7 6 0.5 1.7 2 1 10 7 22 7
18 2 Ipswich 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 4 2 15 13 25
19 4 Leeds 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 5 2 6 16 15 17
20 7 Sunderland 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 4 4 5 14 12 16
21 12 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.0 1.0 4 4 5 13 13 16
22 15 Millwall 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 16 14 17
23 19 Stoke 13 8 5 1.2 1.5 3 4 6 15 19 13
24 23 QPR 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51