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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Millwall 1–0 Plymouth

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 1.74
Draw 4.10 fair 4.38
Away 5.25 fair 5.10
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Plymouth
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 11
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (127 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.81 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawPlymouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.4% 1–1 10.9% 2–0 10.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.30scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:12
Plymouth before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:18
Millwall all matches all matches Plymouth

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded 1.80
2.50 Total goals 2.80
13.60 Shots 12.10
4.60 Shots on target 4.10
9.50 Shots faced 18.30
5.80 Corners 3.30
5.30 Corners against 7.90
12.90 Fouls 10.80
2.10 Yellow cards 2.00
0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 30%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
30% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 20%
50% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Plymouth all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:6
Plymouth before this match, away
0.20points / match
0.20scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 1:12
Millwall at home away Plymouth

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.20
1.20 Goals conceded 2.40
3.00 Total goals 2.60
15.00 Shots 8.20
4.60 Shots on target 1.60
8.00 Shots faced 22.80
5.80 Corners 1.20
5.60 Corners against 9.40
12.60 Fouls 11.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.40
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 0%
20% Draws 20%
40% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 80%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Plymouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Cardiff – Plymouth 5–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
05.10.24 Plymouth – Blackburn 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.702.10 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 Burnley – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
21.09.24 West Brom – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.508.00 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
24.08.24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.83 2.03
17.08.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.702.30 1.67 2.15
11.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Plymouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.00 1.85

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67

Plymouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Cardiff – Plymouth 5–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Burnley – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
21.09.24 West Brom – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.508.00 1.57 2.38
24.08.24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.83 2.03
11.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Plymouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.00 1.85
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
05.04.24 Rotherham – Plymouth 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.95 1.90
29.03.24 Norwich – Plymouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
09.03.24 Blackburn – Plymouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsPlymouth wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24E1 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
03.10.23E1 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 6 4 1 19 8 +11 22
2 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 19 8 +11 22
3 Burnley 10 6 3 1 16 4 +12 21
4 Sheffield United 10 6 3 1 12 5 +7 21
5 West Brom 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
6 Blackburn 10 5 3 2 16 11 +5 18
7 Norwich 11 4 5 2 19 13 +6 17
8 Watford 11 5 1 5 15 19 -4 16
9 Bristol City 11 3 6 2 14 16 -2 15
10 Oxford 11 3 5 3 15 13 +2 14
11 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
12 Derby 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
13 Swansea 11 3 4 4 8 7 +1 13
14 Preston 11 3 4 4 10 14 -4 13
15 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 15 -2 12
16 Hull 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12
17 Sheffield Weds 11 3 3 5 11 17 -6 12
18 Luton 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11
19 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
20 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 10 18 -8 11
21 Millwall 10 2 4 4 13 12 +1 10
22 Coventry 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9
23 QPR 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
24 Portsmouth 11 1 5 5 11 23 -12 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 5 5 0 0 12 3 +9 15
2 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
3 Leeds 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
4 Watford 5 4 1 0 10 4 +6 13
5 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
6 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
7 Oxford 6 3 3 0 8 3 +5 12
8 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
9 Preston 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11
10 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
11 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
12 Swansea 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
13 Bristol City 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
14 Cardiff 6 3 0 3 8 6 +2 9
15 Stoke 6 2 2 2 12 9 +3 8
16 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
17 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
18 West Brom 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
19 Millwall 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
20 Luton 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
21 Coventry 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
22 Hull 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5
23 QPR 6 0 3 3 6 11 -5 3
24 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 2 7 -5 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
2 Burnley 5 3 1 1 7 2 +5 10
3 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Sunderland 5 3 0 2 9 6 +3 9
5 Sheffield United 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8
6 Norwich 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
7 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
8 Middlesbrough 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
9 Bristol City 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6
10 QPR 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
11 Portsmouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
12 Swansea 6 1 1 4 2 5 -3 4
13 Luton 5 1 1 3 2 6 -4 4
14 Stoke 5 1 1 3 1 6 -5 4
15 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
16 Millwall 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
17 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
18 Coventry 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Watford 6 1 0 5 5 15 -10 3
20 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
21 Derby 6 0 2 4 5 11 -6 2
22 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
23 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
24 Plymouth 5 0 1 4 1 12 -11 1

Millwall   Plymouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 11 2 9 1.4 1.7 5 1 5 15 19 16
2 24 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.0 2.1 1 5 5 11 23 8
3 6 Blackburn 10 4 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 2 16 11 18
4 17 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 3 3 5 11 17 12
5 18 Luton 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11
6 2 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.9 0.8 7 1 2 19 8 22
7 7 Norwich 11 6 5 1.7 1.2 4 5 2 19 13 17
8 9 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 3 6 2 14 16 15
9 10 Oxford 11 6 5 1.4 1.2 3 5 3 15 13 14
10 14 Preston 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 4 4 10 14 13
11 15 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 3 3 5 13 15 12
12 20 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 5 10 18 11
13 22 Coventry 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9
14 23 QPR 11 6 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
15 1 Leeds 11 7 4 1.7 0.7 6 4 1 19 8 22
16 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
17 12 Derby 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
18 16 Hull 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12
19 21 Millwall 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 2 4 4 13 12 10
20 3 Burnley 10 7 3 1.6 0.4 6 3 1 16 4 21
21 19 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
22 11 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
23 13 Swansea 11 9 2 0.7 0.6 3 4 4 8 7 13
24 4 Sheffield United 10 9 1 1.2 0.5 6 3 1 12 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Luton 5 0 5 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
2 8 Watford 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 4 1 0 10 4 13
3 15 Stoke 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 2 2 2 12 9 8
4 22 Coventry 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
5 1 Leeds 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
6 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 5 0 0 12 3 15
7 7 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
8 20 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
9 21 Millwall 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
10 23 QPR 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 0 3 3 6 11 3
11 2 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
12 3 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
13 9 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
14 12 Derby 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
15 14 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11
16 17 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
17 24 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 3 2 2 7 3
18 4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 4 1 0 7 2 13
19 10 Oxford 6 5 1 1.3 0.5 3 3 0 8 3 12
20 11 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
21 13 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
22 16 Hull 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5
23 19 Cardiff 6 5 1 1.3 1.0 3 0 3 8 6 9
24 5 West Brom 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 1 0 5 5 15 3
2 24 Portsmouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
3 5 West Brom 5 1 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
4 10 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
5 17 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
6 2 Sunderland 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 2 9 6 9
7 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
8 9 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6
9 14 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
10 16 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
11 7 Norwich 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
12 12 Derby 6 4 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 4 5 11 2
13 19 Cardiff 5 3 2 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
14 20 Plymouth 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 1 4 1 12 1
15 23 QPR 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
16 1 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
17 3 Burnley 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 1 1 7 2 10
18 11 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
19 13 Swansea 6 5 1 0.3 0.8 1 1 4 2 5 4
20 15 Stoke 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 3 1 6 4
21 18 Luton 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 1 3 2 6 4
22 21 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
23 22 Coventry 6 5 1 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
24 4 Sheffield United 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51