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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Millwall 0–1 Luton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.63 fair 1.97
Draw 3.30 fair 4.18
Away ✓ 2.63 fair 3.95
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Luton
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 4
8 Fouls 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (49 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:7
Luton before this match, all matches
0.25points / match
0.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 2:7
Millwall all matches all matches Luton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.50
1.75 Goals conceded 1.75
3.75 Total goals 2.25
15.50 Shots 11.75
4.25 Shots on target 4.00
9.75 Shots faced 10.75
5.50 Corners 6.50
5.25 Corners against 4.00
13.50 Fouls 11.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 25%
50% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
50% Over 4.5 goals 25%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Luton all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.50points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:3
Luton before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:1
Millwall at home away Luton

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.50
4.00 Total goals 0.50
17.00 Shots 13.00
4.00 Shots on target 4.00
7.00 Shots faced 10.50
5.50 Corners 8.50
5.50 Corners against 3.50
13.50 Fouls 11.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
06.04.24 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
19.05.24E0 Luton – Fulham 2–4 (1–2) 2.903.902.20 1.44 2.75
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
03.05.24E0 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
20.04.24E0 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
13.04.24E0 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.25 1.62
14.02.24 Millwall – Ipswich 0–4 (0–3) 3.503.502.05 2.05 1.75

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
13.04.24E0 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75
03.04.24E0 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24E0 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
13.03.24E0 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24E0 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
21.02.24E0 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsLuton wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23E1 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
28.02.23E1 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.103.60 2.63 1.50
02.04.22E1 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
16.10.21E1 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 4 4 0 0 10 1 +9 12
2 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
3 West Brom 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
4 Watford 4 3 0 1 8 4 +4 9
5 Leeds 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8
6 Blackburn 4 2 2 0 9 6 +3 8
7 Burnley 4 2 1 1 10 3 +7 7
8 Middlesbrough 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
9 Oxford 4 2 0 2 8 6 +2 6
10 Derby 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
11 Stoke 4 2 0 2 3 5 -2 6
12 QPR 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
13 Norwich 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
14 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 6 8 -2 5
15 Millwall 4 1 1 2 8 7 +1 4
16 Swansea 4 1 1 2 4 3 +1 4
17 Coventry 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
18 Portsmouth 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
19 Hull 5 0 3 2 2 6 -4 3
20 Sheffield Weds 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Preston 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3
22 Plymouth 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2
23 Luton 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
24 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 1 10 -9 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
2 Oxford 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Watford 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Derby 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
5 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6
6 Burnley 2 1 1 0 6 1 +5 4
7 Swansea 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
8 Leeds 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
9 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
10 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
11 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
12 West Brom 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
13 Millwall 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
14 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
15 Coventry 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Stoke 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
17 Preston 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
18 Norwich 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
19 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
20 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
22 Portsmouth 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
23 Luton 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Cardiff 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
2 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 West Brom 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
5 QPR 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
6 Burnley 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
7 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
8 Watford 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
10 Stoke 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
11 Portsmouth 2 0 2 0 5 5 0 2
12 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
13 Millwall 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
14 Coventry 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
15 Luton 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
16 Hull 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
17 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
18 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
19 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 1 6 -5 1
20 Oxford 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
21 Swansea 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
22 Derby 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0

Millwall   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Watford 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 1 8 4 9
2 6 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 2 2 0 9 6 8
3 9 Oxford 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 0 2 8 6 6
4 10 Derby 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
5 12 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 15 Millwall 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 1 2 8 7 4
7 18 Portsmouth 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
8 20 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
9 1 Sunderland 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 4 0 0 10 1 12
10 3 West Brom 4 2 2 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
11 7 Burnley 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 2 1 1 10 3 7
12 11 Stoke 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 2 3 5 6
13 14 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 1 2 1 6 8 5
14 21 Preston 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3
15 23 Luton 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
16 2 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
17 5 Leeds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8
18 8 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
19 13 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
20 16 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 1 2 4 3 4
21 17 Coventry 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
22 22 Plymouth 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 2 2 2 7 2
23 24 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.2 2.5 0 1 3 1 10 1
24 19 Hull 5 5 0 0.4 1.2 0 3 2 2 6 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Watford 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 6 Blackburn 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6
3 15 Millwall 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
4 23 Luton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
5 1 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
6 2 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
7 5 Leeds 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
8 7 Burnley 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 1 1 0 6 1 4
9 8 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
10 9 Oxford 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
11 10 Derby 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
12 11 Stoke 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
13 12 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
14 13 Norwich 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 14 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
16 16 Swansea 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
17 17 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
18 18 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
19 20 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
20 3 West Brom 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
21 19 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
22 21 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
23 22 Plymouth 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 24 Cardiff 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 West Brom 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
2 9 Oxford 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
3 10 Derby 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0
4 12 QPR 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
5 18 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 0 2 0 5 5 2
6 20 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0
7 21 Preston 2 0 2 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
8 1 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
9 4 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
10 6 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
11 7 Burnley 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
12 11 Stoke 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
13 14 Bristol City 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
14 15 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
15 22 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
16 24 Cardiff 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 1 1 1 6 1
17 2 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
18 5 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 8 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
20 13 Norwich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
21 16 Swansea 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
22 17 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
23 19 Hull 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
24 23 Luton 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51