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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Miles

Millwall 1–0 Sheffield Weds

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.17
Draw 3.70 fair 3.96
Away 5.25 fair 3.50
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Sheffield Weds
24 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 5
7 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawSheffield Weds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.13scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:23
Sheffield Weds before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.75scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 12:32
Millwall all matches all matches Sheffield Weds

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.75
1.44 Goals conceded 2.00
2.56 Total goals 2.75
11.75 Shots 10.94
3.44 Shots on target 3.44
12.44 Shots faced 15.44
5.06 Corners 5.63
5.13 Corners against 6.06
13.69 Fouls 11.88
1.75 Yellow cards 1.44
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.13

How often Full Time

44% Wins 6%
25% Draws 31%
31% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
81% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 50%
31% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%
38% Draws 19%
25% Losses 56%
81% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Sheffield Weds all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.63points / match
1.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:10
Sheffield Weds before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.29scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:11
Millwall at home away Sheffield Weds

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.29
1.25 Goals conceded 1.57
2.25 Total goals 2.86
12.88 Shots 10.57
3.38 Shots on target 4.29
10.25 Shots faced 17.14
5.38 Corners 4.71
5.13 Corners against 7.29
12.38 Fouls 11.86
1.75 Yellow cards 1.71
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 14%
13% Draws 43%
38% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
38% Over 2.5 goals 71%
13% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
13% Both teams scored 71%
50% Clean sheets 29%
38% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
38% Draws 29%
13% Losses 43%
75% Over 0.5 goals 86%
25% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Sheffield Weds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Portsmouth – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.052.70 2.30 1.62
08.11.25 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.25 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Oxford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 Millwall – Coventry 0–4 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Swansea – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.103.50 2.38 1.57

Sheffield Weds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Sheffield United 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.401.91 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (2–1) 1.394.756.50 1.67 2.20
05.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.05 1.90 1.95
01.11.25 West Brom – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.464.336.00 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Oxford 1–2 (0–2) 2.703.252.50 2.05 1.80
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Charlton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–0) 1.623.605.25 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Coventry 0–5 (0–3) 5.504.501.46 1.62 2.30
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.45 2.00 1.80

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.25 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 Millwall – Coventry 0–4 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.93 1.93
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Millwall – Wrexham 0–2 (0–0) 1.963.403.75 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
26.04.25 Millwall – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
21.04.25 Millwall – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 2.20 1.67

Sheffield Weds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (2–1) 1.394.756.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 West Brom – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.464.336.00 1.90 1.95
18.10.25 Charlton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–0) 1.623.605.25 2.10 1.73
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 1.514.106.00 1.88 1.98
23.08.25 Wrexham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (2–0) 1.554.105.75 1.80 2.00
10.08.25 Leicester – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.53 2.50
03.05.25 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 1.67 2.20
18.04.25 Stoke – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
08.04.25 Blackburn – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (0–2) 2.603.202.70 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsSheffield Weds wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25E1 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 2–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.50 1.53
31.08.24E1 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
17.02.24E1 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.25 1.62
11.11.23E1 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 0–4 (0–2) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 17 12 4 1 47 17 +30 40
2 Stoke 17 9 3 5 25 12 +13 30
3 Middlesbrough 17 8 6 3 22 18 +4 30
4 Ipswich 16 7 6 3 28 16 +12 27
5 Preston 17 7 6 4 22 17 +5 27
6 Bristol City 16 7 5 4 25 18 +7 26
7 Derby 17 7 5 5 24 23 +1 26
8 Hull 17 7 4 6 28 29 -1 25
9 Millwall 16 7 4 5 18 23 -5 25
10 Birmingham 16 7 3 6 24 18 +6 24
11 Southampton 17 6 6 5 26 22 +4 24
12 Watford 17 6 6 5 23 21 +2 24
13 Leicester 17 6 6 5 20 20 0 24
14 Charlton 17 6 5 6 17 20 -3 23
15 Wrexham 16 5 7 4 20 19 +1 22
16 QPR 16 6 4 6 20 25 -5 22
17 West Brom 16 6 3 7 16 19 -3 21
18 Blackburn 15 6 1 8 16 20 -4 19
19 Portsmouth 16 4 5 7 15 21 -6 17
20 Swansea 17 4 5 8 16 24 -8 17
21 Oxford 17 3 6 8 18 24 -6 15
22 Sheffield United 16 4 1 11 14 26 -12 13
23 Norwich 17 2 4 11 16 28 -12 10
24 Sheffield Weds 16 1 5 10 12 32 -20 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 6 2 0 22 6 +16 20
2 Watford 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
3 Birmingham 8 5 2 1 19 7 +12 17
4 Preston 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
5 Middlesbrough 8 5 2 1 11 8 +3 17
6 Hull 9 5 2 2 15 14 +1 17
7 Stoke 8 5 1 2 14 5 +9 16
8 Ipswich 9 4 4 1 15 9 +6 16
9 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
10 Charlton 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
11 Leicester 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
12 Millwall 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
13 Southampton 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
14 West Brom 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12
15 Wrexham 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12
16 Derby 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
17 QPR 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
19 Swansea 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
20 Oxford 8 1 4 3 8 12 -4 7
21 Blackburn 7 1 1 5 7 13 -6 4
22 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 4 11 -7 4
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 2 7 3 21 -18 2
24 Norwich 8 0 1 7 6 14 -8 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 6 2 1 25 11 +14 20
2 Blackburn 8 5 0 3 9 7 +2 15
3 Stoke 9 4 2 3 11 7 +4 14
4 Derby 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
5 Middlesbrough 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
6 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
7 Southampton 9 3 3 3 16 15 +1 12
8 Millwall 8 3 3 2 10 13 -3 12
9 Ipswich 7 3 2 2 13 7 +6 11
10 Leicester 9 3 2 4 11 13 -2 11
11 QPR 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 11
12 Preston 8 2 4 2 9 8 +1 10
13 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 8 7 +1 10
14 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
15 Charlton 9 2 3 4 7 11 -4 9
16 Sheffield United 9 3 0 6 10 15 -5 9
17 West Brom 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
18 Hull 8 2 2 4 13 15 -2 8
19 Oxford 9 2 2 5 10 12 -2 8
20 Swansea 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
21 Birmingham 8 2 1 5 5 11 -6 7
22 Sheffield Weds 7 1 3 3 9 11 -2 6
23 Watford 8 1 3 4 8 12 -4 6
24 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 11 -5 6

Millwall   Sheffield Weds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 17 5 12 2.8 1.0 12 4 1 47 17 40
2 8 Hull 17 5 12 1.6 1.7 7 4 6 28 29 25
3 11 Southampton 17 6 11 1.5 1.3 6 6 5 26 22 24
4 24 Sheffield Weds 16 6 10 0.8 2.0 1 5 10 12 32 8
5 12 Watford 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 6 6 5 23 21 24
6 16 QPR 16 7 9 1.2 1.6 6 4 6 20 25 22
7 21 Oxford 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 3 6 8 18 24 15
8 3 Middlesbrough 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 8 6 3 22 18 30
9 4 Ipswich 16 8 8 1.8 1.0 7 6 3 28 16 27
10 6 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 25 18 26
11 7 Derby 17 9 8 1.4 1.4 7 5 5 24 23 26
12 9 Millwall 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 5 18 23 25
13 10 Birmingham 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 3 6 24 18 24
14 13 Leicester 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 6 6 5 20 20 24
15 18 Blackburn 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 8 16 20 19
16 20 Swansea 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 4 5 8 16 24 17
17 22 Sheffield United 16 8 8 0.9 1.6 4 1 11 14 26 13
18 23 Norwich 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 2 4 11 16 28 10
19 2 Stoke 17 10 7 1.5 0.7 9 3 5 25 12 30
20 5 Preston 17 10 7 1.3 1.0 7 6 4 22 17 27
21 17 West Brom 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 6 3 7 16 19 21
22 19 Portsmouth 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 4 5 7 15 21 17
23 14 Charlton 17 11 6 1.0 1.2 6 5 6 17 20 23
24 15 Wrexham 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 19 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Hull 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 5 2 2 15 14 17
2 12 Watford 9 3 6 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
3 1 Coventry 8 3 5 2.8 0.8 6 2 0 22 6 20
4 4 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 4 4 1 15 9 16
5 5 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
6 6 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
7 10 Birmingham 8 3 5 2.4 0.9 5 2 1 19 7 17
8 16 QPR 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 3 2 3 11 12 11
9 18 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 1 1 5 7 13 4
10 20 Swansea 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
11 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.3 2.3 0 2 7 3 21 2
12 3 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 5 2 1 11 8 17
13 11 Southampton 8 4 4 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
14 15 Wrexham 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12
15 19 Portsmouth 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
16 21 Oxford 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 1 4 3 8 12 7
17 23 Norwich 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 0 1 7 6 14 1
18 2 Stoke 8 5 3 1.8 0.6 5 1 2 14 5 16
19 7 Derby 9 6 3 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
20 9 Millwall 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
21 14 Charlton 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 2 10 9 14
22 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 5 4 11 4
23 13 Leicester 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
24 17 West Brom 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 9 2 7 2.8 1.2 6 2 1 25 11 20
2 11 Southampton 9 2 7 1.8 1.7 3 3 3 16 15 12
3 8 Hull 8 2 6 1.6 1.9 2 2 4 13 15 8
4 13 Leicester 9 3 6 1.2 1.4 3 2 4 11 13 11
5 7 Derby 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
6 9 Millwall 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 3 3 2 10 13 12
7 17 West Brom 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
8 21 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 2 2 5 10 12 8
9 22 Sheffield United 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 3 0 6 10 15 9
10 24 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 3 3 9 11 6
11 2 Stoke 9 5 4 1.2 0.8 4 2 3 11 7 14
12 3 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
13 16 QPR 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 3 2 3 9 13 11
14 23 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
15 4 Ipswich 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 3 2 2 13 7 11
16 6 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
17 10 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 2 1 5 5 11 7
18 12 Watford 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 1 3 4 8 12 6
19 14 Charlton 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 4 7 11 9
20 18 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 5 0 3 9 7 15
21 19 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 3 6 11 6
22 20 Swansea 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
23 5 Preston 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 2 4 2 9 8 10
24 15 Wrexham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 2 4 2 8 7 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40