Millwall 1–0 Swansea – England Championship, 26 Apr 2025

Match facts

Millwall Swansea

16 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 7

11 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (531 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.74

Expected goals 1.30 – 0.88

Home / Draw / Away

46% 28% 25%

MillwallDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

63% 37%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

57% 43%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

25% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

7% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.7% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 11.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.43points / match

1.02scored / match

1.05conceded / match

17 12 15

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 45:46

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.36points / match

1.09scored / match

1.18conceded / match

17 9 18

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 48:52

Millwall all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.02 Goals scored 1.09

1.05 Goals conceded 1.18

2.07 Total goals 2.27

11.23 Shots 10.52

3.61 Shots on target 3.55

10.77 Shots faced 11.30

4.86 Corners 4.70

5.36 Corners against 4.77

12.95 Fouls 10.61

1.66 Yellow cards 1.59

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.66

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

39% Wins 39%

27% Draws 20%

34% Losses 41%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

50% Over 1.5 goals 59%

30% Over 2.5 goals 45%

18% Over 3.5 goals 16%

9% Over 4.5 goals 7%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

43% Both teams scored 41%

34% Clean sheets 32%

30% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 39%

43% Draws 34%

32% Losses 27%

61% Over 0.5 goals 70%

23% Over 1.5 goals 30%

9% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

W

1

4

L

3

1

W

Swansea all matches

D

1

W

1

L

2

L

2

D

1

W

3

W

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

Millwall before this match, at home

1.68points / match

1.18scored / match

0.86conceded / match

11 4 7

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:19

Swansea before this match, away

1.14points / match

0.82scored / match

1.41conceded / match

7 4 11

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 18:31

Millwall at home away Swansea

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.82

0.86 Goals conceded 1.41

2.05 Total goals 2.23

12.41 Shots 9.64

3.73 Shots on target 2.91

8.82 Shots faced 12.82

5.14 Corners 4.95

4.86 Corners against 5.00

12.59 Fouls 10.09

1.32 Yellow cards 1.91

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

50% Wins 32%

18% Draws 18%

32% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

50% Over 1.5 goals 55%

32% Over 2.5 goals 50%

18% Over 3.5 goals 18%

5% Over 4.5 goals 5%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

41% Both teams scored 45%

32% Clean sheets 18%

27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 23%

55% Draws 36%

18% Losses 41%

50% Over 0.5 goals 68%

23% Over 1.5 goals 18%

14% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

1

L

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

3

1

W

Swansea away

4

L

3

L

1

5

L

1

W

1

3

L

D

1

L

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Millwall – Norwich	3–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.20	1.67
18.04.25	Blackburn – Millwall	4–1 (2–1)	2.35	3.10	3.20	2.63	1.50
12.04.25	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
08.04.25	Sheffield United – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.75	5.25	2.30	1.62
05.04.25	Millwall – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.63	1.50
29.03.25	Sunderland – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.75	5.50	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	QPR – Swansea	1–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.75	2.30	1.62
18.04.25	Swansea – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
12.04.25	Sunderland – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.73
09.04.25	Swansea – Plymouth	3–0 (3–0)	1.58	4.00	5.00	2.03	1.83
05.04.25	Swansea – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.75	2.38	1.57
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Millwall – Norwich	3–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.20	1.67
12.04.25	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
05.04.25	Millwall – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.63	1.50
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Millwall – Hull	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.50	1.53
01.01.25	Millwall – Oxford	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.00	2.30	1.62

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	QPR – Swansea	1–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.75	2.30	1.62
12.04.25	Sunderland – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.73
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Portsmouth – Swansea	4–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.40	2.38	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2 2

Millwall winsDrawsSwansea wins

7matches

1.86goals / match

43%over 2.5

29%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.10.24E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.20	1.67
04.05.24E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
30.09.23E1	Millwall – Swansea	0–3 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
14.03.23E1	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.20	1.67
16.08.22E1	Swansea – Millwall	2–2 (2–0)	2.50	3.20	3.00	2.30	1.61
05.04.22E1	Millwall – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.30	1.61
15.09.21E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	2.90	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	45	27	16	2	66	15	+51	97
2	Leeds	44	27	13	4	89	29	+60	94
3	Sheffield United	45	28	7	10	62	35	+27	91
4	Sunderland	44	21	13	10	58	41	+17	76
5	Bristol City	44	17	16	11	57	49	+8	67
6	Coventry	45	19	9	17	62	58	+4	66
7	Middlesbrough	44	18	9	17	64	54	+10	63
8	Millwall	44	17	12	15	45	46	-1	63
9	Blackburn	44	18	8	18	50	46	+4	62
10	West Brom	44	14	18	12	52	44	+8	60
11	Swansea	44	17	9	18	48	52	-4	60
12	Watford	44	16	8	20	51	58	-7	56
13	Sheffield Weds	44	15	11	18	58	67	-9	56
14	Norwich	44	13	14	17	67	66	+1	53
15	QPR	45	13	14	18	52	63	-11	53
16	Portsmouth	44	14	10	20	56	69	-13	52
17	Stoke	45	12	14	19	45	62	-17	50
18	Preston	44	10	19	15	45	55	-10	49
19	Oxford	44	12	13	19	44	62	-18	49
20	Luton	45	13	10	22	42	64	-22	49
21	Hull	44	12	12	20	43	52	-9	48
22	Derby	44	12	10	22	47	56	-9	46
23	Cardiff	44	9	16	19	46	69	-23	43
24	Plymouth	44	10	13	21	48	85	-37	43

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	22	17	4	1	57	12	+45	55
2	Burnley	22	13	9	0	32	7	+25	48
3	Sheffield United	22	15	3	4	32	16	+16	48
4	Bristol City	22	13	6	3	34	18	+16	45
5	Sunderland	22	12	7	3	32	17	+15	43
6	Coventry	22	13	3	6	38	24	+14	42
7	Portsmouth	22	11	6	5	32	20	+12	39
8	Watford	22	12	3	7	26	21	+5	39
9	West Brom	22	10	8	4	28	17	+11	38
10	Middlesbrough	22	11	5	6	31	23	+8	38
11	Blackburn	22	11	4	7	32	22	+10	37
12	Millwall	22	11	4	7	26	19	+7	37
13	Norwich	22	9	8	5	48	32	+16	35
14	Swansea	22	10	5	7	30	21	+9	35
15	Oxford	22	10	5	7	29	29	0	35
16	Luton	23	9	7	7	25	22	+3	34
17	Plymouth	22	9	7	6	39	37	+2	34
18	Preston	22	7	12	3	25	20	+5	33
19	Stoke	23	8	9	6	29	25	+4	33
20	Derby	22	9	4	9	25	18	+7	31
21	QPR	23	7	8	8	31	34	-3	29
22	Cardiff	22	7	5	10	24	27	-3	26
23	Sheffield Weds	22	6	7	9	29	31	-2	25
24	Hull	22	5	8	9	24	27	-3	23

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	23	14	7	2	34	8	+26	49
2	Sheffield United	23	13	4	6	30	19	+11	43
3	Leeds	22	10	9	3	32	17	+15	39
4	Sunderland	22	9	6	7	26	24	+2	33
5	Sheffield Weds	22	9	4	9	29	36	-7	31
6	Millwall	22	6	8	8	19	27	-8	26
7	Middlesbrough	22	7	4	11	33	31	+2	25
8	Hull	22	7	4	11	19	25	-6	25
9	Blackburn	22	7	4	11	18	24	-6	25
10	Swansea	22	7	4	11	18	31	-13	25
11	QPR	22	6	6	10	21	29	-8	24
12	Coventry	23	6	6	11	24	34	-10	24
13	West Brom	22	4	10	8	24	27	-3	22
14	Bristol City	22	4	10	8	23	31	-8	22
15	Norwich	22	4	6	12	19	34	-15	18
16	Watford	22	4	5	13	25	37	-12	17
17	Cardiff	22	2	11	9	22	42	-20	17
18	Stoke	22	4	5	13	16	37	-21	17
19	Preston	22	3	7	12	20	35	-15	16
20	Derby	22	3	6	13	22	38	-16	15
21	Luton	22	4	3	15	17	42	-25	15
22	Oxford	22	2	8	12	15	33	-18	14
23	Portsmouth	22	3	4	15	24	49	-25	13
24	Plymouth	22	1	6	15	9	48	-39	9

Millwall Swansea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Portsmouth	44	16	28	1.3	1.6	14	10	20	56	69	52
2	24	Plymouth	44	18	26	1.1	1.9	10	13	21	48	85	43
3	12	Watford	44	19	25	1.2	1.3	16	8	20	51	58	56
4	6	Coventry	45	21	24	1.4	1.3	19	9	17	62	58	66
5	13	Sheffield Weds	44	20	24	1.3	1.5	15	11	18	58	67	56
6	15	QPR	45	21	24	1.2	1.4	13	14	18	52	63	53
7	14	Norwich	44	21	23	1.5	1.5	13	14	17	67	66	53
8	7	Middlesbrough	44	23	21	1.5	1.2	18	9	17	64	54	63
9	4	Sunderland	44	24	20	1.3	0.9	21	13	10	58	41	76
10	11	Swansea	44	24	20	1.1	1.2	17	9	18	48	52	60
11	18	Preston	44	24	20	1.0	1.2	10	19	15	45	55	49
12	2	Leeds	44	25	19	2.0	0.7	27	13	4	89	29	94
13	5	Bristol City	44	25	19	1.3	1.1	17	16	11	57	49	67
14	20	Luton	45	26	19	0.9	1.4	13	10	22	42	64	49
15	23	Cardiff	44	25	19	1.0	1.6	9	16	19	46	69	43
16	22	Derby	44	26	18	1.1	1.3	12	10	22	47	56	46
17	9	Blackburn	44	27	17	1.1	1.0	18	8	18	50	46	62
18	17	Stoke	45	28	17	1.0	1.4	12	14	19	45	62	50
19	3	Sheffield United	45	29	16	1.4	0.8	28	7	10	62	35	91
20	10	West Brom	44	28	16	1.2	1.0	14	18	12	52	44	60
21	19	Oxford	44	28	16	1.0	1.4	12	13	19	44	62	49
22	1	Burnley	45	31	14	1.5	0.3	27	16	2	66	15	97
23	21	Hull	44	30	14	1.0	1.2	12	12	20	43	52	48
24	8	Millwall	44	31	13	1.0	1.0	17	12	15	45	46	63

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	24	Plymouth	22	6	16	1.8	1.7	9	7	6	39	37	34
2	6	Coventry	22	7	15	1.7	1.1	13	3	6	38	24	42
3	15	QPR	23	9	14	1.3	1.5	7	8	8	31	34	29
4	2	Leeds	22	9	13	2.6	0.5	17	4	1	57	12	55
5	14	Norwich	22	9	13	2.2	1.5	9	8	5	48	32	35
6	16	Portsmouth	22	9	13	1.5	0.9	11	6	5	32	20	39
7	12	Watford	22	10	12	1.2	1.0	12	3	7	26	21	39
8	5	Bristol City	22	11	11	1.5	0.8	13	6	3	34	18	45
9	4	Sunderland	22	13	9	1.5	0.8	12	7	3	32	17	43
10	7	Middlesbrough	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	11	5	6	31	23	38
11	9	Blackburn	22	13	9	1.5	1.0	11	4	7	32	22	37
12	11	Swansea	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	10	5	7	30	21	35
13	13	Sheffield Weds	22	13	9	1.3	1.4	6	7	9	29	31	25
14	17	Stoke	23	14	9	1.3	1.1	8	9	6	29	25	33
15	20	Luton	23	14	9	1.1	1.0	9	7	7	25	22	34
16	18	Preston	22	14	8	1.1	0.9	7	12	3	25	20	33
17	19	Oxford	22	14	8	1.3	1.3	10	5	7	29	29	35
18	21	Hull	22	14	8	1.1	1.2	5	8	9	24	27	23
19	1	Burnley	22	15	7	1.5	0.3	13	9	0	32	7	48
20	3	Sheffield United	22	15	7	1.5	0.7	15	3	4	32	16	48
21	8	Millwall	22	15	7	1.2	0.9	11	4	7	26	19	37
22	10	West Brom	22	15	7	1.3	0.8	10	8	4	28	17	38
23	22	Derby	22	15	7	1.1	0.8	9	4	9	25	18	31
24	23	Cardiff	22	15	7	1.1	1.2	7	5	10	24	27	26

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	22	7	15	1.3	1.6	9	4	9	29	36	31
2	16	Portsmouth	22	7	15	1.1	2.2	3	4	15	24	49	13
3	12	Watford	22	9	13	1.1	1.7	4	5	13	25	37	17
4	7	Middlesbrough	22	10	12	1.5	1.4	7	4	11	33	31	25
5	18	Preston	22	10	12	0.9	1.6	3	7	12	20	35	16
6	23	Cardiff	22	10	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	9	22	42	17
7	4	Sunderland	22	11	11	1.2	1.1	9	6	7	26	24	33
8	11	Swansea	22	11	11	0.8	1.4	7	4	11	18	31	25
9	22	Derby	22	11	11	1.0	1.7	3	6	13	22	38	15
10	14	Norwich	22	12	10	0.9	1.5	4	6	12	19	34	18
11	15	QPR	22	12	10	1.0	1.3	6	6	10	21	29	24
12	20	Luton	22	12	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	15	17	42	15
13	24	Plymouth	22	12	10	0.4	2.2	1	6	15	9	48	9
14	3	Sheffield United	23	14	9	1.3	0.8	13	4	6	30	19	43
15	6	Coventry	23	14	9	1.0	1.5	6	6	11	24	34	24
16	10	West Brom	22	13	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	8	24	27	22
17	5	Bristol City	22	14	8	1.0	1.4	4	10	8	23	31	22
18	9	Blackburn	22	14	8	0.8	1.1	7	4	11	18	24	25
19	17	Stoke	22	14	8	0.7	1.7	4	5	13	16	37	17
20	19	Oxford	22	14	8	0.7	1.5	2	8	12	15	33	14
21	1	Burnley	23	16	7	1.5	0.3	14	7	2	34	8	49
22	2	Leeds	22	16	6	1.5	0.8	10	9	3	32	17	39
23	8	Millwall	22	16	6	0.9	1.2	6	8	8	19	27	26
24	21	Hull	22	16	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	11	19	25	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.