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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

QPR 2–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.85 fair 2.45
Draw 3.30 fair 3.96
Away 2.35 fair 2.94
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Birmingham
16 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 3
11 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (233 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.32scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 25:29
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.47scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:23
QPR all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.47
1.53 Goals conceded 1.21
2.84 Total goals 2.68
13.47 Shots 14.16
3.95 Shots on target 3.79
12.53 Shots faced 9.58
5.05 Corners 5.26
5.21 Corners against 4.16
10.42 Fouls 11.26
1.84 Yellow cards 1.95
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

42% Wins 42%
21% Draws 21%
37% Losses 37%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 74%
58% Over 2.5 goals 53%
37% Over 3.5 goals 32%
16% Over 4.5 goals 11%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
68% Both teams scored 53%
26% Clean sheets 26%
16% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 32%
37% Draws 21%
37% Losses 47%
74% Over 0.5 goals 84%
37% Over 1.5 goals 37%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Birmingham all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.56scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:13
Birmingham before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.70scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:15
QPR at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 0.70
1.44 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 2.20
15.56 Shots 11.00
4.67 Shots on target 2.40
9.67 Shots faced 10.50
6.00 Corners 4.90
3.00 Corners against 3.90
10.89 Fouls 11.60
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

44% Wins 20%
22% Draws 20%
33% Losses 60%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 70%
67% Over 2.5 goals 40%
44% Over 3.5 goals 10%
22% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 50%
22% Clean sheets 10%
11% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 10%
56% Draws 10%
11% Losses 80%
67% Over 0.5 goals 90%
33% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 QPR – West Brom 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.053.05 2.20 1.67
29.11.25 Norwich – QPR 3–1 (3–1) 2.503.402.75 2.00 1.85
26.11.25 Blackburn – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.05 1.80
22.11.25 QPR – Hull 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.253.60 1.98 1.88
08.11.25 Sheffield United – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.603.50 1.95 1.90
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 QPR – Ipswich 1–4 (1–1) 3.503.502.01 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
22.10.25 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.502.85 1.93 1.93
01.12.25 Birmingham – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.793.604.33 2.10 1.73
26.11.25 West Brom – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.052.65 2.38 1.57
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 QPR – West Brom 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.053.05 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 QPR – Hull 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.253.60 1.98 1.88
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 QPR – Ipswich 1–4 (1–1) 3.503.502.01 1.90 1.95
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 QPR – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 2.00 1.80
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 QPR – Charlton 3–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.40 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 QPR – Preston 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.62
26.04.25 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.502.85 1.93 1.93
26.11.25 West Brom – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.052.65 2.38 1.57
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57
27.09.25 Coventry – Birmingham 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.98 1.88
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Blackburn – Birmingham 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsBirmingham wins
6matches
1.83goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
22.09.23E1 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
18.03.23E1 QPR – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.303.10 2.20 1.67
28.10.22E1 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
02.01.22E1 Birmingham – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.66
28.09.21E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 20 13 5 2 51 22 +29 44
2 Middlesbrough 20 11 6 3 30 21 +9 39
3 Millwall 19 10 4 5 23 25 -2 34
4 Preston 20 8 8 4 27 21 +6 32
5 Ipswich 19 8 7 4 33 19 +14 31
6 Stoke 19 9 3 7 26 18 +8 30
7 Southampton 20 8 6 6 34 28 +6 30
8 Bristol City 19 8 5 6 26 21 +5 29
9 Birmingham 19 8 4 7 28 23 +5 28
10 Watford 20 7 7 6 28 26 +2 28
11 Hull 19 8 4 7 31 34 -3 28
12 QPR 19 8 4 7 25 29 -4 28
13 Wrexham 19 6 9 4 24 21 +3 27
14 Leicester 19 7 6 6 25 24 +1 27
15 Derby 19 7 5 7 26 28 -2 26
16 West Brom 20 7 4 9 23 28 -5 25
17 Sheffield United 20 7 2 11 25 29 -4 23
18 Swansea 20 6 5 9 21 27 -6 23
19 Charlton 19 6 5 8 19 25 -6 23
20 Blackburn 19 6 4 9 19 24 -5 22
21 Oxford 20 4 7 9 21 28 -7 19
22 Portsmouth 19 4 5 10 15 26 -11 17
23 Norwich 20 3 5 12 22 33 -11 14
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 6 12 15 37 -22 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 7 2 0 25 7 +18 23
2 Watford 11 6 4 1 19 12 +7 22
3 Birmingham 9 6 2 1 21 8 +13 20
4 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 13 9 +4 20
5 Ipswich 10 5 4 1 18 9 +9 19
6 Preston 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
7 Millwall 10 6 1 3 12 12 0 19
8 Southampton 10 5 3 2 16 10 +6 18
9 Hull 10 5 2 3 16 18 -2 17
10 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 7 +8 16
11 West Brom 9 4 4 1 11 8 +3 16
12 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16
13 Swansea 11 4 3 4 13 15 -2 15
14 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 14 11 +3 14
15 QPR 9 4 2 3 14 13 +1 14
16 Charlton 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
17 Leicester 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
18 Derby 10 3 3 4 13 16 -3 12
19 Sheffield United 10 3 2 5 12 12 0 11
20 Portsmouth 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11
21 Oxford 9 2 4 3 10 13 -3 10
22 Blackburn 10 1 3 6 9 16 -7 6
23 Norwich 9 1 1 7 9 15 -6 4
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 24 -19 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 11 6 3 2 26 15 +11 21
2 Middlesbrough 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19
3 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 10 8 +2 16
4 Bristol City 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15
5 Millwall 9 4 3 2 11 13 -2 15
6 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
7 Leicester 10 4 2 4 14 14 0 14
8 Stoke 10 4 2 4 11 11 0 14
9 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 16 -5 14
10 Preston 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
11 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 15 10 +5 12
12 Southampton 10 3 3 4 18 18 0 12
13 Sheffield United 10 4 0 6 13 17 -4 12
14 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 9 8 +1 11
15 Hull 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
16 Norwich 11 2 4 5 13 18 -5 10
17 Oxford 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9
18 Charlton 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 West Brom 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
20 Swansea 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
21 Birmingham 10 2 2 6 7 15 -8 8
22 Sheffield Weds 9 1 4 4 10 13 -3 7
23 Watford 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6
24 Portsmouth 9 1 3 5 6 15 -9 6

QPR   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 20 6 14 2.5 1.1 13 5 2 51 22 44
2 7 Southampton 20 6 14 1.7 1.4 8 6 6 34 28 30
3 11 Hull 19 5 14 1.6 1.8 8 4 7 31 34 28
4 2 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 11 6 3 30 21 39
5 10 Watford 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 28 26 28
6 12 QPR 19 8 11 1.3 1.5 8 4 7 25 29 28
7 17 Sheffield United 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 7 2 11 25 29 23
8 24 Sheffield Weds 19 8 11 0.8 1.9 1 6 12 15 37 9
9 5 Ipswich 19 9 10 1.7 1.0 8 7 4 33 19 31
10 9 Birmingham 19 9 10 1.5 1.2 8 4 7 28 23 28
11 14 Leicester 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 6 6 25 24 27
12 15 Derby 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 7 5 7 26 28 26
13 16 West Brom 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 7 4 9 23 28 25
14 21 Oxford 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 4 7 9 21 28 19
15 23 Norwich 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 3 5 12 22 33 14
16 3 Millwall 19 10 9 1.2 1.3 10 4 5 23 25 34
17 6 Stoke 19 10 9 1.4 0.9 9 3 7 26 18 30
18 18 Swansea 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 21 27 23
19 4 Preston 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 8 8 4 27 21 32
20 8 Bristol City 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 8 5 6 26 21 29
21 19 Charlton 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 5 8 19 25 23
22 20 Blackburn 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 4 9 19 24 22
23 22 Portsmouth 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 10 15 26 17
24 13 Wrexham 19 13 6 1.3 1.1 6 9 4 24 21 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 11 4 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 1 19 12 22
2 11 Hull 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 5 2 3 16 18 17
3 1 Coventry 9 3 6 2.8 0.8 7 2 0 25 7 23
4 5 Ipswich 10 4 6 1.8 0.9 5 4 1 18 9 19
5 7 Southampton 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 5 3 2 16 10 18
6 9 Birmingham 9 3 6 2.3 0.9 6 2 1 21 8 20
7 12 QPR 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 2 3 14 13 14
8 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 0.5 2.4 0 2 8 5 24 2
9 2 Middlesbrough 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 1 13 9 20
10 4 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
11 8 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 4 2 4 14 11 14
12 17 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 5 12 12 11
13 18 Swansea 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 4 13 15 15
14 20 Blackburn 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 1 3 6 9 16 6
15 21 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 2 4 3 10 13 10
16 23 Norwich 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 1 7 9 15 4
17 3 Millwall 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 6 1 3 12 12 19
18 6 Stoke 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 1 3 15 7 16
19 13 Wrexham 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16
20 15 Derby 10 6 4 1.3 1.6 3 3 4 13 16 12
21 19 Charlton 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
22 22 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11
23 14 Leicester 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
24 16 West Brom 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 1 11 8 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 11 3 8 2.4 1.4 6 3 2 26 15 21
2 7 Southampton 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 3 3 4 18 18 12
3 11 Hull 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
4 14 Leicester 10 3 7 1.4 1.4 4 2 4 14 14 14
5 16 West Brom 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
6 2 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19
7 15 Derby 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
8 17 Sheffield United 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 4 0 6 13 17 12
9 3 Millwall 9 4 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 2 11 13 15
10 6 Stoke 10 5 5 1.1 1.1 4 2 4 11 11 14
11 12 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 4 2 4 11 16 14
12 21 Oxford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9
13 23 Norwich 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 5 13 18 10
14 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 1 4 4 10 13 7
15 5 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 3 15 10 12
16 9 Birmingham 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 2 2 6 7 15 8
17 10 Watford 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6
18 18 Swansea 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
19 19 Charlton 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
20 22 Portsmouth 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 1 3 5 6 15 6
21 4 Preston 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
22 8 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15
23 20 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 5 1 3 10 8 16
24 13 Wrexham 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 2 5 2 9 8 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40