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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Southampton 3–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.39
Draw 3.50 fair 3.87
Away 2.85 fair 3.09
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Birmingham
18 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 8
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (219 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.56scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:25
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.50scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:20
Southampton all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.50
1.39 Goals conceded 1.11
2.94 Total goals 2.61
14.44 Shots 13.72
5.28 Shots on target 3.78
11.72 Shots faced 9.11
5.56 Corners 5.11
4.22 Corners against 4.00
10.94 Fouls 11.28
2.06 Yellow cards 2.00
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
33% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 72%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 28%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 28%
17% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 33%
50% Draws 22%
22% Losses 44%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Birmingham all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:7
Birmingham before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:12
Southampton at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.67
0.88 Goals conceded 1.33
2.13 Total goals 2.00
16.13 Shots 9.78
5.00 Shots on target 2.22
9.38 Shots faced 9.67
6.88 Corners 4.56
3.50 Corners against 3.56
10.38 Fouls 11.67
1.63 Yellow cards 2.11
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

38% Wins 22%
38% Draws 22%
25% Losses 56%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
13% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 44%
38% Clean sheets 11%
38% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 11%
50% Draws 11%
25% Losses 78%
50% Over 0.5 goals 89%
25% Over 1.5 goals 11%
25% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
25.11.25 Southampton – Leicester 3–0 (3–0) 1.963.603.70 1.80 2.00
22.11.25 Charlton – Southampton 1–5 (1–5) 2.653.052.65 2.10 1.73
08.11.25 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (2–1) 1.394.756.50 1.67 2.20
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 Southampton – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.88 1.98
25.10.25 Blackburn – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.953.252.30 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Bristol City – Southampton 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.75 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Southampton – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 2.03 1.83
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.25 Birmingham – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.793.604.33 2.10 1.73
26.11.25 West Brom – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.052.65 2.38 1.57
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.25 Southampton – Leicester 3–0 (3–0) 1.963.603.70 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (2–1) 1.394.756.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Southampton – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.88 1.98
18.10.25 Southampton – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 2.03 1.83
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
14.09.25 Southampton – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.904.50 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
09.08.25 Southampton – Wrexham 2–1 (0–1) 1.703.754.75 1.98 1.88
25.05.25E0 Southampton – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.63
10.05.25E0 Southampton – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 11.007.501.20 1.36 3.20

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.25 West Brom – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.052.65 2.38 1.57
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57
27.09.25 Coventry – Birmingham 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.98 1.88
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Blackburn – Birmingham 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.30 1.62
03.05.25E2 Cambridge – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.501.48 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsBirmingham wins
2matches
5.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24E1 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
28.10.23E1 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 18 13 4 1 50 18 +32 43
2 Middlesbrough 19 10 6 3 28 20 +8 36
3 Millwall 18 9 4 5 22 25 -3 31
4 Stoke 18 9 3 6 26 14 +12 30
5 Preston 18 8 6 4 25 19 +6 30
6 Bristol City 18 8 5 5 26 20 +6 29
7 Ipswich 18 7 7 4 30 19 +11 28
8 Birmingham 18 8 4 6 27 20 +7 28
9 Hull 19 8 4 7 31 34 -3 28
10 Watford 19 7 6 6 27 25 +2 27
11 Leicester 19 7 6 6 25 24 +1 27
12 Wrexham 18 6 8 4 23 20 +3 26
13 Derby 19 7 5 7 26 28 -2 26
14 West Brom 18 7 4 7 20 22 -2 25
15 QPR 18 7 4 7 22 28 -6 25
16 Southampton 18 6 6 6 28 25 +3 24
17 Charlton 18 6 5 7 18 23 -5 23
18 Blackburn 18 6 3 9 18 23 -5 21
19 Sheffield United 18 6 1 11 20 28 -8 19
20 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 25 -5 18
21 Swansea 18 4 5 9 18 27 -9 17
22 Portsmouth 18 4 5 9 15 25 -10 17
23 Norwich 19 3 4 12 21 32 -11 13
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 5 12 14 36 -22 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 7 2 0 25 7 +18 23
2 Watford 10 6 3 1 18 11 +7 21
3 Birmingham 9 6 2 1 21 8 +13 20
4 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 13 9 +4 20
5 Millwall 10 6 1 3 12 12 0 19
6 Preston 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
7 Hull 10 5 2 3 16 18 -2 17
8 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 7 +8 16
9 Ipswich 9 4 4 1 15 9 +6 16
10 West Brom 9 4 4 1 11 8 +3 16
11 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16
12 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
13 Charlton 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
14 Leicester 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
15 Southampton 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
16 Derby 10 3 3 4 13 16 -3 12
17 QPR 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11
19 Oxford 9 2 4 3 10 13 -3 10
20 Swansea 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
21 Sheffield United 8 2 1 5 7 11 -4 7
22 Blackburn 9 1 2 6 8 15 -7 5
23 Norwich 9 1 1 7 9 15 -6 4
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 24 -19 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 6 2 1 25 11 +14 20
2 Middlesbrough 10 4 4 2 15 11 +4 16
3 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 10 8 +2 16
4 Bristol City 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15
5 Stoke 9 4 2 3 11 7 +4 14
6 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
7 Leicester 10 4 2 4 14 14 0 14
8 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 16 -5 14
9 Preston 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
10 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 15 10 +5 12
11 Southampton 10 3 3 4 18 18 0 12
12 Millwall 8 3 3 2 10 13 -3 12
13 Sheffield United 10 4 0 6 13 17 -4 12
14 Hull 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
15 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 8 7 +1 10
16 Norwich 10 2 3 5 12 17 -5 9
17 West Brom 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
18 Charlton 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 Oxford 9 2 2 5 10 12 -2 8
20 Swansea 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
21 Birmingham 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 8
22 Sheffield Weds 8 1 3 4 9 12 -3 6
23 Watford 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6
24 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 6 14 -8 6

Southampton   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Hull 19 5 14 1.6 1.8 8 4 7 31 34 28
2 1 Coventry 18 5 13 2.8 1.0 13 4 1 50 18 43
3 16 Southampton 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 6 6 28 25 24
4 10 Watford 19 8 11 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 27 25 27
5 24 Sheffield Weds 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 1 5 12 14 36 8
6 2 Middlesbrough 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 10 6 3 28 20 36
7 11 Leicester 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 6 6 25 24 27
8 13 Derby 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 7 5 7 26 28 26
9 15 QPR 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 7 4 7 22 28 25
10 19 Sheffield United 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 6 1 11 20 28 19
11 20 Oxford 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 4 6 8 20 25 18
12 23 Norwich 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 3 4 12 21 32 13
13 3 Millwall 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 9 4 5 22 25 31
14 7 Ipswich 18 9 9 1.7 1.1 7 7 4 30 19 28
15 8 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.5 1.1 8 4 6 27 20 28
16 21 Swansea 18 9 9 1.0 1.5 4 5 9 18 27 17
17 4 Stoke 18 10 8 1.4 0.8 9 3 6 26 14 30
18 5 Preston 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 8 6 4 25 19 30
19 6 Bristol City 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 8 5 5 26 20 29
20 14 West Brom 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 7 4 7 20 22 25
21 18 Blackburn 18 10 8 1.0 1.3 6 3 9 18 23 21
22 22 Portsmouth 18 10 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 9 15 25 17
23 17 Charlton 18 11 7 1.0 1.3 6 5 7 18 23 23
24 12 Wrexham 18 12 6 1.3 1.1 6 8 4 23 20 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Hull 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 5 2 3 16 18 17
2 10 Watford 10 3 7 1.8 1.1 6 3 1 18 11 21
3 1 Coventry 9 3 6 2.8 0.8 7 2 0 25 7 23
4 8 Birmingham 9 3 6 2.3 0.9 6 2 1 21 8 20
5 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 0.5 2.4 0 2 8 5 24 2
6 2 Middlesbrough 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 1 13 9 20
7 5 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
8 6 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
9 7 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 4 4 1 15 9 16
10 15 QPR 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 3 2 3 11 12 11
11 18 Blackburn 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 1 2 6 8 15 5
12 20 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 2 4 3 10 13 10
13 21 Swansea 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
14 23 Norwich 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 1 7 9 15 4
15 3 Millwall 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 6 1 3 12 12 19
16 4 Stoke 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 1 3 15 7 16
17 12 Wrexham 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16
18 13 Derby 10 6 4 1.3 1.6 3 3 4 13 16 12
19 16 Southampton 8 4 4 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
20 19 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 5 7 11 7
21 22 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11
22 11 Leicester 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
23 14 West Brom 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 1 11 8 16
24 17 Charlton 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 2 10 9 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Southampton 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 3 3 4 18 18 12
2 1 Coventry 9 2 7 2.8 1.2 6 2 1 25 11 20
3 9 Hull 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
4 11 Leicester 10 3 7 1.4 1.4 4 2 4 14 14 14
5 13 Derby 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
6 19 Sheffield United 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 4 0 6 13 17 12
7 2 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 2 15 11 16
8 3 Millwall 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 3 3 2 10 13 12
9 14 West Brom 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
10 15 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 4 2 4 11 16 14
11 20 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 2 2 5 10 12 8
12 23 Norwich 10 5 5 1.2 1.7 2 3 5 12 17 9
13 24 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 1 3 4 9 12 6
14 4 Stoke 9 5 4 1.2 0.8 4 2 3 11 7 14
15 7 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 3 15 10 12
16 10 Watford 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6
17 17 Charlton 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
18 21 Swansea 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
19 22 Portsmouth 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 3 4 6 14 6
20 5 Preston 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
21 6 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15
22 8 Birmingham 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 2 2 5 6 12 8
23 18 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 5 1 3 10 8 16
24 12 Wrexham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 2 4 2 8 7 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40