Oxford 0–1 Swansea – England Championship, 29 Dec 2025

Match facts

Oxford Swansea

11 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 5

1 Corners 5

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (275 league matches this season so far).

Result Oxford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.15

Home / Draw / Away

42% 27% 32%

OxfordDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

21% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.7% 1–0 11% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches

0.96points / match

1.04scored / match

1.39conceded / match

5 7 11

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 24:32

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.04scored / match

1.35conceded / match

7 5 11

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 24:31

Oxford all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.04

1.39 Goals conceded 1.35

2.43 Total goals 2.39

13.22 Shots 11.52

3.83 Shots on target 3.61

14.43 Shots faced 12.43

4.00 Corners 4.78

7.48 Corners against 4.70

11.00 Fouls 10.35

1.30 Yellow cards 2.13

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

22% Wins 30%

30% Draws 22%

48% Losses 48%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

70% Over 1.5 goals 70%

52% Over 2.5 goals 48%

22% Over 3.5 goals 17%

4% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

61% Both teams scored 57%

9% Clean sheets 22%

35% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 9%

30% Draws 48%

39% Losses 43%

83% Over 0.5 goals 70%

43% Over 1.5 goals 30%

17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

2

1

W

Swansea all matches

1

2

L

1

4

L

3

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

2

W

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

Oxford before this match, at home

1.18points / match

1.18scored / match

1.45conceded / match

3 4 4

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:16

Swansea before this match, away

0.73points / match

0.82scored / match

1.36conceded / match

2 2 7

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:15

Oxford at home away Swansea

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.82

1.45 Goals conceded 1.36

2.64 Total goals 2.18

16.09 Shots 10.55

4.55 Shots on target 3.45

12.00 Shots faced 13.91

4.73 Corners 4.55

6.82 Corners against 5.36

11.00 Fouls 11.18

1.36 Yellow cards 2.36

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

27% Wins 18%

36% Draws 18%

36% Losses 64%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 64%

64% Over 2.5 goals 45%

27% Over 3.5 goals 9%

0% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

64% Both teams scored 45%

9% Clean sheets 18%

27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 9%

27% Draws 55%

36% Losses 36%

91% Over 0.5 goals 55%

45% Over 1.5 goals 27%

18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home

2

D

2

D

1

L

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Swansea away

2

W

1

L

2

1

W

D

1

D

1

2

L

3

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Oxford – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.80	1.76	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Charlton – Oxford	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.20	1.67
13.12.25	Oxford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.20	2.65	2.10	1.73
09.12.25	Blackburn – Oxford	1–1 (0–1)	1.76	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.73
06.12.25	Swansea – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
28.11.25	Oxford – Ipswich	2–1 (1–0)	5.50	3.80	1.61	1.91	1.91
25.11.25	Norwich – Oxford	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.10	1.83	2.03
22.11.25	Oxford – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	3.70	3.30	1.96	2.05	1.80
08.11.25	West Brom – Oxford	2–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.40	5.00	2.10	1.73
04.11.25	Oxford – Stoke	0–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.05	2.30	2.10	1.73

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Coventry – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.51	3.90	6.00	1.73	2.10
19.12.25	Swansea – Wrexham	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
13.12.25	Stoke – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.50	4.20	2.10	1.73
09.12.25	Swansea – Portsmouth	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.00	1.80
06.12.25	Swansea – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	West Brom – Swansea	3–2 (0–2)	1.68	3.25	4.33	2.20	1.67
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53
22.11.25	Bristol City – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.73
08.11.25	Swansea – Ipswich	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.01	2.05	1.80
05.11.25	Preston – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.05	3.40	2.20	1.67

Oxford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Oxford – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.80	1.76	1.73	2.10
13.12.25	Oxford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.20	2.65	2.10	1.73
28.11.25	Oxford – Ipswich	2–1 (1–0)	5.50	3.80	1.61	1.91	1.91
22.11.25	Oxford – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	3.70	3.30	1.96	2.05	1.80
04.11.25	Oxford – Stoke	0–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.05	2.30	2.10	1.73
01.11.25	Oxford – Millwall	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.30	2.45	2.20	1.67
18.10.25	Oxford – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.05	2.95	2.50	1.53
27.09.25	Oxford – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.20	2.25	2.10	1.73
13.09.25	Oxford – Leicester	2–2 (2–1)	4.20	3.50	1.81	2.10	1.73
30.08.25	Oxford – Coventry	2–2 (1–2)	4.50	3.60	1.71	2.00	1.85

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25	Coventry – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.51	3.90	6.00	1.73	2.10
13.12.25	Stoke – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.50	4.20	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	West Brom – Swansea	3–2 (0–2)	1.68	3.25	4.33	2.20	1.67
22.11.25	Bristol City – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.73
05.11.25	Preston – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.05	3.40	2.20	1.67
01.11.25	Charlton – Swansea	1–1 (0–0)	2.01	3.50	3.50	2.30	1.62
18.10.25	Southampton – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	3.80	2.03	1.83
30.09.25	Blackburn – Swansea	1–2 (1–1)	2.57	3.10	2.65	2.20	1.67
20.09.25	Birmingham – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.38	1.57
30.08.25	Sheffield Weds – Swansea	0–2 (0–0)	3.25	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Oxford winsDrawsSwansea wins

3matches

3.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.12.25E1	Swansea – Oxford	2–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.73
03.05.25E1	Swansea – Oxford	3–3 (1–1)	1.62	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90
02.11.24E1	Oxford – Swansea	1–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.20	2.70	2.20	1.67

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Coventry	24	15	6	3	54	25	+29	51	LDWDWL
2	Middlesbrough	23	12	7	4	33	24	+9	43	WWWWLD
3	Ipswich	24	11	8	5	40	23	+17	41	WWLWDW
4	Hull	23	11	5	7	39	37	+2	38	WLWWWD
5	Preston	23	9	10	4	30	23	+7	37	WDDWDD
6	Bristol City	23	10	6	7	32	25	+7	36	WLDLWW
7	Millwall	23	10	6	7	25	31	-6	36	WWDLLD
8	Watford	23	9	8	6	33	29	+4	35	LWDDWW
9	QPR	23	10	5	8	33	35	-2	35	LWWLWD
10	Stoke	23	10	4	9	28	21	+7	34	LLLWLD
11	Derby	23	8	8	7	32	31	+1	32	LLDWDD
12	Southampton	23	8	7	8	37	33	+4	31	LWWLDL
13	Wrexham	23	7	10	6	32	30	+2	31	DDLDLW
14	Leicester	23	8	7	8	32	33	-1	31	LWDWLL
15	Birmingham	23	8	6	9	31	30	+1	30	WLLDLD
16	West Brom	23	8	4	11	26	31	-5	28	WLLWLL
17	Charlton	22	7	6	9	21	27	-6	27	LLLDWL
18	Blackburn	22	7	5	10	22	26	-4	26	DDDLWD
19	Sheffield United	23	8	2	13	31	36	-5	26	WWDLWL
20	Swansea	23	7	5	11	24	31	-7	26	LWWLWL
21	Oxford	23	5	7	11	24	32	-8	22	WLDLLW
22	Portsmouth	22	5	7	10	19	29	-10	22	LLLWDD
23	Norwich	23	5	6	12	26	35	-9	21	WLDWDW
24	Sheffield Weds	22	1	7	14	18	45	-27	10	LLDLLD

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Coventry	12	9	2	1	27	9	+18	29	WWWWWL
2	Ipswich	12	7	4	1	22	10	+12	25	WDDWWW
3	Watford	12	7	4	1	20	12	+8	25	WDDWDW
4	Middlesbrough	11	7	3	1	16	10	+6	24	DWLWWD
5	Hull	12	7	2	3	19	18	+1	23	DWLLWW
6	Birmingham	11	6	4	1	23	10	+13	22	WWWWDD
7	Stoke	11	6	2	3	17	8	+9	20	WLWLWD
8	QPR	11	6	2	3	20	15	+5	20	LLWWWW
9	Wrexham	12	5	5	2	22	18	+4	20	WWWDDW
10	Preston	12	5	5	2	16	12	+4	20	WWLDDD
11	Millwall	12	6	2	4	13	15	-2	20	WDWWLD
12	Southampton	11	5	4	2	17	11	+6	19	LWWWWD
13	West Brom	11	5	4	2	14	10	+4	19	DWDWWL
14	Bristol City	12	5	3	4	18	13	+5	18	WLWLDW
15	Swansea	12	5	3	4	15	16	-1	18	WLLWWW
16	Charlton	10	5	2	3	12	11	+1	17	WDWLLW
17	Leicester	11	4	4	3	15	13	+2	16	LDWLWL
18	Portsmouth	12	4	3	5	12	13	-1	15	LDWLWD
19	Sheffield United	11	4	2	5	15	12	+3	14	LDWWDW
20	Derby	12	3	5	4	15	18	-3	14	WWLLDD
21	Oxford	11	3	4	4	13	16	-3	13	DLDWLW
22	Norwich	11	3	1	7	12	16	-4	10	LLDWWW
23	Blackburn	11	2	3	6	11	16	-5	9	WLLDDW
24	Sheffield Weds	12	0	3	9	7	29	-22	3	LDLLLD

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Coventry	12	6	4	2	27	16	+11	22	LWWLDD
2	Middlesbrough	12	5	4	3	17	14	+3	19	LDDWWL
3	Derby	11	5	3	3	17	13	+4	18	WWWLWD
4	Bristol City	11	5	3	3	14	12	+2	18	LDLWLW
5	Preston	11	4	5	2	14	11	+3	17	WDDWWD
6	Blackburn	11	5	2	4	11	10	+1	17	WWWDLD
7	Ipswich	12	4	4	4	18	13	+5	16	WLDLDW
8	Millwall	11	4	4	3	12	16	-4	16	DLLWDL
9	Hull	11	4	3	4	20	19	+1	15	WLLWWD
10	Leicester	12	4	3	5	17	20	-3	15	LWLWDL
11	QPR	12	4	3	5	13	20	-7	15	LDWLLD
12	Stoke	12	4	2	6	11	13	-2	14	WWLLLL
13	Southampton	12	3	3	6	20	22	-2	12	LWWLLL
14	Sheffield United	12	4	0	8	16	24	-8	12	LLWWLL
15	Wrexham	11	2	5	4	10	12	-2	11	DDDDLL
16	Norwich	12	2	5	5	14	19	-5	11	LDLLDD
17	Watford	11	2	4	5	13	17	-4	10	LDWLDW
18	Charlton	12	2	4	6	9	16	-7	10	DLLLDL
19	Oxford	12	2	3	7	11	16	-5	9	WLDLDL
20	West Brom	12	3	0	9	12	21	-9	9	LLLLLL
21	Swansea	11	2	2	7	9	15	-6	8	DLLLLL
22	Birmingham	12	2	2	8	8	20	-12	8	LLDLLL
23	Sheffield Weds	10	1	4	5	11	16	-5	7	LDLLDL
24	Portsmouth	10	1	4	5	7	16	-9	7	DLLLLD

Oxford Swansea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	4	Hull	23	7	16	1.7	1.6	11	5	7	39	37	38	OOUOUO
2	12	Southampton	23	7	16	1.6	1.4	8	7	8	37	33	31	OOOOUO
3	1	Coventry	24	10	14	2.2	1.0	15	6	3	54	25	51	OUUUUU
4	9	QPR	23	9	14	1.4	1.5	10	5	8	33	35	35	OOOOOU
5	14	Leicester	23	9	14	1.4	1.4	8	7	8	32	33	31	OOOOOO
6	24	Sheffield Weds	22	8	14	0.8	2.0	1	7	14	18	45	10	UOUOOO
7	8	Watford	23	10	13	1.4	1.3	9	8	6	33	29	35	OOUOUO
8	19	Sheffield United	23	10	13	1.3	1.6	8	2	13	31	36	26	OOUUOO
9	2	Middlesbrough	23	11	12	1.4	1.0	12	7	4	33	24	43	OOOOUU
10	3	Ipswich	24	12	12	1.7	1.0	11	8	5	40	23	41	OUOOUU
11	15	Birmingham	23	11	12	1.3	1.3	8	6	9	31	30	30	OOOUOU
12	21	Oxford	23	11	12	1.0	1.4	5	7	11	24	32	22	OUUOUO
13	11	Derby	23	12	11	1.4	1.3	8	8	7	32	31	32	OOUOUU
14	16	West Brom	23	12	11	1.1	1.3	8	4	11	26	31	28	OOOUUO
15	20	Swansea	23	12	11	1.0	1.3	7	5	11	24	31	26	OUUOOU
16	23	Norwich	23	12	11	1.1	1.5	5	6	12	26	35	21	OOUOUU
17	6	Bristol City	23	13	10	1.4	1.1	10	6	7	32	25	36	UUOUUO
18	7	Millwall	23	13	10	1.1	1.3	10	6	7	25	31	36	OUUOUU
19	10	Stoke	23	13	10	1.2	0.9	10	4	9	28	21	34	OOUOUU
20	5	Preston	23	14	9	1.3	1.0	9	10	4	30	23	37	OUUOUU
21	13	Wrexham	23	14	9	1.4	1.3	7	10	6	32	30	31	UUUOOO
22	18	Blackburn	22	13	9	1.0	1.2	7	5	10	22	26	26	UUUOUU
23	22	Portsmouth	22	13	9	0.9	1.3	5	7	10	19	29	22	OUUOUU
24	17	Charlton	22	14	8	1.0	1.2	7	6	9	21	27	27	OOOUUU

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	9	QPR	11	3	8	1.8	1.4	6	2	3	20	15	20	OOOOOO
2	24	Sheffield Weds	12	4	8	0.6	2.4	0	3	9	7	29	3	OUOOOO
3	3	Ipswich	12	5	7	1.8	0.8	7	4	1	22	10	25	UUUOUO
4	4	Hull	12	5	7	1.6	1.5	7	2	3	19	18	23	UOUOUU
5	8	Watford	12	5	7	1.7	1.0	7	4	1	20	12	25	OUUOUU
6	21	Oxford	11	4	7	1.2	1.5	3	4	4	13	16	13	OOUOOO
7	1	Coventry	12	6	6	2.2	0.8	9	2	1	27	9	29	OOOUUU
8	2	Middlesbrough	11	5	6	1.5	0.9	7	3	1	16	10	24	UOOOOU
9	6	Bristol City	12	6	6	1.5	1.1	5	3	4	18	13	18	UUOUOU
10	12	Southampton	11	5	6	1.5	1.0	5	4	2	17	11	19	UOOOOU
11	13	Wrexham	12	6	6	1.8	1.5	5	5	2	22	18	20	OUUUOO
12	15	Birmingham	11	5	6	2.1	0.9	6	4	1	23	10	22	OOOOUU
13	19	Sheffield United	11	5	6	1.4	1.1	4	2	5	15	12	14	OUOOUO
14	20	Swansea	12	6	6	1.2	1.3	5	3	4	15	16	18	OOOUUO
15	23	Norwich	11	5	6	1.1	1.5	3	1	7	12	16	10	UOUOOU
16	5	Preston	12	7	5	1.3	1.0	5	5	2	16	12	20	OOOUUU
17	7	Millwall	12	7	5	1.1	1.2	6	2	4	13	15	20	UUUOOU
18	10	Stoke	11	6	5	1.5	0.7	6	2	3	17	8	20	OUOOOU
19	14	Leicester	11	6	5	1.4	1.2	4	4	3	15	13	16	UUOOOO
20	18	Blackburn	11	6	5	1.0	1.5	2	3	6	11	16	9	OOUUUU
21	22	Portsmouth	12	7	5	1.0	1.1	4	3	5	12	13	15	UUOUOU
22	11	Derby	12	8	4	1.2	1.5	3	5	4	15	18	14	UOOOUU
23	16	West Brom	11	7	4	1.3	0.9	5	4	2	14	10	19	UOUOUO
24	17	Charlton	10	6	4	1.2	1.1	5	2	3	12	11	17	OUUOOU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	12	Southampton	12	2	10	1.7	1.8	3	3	6	20	22	12	OOOOOO
2	4	Hull	11	2	9	1.8	1.7	4	3	4	20	19	15	UOOOOO
3	14	Leicester	12	3	9	1.4	1.7	4	3	5	17	20	15	UOOOOO
4	1	Coventry	12	4	8	2.2	1.3	6	4	2	27	16	22	OUOOUU
5	11	Derby	11	4	7	1.5	1.2	5	3	3	17	13	18	OOOOOU
6	16	West Brom	12	5	7	1.0	1.8	3	0	9	12	21	9	UUOOOU
7	19	Sheffield United	12	5	7	1.3	2.0	4	0	8	16	24	12	OOOOUO
8	2	Middlesbrough	12	6	6	1.4	1.2	5	4	3	17	14	19	OUUOOU
9	8	Watford	11	5	6	1.2	1.5	2	4	5	13	17	10	OUOOOO
10	9	QPR	12	6	6	1.1	1.7	4	3	5	13	20	15	UUUOOU
11	15	Birmingham	12	6	6	0.7	1.7	2	2	8	8	20	8	UOUOOO
12	24	Sheffield Weds	10	4	6	1.1	1.6	1	4	5	11	16	7	OUOUUO
13	3	Ipswich	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	4	4	4	18	13	16	UOUOUU
14	7	Millwall	11	6	5	1.1	1.5	4	4	3	12	16	16	OOOUUU
15	10	Stoke	12	7	5	0.9	1.1	4	2	6	11	13	14	UOOOUU
16	20	Swansea	11	6	5	0.8	1.4	2	2	7	9	15	8	UOOOOU
17	21	Oxford	12	7	5	0.9	1.3	2	3	7	11	16	9	OOUUUU
18	23	Norwich	12	7	5	1.2	1.6	2	5	5	14	19	11	OUOOUU
19	5	Preston	11	7	4	1.3	1.0	4	5	2	14	11	17	UUUOOU
20	6	Bristol City	11	7	4	1.3	1.1	5	3	3	14	12	18	OUUUUO
21	17	Charlton	12	8	4	0.8	1.3	2	4	6	9	16	10	UUOOUU
22	18	Blackburn	11	7	4	1.0	0.9	5	2	4	11	10	17	UUOUOU
23	22	Portsmouth	10	6	4	0.7	1.6	1	4	5	7	16	7	UOOOUU
24	13	Wrexham	11	8	3	0.9	1.1	2	5	4	10	12	11	UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.