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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Smith

Bristol City 1–2 Watford

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.40 fair 2.30
Draw 3.40 fair 3.88
Away ✓ 2.65 fair 3.25
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Watford
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 3
6 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (406 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.38scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 47:42
Watford before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.26scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 43:40
Bristol City all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.26
1.24 Goals conceded 1.18
2.62 Total goals 2.44
12.76 Shots 14.06
4.18 Shots on target 4.53
12.71 Shots faced 10.82
5.00 Corners 4.79
4.56 Corners against 5.32
9.76 Fouls 10.50
1.65 Yellow cards 1.94
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

41% Wins 35%
24% Draws 35%
35% Losses 29%
91% Over 0.5 goals 97%
71% Over 1.5 goals 76%
47% Over 2.5 goals 44%
29% Over 3.5 goals 21%
18% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 59%
32% Clean sheets 18%
32% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 21%
26% Draws 47%
32% Losses 32%
79% Over 0.5 goals 71%
41% Over 1.5 goals 41%
21% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Watford all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.59scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:22
Watford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.06scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:21
Bristol City at home away Watford

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.06
1.29 Goals conceded 1.31
2.88 Total goals 2.38
13.35 Shots 12.00
4.06 Shots on target 3.44
13.35 Shots faced 11.00
4.94 Corners 4.63
4.24 Corners against 5.94
9.24 Fouls 10.44
1.59 Yellow cards 2.25
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

41% Wins 19%
24% Draws 44%
35% Losses 38%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
76% Over 1.5 goals 63%
53% Over 2.5 goals 44%
41% Over 3.5 goals 31%
18% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 63%
35% Clean sheets 13%
29% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 13%
24% Draws 50%
35% Losses 38%
82% Over 0.5 goals 69%
41% Over 1.5 goals 38%
12% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.26 Blackburn – Bristol City 1–2 (1–2) 2.323.203.00 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Swansea – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.00 1.85
17.02.26 Bristol City – Wrexham 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.91 1.91
07.02.26 Hull – Bristol City 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.303.00 2.00 1.80
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby 0–5 (0–3) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.008.50 1.62 2.30
20.01.26 Ipswich – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 2.00 1.85
17.01.26 Oxford – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.00 1.85
04.01.26 Bristol City – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.813.404.33 2.00 1.80
01.01.26 Bristol City – Portsmouth 5–0 (2–0) 1.663.704.75 1.88 1.98

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.26 Watford – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.252.15 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Watford – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.40 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Preston – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.202.20 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
03.02.26 Hull – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 1.91 1.91
31.01.26 Watford – Swansea 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.303.60 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Blackburn – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.65 2.20 1.67
21.01.26 Watford – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.683.754.75 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Watford – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.303.60 2.10 1.73
01.01.26 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.252.95 2.00 1.80

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.26 Bristol City – Wrexham 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.91 1.91
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby 0–5 (0–3) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.008.50 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Bristol City – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.813.404.33 2.00 1.80
01.01.26 Bristol City – Portsmouth 5–0 (2–0) 1.663.704.75 1.88 1.98
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
10.12.25 Bristol City – Leicester 2–2 (0–2) 2.253.253.05 2.00 1.85
06.12.25 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Bristol City – Swansea 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.253.40 2.10 1.73
04.11.25 Bristol City – Blackburn 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.253.50 2.03 1.83

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.26 Preston – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.202.20 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
03.02.26 Hull – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 Blackburn – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.65 2.20 1.67
29.12.25 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.65 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Leicester – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.05 1.95 1.90
13.12.25 Wrexham – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.70 2.00 1.80
01.12.25 Birmingham – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.793.604.33 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Ipswich – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.663.605.00 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsWatford wins
7matches
2.14goals / match
29%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.25E1 Watford – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.403.60 2.20 1.67
05.04.25E1 Bristol City – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.50 2.03 1.83
26.11.24E1 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
20.01.24E1 Bristol City – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.253.00 2.08 1.73
26.12.23E1 Watford – Bristol City 1–4 (0–2) 1.953.404.20 2.10 1.70
15.04.23E1 Watford – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
12.11.22E1 Bristol City – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.37 2.00 1.85

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 34 20 8 6 70 37 +33 68
2 Middlesbrough 34 18 9 7 51 34 +17 63
3 Millwall 34 17 8 9 45 40 +5 59
4 Ipswich 32 16 9 7 56 34 +22 57
5 Hull 33 17 6 10 55 48 +7 57
6 Wrexham 34 14 12 8 53 45 +8 54
7 Southampton 34 13 11 10 54 45 +9 50
8 Bristol City 34 14 8 12 47 42 +5 50
9 Preston 34 12 13 9 41 38 +3 49
10 Birmingham 34 13 10 11 45 43 +2 49
11 Derby 34 13 9 12 49 45 +4 48
12 Watford 34 12 12 10 43 40 +3 48
13 Stoke 34 13 8 13 38 32 +6 47
14 QPR 34 13 8 13 46 52 -6 47
15 Swansea 34 13 7 14 40 40 0 46
16 Sheffield United 34 14 3 17 48 48 0 45
17 Norwich 34 12 6 16 45 44 +1 42
18 Charlton 34 10 11 13 33 43 -10 41
19 Leicester 34 10 10 14 47 54 -7 40
20 Portsmouth 33 10 9 14 34 43 -9 39
21 Blackburn 34 10 8 16 32 43 -11 38
22 West Brom 34 9 8 17 33 50 -17 35
23 Oxford 34 6 11 17 29 46 -17 29
24 Sheffield Weds 34 1 8 25 20 68 -48 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 16 12 3 1 34 12 +22 39
2 Ipswich 16 10 5 1 30 12 +18 35
3 Middlesbrough 17 10 5 2 26 12 +14 35
4 Millwall 18 10 3 5 26 21 +5 33
5 Swansea 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
6 Watford 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
7 Birmingham 16 8 7 1 30 15 +15 31
8 Southampton 17 8 6 3 26 14 +12 30
9 Wrexham 18 8 6 4 33 28 +5 30
10 Hull 18 9 3 6 28 28 0 30
11 Preston 17 7 6 4 22 18 +4 27
12 Sheffield United 17 8 2 7 28 20 +8 26
13 QPR 16 8 2 6 29 24 +5 26
14 Stoke 17 7 4 6 23 17 +6 25
15 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 27 22 +5 25
16 Charlton 16 7 4 5 17 17 0 25
17 West Brom 17 6 6 5 19 22 -3 24
18 Portsmouth 16 6 4 6 18 16 +2 22
19 Leicester 16 6 4 6 23 23 0 22
20 Derby 17 5 6 6 21 23 -2 21
21 Norwich 17 6 1 10 19 22 -3 19
22 Blackburn 18 4 5 9 17 24 -7 17
23 Oxford 16 3 6 7 13 22 -9 15
24 Sheffield Weds 17 0 4 13 8 35 -27 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 18 8 5 5 36 25 +11 29
2 Middlesbrough 17 8 4 5 25 22 +3 28
3 Hull 15 8 3 4 27 20 +7 27
4 Derby 17 8 3 6 28 22 +6 27
5 Millwall 16 7 5 4 19 19 0 26
6 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 20 20 0 25
7 Wrexham 16 6 6 4 20 17 +3 24
8 Norwich 17 6 5 6 26 22 +4 23
9 Ipswich 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22
10 Stoke 17 6 4 7 15 15 0 22
11 Preston 17 5 7 5 19 20 -1 22
12 Blackburn 16 6 3 7 15 19 -4 21
13 QPR 18 5 6 7 17 28 -11 21
14 Southampton 17 5 5 7 28 31 -3 20
15 Sheffield United 17 6 1 10 20 28 -8 19
16 Leicester 18 4 6 8 24 31 -7 18
17 Birmingham 18 5 3 10 15 28 -13 18
18 Portsmouth 17 4 5 8 16 27 -11 17
19 Watford 16 3 7 6 17 21 -4 16
20 Charlton 18 3 7 8 16 26 -10 16
21 Swansea 16 4 2 10 14 21 -7 14
22 Oxford 18 3 5 10 16 24 -8 14
23 West Brom 17 3 2 12 14 28 -14 11
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 4 12 12 33 -21 7

Bristol City   Watford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 33 11 22 1.7 1.5 17 6 10 55 48 57
2 14 QPR 34 12 22 1.4 1.5 13 8 13 46 52 47
3 19 Leicester 34 12 22 1.4 1.6 10 10 14 47 54 40
4 1 Coventry 34 13 21 2.1 1.1 20 8 6 70 37 68
5 7 Southampton 34 14 20 1.6 1.3 13 11 10 54 45 50
6 16 Sheffield United 34 14 20 1.4 1.4 14 3 17 48 48 45
7 24 Sheffield Weds 34 15 19 0.6 2.0 1 8 25 20 68 11
8 2 Middlesbrough 34 16 18 1.5 1.0 18 9 7 51 34 63
9 3 Millwall 34 17 17 1.3 1.2 17 8 9 45 40 59
10 4 Ipswich 32 15 17 1.8 1.1 16 9 7 56 34 57
11 10 Birmingham 34 17 17 1.3 1.3 13 10 11 45 43 49
12 11 Derby 34 17 17 1.4 1.3 13 9 12 49 45 48
13 17 Norwich 34 17 17 1.3 1.3 12 6 16 45 44 42
14 23 Oxford 34 17 17 0.9 1.4 6 11 17 29 46 29
15 6 Wrexham 34 18 16 1.6 1.3 14 12 8 53 45 54
16 8 Bristol City 34 18 16 1.4 1.2 14 8 12 47 42 50
17 22 West Brom 34 18 16 1.0 1.5 9 8 17 33 50 35
18 12 Watford 34 19 15 1.3 1.2 12 12 10 43 40 48
19 15 Swansea 34 19 15 1.2 1.2 13 7 14 40 40 46
20 20 Portsmouth 33 18 15 1.0 1.3 10 9 14 34 43 39
21 9 Preston 34 20 14 1.2 1.1 12 13 9 41 38 49
22 13 Stoke 34 20 14 1.1 0.9 13 8 13 38 32 47
23 21 Blackburn 34 20 14 0.9 1.3 10 8 16 32 43 38
24 18 Charlton 34 21 13 1.0 1.3 10 11 13 33 43 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 QPR 16 3 13 1.8 1.5 8 2 6 29 24 26
2 16 Sheffield United 17 5 12 1.6 1.2 8 2 7 28 20 26
3 5 Hull 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 9 3 6 28 28 30
4 3 Millwall 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 10 3 5 26 21 33
5 6 Wrexham 18 8 10 1.8 1.6 8 6 4 33 28 30
6 1 Coventry 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 1 34 12 39
7 4 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 30 12 35
8 8 Bristol City 17 8 9 1.6 1.3 7 4 6 27 22 25
9 13 Stoke 17 8 9 1.4 1.0 7 4 6 23 17 25
10 19 Leicester 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 23 23 22
11 24 Sheffield Weds 17 8 9 0.5 2.1 0 4 13 8 35 4
12 2 Middlesbrough 17 9 8 1.5 0.7 10 5 2 26 12 35
13 7 Southampton 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 6 3 26 14 30
14 9 Preston 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 7 6 4 22 18 27
15 10 Birmingham 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 8 7 1 30 15 31
16 12 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
17 15 Swansea 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
18 17 Norwich 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 10 19 22 19
19 23 Oxford 16 8 8 0.8 1.4 3 6 7 13 22 15
20 20 Portsmouth 16 9 7 1.1 1.0 6 4 6 18 16 22
21 21 Blackburn 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 4 5 9 17 24 17
22 22 West Brom 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 19 22 24
23 11 Derby 17 11 6 1.2 1.4 5 6 6 21 23 21
24 18 Charlton 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 17 17 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leicester 18 5 13 1.3 1.7 4 6 8 24 31 18
2 1 Coventry 18 6 12 2.0 1.4 8 5 5 36 25 29
3 7 Southampton 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 5 7 28 31 20
4 5 Hull 15 4 11 1.8 1.3 8 3 4 27 20 27
5 11 Derby 17 6 11 1.6 1.3 8 3 6 28 22 27
6 2 Middlesbrough 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 8 4 5 25 22 28
7 24 Sheffield Weds 17 7 10 0.7 1.9 1 4 12 12 33 7
8 10 Birmingham 18 9 9 0.8 1.6 5 3 10 15 28 18
9 14 QPR 18 9 9 0.9 1.6 5 6 7 17 28 21
10 17 Norwich 17 8 9 1.5 1.3 6 5 6 26 22 23
11 22 West Brom 17 8 9 0.8 1.6 3 2 12 14 28 11
12 23 Oxford 18 9 9 0.9 1.3 3 5 10 16 24 14
13 4 Ipswich 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22
14 16 Sheffield United 17 9 8 1.2 1.6 6 1 10 20 28 19
15 20 Portsmouth 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 4 5 8 16 27 17
16 3 Millwall 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 5 4 19 19 26
17 8 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 4 6 20 20 25
18 12 Watford 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 3 7 6 17 21 16
19 15 Swansea 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 4 2 10 14 21 14
20 18 Charlton 18 11 7 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 16 26 16
21 21 Blackburn 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 6 3 7 15 19 21
22 6 Wrexham 16 10 6 1.2 1.1 6 6 4 20 17 24
23 9 Preston 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 7 5 19 20 22
24 13 Stoke 17 12 5 0.9 0.9 6 4 7 15 15 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44