Bristol City 0–5 Derby – England Championship, 30 Jan 2026

Match facts

Bristol City Derby

7 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 7

4 Corners 1

9 Fouls 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (343 league matches this season so far).

Result Bristol City to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.17

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 30%

Bristol CityDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches

1.48points / match

1.38scored / match

1.07conceded / match

12 7 10

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 40:31

Derby before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.34scored / match

1.28conceded / match

11 9 9

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 39:37

Bristol City all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.34

1.07 Goals conceded 1.28

2.45 Total goals 2.62

13.31 Shots 9.83

4.24 Shots on target 3.24

12.72 Shots faced 12.52

5.17 Corners 4.97

4.86 Corners against 5.76

9.76 Fouls 12.07

1.62 Yellow cards 2.31

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

41% Wins 38%

24% Draws 31%

34% Losses 31%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 76%

41% Over 2.5 goals 48%

24% Over 3.5 goals 21%

14% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 3%

41% Both teams scored 72%

38% Clean sheets 21%

31% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 38%

31% Draws 38%

28% Losses 24%

76% Over 0.5 goals 76%

38% Over 1.5 goals 24%

14% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches

2

D

1

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

5

W

2

L

D

2

L

2

W

Derby all matches

1

D

3

W

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

Bristol City before this match, at home

1.60points / match

1.67scored / match

1.00conceded / match

7 3 5

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:15

Derby before this match, away

1.71points / match

1.50scored / match

1.14conceded / match

7 3 4

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:16

Bristol City at home away Derby

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded 1.14

2.67 Total goals 2.64

14.13 Shots 9.07

4.20 Shots on target 3.00

13.40 Shots faced 13.57

5.13 Corners 4.14

4.60 Corners against 6.57

9.13 Fouls 12.86

1.60 Yellow cards 2.57

0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

47% Wins 50%

20% Draws 21%

33% Losses 29%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 79%

47% Over 2.5 goals 64%

33% Over 3.5 goals 21%

13% Over 4.5 goals 0%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

40% Both teams scored 71%

40% Clean sheets 21%

27% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 50%

27% Draws 29%

27% Losses 21%

80% Over 0.5 goals 71%

40% Over 1.5 goals 14%

7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home

3

1

W

1

W

1

L

3

W

1

L

2

D

2

W

5

W

2

L

2

W

Derby away

1

L

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Bristol City – Sheffield Weds	2–0 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	8.50	1.62	2.30
20.01.26	Ipswich – Bristol City	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.75	5.00	2.00	1.85
17.01.26	Oxford – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.00	1.85
04.01.26	Bristol City – Preston	0–2 (0–1)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.00	1.80
01.01.26	Bristol City – Portsmouth	5–0 (2–0)	1.66	3.70	4.75	1.88	1.98
29.12.25	Millwall – Bristol City	2–1 (1–0)	2.32	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
26.12.25	West Brom – Bristol City	1–2 (0–2)	2.01	3.40	3.50	1.98	1.88
20.12.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.85	2.00
13.12.25	Coventry – Bristol City	1–0 (0–0)	1.66	3.75	4.75	1.67	2.20
10.12.25	Bristol City – Leicester	2–2 (0–2)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.00	1.85

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.20	4.00	2.20	1.67
15.12.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.20	3.20	2.20	2.10	1.73
10.12.25	Derby – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.95	2.95	2.50	1.53

Bristol City at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Bristol City – Sheffield Weds	2–0 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	8.50	1.62	2.30
04.01.26	Bristol City – Preston	0–2 (0–1)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.00	1.80
01.01.26	Bristol City – Portsmouth	5–0 (2–0)	1.66	3.70	4.75	1.88	1.98
20.12.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.85	2.00
10.12.25	Bristol City – Leicester	2–2 (0–2)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.00	1.85
06.12.25	Bristol City – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.30	2.10	1.73
22.11.25	Bristol City – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.73
04.11.25	Bristol City – Blackburn	0–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.50	2.03	1.83
25.10.25	Bristol City – Birmingham	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
21.10.25	Bristol City – Southampton	3–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.30	2.75	1.93	1.93

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
15.12.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.20	3.20	2.20	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	1.71	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53
08.11.25	Blackburn – Derby	1–2 (0–2)	1.91	3.30	3.90	2.38	1.57
01.11.25	Sheffield United – Derby	1–3 (0–1)	1.76	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
18.10.25	Oxford – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.05	2.95	2.50	1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 1 1

Bristol City winsDrawsDerby wins

5matches

2.20goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.08.25E1	Derby – Bristol City	1–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.38	2.38	1.57
04.01.25E1	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
31.08.24E1	Derby – Bristol City	3–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.25	2.40	2.05	1.80
23.04.22E1	Derby – Bristol City	1–3 (0–2)	2.10	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85
04.12.21E1	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	29	17	7	5	62	33	+29	58
2	Middlesbrough	29	16	7	6	46	29	+17	55
3	Ipswich	28	14	8	6	48	27	+21	50
4	Hull	28	15	5	8	47	40	+7	50
5	Millwall	29	14	7	8	36	35	+1	49
6	Wrexham	29	11	11	7	43	37	+6	44
7	Bristol City	29	12	7	10	40	31	+9	43
8	Watford	28	11	10	7	39	33	+6	43
9	Preston	29	11	10	8	36	33	+3	43
10	Stoke	29	12	6	11	34	26	+8	42
11	Derby	29	11	9	9	39	37	+2	42
12	QPR	29	11	7	11	40	42	-2	40
13	Birmingham	29	10	9	10	39	38	+1	39
14	Leicester	29	10	8	11	40	43	-3	38
15	Southampton	29	9	10	10	41	41	0	37
16	Swansea	29	10	6	13	32	37	-5	36
17	Sheffield United	28	11	2	15	39	41	-2	35
18	Norwich	29	9	6	14	37	41	-4	33
19	Charlton	28	8	8	12	27	38	-11	32
20	West Brom	29	9	5	15	32	44	-12	32
21	Portsmouth	27	7	9	11	24	37	-13	30
22	Blackburn	28	7	8	13	26	37	-11	29
23	Oxford	28	6	9	13	27	36	-9	27
24	Sheffield Weds	28	1	8	19	18	56	-38	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	14	11	2	1	31	11	+20	35
2	Ipswich	15	10	4	1	29	11	+18	34
3	Middlesbrough	14	9	3	2	24	11	+13	30
4	Watford	15	8	5	2	24	15	+9	29
5	Millwall	15	9	2	4	21	17	+4	29
6	Birmingham	14	7	6	1	28	14	+14	27
7	Hull	14	8	2	4	21	20	+1	26
8	Swansea	15	7	4	4	20	18	+2	25
9	Bristol City	15	7	3	5	25	15	+10	24
10	Wrexham	15	6	6	3	26	22	+4	24
11	QPR	14	7	2	5	26	20	+6	23
12	Southampton	14	6	5	3	19	13	+6	23
13	Preston	15	6	5	4	19	16	+3	23
14	Leicester	14	6	4	4	20	17	+3	22
15	West Brom	14	6	4	4	18	19	-1	22
16	Stoke	14	6	3	5	19	12	+7	21
17	Charlton	13	6	3	4	15	14	+1	21
18	Sheffield United	13	6	2	5	21	14	+7	20
19	Portsmouth	14	5	4	5	15	15	0	19
20	Derby	15	4	6	5	18	21	-3	18
21	Oxford	14	3	6	5	13	17	-4	15
22	Norwich	14	4	1	9	14	20	-6	13
23	Blackburn	14	2	5	7	14	21	-7	11
24	Sheffield Weds	15	0	4	11	7	32	-25	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	15	7	4	4	22	18	+4	25
2	Hull	14	7	3	4	26	20	+6	24
3	Derby	14	7	3	4	21	16	+5	24
4	Coventry	15	6	5	4	31	22	+9	23
5	Stoke	15	6	3	6	15	14	+1	21
6	Norwich	15	5	5	5	23	21	+2	20
7	Wrexham	14	5	5	4	17	15	+2	20
8	Preston	14	5	5	4	17	17	0	20
9	Millwall	14	5	5	4	15	18	-3	20
10	Bristol City	14	5	4	5	15	16	-1	19
11	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	12	16	-4	18
12	QPR	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8	17
13	Ipswich	13	4	4	5	19	16	+3	16
14	Leicester	15	4	4	7	20	26	-6	16
15	Sheffield United	15	5	0	10	18	27	-9	15
16	Watford	13	3	5	5	15	18	-3	14
17	Southampton	15	3	5	7	22	28	-6	14
18	Oxford	14	3	3	8	14	19	-5	12
19	Birmingham	15	3	3	9	11	24	-13	12
20	Swansea	14	3	2	9	12	19	-7	11
21	Charlton	15	2	5	8	12	24	-12	11
22	Portsmouth	13	2	5	6	9	22	-13	11
23	West Brom	15	3	1	11	14	25	-11	10
24	Sheffield Weds	13	1	4	8	11	24	-13	7

Bristol City Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Hull	28	9	19	1.7	1.4	15	5	8	47	40	50
2	14	Leicester	29	10	19	1.4	1.5	10	8	11	40	43	38
3	1	Coventry	29	11	18	2.1	1.1	17	7	5	62	33	58
4	12	QPR	29	11	18	1.4	1.4	11	7	11	40	42	40
5	15	Southampton	29	11	18	1.4	1.4	9	10	10	41	41	37
6	2	Middlesbrough	29	13	16	1.6	1.0	16	7	6	46	29	55
7	17	Sheffield United	28	12	16	1.4	1.5	11	2	15	39	41	35
8	24	Sheffield Weds	28	12	16	0.6	2.0	1	8	19	18	56	11
9	3	Ipswich	28	13	15	1.7	1.0	14	8	6	48	27	50
10	18	Norwich	29	14	15	1.3	1.4	9	6	14	37	41	33
11	20	West Brom	29	14	15	1.1	1.5	9	5	15	32	44	32
12	5	Millwall	29	15	14	1.2	1.2	14	7	8	36	35	49
13	8	Watford	28	14	14	1.4	1.2	11	10	7	39	33	43
14	11	Derby	29	15	14	1.3	1.3	11	9	9	39	37	42
15	13	Birmingham	29	15	14	1.3	1.3	10	9	10	39	38	39
16	16	Swansea	29	15	14	1.1	1.3	10	6	13	32	37	36
17	23	Oxford	28	14	14	1.0	1.3	6	9	13	27	36	27
18	6	Wrexham	29	16	13	1.5	1.3	11	11	7	43	37	44
19	9	Preston	29	16	13	1.2	1.1	11	10	8	36	33	43
20	7	Bristol City	29	17	12	1.4	1.1	12	7	10	40	31	43
21	10	Stoke	29	17	12	1.2	0.9	12	6	11	34	26	42
22	19	Charlton	28	16	12	1.0	1.4	8	8	12	27	38	32
23	22	Blackburn	28	16	12	0.9	1.3	7	8	13	26	37	29
24	21	Portsmouth	27	16	11	0.9	1.4	7	9	11	24	37	30

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	QPR	14	3	11	1.9	1.4	7	2	5	26	20	23
2	3	Ipswich	15	6	9	1.9	0.7	10	4	1	29	11	34
3	1	Coventry	14	6	8	2.2	0.8	11	2	1	31	11	35
4	2	Middlesbrough	14	6	8	1.7	0.8	9	3	2	24	11	30
5	4	Hull	14	6	8	1.5	1.4	8	2	4	21	20	26
6	5	Millwall	15	7	8	1.4	1.1	9	2	4	21	17	29
7	6	Wrexham	15	7	8	1.7	1.5	6	6	3	26	22	24
8	8	Watford	15	7	8	1.6	1.0	8	5	2	24	15	29
9	14	Leicester	14	6	8	1.4	1.2	6	4	4	20	17	22
10	17	Sheffield United	13	5	8	1.6	1.1	6	2	5	21	14	20
11	24	Sheffield Weds	15	7	8	0.5	2.1	0	4	11	7	32	4
12	7	Bristol City	15	8	7	1.7	1.0	7	3	5	25	15	24
13	9	Preston	15	8	7	1.3	1.1	6	5	4	19	16	23
14	10	Stoke	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	6	3	5	19	12	21
15	13	Birmingham	14	7	7	2.0	1.0	7	6	1	28	14	27
16	15	Southampton	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	6	5	3	19	13	23
17	16	Swansea	15	8	7	1.3	1.2	7	4	4	20	18	25
18	18	Norwich	14	7	7	1.0	1.4	4	1	9	14	20	13
19	20	West Brom	14	7	7	1.3	1.4	6	4	4	18	19	22
20	23	Oxford	14	7	7	0.9	1.2	3	6	5	13	17	15
21	21	Portsmouth	14	8	6	1.1	1.1	5	4	5	15	15	19
22	22	Blackburn	14	8	6	1.0	1.5	2	5	7	14	21	11
23	11	Derby	15	10	5	1.2	1.4	4	6	5	18	21	18
24	19	Charlton	13	8	5	1.2	1.1	6	3	4	15	14	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Hull	14	3	11	1.9	1.4	7	3	4	26	20	24
2	14	Leicester	15	4	11	1.3	1.7	4	4	7	20	26	16
3	15	Southampton	15	4	11	1.5	1.9	3	5	7	22	28	14
4	1	Coventry	15	5	10	2.1	1.5	6	5	4	31	22	23
5	11	Derby	14	5	9	1.5	1.1	7	3	4	21	16	24
6	2	Middlesbrough	15	7	8	1.5	1.2	7	4	4	22	18	25
7	17	Sheffield United	15	7	8	1.2	1.8	5	0	10	18	27	15
8	18	Norwich	15	7	8	1.5	1.4	5	5	5	23	21	20
9	20	West Brom	15	7	8	0.9	1.7	3	1	11	14	25	10
10	24	Sheffield Weds	13	5	8	0.8	1.8	1	4	8	11	24	7
11	12	QPR	15	8	7	0.9	1.5	4	5	6	14	22	17
12	13	Birmingham	15	8	7	0.7	1.6	3	3	9	11	24	12
13	16	Swansea	14	7	7	0.9	1.4	3	2	9	12	19	11
14	19	Charlton	15	8	7	0.8	1.6	2	5	8	12	24	11
15	23	Oxford	14	7	7	1.0	1.4	3	3	8	14	19	12
16	3	Ipswich	13	7	6	1.5	1.2	4	4	5	19	16	16
17	5	Millwall	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	4	15	18	20
18	8	Watford	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	3	5	5	15	18	14
19	9	Preston	14	8	6	1.2	1.2	5	5	4	17	17	20
20	22	Blackburn	14	8	6	0.9	1.1	5	3	6	12	16	18
21	6	Wrexham	14	9	5	1.2	1.1	5	5	4	17	15	20
22	7	Bristol City	14	9	5	1.1	1.1	5	4	5	15	16	19
23	10	Stoke	15	10	5	1.0	0.9	6	3	6	15	14	21
24	21	Portsmouth	13	8	5	0.7	1.7	2	5	6	9	22	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.