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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Madley

QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 3.20 fair 2.24
Draw 3.40 fair 4.02
Away ✓ 2.15 fair 3.28
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Middlesbrough
16 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
1.03 Expected goals (xG) 2.53
12 Corners 3
3 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (51 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:3
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.75scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:5
QPR all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.75
0.75 Goals conceded 1.25
2.50 Total goals 3.00
1.99 xG created 1.84
0.97 xG allowed 0.88
17.50 Shots 17.50
6.50 Shots on target 4.50
10.00 Shots faced 9.75
4.50 Corners 5.75
3.75 Corners against 4.50
8.75 Fouls 11.25
1.00 Yellow cards 0.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

75% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
QPR before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Middlesbrough before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
QPR at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 1.50
1.50 Total goals 2.50
2.28 xG created 1.33
0.38 xG allowed 0.77
19.00 Shots 16.00
7.00 Shots on target 2.50
5.50 Shots faced 8.50
6.00 Corners 5.50
3.00 Corners against 3.50
8.00 Fouls 9.00
0.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Blackburn – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 2.503.302.65 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 QPR – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.75 1.93 1.93
15.08.26 Portsmouth – QPR 1–3 (1–3) 2.253.403.00 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Ipswich – QPR 3–0 (2–0) 1.255.5010.00 1.53 2.50
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 2.00 1.80
18.04.26 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 1.623.754.75 1.85 2.00
11.04.26 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.10 1.98 1.88
06.04.26 Preston – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.323.302.82 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Middlesbrough – Lincoln 2–1 (0–1) 1.305.508.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
22.04.26 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.36 3.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
11.04.26 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.494.006.25 1.73 2.10
06.04.26 Swansea – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 3.803.601.86 1.88 1.98

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 QPR – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.75 1.93 1.93
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.10 1.98 1.88
03.04.26 QPR – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.402.65 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 QPR – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 2.753.102.50 2.30 1.62
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 QPR – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.103.25 2.20 1.67

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Swansea – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 3.803.601.86 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.81 1.93 1.93
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10
09.02.26 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.10 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
10matches
3.80goals / match
80%over 2.5
70%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
13.12.25E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
11.03.25E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
05.11.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
09.03.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.09.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
18.02.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
06.08.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
09.02.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
18.08.21E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
2 QPR 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
3 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6 7 -1 10
4 Southampton 5 2 2 1 11 6 +5 8
5 Wolves 4 2 1 1 11 8 +3 7
6 Middlesbrough 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
7 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
8 West Brom 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
9 Birmingham 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
10 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
11 Stoke 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
12 Millwall 4 2 0 2 6 8 -2 6
13 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
14 West Ham 4 1 2 1 8 7 +1 5
15 Blackburn 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
16 Watford 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
17 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
18 Bolton 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
19 Derby 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
20 Cardiff 4 0 3 1 6 7 -1 3
21 Norwich 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3
22 Portsmouth 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
23 Preston 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
24 Burnley 4 0 2 2 5 10 -5 2
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 2 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6
2 Stoke 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
3 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Charlton 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
5 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
6 West Brom 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
7 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
8 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
10 QPR 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 Norwich 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
12 West Ham 2 1 0 1 5 4 +1 3
13 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
15 Bolton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
17 Preston 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
18 Birmingham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
19 Burnley 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
20 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
21 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
22 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
23 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
24 Portsmouth 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 QPR 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Wrexham 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
4 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
5 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Charlton 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
7 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
8 Derby 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
9 Wolves 2 1 0 1 5 5 0 3
10 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
11 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
12 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
13 West Ham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
16 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
17 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Bolton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
19 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
20 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
21 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
22 Norwich 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
23 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0
24 Stoke 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0

QPR   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Wolves 4 0 4 2.8 2.0 2 1 1 11 8 7
2 11 Stoke 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
3 15 Blackburn 5 1 4 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
4 23 Preston 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
5 2 QPR 4 1 3 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
6 3 Charlton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 1 1 6 7 10
7 4 Southampton 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 1 11 6 8
8 6 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
9 7 Bristol City 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
10 8 West Brom 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
11 12 Millwall 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 2 0 2 6 8 6
12 14 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 2 1 8 7 5
13 19 Derby 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
14 20 Cardiff 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 0 3 1 6 7 3
15 21 Norwich 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3
16 22 Portsmouth 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
17 24 Burnley 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 0 2 2 5 10 2
18 1 Swansea 4 2 2 1.8 0.2 3 1 0 7 1 10
19 9 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
20 10 Sheffield United 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
21 13 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
22 17 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
23 18 Bolton 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
24 16 Watford 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Preston 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
2 4 Southampton 2 0 2 4.0 1.0 2 0 0 8 2 6
3 5 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
4 6 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
5 11 Stoke 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
6 12 Millwall 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
7 14 West Ham 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 0 1 5 4 3
8 15 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
9 19 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
10 21 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
11 2 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
12 3 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
13 7 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
14 8 West Brom 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
15 9 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
16 10 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
17 13 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 16 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
19 17 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
20 18 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
21 20 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
22 22 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
23 24 Burnley 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
24 1 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 2 QPR 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
3 3 Charlton 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
4 5 Wolves 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 1 0 1 5 5 3
5 7 Bristol City 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
6 8 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
7 11 Stoke 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
8 15 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
9 20 Cardiff 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
10 22 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
11 24 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
12 4 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
13 6 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
14 9 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
15 10 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
16 12 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
17 13 Wrexham 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
18 14 West Ham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
19 17 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
20 18 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
21 19 Derby 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
22 21 Norwich 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
23 23 Preston 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
24 16 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51