Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 2 Mar 2026

Match facts

Birmingham Middlesbrough

11 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 2

11 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (417 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.82

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.30

Home / Draw / Away

40% 26% 35%

BirminghamDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.4% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.44points / match

1.32scored / match

1.26conceded / match

13 10 11

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 45:43

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.85points / match

1.50scored / match

1.00conceded / match

18 9 7

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 51:34

Birmingham all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.50

1.26 Goals conceded 1.00

2.59 Total goals 2.50

14.06 Shots 14.91

3.85 Shots on target 4.59

10.62 Shots faced 10.35

5.71 Corners 6.21

4.32 Corners against 4.44

11.29 Fouls 9.65

1.74 Yellow cards 1.53

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

38% Wins 53%

29% Draws 26%

32% Losses 21%

97% Over 0.5 goals 91%

82% Over 1.5 goals 71%

50% Over 2.5 goals 53%

21% Over 3.5 goals 24%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

56% Both teams scored 56%

24% Clean sheets 29%

24% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 35%

24% Draws 29%

44% Losses 35%

82% Over 0.5 goals 74%

38% Over 1.5 goals 29%

12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

3

L

3

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

3

L

Middlesbrough all matches

1

L

4

W

3

2

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

D

1

D

Birmingham before this match, at home

1.94points / match

1.88scored / match

0.94conceded / match

8 7 1

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:15

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.65points / match

1.47scored / match

1.29conceded / match

8 4 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:22

Birmingham at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.47

0.94 Goals conceded 1.29

2.81 Total goals 2.76

18.31 Shots 15.12

5.38 Shots on target 4.53

8.88 Shots faced 9.65

6.50 Corners 5.94

4.06 Corners against 3.94

10.94 Fouls 9.47

1.81 Yellow cards 2.00

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

50% Wins 47%

44% Draws 24%

6% Losses 29%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

81% Over 1.5 goals 82%

50% Over 2.5 goals 59%

38% Over 3.5 goals 24%

19% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

69% Both teams scored 65%

31% Clean sheets 12%

6% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 35%

38% Draws 18%

13% Losses 47%

75% Over 0.5 goals 82%

44% Over 1.5 goals 29%

19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

4

W

4

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

D

Middlesbrough away

1

D

1

D

4

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.26	Millwall – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.40	3.30	2.82	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Norwich – Birmingham	1–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.91	1.91
10.02.26	Birmingham – West Brom	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Birmingham – Leicester	2–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Oxford – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Birmingham – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.20	1.45	1.80	2.00
17.01.26	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.20	2.57	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Birmingham – Coventry	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.83	2.03
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.26	Middlesbrough – Leicester	1–1 (1–1)	1.46	4.33	6.00	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Middlesbrough – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	1.39	4.33	7.50	1.80	2.00
16.02.26	Coventry – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
09.02.26	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Middlesbrough – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.68	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.10
24.01.26	Middlesbrough – Preston	4–0 (3–0)	1.51	4.00	5.75	1.80	2.00
21.01.26	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.05	1.80
16.01.26	West Brom – Middlesbrough	2–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.70	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Middlesbrough – Southampton	4–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.20	1.73	2.10
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Birmingham – West Brom	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Birmingham – Leicester	2–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.91	1.91
24.01.26	Birmingham – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Birmingham – Coventry	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.83	2.03
29.12.25	Birmingham – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	2.85	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
13.12.25	Birmingham – Charlton	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.00	5.75	2.00	1.80
01.12.25	Birmingham – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.79	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.73
22.11.25	Birmingham – Norwich	4–1 (3–1)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.90	1.95
04.11.25	Birmingham – Millwall	4–0 (2–0)	1.81	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.02.26	Coventry – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
09.02.26	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
21.01.26	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.05	1.80
16.01.26	West Brom – Middlesbrough	2–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.70	2.10	1.73
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.85	2.00
09.12.25	Charlton – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–2)	3.30	3.25	2.10	2.10	1.73
05.12.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–4)	2.95	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.10
22.11.25	Oxford – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	3.70	3.30	1.96	2.05	1.80
04.11.25	Leicester – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.40	3.20	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 6

Birmingham winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

7matches

2.00goals / match

29%over 2.5

29%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.11.25E1	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	2–1 (2–1)	2.55	3.25	2.65	2.30	1.62
12.03.24E1	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.80	2.00
21.10.23E1	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.75	4.50	1.90	1.95
02.01.23E1	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.10	1.73
05.10.22E1	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	1–0 (1–0)	1.65	3.75	5.75	2.02	1.83
15.03.22E1	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.72
30.10.21E1	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72	38	+34	71
2	Middlesbrough	34	18	9	7	51	34	+17	63
3	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47	40	+7	62
4	Ipswich	33	17	9	7	59	34	+25	60
5	Hull	34	18	6	10	56	48	+8	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54	45	+9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57	46	+11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52	46	+6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45	41	+4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48	44	+4	50
11	Birmingham	34	13	10	11	45	43	+2	49
12	Preston	35	12	13	10	41	40	+1	49
13	Sheffield United	35	15	3	17	50	48	+2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39	34	+5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46	54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40	43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47	44	+3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33	44	-11	41
19	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47	56	-9	40
20	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34	44	-10	39
21	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33	46	-13	38
22	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34	52	-18	35
23	Oxford	35	7	11	17	31	47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Weds	35	1	8	26	21	71	-50	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	17	13	3	1	36	13	+23	42
2	Ipswich	17	11	5	1	33	12	+21	38
3	Middlesbrough	17	10	5	2	26	12	+14	35
4	Millwall	18	10	3	5	26	21	+5	33
5	Swansea	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
6	Watford	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
7	Birmingham	16	8	7	1	30	15	+15	31
8	Southampton	17	8	6	3	26	14	+12	30
9	Wrexham	18	8	6	4	33	28	+5	30
10	Hull	18	9	3	6	28	28	0	30
11	Preston	18	7	6	5	22	20	+2	27
12	Sheffield United	17	8	2	7	28	20	+8	26
13	QPR	17	8	2	7	29	26	+3	26
14	Stoke	17	7	4	6	23	17	+6	25
15	Bristol City	18	7	4	7	28	24	+4	25
16	Charlton	17	7	4	6	17	18	-1	25
17	Derby	18	6	6	6	24	24	0	24
18	West Brom	17	6	6	5	19	22	-3	24
19	Portsmouth	17	6	4	7	18	17	+1	22
20	Leicester	17	6	4	7	23	25	-2	22
21	Norwich	17	6	1	10	19	22	-3	19
22	Oxford	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8	18
23	Blackburn	18	4	5	9	17	24	-7	17
24	Sheffield Weds	18	0	4	14	9	38	-29	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hull	16	9	3	4	28	20	+8	30
2	Coventry	18	8	5	5	36	25	+11	29
3	Millwall	17	8	5	4	21	19	+2	29
4	Middlesbrough	17	8	4	5	25	22	+3	28
5	Derby	17	8	3	6	28	22	+6	27
6	Wrexham	17	7	6	4	21	17	+4	27
7	Norwich	18	7	5	6	28	22	+6	26
8	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	20	20	0	25
9	Southampton	18	6	5	7	31	32	-1	23
10	Ipswich	16	6	4	6	26	22	+4	22
11	Preston	17	5	7	5	19	20	-1	22
12	Stoke	18	6	4	8	16	17	-1	22
13	Sheffield United	18	7	1	10	22	28	-6	22
14	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	16	22	-6	21
15	QPR	18	5	6	7	17	28	-11	21
16	Watford	17	4	7	6	19	22	-3	19
17	Leicester	18	4	6	8	24	31	-7	18
18	Birmingham	18	5	3	10	15	28	-13	18
19	Portsmouth	17	4	5	8	16	27	-11	17
20	Charlton	18	3	7	8	16	26	-10	16
21	Oxford	18	3	5	10	16	24	-8	14
22	Swansea	17	4	2	11	14	24	-10	14
23	West Brom	18	3	2	13	15	30	-15	11
24	Sheffield Weds	17	1	4	12	12	33	-21	7

Birmingham Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Coventry	35	13	22	2.1	1.1	21	8	6	72	38	71
2	5	Hull	34	12	22	1.6	1.4	18	6	10	56	48	60
3	15	QPR	35	13	22	1.3	1.5	13	8	14	46	54	47
4	19	Leicester	35	13	22	1.3	1.6	10	10	15	47	56	40
5	7	Southampton	35	14	21	1.6	1.3	14	11	10	57	46	53
6	13	Sheffield United	35	15	20	1.4	1.4	15	3	17	50	48	48
7	24	Sheffield Weds	35	15	20	0.6	2.0	1	8	26	21	71	11
8	2	Middlesbrough	34	16	18	1.5	1.0	18	9	7	51	34	63
9	4	Ipswich	33	15	18	1.8	1.0	17	9	7	59	34	60
10	8	Derby	35	17	18	1.5	1.3	14	9	12	52	46	51
11	23	Oxford	35	17	18	0.9	1.3	7	11	17	31	47	32
12	3	Millwall	35	18	17	1.3	1.1	18	8	9	47	40	62
13	10	Bristol City	35	18	17	1.4	1.3	14	8	13	48	44	50
14	11	Birmingham	34	17	17	1.3	1.3	13	10	11	45	43	49
15	17	Norwich	35	18	17	1.3	1.3	13	6	16	47	44	45
16	22	West Brom	35	18	17	1.0	1.5	9	8	18	34	52	35
17	6	Wrexham	35	19	16	1.5	1.3	15	12	8	54	45	57
18	9	Watford	35	19	16	1.3	1.2	13	12	10	45	41	51
19	16	Swansea	35	19	16	1.1	1.2	13	7	15	40	43	46
20	14	Stoke	35	20	15	1.1	1.0	13	8	14	39	34	47
21	20	Portsmouth	34	19	15	1.0	1.3	10	9	15	34	44	39
22	21	Blackburn	35	20	15	0.9	1.3	10	8	17	33	46	38
23	12	Preston	35	21	14	1.2	1.1	12	13	10	41	40	49
24	18	Charlton	35	22	13	0.9	1.3	10	11	14	33	44	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	QPR	17	4	13	1.7	1.5	8	2	7	29	26	26
2	13	Sheffield United	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	8	2	7	28	20	26
3	5	Hull	18	7	11	1.6	1.6	9	3	6	28	28	30
4	1	Coventry	17	7	10	2.1	0.8	13	3	1	36	13	42
5	3	Millwall	18	8	10	1.4	1.2	10	3	5	26	21	33
6	4	Ipswich	17	7	10	1.9	0.7	11	5	1	33	12	38
7	6	Wrexham	18	8	10	1.8	1.6	8	6	4	33	28	30
8	10	Bristol City	18	8	10	1.6	1.3	7	4	7	28	24	25
9	24	Sheffield Weds	18	8	10	0.5	2.1	0	4	14	9	38	4
10	14	Stoke	17	8	9	1.4	1.0	7	4	6	23	17	25
11	19	Leicester	17	8	9	1.4	1.5	6	4	7	23	25	22
12	23	Oxford	17	8	9	0.9	1.4	4	6	7	15	23	18
13	2	Middlesbrough	17	9	8	1.5	0.7	10	5	2	26	12	35
14	7	Southampton	17	9	8	1.5	0.8	8	6	3	26	14	30
15	9	Watford	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
16	11	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	8	7	1	30	15	31
17	12	Preston	18	10	8	1.2	1.1	7	6	5	22	20	27
18	16	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
19	17	Norwich	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	6	1	10	19	22	19
20	8	Derby	18	11	7	1.3	1.3	6	6	6	24	24	24
21	20	Portsmouth	17	10	7	1.1	1.0	6	4	7	18	17	22
22	21	Blackburn	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	4	5	9	17	24	17
23	22	West Brom	17	10	7	1.1	1.3	6	6	5	19	22	24
24	18	Charlton	17	11	6	1.0	1.1	7	4	6	17	18	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Southampton	18	5	13	1.7	1.8	6	5	7	31	32	23
2	19	Leicester	18	5	13	1.3	1.7	4	6	8	24	31	18
3	1	Coventry	18	6	12	2.0	1.4	8	5	5	36	25	29
4	5	Hull	16	5	11	1.8	1.2	9	3	4	28	20	30
5	8	Derby	17	6	11	1.6	1.3	8	3	6	28	22	27
6	2	Middlesbrough	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	8	4	5	25	22	28
7	22	West Brom	18	8	10	0.8	1.7	3	2	13	15	30	11
8	24	Sheffield Weds	17	7	10	0.7	1.9	1	4	12	12	33	7
9	11	Birmingham	18	9	9	0.8	1.6	5	3	10	15	28	18
10	15	QPR	18	9	9	0.9	1.6	5	6	7	17	28	21
11	17	Norwich	18	9	9	1.6	1.2	7	5	6	28	22	26
12	23	Oxford	18	9	9	0.9	1.3	3	5	10	16	24	14
13	4	Ipswich	16	8	8	1.6	1.4	6	4	6	26	22	22
14	9	Watford	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	4	7	6	19	22	19
15	13	Sheffield United	18	10	8	1.2	1.6	7	1	10	22	28	22
16	16	Swansea	17	9	8	0.8	1.4	4	2	11	14	24	14
17	20	Portsmouth	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	4	5	8	16	27	17
18	21	Blackburn	17	9	8	0.9	1.3	6	3	8	16	22	21
19	3	Millwall	17	10	7	1.2	1.1	8	5	4	21	19	29
20	10	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	4	6	20	20	25
21	18	Charlton	18	11	7	0.9	1.4	3	7	8	16	26	16
22	6	Wrexham	17	11	6	1.2	1.0	7	6	4	21	17	27
23	12	Preston	17	11	6	1.1	1.2	5	7	5	19	20	22
24	14	Stoke	18	12	6	0.9	0.9	6	4	8	16	17	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.