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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Parsons

Lincoln 4–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.67
Draw 3.40 fair 4.16
Away 2.25 fair 2.60
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Burnley
21 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
2.13 Expected goals (xG) 2.46
2 Corners 5
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
0.82scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:19
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.73points / match
1.45scored / match
1.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:21
Lincoln all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.45
1.73 Goals conceded 1.91
2.55 Total goals 3.36
1.25 xG created 1.19
1.36 xG allowed 1.59
11.55 Shots 14.27
2.73 Shots on target 4.18
16.36 Shots faced 14.09
3.64 Corners 4.64
8.18 Corners against 4.82
13.09 Fouls 10.18
2.45 Yellow cards 2.09
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

27% Wins 9%
27% Draws 45%
45% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 100%
55% Over 2.5 goals 73%
27% Over 3.5 goals 55%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 91%
36% Clean sheets 9%
27% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 36%
36% Draws 27%
36% Losses 36%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
18% Over 1.5 goals 45%
9% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Burnley all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
0.40points / match
0.60scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:12
Burnley before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.60scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:11
Lincoln at home away Burnley

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 1.60
2.40 Goals conceded 2.20
3.00 Total goals 3.80
1.63 xG created 1.46
1.25 xG allowed 1.63
14.00 Shots 16.20
2.80 Shots on target 5.00
15.80 Shots faced 14.60
4.40 Corners 4.40
5.60 Corners against 3.80
12.40 Fouls 10.00
1.80 Yellow cards 1.80
0.40 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

0% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
60% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
40% Over 3.5 goals 80%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
20% Draws 20%
60% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Millwall – Lincoln 2–2 (0–2) 1.613.805.00 1.80 2.00
14.10.26 Lincoln – West Ham 0–6 (0–1) 5.003.801.62 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Sheffield United – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Lincoln – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.302.45 1.91 1.91
15.09.26 Bristol City – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.793.604.10 2.03 1.83
12.09.26 Preston – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
05.09.26 Lincoln – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.76 1.73 2.10
01.09.26 Lincoln – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.10 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Bolton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.75 2.05 1.80
22.08.26 Lincoln – Portsmouth 1–3 (1–2) 2.353.402.75 2.00 1.85

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.26 Burnley – Wolves 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.502.15 1.83 2.03
13.10.26 Burnley – Charlton 2–2 (1–0) 1.613.705.25 1.85 2.00
10.10.26 Watford – Burnley 0–4 (0–3) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 Burnley – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
12.09.26 Swansea – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.30 1.90 1.95
08.09.26 Wrexham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.013.403.60 1.93 1.93
05.09.26 Burnley – Bristol City 1–2 (0–0) 1.813.604.00 1.83 2.03
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Norwich – Burnley 4–1 (3–1) 2.203.603.00 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 West Brom – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.10 1.73

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.26 Lincoln – West Ham 0–6 (0–1) 5.003.801.62 1.67 2.20
19.09.26 Lincoln – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.302.45 1.91 1.91
05.09.26 Lincoln – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.76 1.73 2.10
01.09.26 Lincoln – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.10 1.93 1.93
22.08.26 Lincoln – Portsmouth 1–3 (1–2) 2.353.402.75 2.00 1.85
25.04.26E2 Lincoln – Wycombe 4–3 (2–0) 1.713.603.70 1.88 1.98
11.04.26E2 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 2–1 (2–0) 1.513.806.00 1.88 1.98
03.04.26E2 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03
21.03.26E2 Lincoln – Rotherham 3–0 (3–0) 1.354.757.00 1.70 2.10
14.03.26E2 Lincoln – Stockport 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.504.10 2.15 1.67

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Watford – Burnley 0–4 (0–3) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
12.09.26 Swansea – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.30 1.90 1.95
08.09.26 Wrexham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.013.403.60 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Norwich – Burnley 4–1 (3–1) 2.203.603.00 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 West Brom – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.10 1.73
18.05.26E0 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40
01.05.26E0 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
19.04.26E0 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 4–1 (0–1) 1.504.207.00 1.73 2.10
21.03.26E0 Fulham – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.80 2.00
03.03.26E0 Everton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27 17 +10 25
2 Swansea 11 7 2 2 16 8 +8 23
3 West Ham 11 6 4 1 30 12 +18 22
4 Southampton 11 6 3 2 21 10 +11 21
5 Birmingham 11 5 5 1 20 11 +9 20
6 West Brom 11 6 2 3 15 12 +3 20
7 Stoke 11 6 1 4 18 16 +2 19
8 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 16 +3 18
9 Portsmouth 12 5 3 4 16 15 +1 18
10 QPR 11 4 5 2 15 12 +3 17
11 Sheffield United 12 4 4 4 16 15 +1 16
12 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 17 16 +1 15
13 Millwall 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
14 Wrexham 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
15 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 12 15 -3 14
16 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16 23 -7 14
17 Charlton 12 3 5 4 11 18 -7 14
18 Norwich 12 4 0 8 20 22 -2 12
19 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 9 19 -10 12
20 Cardiff 11 2 5 4 18 17 +1 11
21 Watford 11 3 2 6 10 19 -9 11
22 Burnley 11 1 5 5 16 21 -5 8
23 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 21 -11 7
24 Preston 11 1 1 9 9 24 -15 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 6 5 1 0 16 4 +12 16
2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 14 9 +5 14
3 Swansea 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11
4 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
5 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
6 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10
7 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
8 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10
9 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
10 Stoke 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
11 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
12 Charlton 6 2 3 1 5 5 0 9
13 Millwall 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
14 QPR 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
15 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8
16 Wolves 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
17 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
18 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 10 0 6
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
20 Bolton 6 2 0 4 7 12 -5 6
21 Burnley 6 0 4 2 8 10 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Derby 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2
24 Lincoln 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12
2 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11
4 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
5 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
6 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
7 Stoke 6 3 1 2 8 10 -2 10
8 QPR 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9
9 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Portsmouth 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
11 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
12 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
13 Bolton 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
14 Millwall 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
15 Blackburn 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
16 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 12 -2 6
17 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
18 Southampton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
19 Derby 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
20 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
21 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
22 Cardiff 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
23 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
24 Preston 6 0 1 5 5 15 -10 1

Lincoln   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 2.2 1.4 7 4 1 27 17 25
2 12 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 17 16 15
3 13 Millwall 12 3 9 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
4 18 Norwich 12 3 9 1.7 1.8 4 0 8 20 22 12
5 3 West Ham 11 3 8 2.7 1.1 6 4 1 30 12 22
6 5 Birmingham 11 3 8 1.8 1.0 5 5 1 20 11 20
7 7 Stoke 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 6 1 4 18 16 19
8 16 Bolton 12 4 8 1.3 1.9 4 2 6 16 23 14
9 22 Burnley 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 1 5 5 16 21 8
10 24 Preston 11 3 8 0.8 2.2 1 1 9 9 24 4
11 8 Wolves 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 5 3 3 19 16 18
12 11 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 4 4 4 16 15 16
13 20 Cardiff 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 2 5 4 18 17 11
14 2 Swansea 11 5 6 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 16 8 23
15 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 3 2 21 10 21
16 9 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 5 3 4 16 15 18
17 10 QPR 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 4 5 2 15 12 17
18 14 Wrexham 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
19 17 Charlton 12 6 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 4 11 18 14
20 19 Lincoln 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 5 9 19 12
21 23 Derby 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 1 4 7 10 21 7
22 6 West Brom 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 6 2 3 15 12 20
23 15 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 2 5 12 15 14
24 21 Watford 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 6 10 19 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 4 2 0 14 9 14
2 5 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10
3 12 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 13 Millwall 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
5 3 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
6 4 Southampton 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 1 0 16 4 16
7 7 Stoke 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
8 9 Portsmouth 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
9 14 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8
10 16 Bolton 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 4 7 12 6
11 18 Norwich 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 0 4 10 10 6
12 21 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10
13 22 Burnley 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 0 4 2 8 10 4
14 8 Wolves 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
15 10 QPR 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
16 11 Sheffield United 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
17 19 Lincoln 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
18 20 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
19 23 Derby 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2
20 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
21 2 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11
22 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
23 17 Charlton 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 2 3 1 5 5 9
24 15 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 2.0 2 0 4 10 12 6
2 24 Preston 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 0 1 5 5 15 1
3 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11
4 2 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
5 3 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12
6 7 Stoke 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 2 8 10 10
7 8 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
8 11 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
9 12 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
10 13 Millwall 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
11 15 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
12 16 Bolton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
13 17 Charlton 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
14 20 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
15 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
16 5 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
17 6 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
18 10 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 3 1 7 7 9
19 19 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
20 23 Derby 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
21 4 Southampton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
22 9 Portsmouth 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 14 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
24 21 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51