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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Drysdale

Burton 4–0 Accrington

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.21
Draw 3.50 fair 4.03
Away 3.50 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Accrington
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 1
12 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (207 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawAccrington
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
0.89scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:23
Accrington before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.29scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:32
Burton all matches all matches Accrington

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.29
1.28 Goals conceded 1.88
2.17 Total goals 3.18
12.72 Shots 13.94
3.61 Shots on target 4.35
13.56 Shots faced 13.12
5.56 Corners 4.88
6.61 Corners against 5.88
12.56 Fouls 12.06
2.00 Yellow cards 2.24
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

33% Wins 35%
22% Draws 18%
44% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
67% Over 1.5 goals 71%
39% Over 2.5 goals 65%
11% Over 3.5 goals 41%
6% Over 4.5 goals 35%
0% Over 5.5 goals 12%
50% Both teams scored 65%
22% Clean sheets 24%
33% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 24%
33% Draws 29%
44% Losses 47%
72% Over 0.5 goals 88%
22% Over 1.5 goals 53%
6% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Accrington all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:12
Accrington before this match, away
0.89points / match
1.11scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:17
Burton at home away Accrington

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.11
1.33 Goals conceded 1.89
2.67 Total goals 3.00
14.11 Shots 14.56
4.11 Shots on target 4.22
12.78 Shots faced 14.89
5.89 Corners 4.89
6.33 Corners against 5.56
12.00 Fouls 13.22
2.11 Yellow cards 2.33
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

44% Wins 22%
22% Draws 22%
33% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
56% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 22%
78% Both teams scored 56%
11% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 11%
22% Draws 56%
56% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Accrington away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.11.21 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.704.50 1.88 1.98
13.11.21 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.98 1.88
30.10.21 Wigan – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.605.00 2.05 1.75
23.10.21 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
19.10.21 Fleetwood Town – Burton 0–1 (0–1) 2.373.303.00 2.15 1.66
15.10.21 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85
09.10.21 Plymouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.85
02.10.21 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.25 1.95 1.85
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.11.21 Accrington – Sheffield Weds 2–3 (1–3) 3.303.402.20 1.98 1.88
13.11.21 Accrington – Plymouth 1–4 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.72 2.07
30.10.21 Gillingham – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.502.87 2.00 1.80
23.10.21 Accrington – Portsmouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.302.45 2.05 1.75
19.10.21 Charlton – Accrington 2–3 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Cheltenham – Accrington 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.80 2.05 1.75
02.10.21 Accrington – Ipswich 2–1 (0–1) 3.103.252.37 1.90 1.90
28.09.21 Oxford – Accrington 5–1 (2–0) 1.723.904.50 1.70 2.10
25.09.21 Morecambe – Accrington 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 2.05 1.75
18.09.21 Accrington – Wigan 1–4 (0–2) 2.803.502.45 2.00 1.80

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.21 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.98 1.88
23.10.21 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
15.10.21 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Burton – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.70
27.08.21 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66
17.08.21 Burton – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.70
14.08.21 Burton – Ipswich 2–1 (1–1) 2.873.252.50 2.15 1.66

Accrington away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.21 Gillingham – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.502.87 2.00 1.80
19.10.21 Charlton – Accrington 2–3 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Cheltenham – Accrington 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.80 2.05 1.75
28.09.21 Oxford – Accrington 5–1 (2–0) 1.723.904.50 1.70 2.10
25.09.21 Morecambe – Accrington 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Sunderland – Accrington 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
28.08.21 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.75 2.05
21.08.21 Crewe – Accrington 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.95 1.85
07.08.21 Wycombe – Accrington 2–1 (2–0) 1.903.604.00 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 18 10 6 2 32 17 +15 36
2 Rotherham 17 10 4 3 32 13 +19 34
3 Wigan 16 11 1 4 30 13 +17 34
4 Wycombe 18 10 4 4 27 21 +6 34
5 Milton Keynes Dons 17 9 4 4 32 22 +10 31
6 Sunderland 16 10 1 5 27 21 +6 31
7 Sheffield Weds 18 7 8 3 24 18 +6 29
8 Oxford 16 8 4 4 26 17 +9 28
9 Portsmouth 18 7 5 6 22 22 0 26
10 Ipswich 18 6 6 6 34 27 +7 24
11 Cheltenham 17 6 5 6 22 28 -6 23
12 Charlton 18 6 4 8 24 24 0 22
13 Bolton 18 6 4 8 24 27 -3 22
14 Cambridge 18 5 7 6 24 31 -7 22
15 Burton 18 6 4 8 16 23 -7 22
16 Lincoln 17 5 6 6 20 20 0 21
17 Accrington 17 6 3 8 22 32 -10 21
18 Morecambe 17 5 3 9 27 31 -4 18
19 AFC Wimbledon 16 4 5 7 21 26 -5 17
20 Gillingham 18 3 8 7 16 24 -8 17
21 Shrewsbury 17 4 3 10 16 24 -8 15
22 Fleetwood Town 16 3 5 8 27 29 -2 14
23 Doncaster 17 3 4 10 11 29 -18 13
24 Crewe 18 2 6 10 14 31 -17 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 8 7 0 1 16 4 +12 21
2 Plymouth 9 6 3 0 16 6 +10 21
3 Wycombe 9 7 0 2 15 11 +4 21
4 Rotherham 10 6 2 2 22 10 +12 20
5 Oxford 9 6 2 1 18 8 +10 20
6 Milton Keynes Dons 9 6 1 2 15 10 +5 19
7 Portsmouth 9 5 2 2 14 10 +4 17
8 Cheltenham 9 5 2 2 13 11 +2 17
9 Wigan 9 5 1 3 12 8 +4 16
10 Sheffield Weds 8 4 3 1 11 5 +6 15
11 Ipswich 9 3 5 1 19 14 +5 14
12 Burton 9 4 2 3 12 12 0 14
13 Shrewsbury 8 4 1 3 11 10 +1 13
14 Cambridge 9 3 4 2 12 13 -1 13
15 Accrington 8 4 1 3 12 15 -3 13
16 Charlton 10 3 3 4 15 14 +1 12
17 Doncaster 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
18 Bolton 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
19 Morecambe 8 3 2 3 12 11 +1 11
20 Lincoln 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
21 Gillingham 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
22 Crewe 9 2 3 4 10 16 -6 9
23 Fleetwood Town 9 2 2 5 15 16 -1 8
24 AFC Wimbledon 7 1 4 2 10 11 -1 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 7 6 0 1 18 5 +13 18
2 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 11 +5 15
3 Rotherham 7 4 2 1 10 3 +7 14
4 Sheffield Weds 10 3 5 2 13 13 0 14
5 Wycombe 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
6 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 3 2 17 12 +5 12
7 Lincoln 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
8 Ipswich 9 3 1 5 15 13 +2 10
9 Bolton 10 3 1 6 13 14 -1 10
10 Charlton 8 3 1 4 9 10 -1 10
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 1 5 11 15 -4 10
12 Sunderland 8 3 1 4 11 17 -6 10
13 Portsmouth 9 2 3 4 8 12 -4 9
14 Cambridge 9 2 3 4 12 18 -6 9
15 Oxford 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
16 Gillingham 10 1 5 4 9 13 -4 8
17 Accrington 9 2 2 5 10 17 -7 8
18 Burton 9 2 2 5 4 11 -7 8
19 Morecambe 9 2 1 6 15 20 -5 7
20 Fleetwood Town 7 1 3 3 12 13 -1 6
21 Cheltenham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6
22 Crewe 9 0 3 6 4 15 -11 3
23 Shrewsbury 9 0 2 7 5 14 -9 2
24 Doncaster 9 0 1 8 3 21 -18 1

Burton   Accrington

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Ipswich 18 4 14 1.9 1.5 6 6 6 34 27 24
2 22 Fleetwood Town 16 4 12 1.7 1.8 3 5 8 27 29 14
3 5 Milton Keynes Dons 17 6 11 1.9 1.3 9 4 4 32 22 31
4 6 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.7 1.3 10 1 5 27 21 31
5 17 Accrington 17 6 11 1.3 1.9 6 3 8 22 32 21
6 1 Plymouth 18 8 10 1.8 0.9 10 6 2 32 17 36
7 12 Charlton 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 6 4 8 24 24 22
8 14 Cambridge 18 8 10 1.3 1.7 5 7 6 24 31 22
9 18 Morecambe 17 7 10 1.6 1.8 5 3 9 27 31 18
10 4 Wycombe 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 10 4 4 27 21 34
11 8 Oxford 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 4 4 26 17 28
12 9 Portsmouth 18 9 9 1.2 1.2 7 5 6 22 22 26
13 11 Cheltenham 17 8 9 1.3 1.6 6 5 6 22 28 23
14 13 Bolton 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 24 27 22
15 19 AFC Wimbledon 16 7 9 1.3 1.6 4 5 7 21 26 17
16 3 Wigan 16 8 8 1.9 0.8 11 1 4 30 13 34
17 21 Shrewsbury 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 4 3 10 16 24 15
18 7 Sheffield Weds 18 11 7 1.3 1.0 7 8 3 24 18 29
19 15 Burton 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 6 4 8 16 23 22
20 16 Lincoln 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 5 6 6 20 20 21
21 23 Doncaster 17 10 7 0.6 1.7 3 4 10 11 29 13
22 2 Rotherham 17 11 6 1.9 0.8 10 4 3 32 13 34
23 24 Crewe 18 12 6 0.8 1.7 2 6 10 14 31 12
24 20 Gillingham 18 13 5 0.9 1.3 3 8 7 16 24 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Ipswich 9 2 7 2.1 1.6 3 5 1 19 14 14
2 22 Fleetwood Town 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 2 2 5 15 16 8
3 17 Accrington 8 2 6 1.5 1.9 4 1 3 12 15 13
4 1 Plymouth 9 4 5 1.8 0.7 6 3 0 16 6 21
5 2 Rotherham 10 5 5 2.2 1.0 6 2 2 22 10 20
6 4 Wycombe 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 7 0 2 15 11 21
7 5 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 6 1 2 15 10 19
8 8 Oxford 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 6 2 1 18 8 20
9 9 Portsmouth 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 5 2 2 14 10 17
10 11 Cheltenham 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 5 2 2 13 11 17
11 12 Charlton 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 4 15 14 12
12 13 Bolton 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
13 15 Burton 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 4 2 3 12 12 14
14 21 Shrewsbury 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 4 1 3 11 10 13
15 3 Wigan 9 5 4 1.3 0.9 5 1 3 12 8 16
16 6 Sunderland 8 4 4 2.0 0.5 7 0 1 16 4 21
17 14 Cambridge 9 5 4 1.3 1.4 3 4 2 12 13 13
18 24 Crewe 9 5 4 1.1 1.8 2 3 4 10 16 9
19 16 Lincoln 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
20 19 AFC Wimbledon 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 1 4 2 10 11 7
21 20 Gillingham 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9
22 23 Doncaster 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 2 8 8 12
23 7 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 4 3 1 11 5 15
24 18 Morecambe 8 6 2 1.5 1.4 3 2 3 12 11 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Morecambe 9 1 8 1.7 2.2 2 1 6 15 20 7
2 6 Sunderland 8 1 7 1.4 2.1 3 1 4 11 17 10
3 10 Ipswich 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 3 1 5 15 13 10
4 5 Milton Keynes Dons 8 2 6 2.1 1.5 3 3 2 17 12 12
5 14 Cambridge 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 2 3 4 12 18 9
6 19 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 6 1.2 1.7 3 1 5 11 15 10
7 1 Plymouth 9 4 5 1.8 1.2 4 3 2 16 11 15
8 7 Sheffield Weds 10 5 5 1.3 1.3 3 5 2 13 13 14
9 12 Charlton 8 3 5 1.1 1.2 3 1 4 9 10 10
10 17 Accrington 9 4 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 5 10 17 8
11 22 Fleetwood Town 7 2 5 1.7 1.9 1 3 3 12 13 6
12 3 Wigan 7 3 4 2.6 0.7 6 0 1 18 5 18
13 4 Wycombe 9 5 4 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
14 8 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
15 9 Portsmouth 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 3 4 8 12 9
16 11 Cheltenham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6
17 13 Bolton 10 6 4 1.3 1.4 3 1 6 13 14 10
18 16 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
19 23 Doncaster 9 5 4 0.3 2.3 0 1 8 3 21 1
20 21 Shrewsbury 9 6 3 0.6 1.6 0 2 7 5 14 2
21 15 Burton 9 7 2 0.4 1.2 2 2 5 4 11 8
22 20 Gillingham 10 8 2 0.9 1.3 1 5 4 9 13 8
23 24 Crewe 9 7 2 0.4 1.7 0 3 6 4 15 3
24 2 Rotherham 7 6 1 1.4 0.4 4 2 1 10 3 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51