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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Purkiss

Oxford 4–1 Burton

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 1.75
Draw 4.00 fair 4.64
Away 4.75 fair 4.69
Under 2.5 2.07 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Burton
24 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 7
10 Corners 7
7 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (413 league matches this season so far).
Result Oxford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.72points / match
1.86scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 67:46
Burton before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.22scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 44:52
Oxford all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.22
1.28 Goals conceded 1.44
3.14 Total goals 2.67
14.22 Shots 13.03
4.92 Shots on target 4.14
10.50 Shots faced 13.58
6.25 Corners 5.56
4.28 Corners against 6.17
10.75 Fouls 12.14
1.67 Yellow cards 1.81
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
22% Draws 22%
28% Losses 44%
92% Over 0.5 goals 97%
83% Over 1.5 goals 81%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
42% Over 3.5 goals 25%
22% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 3%
67% Both teams scored 58%
22% Clean sheets 17%
19% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 19%
42% Draws 36%
19% Losses 44%
81% Over 0.5 goals 72%
53% Over 1.5 goals 33%
19% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Burton all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
2.06points / match
2.17scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 39:22
Burton before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.89scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:30
Oxford at home away Burton

Per match

2.17 Goals scored 0.89
1.22 Goals conceded 1.67
3.39 Total goals 2.56
15.06 Shots 11.50
5.28 Shots on target 3.56
9.94 Shots faced 15.50
6.89 Corners 4.61
4.11 Corners against 7.11
10.06 Fouls 12.78
1.61 Yellow cards 2.00
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

61% Wins 22%
22% Draws 22%
17% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 94%
83% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
56% Over 3.5 goals 17%
33% Over 4.5 goals 6%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
72% Both teams scored 56%
28% Clean sheets 17%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 11%
50% Draws 39%
11% Losses 50%
78% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 28%
28% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.22 Portsmouth – Oxford 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.402.87 1.95 1.90
26.02.22 Oxford – Cambridge 4–2 (1–1) 1.614.005.50 1.70 2.10
22.02.22 Crewe – Oxford 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.65 1.66 2.15
19.02.22 Charlton – Oxford 0–4 (0–2) 2.553.252.80 1.90 1.95
12.02.22 Oxford – Bolton 2–3 (2–2) 1.903.404.00 1.75 2.05
08.02.22 Accrington – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.602.37 1.80 2.05
05.02.22 Oxford – Portsmouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.05 1.75
01.02.22 Wigan – Oxford 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.603.60 1.75 2.05
29.01.22 Gillingham – Oxford 2–7 (0–3) 4.753.751.75 1.95 1.90
22.01.22 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (1–1) 2.303.303.25 1.93 1.93

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
26.02.22 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.25 1.61
22.02.22 Sunderland – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.95 1.90
19.02.22 Ipswich – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
15.02.22 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
12.02.22 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.80 1.95 1.90
08.02.22 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.903.404.33 2.05 1.75
05.02.22 Burton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 2.20 1.65
29.01.22 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.01.22 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.80 2.05

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Oxford – Cambridge 4–2 (1–1) 1.614.005.50 1.70 2.10
12.02.22 Oxford – Bolton 2–3 (2–2) 1.903.404.00 1.75 2.05
05.02.22 Oxford – Portsmouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.05 1.75
22.01.22 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 3–2 (1–1) 2.303.303.25 1.93 1.93
01.01.22 Oxford – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–0) 1.613.755.75 1.73 2.15
29.12.21 Oxford – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.804.75 1.80 2.00
18.12.21 Oxford – Wigan 2–3 (1–2) 2.403.303.00 1.95 1.90
27.11.21 Oxford – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
23.11.21 Oxford – Fleetwood Town 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.75 2.13
30.10.21 Oxford – Morecambe 3–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.72 2.07

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
22.02.22 Sunderland – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.95 1.90
19.02.22 Ipswich – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
08.02.22 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.903.404.33 2.05 1.75
29.01.22 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
15.01.22 Gillingham – Burton 1–3 (1–0) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
08.01.22 Cheltenham – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.252.90 2.15 1.66
11.12.21 Rotherham – Burton 3–1 (1–1) 1.454.756.50 1.85 2.00
07.12.21 Wycombe – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.604.00 1.80 2.05
20.11.21 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.704.50 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsBurton wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.21E2 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 35 23 7 5 61 19 +42 76
2 Wigan 33 21 6 6 58 32 +26 69
3 Milton Keynes Dons 35 19 9 7 57 35 +22 66
4 Oxford 36 18 8 10 67 46 +21 62
5 Sheffield Weds 34 17 10 7 52 37 +15 61
6 Sunderland 35 17 8 10 61 47 +14 59
7 Wycombe 35 16 10 9 58 46 +12 58
8 Plymouth 33 16 8 9 54 39 +15 56
9 Ipswich 35 14 11 10 53 39 +14 53
10 Portsmouth 33 14 9 10 46 37 +9 51
11 Bolton 35 15 6 14 55 47 +8 51
12 Accrington 34 13 7 14 44 53 -9 46
13 Cambridge 35 11 11 13 46 52 -6 44
14 Burton 36 12 8 16 44 52 -8 44
15 Cheltenham 34 9 14 11 44 56 -12 41
16 Charlton 34 11 6 17 41 47 -6 39
17 Shrewsbury 35 9 11 15 31 35 -4 38
18 Lincoln 33 9 8 16 37 46 -9 35
19 Fleetwood Town 33 7 12 14 47 58 -11 33
20 AFC Wimbledon 34 6 15 13 39 53 -14 33
21 Morecambe 34 7 10 17 44 64 -20 31
22 Gillingham 35 6 12 17 28 55 -27 30
23 Doncaster 36 8 5 23 28 68 -40 29
24 Crewe 34 6 7 21 28 60 -32 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 17 12 3 2 37 14 +23 39
2 Oxford 18 11 4 3 39 22 +17 37
3 Sheffield Weds 17 11 4 2 30 14 +16 37
4 Sunderland 17 11 2 4 34 14 +20 35
5 Bolton 17 10 4 3 35 19 +16 34
6 Wycombe 18 10 4 4 33 26 +7 34
7 Accrington 18 10 4 4 32 25 +7 34
8 Wigan 17 10 3 4 25 17 +8 33
9 Portsmouth 17 9 4 4 30 20 +10 31
10 Ipswich 17 8 7 2 29 19 +10 31
11 Milton Keynes Dons 17 9 4 4 22 15 +7 31
12 Burton 18 8 4 6 28 22 +6 28
13 Plymouth 15 8 3 4 20 14 +6 27
14 Cambridge 17 7 6 4 23 19 +4 27
15 Cheltenham 18 7 6 5 22 25 -3 27
16 Shrewsbury 17 7 5 5 19 16 +3 26
17 Charlton 17 7 3 7 24 23 +1 24
18 Morecambe 18 5 7 6 26 29 -3 22
19 Fleetwood Town 16 5 5 6 26 25 +1 20
20 Doncaster 18 5 3 10 15 28 -13 18
21 AFC Wimbledon 17 2 11 4 21 24 -3 17
22 Gillingham 18 4 5 9 12 30 -18 17
23 Lincoln 18 4 4 10 16 24 -8 16
24 Crewe 16 4 4 8 15 26 -11 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 18 11 4 3 24 5 +19 37
2 Wigan 16 11 3 2 33 15 +18 36
3 Milton Keynes Dons 18 10 5 3 35 20 +15 35
4 Plymouth 18 8 5 5 34 25 +9 29
5 Oxford 18 7 4 7 28 24 +4 25
6 Wycombe 17 6 6 5 25 20 +5 24
7 Sheffield Weds 17 6 6 5 22 23 -1 24
8 Sunderland 18 6 6 6 27 33 -6 24
9 Ipswich 18 6 4 8 24 20 +4 22
10 Portsmouth 16 5 5 6 16 17 -1 20
11 Lincoln 15 5 4 6 21 22 -1 19
12 Bolton 18 5 2 11 20 28 -8 17
13 Cambridge 18 4 5 9 23 33 -10 17
14 AFC Wimbledon 17 4 4 9 18 29 -11 16
15 Burton 18 4 4 10 16 30 -14 16
16 Charlton 17 4 3 10 17 24 -7 15
17 Cheltenham 16 2 8 6 22 31 -9 14
18 Gillingham 17 2 7 8 16 25 -9 13
19 Fleetwood Town 17 2 7 8 21 33 -12 13
20 Shrewsbury 18 2 6 10 12 19 -7 12
21 Accrington 16 3 3 10 12 28 -16 12
22 Doncaster 18 3 2 13 13 40 -27 11
23 Morecambe 16 2 3 11 18 35 -17 9
24 Crewe 18 2 3 13 13 34 -21 9

Oxford   Burton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Sunderland 35 12 23 1.7 1.3 17 8 10 61 47 59
2 4 Oxford 36 15 21 1.9 1.3 18 8 10 67 46 62
3 19 Fleetwood Town 33 13 20 1.4 1.8 7 12 14 47 58 33
4 7 Wycombe 35 16 19 1.7 1.3 16 10 9 58 46 58
5 11 Bolton 35 16 19 1.6 1.3 15 6 14 55 47 51
6 21 Morecambe 34 15 19 1.3 1.9 7 10 17 44 64 31
7 23 Doncaster 36 17 19 0.8 1.9 8 5 23 28 68 29
8 2 Wigan 33 15 18 1.8 1.0 21 6 6 58 32 69
9 3 Milton Keynes Dons 35 17 18 1.6 1.0 19 9 7 57 35 66
10 8 Plymouth 33 15 18 1.6 1.2 16 8 9 54 39 56
11 9 Ipswich 35 17 18 1.5 1.1 14 11 10 53 39 53
12 10 Portsmouth 33 15 18 1.4 1.1 14 9 10 46 37 51
13 14 Burton 36 18 18 1.2 1.4 12 8 16 44 52 44
14 12 Accrington 34 17 17 1.3 1.6 13 7 14 44 53 46
15 13 Cambridge 35 18 17 1.3 1.5 11 11 13 46 52 44
16 15 Cheltenham 34 17 17 1.3 1.6 9 14 11 44 56 41
17 16 Charlton 34 17 17 1.2 1.4 11 6 17 41 47 39
18 20 AFC Wimbledon 34 17 17 1.1 1.6 6 15 13 39 53 33
19 18 Lincoln 33 17 16 1.1 1.4 9 8 16 37 46 35
20 5 Sheffield Weds 34 20 14 1.5 1.1 17 10 7 52 37 61
21 24 Crewe 34 20 14 0.8 1.8 6 7 21 28 60 25
22 17 Shrewsbury 35 23 12 0.9 1.0 9 11 15 31 35 38
23 22 Gillingham 35 24 11 0.8 1.6 6 12 17 28 55 30
24 1 Rotherham 35 25 10 1.7 0.5 23 7 5 61 19 76
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Oxford 18 6 12 2.2 1.2 11 4 3 39 22 37
2 7 Wycombe 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 10 4 4 33 26 34
3 10 Portsmouth 17 6 11 1.8 1.2 9 4 4 30 20 31
4 11 Bolton 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 10 4 3 35 19 34
5 19 Fleetwood Town 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 26 25 20
6 6 Sunderland 17 7 10 2.0 0.8 11 2 4 34 14 35
7 9 Ipswich 17 7 10 1.7 1.1 8 7 2 29 19 31
8 12 Accrington 18 8 10 1.8 1.4 10 4 4 32 25 34
9 14 Burton 18 9 9 1.6 1.2 8 4 6 28 22 28
10 15 Cheltenham 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 7 6 5 22 25 27
11 23 Doncaster 18 9 9 0.8 1.6 5 3 10 15 28 18
12 1 Rotherham 17 9 8 2.2 0.8 12 3 2 37 14 39
13 2 Wigan 17 9 8 1.5 1.0 10 3 4 25 17 33
14 8 Plymouth 15 7 8 1.3 0.9 8 3 4 20 14 27
15 21 Morecambe 18 10 8 1.4 1.6 5 7 6 26 29 22
16 3 Milton Keynes Dons 17 10 7 1.3 0.9 9 4 4 22 15 31
17 13 Cambridge 17 10 7 1.4 1.1 7 6 4 23 19 27
18 16 Charlton 17 10 7 1.4 1.4 7 3 7 24 23 24
19 17 Shrewsbury 17 10 7 1.1 0.9 7 5 5 19 16 26
20 18 Lincoln 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 4 4 10 16 24 16
21 20 AFC Wimbledon 17 10 7 1.2 1.4 2 11 4 21 24 17
22 5 Sheffield Weds 17 11 6 1.8 0.8 11 4 2 30 14 37
23 22 Gillingham 18 12 6 0.7 1.7 4 5 9 12 30 17
24 24 Crewe 16 10 6 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 15 26 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Sunderland 18 5 13 1.5 1.8 6 6 6 27 33 24
2 3 Milton Keynes Dons 18 7 11 1.9 1.1 10 5 3 35 20 35
3 21 Morecambe 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 3 11 18 35 9
4 2 Wigan 16 6 10 2.1 0.9 11 3 2 33 15 36
5 8 Plymouth 18 8 10 1.9 1.4 8 5 5 34 25 29
6 13 Cambridge 18 8 10 1.3 1.8 4 5 9 23 33 17
7 16 Charlton 17 7 10 1.0 1.4 4 3 10 17 24 15
8 20 AFC Wimbledon 17 7 10 1.1 1.7 4 4 9 18 29 16
9 23 Doncaster 18 8 10 0.7 2.2 3 2 13 13 40 11
10 4 Oxford 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 7 4 7 28 24 25
11 14 Burton 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 10 16 30 16
12 18 Lincoln 15 6 9 1.4 1.5 5 4 6 21 22 19
13 19 Fleetwood Town 17 8 9 1.2 1.9 2 7 8 21 33 13
14 5 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 5 22 23 24
15 7 Wycombe 17 9 8 1.5 1.2 6 6 5 25 20 24
16 9 Ipswich 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 6 4 8 24 20 22
17 11 Bolton 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 5 2 11 20 28 17
18 15 Cheltenham 16 8 8 1.4 1.9 2 8 6 22 31 14
19 24 Crewe 18 10 8 0.7 1.9 2 3 13 13 34 9
20 10 Portsmouth 16 9 7 1.0 1.1 5 5 6 16 17 20
21 12 Accrington 16 9 7 0.8 1.8 3 3 10 12 28 12
22 17 Shrewsbury 18 13 5 0.7 1.1 2 6 10 12 19 12
23 22 Gillingham 17 12 5 0.9 1.5 2 7 8 16 25 13
24 1 Rotherham 18 16 2 1.3 0.3 11 4 3 24 5 37

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51