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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Oldham

Burton 3–1 Bolton

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.60 fair 2.41
Draw 3.50 fair 3.96
Away 2.60 fair 3.01
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Bolton
10 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
8 Corners 4
14 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (373 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBolton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.2% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.23scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 38:40
Bolton before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.52scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 47:41
Burton all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.52
1.29 Goals conceded 1.32
2.52 Total goals 2.84
13.35 Shots 13.13
4.16 Shots on target 4.10
13.13 Shots faced 11.77
5.39 Corners 5.26
6.19 Corners against 4.52
12.16 Fouls 10.42
1.87 Yellow cards 1.42
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

35% Wins 42%
23% Draws 19%
42% Losses 39%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
77% Over 1.5 goals 71%
48% Over 2.5 goals 52%
23% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
58% Both teams scored 39%
19% Clean sheets 26%
26% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 23%
39% Draws 45%
42% Losses 32%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
32% Over 1.5 goals 45%
6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Bolton all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.56scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:19
Bolton before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.19scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:23
Burton at home away Bolton

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.19
1.19 Goals conceded 1.44
2.75 Total goals 2.63
15.00 Shots 11.00
4.88 Shots on target 3.38
11.56 Shots faced 13.25
6.13 Corners 4.06
5.38 Corners against 5.00
11.19 Fouls 11.50
1.75 Yellow cards 1.44
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

44% Wins 31%
25% Draws 13%
31% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 44%
31% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 38%
19% Clean sheets 13%
19% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%
38% Draws 56%
38% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Bolton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.80 1.95 1.90
08.02.22 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.903.404.33 2.05 1.75
05.02.22 Burton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 2.20 1.65
29.01.22 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.01.22 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.80 2.05
22.01.22 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.85 2.00
15.01.22 Gillingham – Burton 1–3 (1–0) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
08.01.22 Cheltenham – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.252.90 2.15 1.66
01.01.22 Burton – Crewe 4–1 (3–1) 1.723.605.00 2.00 1.80
11.12.21 Rotherham – Burton 3–1 (1–1) 1.454.756.50 1.85 2.00

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Oxford – Bolton 2–3 (2–2) 1.903.404.00 1.75 2.05
08.02.22 Bolton – Charlton 2–1 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.02 1.83
05.02.22 Morecambe – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 2.13 1.75
01.02.22 Bolton – Cambridge 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.93 1.93
29.01.22 Bolton – Sunderland 6–0 (2–0) 3.803.502.00 1.88 1.98
22.01.22 Shrewsbury – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.07 1.72
15.01.22 Bolton – Ipswich 2–0 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
11.01.22 Bolton – Wycombe 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.402.62 1.83 2.02
01.01.22 Rotherham – Bolton 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.337.00 1.66 2.15
11.12.21 Accrington – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.502.37 1.85 2.00

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.80 1.95 1.90
05.02.22 Burton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 2.20 1.65
25.01.22 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.80 2.05
22.01.22 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.85 2.00
01.01.22 Burton – Crewe 4–1 (3–1) 1.723.605.00 2.00 1.80
27.11.21 Burton – Doncaster 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.98 1.88
23.11.21 Burton – Accrington 4–0 (2–0) 2.103.503.50 1.95 1.90
13.11.21 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.98 1.88
23.10.21 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80
15.10.21 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85

Bolton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Oxford – Bolton 2–3 (2–2) 1.903.404.00 1.75 2.05
05.02.22 Morecambe – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 2.13 1.75
22.01.22 Shrewsbury – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.07 1.72
01.01.22 Rotherham – Bolton 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.337.00 1.66 2.15
11.12.21 Accrington – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.502.37 1.85 2.00
07.12.21 Fleetwood Town – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 3.403.402.15 1.80 2.00
20.11.21 Wycombe – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.98 1.88
30.10.21 Portsmouth – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
19.10.21 Plymouth – Bolton 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.80 2.00
09.10.21 Sheffield Weds – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBolton wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 31 21 5 5 57 18 +39 68
2 Wigan 28 18 5 5 50 27 +23 59
3 Milton Keynes Dons 32 16 9 7 51 34 +17 57
4 Sunderland 32 16 7 9 56 44 +12 55
5 Wycombe 31 15 9 7 47 35 +12 54
6 Plymouth 30 15 8 7 52 36 +16 53
7 Oxford 32 15 8 9 56 41 +15 53
8 Sheffield Weds 31 14 10 7 42 34 +8 52
9 Ipswich 32 13 9 10 49 38 +11 48
10 Bolton 31 13 6 12 47 41 +6 45
11 Portsmouth 30 12 8 10 38 31 +7 44
12 Accrington 31 12 7 12 41 47 -6 43
13 Burton 31 11 7 13 38 40 -2 40
14 Charlton 31 11 6 14 41 39 +2 39
15 Cheltenham 31 9 12 10 38 49 -11 39
16 Cambridge 31 9 11 11 40 45 -5 38
17 Lincoln 30 9 8 13 36 40 -4 35
18 Shrewsbury 32 8 10 14 28 33 -5 34
19 Fleetwood Town 31 7 11 13 44 53 -9 32
20 AFC Wimbledon 31 6 13 12 37 47 -10 31
21 Morecambe 32 7 9 16 43 61 -18 30
22 Gillingham 32 5 11 16 26 53 -27 26
23 Crewe 31 5 7 19 26 56 -30 22
24 Doncaster 32 6 4 22 22 63 -41 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 15 11 2 2 34 13 +21 35
2 Sunderland 15 11 1 3 32 11 +21 34
3 Oxford 17 10 4 3 35 20 +15 34
4 Sheffield Weds 15 9 4 2 23 12 +11 31
5 Accrington 17 9 4 4 29 23 +6 31
6 Wycombe 15 9 3 3 24 18 +6 30
7 Bolton 15 8 4 3 28 18 +10 28
8 Milton Keynes Dons 16 8 4 4 20 15 +5 28
9 Portsmouth 15 8 3 4 24 15 +9 27
10 Ipswich 15 7 6 2 26 19 +7 27
11 Wigan 14 8 3 3 21 14 +7 27
12 Plymouth 14 8 3 3 20 13 +7 27
13 Cheltenham 17 7 6 4 21 23 -2 27
14 Burton 16 7 4 5 25 19 +6 25
15 Shrewsbury 15 7 4 4 18 14 +4 25
16 Charlton 15 7 3 5 24 17 +7 24
17 Cambridge 15 5 6 4 19 19 0 21
18 Morecambe 17 5 6 6 25 28 -3 21
19 Fleetwood Town 16 5 5 6 26 25 +1 20
20 AFC Wimbledon 16 2 10 4 19 22 -3 16
21 Lincoln 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
22 Crewe 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10 16
23 Gillingham 16 4 4 8 12 28 -16 16
24 Doncaster 16 4 3 9 12 25 -13 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 16 10 3 3 23 5 +18 33
2 Wigan 14 10 2 2 29 13 +16 32
3 Milton Keynes Dons 16 8 5 3 31 19 +12 29
4 Plymouth 16 7 5 4 32 23 +9 26
5 Wycombe 16 6 6 4 23 17 +6 24
6 Ipswich 17 6 3 8 23 19 +4 21
7 Sheffield Weds 16 5 6 5 19 22 -3 21
8 Sunderland 17 5 6 6 24 33 -9 21
9 Lincoln 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19
10 Oxford 15 5 4 6 21 21 0 19
11 Portsmouth 15 4 5 6 14 16 -2 17
12 Bolton 16 5 2 9 19 23 -4 17
13 Cambridge 16 4 5 7 21 26 -5 17
14 Charlton 16 4 3 9 17 22 -5 15
15 AFC Wimbledon 15 4 3 8 18 25 -7 15
16 Burton 15 4 3 8 13 21 -8 15
17 Cheltenham 14 2 6 6 17 26 -9 12
18 Fleetwood Town 15 2 6 7 18 28 -10 12
19 Accrington 14 3 3 8 12 24 -12 12
20 Gillingham 16 1 7 8 14 25 -11 10
21 Shrewsbury 17 1 6 10 10 19 -9 9
22 Morecambe 15 2 3 10 18 33 -15 9
23 Doncaster 16 2 1 13 10 38 -28 7
24 Crewe 16 1 3 12 11 31 -20 6

Burton   Bolton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 32 11 21 1.8 1.4 16 7 9 56 44 55
2 19 Fleetwood Town 31 12 19 1.4 1.7 7 11 13 44 53 32
3 21 Morecambe 32 13 19 1.3 1.9 7 9 16 43 61 30
4 6 Plymouth 30 12 18 1.7 1.2 15 8 7 52 36 53
5 7 Oxford 32 14 18 1.8 1.3 15 8 9 56 41 53
6 3 Milton Keynes Dons 32 15 17 1.6 1.1 16 9 7 51 34 57
7 9 Ipswich 32 15 17 1.5 1.2 13 9 10 49 38 48
8 24 Doncaster 32 15 17 0.7 2.0 6 4 22 22 63 22
9 2 Wigan 28 12 16 1.8 1.0 18 5 5 50 27 59
10 10 Bolton 31 15 16 1.5 1.3 13 6 12 47 41 45
11 12 Accrington 31 15 16 1.3 1.5 12 7 12 41 47 43
12 14 Charlton 31 15 16 1.3 1.3 11 6 14 41 39 39
13 5 Wycombe 31 16 15 1.5 1.1 15 9 7 47 35 54
14 11 Portsmouth 30 15 15 1.3 1.0 12 8 10 38 31 44
15 13 Burton 31 16 15 1.2 1.3 11 7 13 38 40 40
16 15 Cheltenham 31 16 15 1.2 1.6 9 12 10 38 49 39
17 16 Cambridge 31 16 15 1.3 1.5 9 11 11 40 45 38
18 17 Lincoln 30 15 15 1.2 1.3 9 8 13 36 40 35
19 20 AFC Wimbledon 31 16 15 1.2 1.5 6 13 12 37 47 31
20 23 Crewe 31 18 13 0.8 1.8 5 7 19 26 56 22
21 8 Sheffield Weds 31 19 12 1.4 1.1 14 10 7 42 34 52
22 18 Shrewsbury 32 21 11 0.9 1.0 8 10 14 28 33 34
23 22 Gillingham 32 21 11 0.8 1.7 5 11 16 26 53 26
24 1 Rotherham 31 21 10 1.8 0.6 21 5 5 57 18 68
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 17 6 11 2.1 1.2 10 4 3 35 20 34
2 19 Fleetwood Town 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 26 25 20
3 4 Sunderland 15 6 9 2.1 0.7 11 1 3 32 11 34
4 9 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 7 6 2 26 19 27
5 10 Bolton 15 6 9 1.9 1.2 8 4 3 28 18 28
6 11 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.6 1.0 8 3 4 24 15 27
7 12 Accrington 17 8 9 1.7 1.4 9 4 4 29 23 31
8 1 Rotherham 15 7 8 2.3 0.9 11 2 2 34 13 35
9 5 Wycombe 15 7 8 1.6 1.2 9 3 3 24 18 30
10 6 Plymouth 14 6 8 1.4 0.9 8 3 3 20 13 27
11 13 Burton 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 4 5 25 19 25
12 15 Cheltenham 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 7 6 4 21 23 27
13 21 Morecambe 17 9 8 1.5 1.6 5 6 6 25 28 21
14 24 Doncaster 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 4 3 9 12 25 15
15 2 Wigan 14 7 7 1.5 1.0 8 3 3 21 14 27
16 3 Milton Keynes Dons 16 9 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 20 15 28
17 16 Cambridge 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 19 19 21
18 17 Lincoln 16 9 7 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
19 14 Charlton 15 9 6 1.6 1.1 7 3 5 24 17 24
20 18 Shrewsbury 15 9 6 1.2 0.9 7 4 4 18 14 25
21 20 AFC Wimbledon 16 10 6 1.2 1.4 2 10 4 19 22 16
22 22 Gillingham 16 10 6 0.8 1.8 4 4 8 12 28 16
23 23 Crewe 15 9 6 1.0 1.7 4 4 7 15 25 16
24 8 Sheffield Weds 15 10 5 1.5 0.8 9 4 2 23 12 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 17 5 12 1.4 1.9 5 6 6 24 33 21
2 21 Morecambe 15 4 11 1.2 2.2 2 3 10 18 33 9
3 3 Milton Keynes Dons 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 8 5 3 31 19 29
4 6 Plymouth 16 6 10 2.0 1.4 7 5 4 32 23 26
5 14 Charlton 16 6 10 1.1 1.4 4 3 9 17 22 15
6 2 Wigan 14 5 9 2.1 0.9 10 2 2 29 13 32
7 20 AFC Wimbledon 15 6 9 1.2 1.7 4 3 8 18 25 15
8 24 Doncaster 16 7 9 0.6 2.4 2 1 13 10 38 7
9 9 Ipswich 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 6 3 8 23 19 21
10 16 Cambridge 16 8 8 1.3 1.6 4 5 7 21 26 17
11 17 Lincoln 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19
12 19 Fleetwood Town 15 7 8 1.2 1.9 2 6 7 18 28 12
13 5 Wycombe 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 6 4 23 17 24
14 7 Oxford 15 8 7 1.4 1.4 5 4 6 21 21 19
15 8 Sheffield Weds 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 5 6 5 19 22 21
16 10 Bolton 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 5 2 9 19 23 17
17 12 Accrington 14 7 7 0.9 1.7 3 3 8 12 24 12
18 13 Burton 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 4 3 8 13 21 15
19 15 Cheltenham 14 7 7 1.2 1.9 2 6 6 17 26 12
20 23 Crewe 16 9 7 0.7 1.9 1 3 12 11 31 6
21 11 Portsmouth 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 4 5 6 14 16 17
22 18 Shrewsbury 17 12 5 0.6 1.1 1 6 10 10 19 9
23 22 Gillingham 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 1 7 8 14 25 10
24 1 Rotherham 16 14 2 1.4 0.3 10 3 3 23 5 33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38