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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Madden

Oxford 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.92
Draw 4.10 fair 4.32
Away 5.50 fair 4.02
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Burton
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 6
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (71 league matches this season so far).
Result Oxford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
0.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:6
Burton before this match, all matches
0.17points / match
1.17scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:18
Oxford all matches all matches Burton

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.17
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
1.83 Total goals 4.17
14.17 Shots 11.17
5.00 Shots on target 2.83
7.17 Shots faced 18.00
6.33 Corners 4.83
3.67 Corners against 7.17
12.17 Fouls 11.67
2.33 Yellow cards 1.17
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
17% Draws 17%
50% Losses 83%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
50% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Burton all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:3
Burton before this match, away
0.33points / match
2.33scored / match
3.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 7:11
Oxford at home away Burton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.33
1.00 Goals conceded 3.67
2.00 Total goals 6.00
19.00 Shots 12.67
7.00 Shots on target 3.00
5.67 Shots faced 19.00
8.33 Corners 4.67
1.67 Corners against 4.00
13.00 Fouls 13.67
2.00 Yellow cards 1.33
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 67%
0% Over 5.5 goals 67%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
67% Draws 0%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Cheltenham – Oxford 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Oxford – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.66 2.15
16.08.22 Oxford – Lincoln 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.00 2.00 1.85
13.08.22 Bristol Rvs – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
06.08.22 Oxford – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.83 2.02
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
30.04.22 Oxford – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 1.505.006.00 1.53 2.40
23.04.22 Rotherham – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.50 1.85 2.00
19.04.22 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
15.04.22 Fleetwood Town – Oxford 2–3 (1–3) 3.903.701.90 1.93 1.93

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.801.66 2.00 1.85
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95
06.08.22 Burton – Bristol Rvs 0–4 (0–4) 2.703.252.70 2.07 1.72
30.07.22 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
30.04.22 Burton – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.70 1.72 2.07
23.04.22 Doncaster – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
19.04.22 Burton – Rotherham 2–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.72 1.98 1.88
15.04.22 Accrington – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.80 2.05

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Oxford – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.66 2.15
16.08.22 Oxford – Lincoln 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.00 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Oxford – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.83 2.02
30.04.22 Oxford – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 1.505.006.00 1.53 2.40
19.04.22 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
09.04.22 Oxford – Sunderland 1–2 (1–1) 2.373.502.90 1.90 1.95
19.03.22 Oxford – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.62 1.95 1.90
05.03.22 Oxford – Burton 4–1 (4–1) 1.704.004.75 1.72 2.07
26.02.22 Oxford – Cambridge 4–2 (1–1) 1.614.005.50 1.70 2.10
12.02.22 Oxford – Bolton 2–3 (2–2) 1.903.404.00 1.75 2.05

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
23.04.22 Doncaster – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
15.04.22 Accrington – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.80 2.05
02.04.22 Morecambe – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.85
19.03.22 Charlton – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
05.03.22 Oxford – Burton 4–1 (4–1) 1.704.004.75 1.72 2.07
01.03.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
22.02.22 Sunderland – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.22E2 Oxford – Burton 4–1 (4–1) 1.704.004.75 1.72 2.07
23.10.21E2 Burton – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0 13 5 +8 14
2 Ipswich 6 4 2 0 12 4 +8 14
3 Sheffield Weds 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
4 Peterboro 6 4 0 2 13 6 +7 12
5 Plymouth 6 4 0 2 10 7 +3 12
6 Derby 6 3 2 1 5 3 +2 11
7 Cambridge 6 3 1 2 9 10 -1 10
8 Charlton 6 2 3 1 10 6 +4 9
9 Exeter 6 2 2 2 9 5 +4 8
10 Bolton 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
11 Accrington 5 1 4 0 8 7 +1 7
12 Wycombe 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7
13 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
14 Fleetwood Town 6 1 4 1 6 6 0 7
15 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
16 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
17 Oxford 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
18 Lincoln 6 1 4 1 6 9 -3 7
19 Port Vale 6 2 1 3 5 8 -3 7
20 Shrewsbury 6 1 3 2 3 6 -3 6
21 Cheltenham 6 1 1 4 4 8 -4 4
22 Forest Green 5 1 1 3 4 12 -8 4
23 Morecambe 6 0 3 3 2 10 -8 3
24 Burton 6 0 1 5 7 18 -11 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Peterboro 3 3 0 0 9 0 +9 9
2 Plymouth 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
3 Cambridge 3 3 0 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Derby 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
5 Sheffield Weds 3 2 1 0 9 3 +6 7
6 Charlton 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
7 Portsmouth 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
8 Exeter 3 2 0 1 7 2 +5 6
9 Bolton 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
10 Barnsley 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
11 Ipswich 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
12 Fleetwood Town 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
13 Wycombe 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
14 Bristol Rvs 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
15 Milton Keynes Dons 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
16 Oxford 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
17 Port Vale 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
18 Accrington 3 0 3 0 6 6 0 3
19 Lincoln 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
20 Morecambe 3 0 2 1 1 5 -4 2
21 Shrewsbury 3 0 1 2 0 4 -4 1
22 Cheltenham 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
23 Forest Green 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
24 Burton 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 Portsmouth 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
3 Sheffield Weds 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
4 Shrewsbury 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
5 Accrington 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Cheltenham 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
7 Lincoln 3 1 1 1 2 5 -3 4
8 Forest Green 3 1 1 1 3 7 -4 4
9 Milton Keynes Dons 3 1 0 2 4 4 0 3
10 Bristol Rvs 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
11 Oxford 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
12 Plymouth 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
13 Peterboro 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
14 Wycombe 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
15 Port Vale 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
16 Fleetwood Town 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
17 Charlton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Exeter 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
19 Derby 3 0 2 1 0 1 -1 2
20 Bolton 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
21 Barnsley 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
22 Burton 3 0 1 2 7 11 -4 1
23 Cambridge 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 1
24 Morecambe 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1

Oxford   Burton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Wycombe 6 1 5 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7
2 2 Ipswich 6 2 4 2.0 0.7 4 2 0 12 4 14
3 4 Peterboro 6 2 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 2 13 6 12
4 15 Bristol Rvs 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 2 1 3 8 9 7
5 16 Barnsley 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
6 22 Forest Green 5 1 4 0.8 2.4 1 1 3 4 12 4
7 24 Burton 6 2 4 1.2 3.0 0 1 5 7 18 1
8 1 Portsmouth 6 3 3 2.2 0.8 4 2 0 13 5 14
9 5 Plymouth 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 4 0 2 10 7 12
10 7 Cambridge 6 3 3 1.5 1.7 3 1 2 9 10 10
11 9 Exeter 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 2 2 2 9 5 8
12 13 Milton Keynes Dons 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
13 14 Fleetwood Town 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 1 4 1 6 6 7
14 18 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 4 1 6 9 7
15 19 Port Vale 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 2 1 3 5 8 7
16 3 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
17 6 Derby 6 4 2 0.8 0.5 3 2 1 5 3 11
18 8 Charlton 6 4 2 1.7 1.0 2 3 1 10 6 9
19 11 Accrington 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 1 4 0 8 7 7
20 17 Oxford 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
21 20 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 0.5 1.0 1 3 2 3 6 6
22 21 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 1 4 4 8 4
23 23 Morecambe 6 4 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 3 2 10 3
24 10 Bolton 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Portsmouth 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
2 2 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
3 3 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 3.0 1.0 2 1 0 9 3 7
4 4 Peterboro 3 1 2 3.0 0.0 3 0 0 9 0 9
5 6 Derby 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
6 7 Cambridge 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 3 0 0 7 4 9
7 9 Exeter 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 0 1 7 2 6
8 11 Accrington 3 1 2 2.0 2.0 0 3 0 6 6 3
9 12 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
10 16 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
11 21 Cheltenham 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
12 22 Forest Green 2 0 2 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
13 8 Charlton 3 2 1 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
14 10 Bolton 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
15 13 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
16 14 Fleetwood Town 3 2 1 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
17 15 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
18 17 Oxford 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
19 18 Lincoln 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
20 19 Port Vale 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
21 20 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 2 0 4 1
22 23 Morecambe 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 2 1 1 5 2
23 24 Burton 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
24 5 Plymouth 3 3 0 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Plymouth 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
2 12 Wycombe 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
3 15 Bristol Rvs 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
4 24 Burton 3 0 3 2.3 3.7 0 1 2 7 11 1
5 2 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
6 4 Peterboro 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
7 13 Milton Keynes Dons 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 0 2 4 4 3
8 14 Fleetwood Town 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
9 16 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
10 18 Lincoln 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 1 1 2 5 4
11 19 Port Vale 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
12 22 Forest Green 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 1 1 3 7 4
13 1 Portsmouth 3 2 1 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
14 7 Cambridge 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 1 2 2 6 1
15 8 Charlton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 9 Exeter 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
17 17 Oxford 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
18 20 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
19 23 Morecambe 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
20 3 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
21 6 Derby 3 3 0 0.0 0.3 0 2 1 0 1 2
22 10 Bolton 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
23 11 Accrington 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 21 Cheltenham 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51