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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: N Hair

Bolton 2–0 Lincoln

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 2.10
Draw 3.80 fair 4.02
Away 6.00 fair 3.63
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Lincoln
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
9 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (116 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawLincoln
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.22scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:6
Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.56scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:14
Bolton all matches all matches Lincoln

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.56
0.67 Goals conceded 1.56
1.89 Total goals 3.11
12.22 Shots 8.56
3.78 Shots on target 3.22
10.44 Shots faced 12.67
6.00 Corners 4.11
3.78 Corners against 5.33
11.56 Fouls 10.89
1.56 Yellow cards 1.89
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

56% Wins 33%
22% Draws 44%
22% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 89%
22% Over 2.5 goals 44%
11% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
22% Both teams scored 56%
56% Clean sheets 22%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
22% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Lincoln all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.40points / match
1.60scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:3
Lincoln before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.60scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:10
Bolton at home away Lincoln

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.60
0.60 Goals conceded 2.00
2.20 Total goals 3.60
14.00 Shots 6.40
4.00 Shots on target 3.20
9.40 Shots faced 13.80
5.20 Corners 3.40
3.60 Corners against 6.00
11.00 Fouls 12.60
1.80 Yellow cards 1.40
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

80% Wins 40%
0% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
20% Both teams scored 40%
60% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 40%
20% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Lincoln away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.37 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Plymouth – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.50 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05
13.08.22 Port Vale – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Bolton – Wycombe 3–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 2.07 1.72
30.07.22 Ipswich – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.404.20 2.05 1.80
30.04.22 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 4–2 (1–1) 2.303.602.87 1.85 2.00

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Lincoln 3–6 (1–3) 2.703.502.55 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Cambridge – Lincoln 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.80 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Lincoln – Fleetwood Town 2–2 (2–1) 2.153.403.40 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Peterboro – Lincoln 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.72 2.07
16.08.22 Oxford – Lincoln 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.00 2.00 1.85
13.08.22 Lincoln – Forest Green 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 2.02 1.83
06.08.22 Portsmouth – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00
30.07.22 Lincoln – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.203.20 1.98 1.88
30.04.22 Lincoln – Crewe 2–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.70 2.10

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.50 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05
06.08.22 Bolton – Wycombe 3–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 2.07 1.72
30.04.22 Bolton – Fleetwood Town 4–2 (1–1) 2.303.602.87 1.85 2.00
18.04.22 Bolton – Accrington 3–1 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.80 2.00
09.04.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.05 1.75
05.04.22 Bolton – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.70
12.03.22 Bolton – Plymouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 1.93 1.93

Lincoln away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Lincoln 3–6 (1–3) 2.703.502.55 1.98 1.88
03.09.22 Cambridge – Lincoln 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.80 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Peterboro – Lincoln 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.72 2.07
16.08.22 Oxford – Lincoln 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.00 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Portsmouth – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00
23.04.22 Accrington – Lincoln 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.75 2.05
15.04.22 Portsmouth – Lincoln 3–2 (0–0) 1.803.754.75 2.02 1.83
05.04.22 Fleetwood Town – Lincoln 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.05 1.75
02.04.22 Charlton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 2.05 1.80
26.03.22 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.25 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsLincoln wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.22E2 Bolton – Lincoln 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 1.85 2.00
17.08.21E2 Lincoln – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.90 1.90

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 7 1 2 18 12 +6 22
2 Ipswich 10 6 3 1 19 8 +11 21
3 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 19 8 +11 21
4 Sheffield Weds 10 6 2 2 20 10 +10 20
5 Barnsley 10 5 2 3 16 10 +6 17
6 Bolton 9 5 2 2 11 6 +5 17
7 Cambridge 10 5 1 4 14 16 -2 16
8 Peterboro 10 5 0 5 17 10 +7 15
9 Shrewsbury 10 4 3 3 11 11 0 15
10 Exeter 10 4 2 4 16 10 +6 14
11 Derby 9 4 2 3 9 9 0 14
12 Lincoln 9 3 4 2 14 14 0 13
13 Accrington 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 13
14 Fleetwood Town 9 2 6 1 9 8 +1 12
15 Port Vale 10 3 3 4 10 15 -5 12
16 Charlton 10 2 5 3 14 14 0 11
17 Wycombe 10 3 2 5 13 15 -2 11
18 Milton Keynes Dons 9 3 1 5 9 11 -2 10
19 Oxford 9 3 1 5 8 10 -2 10
20 Cheltenham 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
21 Bristol Rvs 10 2 2 6 13 20 -7 8
22 Forest Green 10 2 2 6 8 22 -14 8
23 Morecambe 10 1 4 5 7 18 -11 7
24 Burton 10 1 1 8 11 24 -13 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 5 5 0 0 8 1 +7 15
2 Peterboro 5 4 0 1 12 1 +11 12
3 Bolton 5 4 0 1 8 3 +5 12
4 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 6 +3 12
5 Cambridge 5 4 0 1 9 7 +2 12
6 Sheffield Weds 6 3 2 1 14 8 +6 11
7 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 11 5 +6 11
8 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
9 Exeter 5 3 0 2 8 4 +4 9
10 Charlton 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
11 Ipswich 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
12 Port Vale 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
13 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
14 Fleetwood Town 5 1 4 0 4 3 +1 7
15 Oxford 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
16 Shrewsbury 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
17 Lincoln 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
18 Accrington 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6
19 Bristol Rvs 6 1 2 3 8 12 -4 5
20 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
21 Cheltenham 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
22 Forest Green 6 1 0 5 4 14 -10 3
23 Morecambe 5 0 2 3 2 10 -8 2
24 Burton 4 0 0 4 0 9 -9 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 6 4 1 1 11 5 +6 13
2 Portsmouth 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
3 Sheffield Weds 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
4 Shrewsbury 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
5 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 8 5 +3 7
6 Accrington 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7
7 Plymouth 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
8 Lincoln 5 2 1 2 8 10 -2 7
9 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6
10 Exeter 5 1 2 2 8 6 +2 5
11 Fleetwood Town 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
12 Bolton 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
13 Cheltenham 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
14 Morecambe 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
15 Forest Green 4 1 2 1 4 8 -4 5
16 Burton 6 1 1 4 11 15 -4 4
17 Cambridge 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
18 Wycombe 6 1 1 4 7 12 -5 4
19 Port Vale 5 1 1 3 4 10 -6 4
20 Oxford 4 1 0 3 2 4 -2 3
21 Bristol Rvs 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
22 Peterboro 5 1 0 4 5 9 -4 3
23 Charlton 6 0 3 3 6 11 -5 3
24 Derby 4 0 2 2 0 3 -3 2

Bolton   Lincoln

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wycombe 10 3 7 1.3 1.5 3 2 5 13 15 11
2 22 Forest Green 10 3 7 0.8 2.2 2 2 6 8 22 8
3 1 Plymouth 10 4 6 1.8 1.2 7 1 2 18 12 22
4 2 Ipswich 10 4 6 1.9 0.8 6 3 1 19 8 21
5 5 Barnsley 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 5 2 3 16 10 17
6 7 Cambridge 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 5 1 4 14 16 16
7 8 Peterboro 10 4 6 1.7 1.0 5 0 5 17 10 15
8 15 Port Vale 10 4 6 1.0 1.5 3 3 4 10 15 12
9 21 Bristol Rvs 10 4 6 1.3 2.0 2 2 6 13 20 8
10 23 Morecambe 10 4 6 0.7 1.8 1 4 5 7 18 7
11 24 Burton 10 4 6 1.1 2.4 1 1 8 11 24 4
12 3 Portsmouth 9 4 5 2.1 0.9 6 3 0 19 8 21
13 4 Sheffield Weds 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 2 2 20 10 20
14 9 Shrewsbury 10 5 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 3 11 11 15
15 10 Exeter 10 5 5 1.6 1.0 4 2 4 16 10 14
16 11 Derby 9 5 4 1.0 1.0 4 2 3 9 9 14
17 12 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.6 1.6 3 4 2 14 14 13
18 16 Charlton 10 6 4 1.4 1.4 2 5 3 14 14 11
19 18 Milton Keynes Dons 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 3 1 5 9 11 10
20 19 Oxford 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 3 1 5 8 10 10
21 20 Cheltenham 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
22 13 Accrington 10 7 3 1.1 1.2 3 4 3 11 12 13
23 14 Fleetwood Town 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 2 6 1 9 8 12
24 6 Bolton 9 7 2 1.2 0.7 5 2 2 11 6 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Forest Green 6 1 5 0.7 2.3 1 0 5 4 14 3
2 3 Portsmouth 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 3 2 0 11 5 11
3 4 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 2.3 1.3 3 2 1 14 8 11
4 11 Derby 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 4 0 1 9 6 12
5 5 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
6 7 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 4 0 1 9 7 12
7 8 Peterboro 5 2 3 2.4 0.2 4 0 1 12 1 12
8 9 Shrewsbury 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
9 15 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
10 19 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
11 20 Cheltenham 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
12 21 Bristol Rvs 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 1 2 3 8 12 5
13 23 Morecambe 5 2 3 0.4 2.0 0 2 3 2 10 2
14 2 Ipswich 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
15 6 Bolton 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 0 1 8 3 12
16 10 Exeter 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 0 2 8 4 9
17 13 Accrington 5 3 2 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6
18 17 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
19 1 Plymouth 5 4 1 1.6 0.2 5 0 0 8 1 15
20 12 Lincoln 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
21 14 Fleetwood Town 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 1 4 0 4 3 7
22 16 Charlton 4 3 1 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
23 18 Milton Keynes Dons 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
24 24 Burton 4 3 1 0.0 2.2 0 0 4 0 9 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 5 0 5 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
2 17 Wycombe 6 1 5 1.2 2.0 1 1 4 7 12 4
3 24 Burton 6 1 5 1.8 2.5 1 1 4 11 15 4
4 2 Ipswich 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 4 1 1 11 5 13
5 5 Barnsley 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 1 2 8 5 7
6 7 Cambridge 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
7 8 Peterboro 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 0 4 5 9 3
8 10 Exeter 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 1 2 2 8 6 5
9 12 Lincoln 5 2 3 1.6 2.0 2 1 2 8 10 7
10 15 Port Vale 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 1 1 3 4 10 4
11 16 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 0 3 3 6 11 3
12 18 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 0 3 6 6 6
13 21 Bristol Rvs 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
14 23 Morecambe 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
15 9 Shrewsbury 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
16 14 Fleetwood Town 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
17 22 Forest Green 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 2 1 4 8 5
18 3 Portsmouth 4 3 1 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
19 4 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
20 13 Accrington 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7
21 19 Oxford 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 0 3 2 4 3
22 20 Cheltenham 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
23 6 Bolton 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
24 11 Derby 4 4 0 0.0 0.8 0 2 2 0 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51