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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Kirk

Lincoln 2–0 Derby

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 4.50 fair 2.47
Draw 3.50 fair 3.67
Away 1.83 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 2.27

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Derby
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
9 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (84 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.86scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:11
Derby before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:6
Lincoln all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.00
1.57 Goals conceded 0.86
2.43 Total goals 1.86
7.57 Shots 14.14
2.43 Shots on target 4.00
12.71 Shots faced 10.29
4.00 Corners 7.43
5.00 Corners against 4.71
11.29 Fouls 9.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.43
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

14% Wins 43%
57% Draws 29%
29% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
86% Over 1.5 goals 43%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
29% Draws 71%
43% Losses 0%
71% Over 0.5 goals 29%
57% Over 1.5 goals 29%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Derby all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:4
Derby before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.00scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 0:1
Lincoln at home away Derby

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.00
1.33 Goals conceded 0.33
2.67 Total goals 0.33
11.33 Shots 17.33
3.00 Shots on target 4.67
11.67 Shots faced 10.33
5.33 Corners 9.00
4.67 Corners against 5.00
8.67 Fouls 6.67
2.33 Yellow cards 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 67%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 33%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 67%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 100%
33% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 0%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22 Cambridge – Lincoln 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.80 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Lincoln – Fleetwood Town 2–2 (2–1) 2.153.403.40 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Peterboro – Lincoln 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.72 2.07
16.08.22 Oxford – Lincoln 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.00 2.00 1.85
13.08.22 Lincoln – Forest Green 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 2.02 1.83
06.08.22 Portsmouth – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00
30.07.22 Lincoln – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.203.20 1.98 1.88
30.04.22 Lincoln – Crewe 2–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.70 2.10
23.04.22 Accrington – Lincoln 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.75 2.05
18.04.22 Lincoln – Cheltenham 3–0 (3–0) 2.403.602.80 1.90 1.95

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
07.05.22E1 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
23.04.22E1 Derby – Bristol City 1–3 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Lincoln – Fleetwood Town 2–2 (2–1) 2.153.403.40 1.98 1.88
13.08.22 Lincoln – Forest Green 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 2.02 1.83
30.07.22 Lincoln – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.203.20 1.98 1.88
30.04.22 Lincoln – Crewe 2–1 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.70 2.10
18.04.22 Lincoln – Cheltenham 3–0 (3–0) 2.403.602.80 1.90 1.95
09.04.22 Lincoln – Wigan 1–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.95 2.10 1.70
19.03.22 Lincoln – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.05 1.75
05.03.22 Lincoln – Sheffield Weds 3–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.15 2.15 1.66
26.02.22 Lincoln – Gillingham 0–2 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 2.15 1.66
15.02.22 Lincoln – Doncaster 0–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.50 1.85 2.00

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E1 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
15.03.22E1 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
12.03.22E1 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
01.03.22E1 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22E1 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 5 2 0 14 4 +10 17
2 Portsmouth 7 5 2 0 15 6 +9 17
3 Plymouth 7 5 0 2 13 9 +4 15
4 Sheffield Weds 7 4 1 2 12 7 +5 13
5 Cambridge 7 4 1 2 11 10 +1 13
6 Peterboro 7 4 0 3 14 8 +6 12
7 Exeter 7 3 2 2 10 5 +5 11
8 Bolton 7 3 2 2 8 6 +2 11
9 Derby 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
10 Barnsley 7 3 1 3 9 8 +1 10
11 Oxford 7 3 1 3 7 7 0 10
12 Charlton 7 2 3 2 11 9 +2 9
13 Shrewsbury 7 2 3 2 5 6 -1 9
14 Wycombe 7 2 2 3 10 10 0 8
15 Fleetwood Town 7 1 5 1 7 7 0 8
16 Bristol Rvs 7 2 2 3 10 11 -1 8
17 Port Vale 7 2 2 3 7 10 -3 8
18 Milton Keynes Dons 7 2 1 4 7 8 -1 7
19 Accrington 7 1 4 2 9 11 -2 7
20 Lincoln 7 1 4 2 6 11 -5 7
21 Forest Green 7 2 1 4 6 15 -9 7
22 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 6 10 -4 5
23 Morecambe 7 0 4 3 4 12 -8 4
24 Burton 7 0 1 6 8 20 -12 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cambridge 4 4 0 0 9 4 +5 12
2 Portsmouth 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
3 Peterboro 3 3 0 0 9 0 +9 9
4 Exeter 4 3 0 1 8 2 +6 9
5 Plymouth 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
6 Bolton 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
7 Derby 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
8 Charlton 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
9 Sheffield Weds 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
10 Oxford 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
11 Barnsley 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
12 Fleetwood Town 4 1 3 0 3 2 +1 6
13 Ipswich 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
14 Bristol Rvs 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
15 Port Vale 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
16 Wycombe 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
17 Milton Keynes Dons 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
18 Lincoln 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
19 Accrington 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
20 Forest Green 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
21 Morecambe 3 0 2 1 1 5 -4 2
22 Shrewsbury 3 0 1 2 0 4 -4 1
23 Cheltenham 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
24 Burton 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 4 4 0 0 8 1 +7 12
2 Shrewsbury 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
3 Portsmouth 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
4 Sheffield Weds 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
5 Plymouth 4 2 0 2 8 9 -1 6
6 Cheltenham 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
7 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
8 Accrington 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
9 Wycombe 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
10 Forest Green 3 1 1 1 3 7 -4 4
11 Lincoln 4 1 1 2 2 7 -5 4
12 Bristol Rvs 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
13 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 0 3 4 5 -1 3
14 Oxford 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
15 Peterboro 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
16 Port Vale 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
17 Fleetwood Town 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
18 Exeter 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
19 Derby 3 0 2 1 0 1 -1 2
20 Bolton 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
21 Charlton 4 0 2 2 4 7 -3 2
22 Morecambe 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2
23 Cambridge 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 1
24 Burton 4 0 1 3 8 13 -5 1

Lincoln   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Peterboro 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 0 3 14 8 12
2 14 Wycombe 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 2 2 3 10 10 8
3 16 Bristol Rvs 7 2 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 3 10 11 8
4 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 0.9 2.1 2 1 4 6 15 7
5 24 Burton 7 2 5 1.1 2.9 0 1 6 8 20 1
6 1 Ipswich 7 3 4 2.0 0.6 5 2 0 14 4 17
7 2 Portsmouth 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 5 2 0 15 6 17
8 3 Plymouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 5 0 2 13 9 15
9 10 Barnsley 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 1 3 9 8 10
10 17 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 2 2 3 7 10 8
11 5 Cambridge 7 4 3 1.6 1.4 4 1 2 11 10 13
12 7 Exeter 7 4 3 1.4 0.7 3 2 2 10 5 11
13 9 Derby 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
14 11 Oxford 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 3 7 7 10
15 12 Charlton 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 2 3 2 11 9 9
16 15 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 1 5 1 7 7 8
17 18 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 1 4 7 8 7
18 19 Accrington 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 1 4 2 9 11 7
19 20 Lincoln 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 4 2 6 11 7
20 22 Cheltenham 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 1 2 4 6 10 5
21 23 Morecambe 7 4 3 0.6 1.7 0 4 3 4 12 4
22 4 Sheffield Weds 7 5 2 1.7 1.0 4 1 2 12 7 13
23 8 Bolton 7 5 2 1.1 0.9 3 2 2 8 6 11
24 13 Shrewsbury 7 5 2 0.7 0.9 2 3 2 5 6 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Portsmouth 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
2 9 Derby 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
3 21 Forest Green 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
4 1 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
5 4 Sheffield Weds 4 2 2 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7
6 5 Cambridge 4 2 2 2.2 1.0 4 0 0 9 4 12
7 6 Peterboro 3 1 2 3.0 0.0 3 0 0 9 0 9
8 7 Exeter 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 0 1 8 2 9
9 8 Bolton 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
10 10 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
11 11 Oxford 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
12 14 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
13 16 Bristol Rvs 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
14 17 Port Vale 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
15 19 Accrington 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
16 22 Cheltenham 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
17 12 Charlton 3 2 1 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
18 13 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 2 0 4 1
19 15 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 1 3 0 3 2 6
20 18 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
21 20 Lincoln 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
22 23 Morecambe 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 2 1 1 5 2
23 24 Burton 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
24 3 Plymouth 3 3 0 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Plymouth 4 0 4 2.0 2.2 2 0 2 8 9 6
2 24 Burton 4 0 4 2.0 3.2 0 1 3 8 13 1
3 6 Peterboro 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
4 14 Wycombe 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
5 16 Bristol Rvs 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
6 1 Ipswich 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 4 0 0 8 1 12
7 10 Barnsley 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
8 12 Charlton 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 2 4 7 2
9 15 Fleetwood Town 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
10 17 Port Vale 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
11 18 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 0 3 4 5 3
12 20 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 1 1 2 2 7 4
13 21 Forest Green 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 1 1 3 7 4
14 23 Morecambe 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2
15 2 Portsmouth 3 2 1 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
16 5 Cambridge 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 1 2 2 6 1
17 7 Exeter 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
18 11 Oxford 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
19 13 Shrewsbury 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
20 19 Accrington 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
21 22 Cheltenham 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
22 4 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
23 8 Bolton 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
24 9 Derby 3 3 0 0.0 0.3 0 2 1 0 1 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51