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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Gill

Charlton 3–2 Burton

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 1.74
Draw 3.50 fair 4.83
Away 4.20 fair 4.56
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 2.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Charlton Burton
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 7
11 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (474 league matches this season so far).
Result Charlton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 2.12 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
CharltonDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.1% 2–0 7.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Charlton before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.48scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 59:51
Burton before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.29scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 49:71
Charlton all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.29
1.28 Goals conceded 1.87
2.75 Total goals 3.16
11.28 Shots 11.87
4.10 Shots on target 3.89
13.55 Shots faced 13.92
4.35 Corners 5.50
6.18 Corners against 5.47
11.10 Fouls 11.05
1.55 Yellow cards 1.53
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

33% Wins 32%
33% Draws 24%
35% Losses 45%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
75% Over 1.5 goals 82%
45% Over 2.5 goals 58%
28% Over 3.5 goals 34%
15% Over 4.5 goals 24%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
60% Both teams scored 53%
20% Clean sheets 18%
25% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 26%
43% Draws 45%
23% Losses 29%
73% Over 0.5 goals 63%
40% Over 1.5 goals 37%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Charlton all matches
Burton all matches
Charlton before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 36:24
Burton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.37scored / match
2.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:41
Charlton at home away Burton

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.37
1.20 Goals conceded 2.16
3.00 Total goals 3.53
12.40 Shots 11.37
5.20 Shots on target 3.68
13.70 Shots faced 15.11
4.25 Corners 4.68
5.05 Corners against 5.42
11.55 Fouls 12.16
1.70 Yellow cards 1.84
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

35% Wins 26%
35% Draws 21%
30% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
85% Over 1.5 goals 89%
45% Over 2.5 goals 68%
20% Over 3.5 goals 37%
20% Over 4.5 goals 32%
20% Over 5.5 goals 16%
65% Both teams scored 63%
20% Clean sheets 11%
15% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 21%
35% Draws 47%
20% Losses 32%
80% Over 0.5 goals 63%
40% Over 1.5 goals 42%
15% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Charlton at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Charlton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.85 2.00
01.04.23 Charlton – Shrewsbury 6–0 (3–0) 2.253.203.40 2.15 1.67
25.03.23 Charlton – Wycombe 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.252.70 2.00 1.85
18.03.23 Cambridge – Charlton 1–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.63 2.20 1.65
14.03.23 Morecambe – Charlton 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.302.20 2.00 1.80
11.03.23 Charlton – Accrington 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
04.03.23 Plymouth – Charlton 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.08
28.02.23 Peterboro – Charlton 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.73 2.08
25.02.23 Charlton – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.501.95 1.98 1.88
18.02.23 Derby – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.88 1.98

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.23 Burton – Peterboro 2–5 (1–3) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Burton – Wycombe 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.80
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20
25.02.23 Burton – Accrington 0–0 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.90 1.95
18.02.23 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.40 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Portsmouth – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.755.00 1.93 1.93
11.02.23 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95

Charlton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Charlton – Shrewsbury 6–0 (3–0) 2.253.203.40 2.15 1.67
25.03.23 Charlton – Wycombe 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.252.70 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Charlton – Accrington 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
25.02.23 Charlton – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.501.95 1.98 1.88
11.02.23 Charlton – Fleetwood Town 1–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.20 1.83 2.02
28.01.23 Charlton – Bolton 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.75 2.02 1.83
14.01.23 Charlton – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
07.01.23 Charlton – Lincoln 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.75
26.12.22 Charlton – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
17.12.22 Charlton – Bristol Rvs 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.88 1.98

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
04.03.23 Ipswich – Burton 4–0 (3–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.65 2.20
18.02.23 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.40 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Portsmouth – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.755.00 1.93 1.93
04.02.23 Fleetwood Town – Burton 2–3 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.73
01.01.23 Morecambe – Burton 5–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Forest Green – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.502.60 1.90 1.95
17.12.22 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90
03.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Charlton winsDrawsBurton wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22E2 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
19.03.22E2 Charlton – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
13.11.21E2 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.98 1.88

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 39 25 8 6 70 42 +28 83
2 Ipswich 39 23 12 4 78 31 +47 81
3 Sheffield Weds 40 23 12 5 68 32 +36 81
4 Barnsley 39 23 6 10 67 36 +31 75
5 Bolton 39 19 10 10 53 31 +22 67
6 Peterboro 40 21 4 15 68 47 +21 67
7 Derby 40 19 10 11 61 41 +20 67
8 Wycombe 40 18 8 14 53 42 +11 62
9 Portsmouth 40 16 14 10 55 45 +10 62
10 Shrewsbury 39 16 7 16 47 50 -3 55
11 Exeter 40 14 11 15 58 52 +6 53
12 Charlton 40 13 13 14 59 51 +8 52
13 Fleetwood Town 40 12 14 14 44 43 +1 50
14 Lincoln 39 10 19 10 37 41 -4 49
15 Bristol Rvs 38 13 9 16 51 60 -9 48
16 Cheltenham 40 12 9 19 34 51 -17 45
17 Port Vale 40 12 9 19 40 60 -20 45
18 Burton 38 12 9 17 49 71 -22 45
19 Milton Keynes Dons 40 11 8 21 37 57 -20 41
20 Oxford 39 9 12 18 40 50 -10 39
21 Accrington 39 9 11 19 33 63 -30 38
22 Cambridge 39 10 6 23 32 60 -28 36
23 Morecambe 41 7 13 21 38 71 -33 34
24 Forest Green 40 6 8 26 29 74 -45 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 19 17 1 1 38 13 +25 52
2 Ipswich 20 13 6 1 46 12 +34 45
3 Sheffield Weds 20 13 6 1 43 15 +28 45
4 Barnsley 19 14 1 4 41 18 +23 43
5 Derby 20 12 4 4 37 18 +19 40
6 Bolton 19 12 4 3 28 11 +17 40
7 Peterboro 20 12 3 5 35 21 +14 39
8 Wycombe 20 10 5 5 30 19 +11 35
9 Portsmouth 20 8 9 3 31 20 +11 33
10 Exeter 20 9 5 6 32 22 +10 32
11 Shrewsbury 19 10 2 7 28 25 +3 32
12 Charlton 20 7 7 6 36 24 +12 28
13 Lincoln 19 5 13 1 18 14 +4 28
14 Cheltenham 20 7 6 7 19 23 -4 27
15 Morecambe 21 6 8 7 26 29 -3 26
16 Burton 19 7 5 7 23 30 -7 26
17 Fleetwood Town 20 6 7 7 21 21 0 25
18 Cambridge 20 7 4 9 19 24 -5 25
19 Port Vale 20 7 4 9 20 27 -7 25
20 Bristol Rvs 20 6 6 8 23 30 -7 24
21 Accrington 20 6 5 9 23 30 -7 23
22 Oxford 19 5 4 10 23 27 -4 19
23 Milton Keynes Dons 20 4 5 11 14 26 -12 17
24 Forest Green 20 5 1 14 14 34 -20 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 19 10 6 3 32 19 +13 36
2 Sheffield Weds 20 10 6 4 25 17 +8 36
3 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 26 18 +8 32
4 Plymouth 20 8 7 5 32 29 +3 31
5 Portsmouth 20 8 5 7 24 25 -1 29
6 Peterboro 20 9 1 10 33 26 +7 28
7 Bolton 20 7 6 7 25 20 +5 27
8 Derby 20 7 6 7 24 23 +1 27
9 Wycombe 20 8 3 9 23 23 0 27
10 Fleetwood Town 20 6 7 7 23 22 +1 25
11 Bristol Rvs 18 7 3 8 28 30 -2 24
12 Charlton 20 6 6 8 23 27 -4 24
13 Milton Keynes Dons 20 7 3 10 23 31 -8 24
14 Shrewsbury 20 6 5 9 19 25 -6 23
15 Exeter 20 5 6 9 26 30 -4 21
16 Lincoln 20 5 6 9 19 27 -8 21
17 Oxford 20 4 8 8 17 23 -6 20
18 Port Vale 20 5 5 10 20 33 -13 20
19 Burton 19 5 4 10 26 41 -15 19
20 Cheltenham 20 5 3 12 15 28 -13 18
21 Accrington 19 3 6 10 10 33 -23 15
22 Cambridge 19 3 2 14 13 36 -23 11
23 Forest Green 20 1 7 12 15 40 -25 10
24 Morecambe 20 1 5 14 12 42 -30 8

Charlton   Burton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Peterboro 40 16 24 1.7 1.2 21 4 15 68 47 67
2 1 Plymouth 39 17 22 1.8 1.1 25 8 6 70 42 83
3 18 Burton 38 16 22 1.3 1.9 12 9 17 49 71 45
4 2 Ipswich 39 18 21 2.0 0.8 23 12 4 78 31 81
5 4 Barnsley 39 18 21 1.7 0.9 23 6 10 67 36 75
6 15 Bristol Rvs 38 17 21 1.3 1.6 13 9 16 51 60 48
7 23 Morecambe 41 20 21 0.9 1.7 7 13 21 38 71 34
8 17 Port Vale 40 20 20 1.0 1.5 12 9 19 40 60 45
9 7 Derby 40 21 19 1.5 1.0 19 10 11 61 41 67
10 10 Shrewsbury 39 20 19 1.2 1.3 16 7 16 47 50 55
11 24 Forest Green 40 21 19 0.7 1.9 6 8 26 29 74 26
12 11 Exeter 40 22 18 1.4 1.3 14 11 15 58 52 53
13 12 Charlton 40 22 18 1.5 1.3 13 13 14 59 51 52
14 8 Wycombe 40 23 17 1.3 1.1 18 8 14 53 42 62
15 9 Portsmouth 40 23 17 1.4 1.1 16 14 10 55 45 62
16 13 Fleetwood Town 40 23 17 1.1 1.1 12 14 14 44 43 50
17 21 Accrington 39 22 17 0.8 1.6 9 11 19 33 63 38
18 22 Cambridge 39 22 17 0.8 1.5 10 6 23 32 60 36
19 16 Cheltenham 40 24 16 0.8 1.3 12 9 19 34 51 45
20 20 Oxford 39 23 16 1.0 1.3 9 12 18 40 50 39
21 3 Sheffield Weds 40 25 15 1.7 0.8 23 12 5 68 32 81
22 5 Bolton 39 24 15 1.4 0.8 19 10 10 53 31 67
23 19 Milton Keynes Dons 40 25 15 0.9 1.4 11 8 21 37 57 41
24 14 Lincoln 39 28 11 0.9 1.1 10 19 10 37 41 49
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 20 8 12 2.3 0.6 13 6 1 46 12 45
2 4 Barnsley 19 7 12 2.2 0.9 14 1 4 41 18 43
3 6 Peterboro 20 8 12 1.8 1.1 12 3 5 35 21 39
4 7 Derby 20 9 11 1.9 0.9 12 4 4 37 18 40
5 10 Shrewsbury 19 8 11 1.5 1.3 10 2 7 28 25 32
6 20 Oxford 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 5 4 10 23 27 19
7 1 Plymouth 19 9 10 2.0 0.7 17 1 1 38 13 52
8 11 Exeter 20 10 10 1.6 1.1 9 5 6 32 22 32
9 23 Morecambe 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 6 8 7 26 29 26
10 24 Forest Green 20 10 10 0.7 1.7 5 1 14 14 34 16
11 3 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 2.1 0.8 13 6 1 43 15 45
12 9 Portsmouth 20 11 9 1.6 1.0 8 9 3 31 20 33
13 12 Charlton 20 11 9 1.8 1.2 7 7 6 36 24 28
14 15 Bristol Rvs 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 6 6 8 23 30 24
15 17 Port Vale 20 11 9 1.0 1.4 7 4 9 20 27 25
16 18 Burton 19 10 9 1.2 1.6 7 5 7 23 30 26
17 21 Accrington 20 11 9 1.1 1.5 6 5 9 23 30 23
18 8 Wycombe 20 12 8 1.5 0.9 10 5 5 30 19 35
19 13 Fleetwood Town 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 6 7 7 21 21 25
20 16 Cheltenham 20 12 8 0.9 1.1 7 6 7 19 23 27
21 22 Cambridge 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 7 4 9 19 24 25
22 5 Bolton 19 12 7 1.5 0.6 12 4 3 28 11 40
23 19 Milton Keynes Dons 20 15 5 0.7 1.3 4 5 11 14 26 17
24 14 Lincoln 19 16 3 0.9 0.7 5 13 1 18 14 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Burton 19 6 13 1.4 2.2 5 4 10 26 41 19
2 1 Plymouth 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 8 7 5 32 29 31
3 6 Peterboro 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 9 1 10 33 26 28
4 15 Bristol Rvs 18 6 12 1.6 1.7 7 3 8 28 30 24
5 17 Port Vale 20 9 11 1.0 1.6 5 5 10 20 33 20
6 23 Morecambe 20 9 11 0.6 2.1 1 5 14 12 42 8
7 19 Milton Keynes Dons 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 7 3 10 23 31 24
8 2 Ipswich 19 10 9 1.7 1.0 10 6 3 32 19 36
9 4 Barnsley 20 11 9 1.3 0.9 9 5 6 26 18 32
10 8 Wycombe 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 8 3 9 23 23 27
11 12 Charlton 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 6 8 23 27 24
12 13 Fleetwood Town 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 6 7 7 23 22 25
13 22 Cambridge 19 10 9 0.7 1.9 3 2 14 13 36 11
14 24 Forest Green 20 11 9 0.8 2.0 1 7 12 15 40 10
15 5 Bolton 20 12 8 1.2 1.0 7 6 7 25 20 27
16 7 Derby 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 7 6 7 24 23 27
17 9 Portsmouth 20 12 8 1.2 1.2 8 5 7 24 25 29
18 10 Shrewsbury 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 6 5 9 19 25 23
19 11 Exeter 20 12 8 1.3 1.5 5 6 9 26 30 21
20 14 Lincoln 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 5 6 9 19 27 21
21 16 Cheltenham 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 3 12 15 28 18
22 21 Accrington 19 11 8 0.5 1.7 3 6 10 10 33 15
23 3 Sheffield Weds 20 14 6 1.2 0.8 10 6 4 25 17 36
24 20 Oxford 20 15 5 0.8 1.1 4 8 8 17 23 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51